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‘BECOMING AN EAST AFRICAN FINANCIAL SERVICES CHAMPION’
CONTENTS
1. Strategic Overview
2. Macroeconomic Review
3. Capital Markets Performance
4. Key Financial Highlights
5. Overview of Financial Performance
6. 2017 Outlook
7. Q&A
1
2
Peter MwangiGroup CEO
3
1. STRATEGIC OVERVIEW – MANAGED SEPARATION
Material reduction in holding company debt and reshaping the balance sheet
Phased reduction of OMAM 66% stake
Ma
teri
alc
om
ple
tio
n
Targ
et
co
mp
letio
ne
nd
-20
18
Creation of two separate entities, both listed in both London
and Johannesburg
• Old Mutual Wealth operations
• Creation of a new South African holding company to hold
remaining plc assets (principally OMEM & Nedbank) EMERGING MARKETS
Distribution of significant proportion of current stake in Nedbank
• Appropriate strategic minority stake retained
plc
STRATEGIC PATH
TRANSACTIONS TO ACTUALISE MANAGED SEPARATION STRATEGY
STRATEGIC RATIONALE:
“Unlocking
Value”
AC
TIO
NS
1. Deliver enhanced business performance
2. Reduce cost of central activities
3. Manage down Group debt
OU
TCO
MES
4. Valuation re-rating of the businesses
5. Removal of conglomerate discount
4
1. STRATEGIC OVERVIEW – INTEGRATED FINANCIAL SERVICES PLAYIn 2015, The Old Mutual Group acquired a 60.7% interest in UAP Holdings Limited (“UAPHL”)
for a total consideration of KES 23.5bn.
5
1. STRATEGIC OVERVIEW – INTEGRATED FINANCIAL SERVICES PLAYThe merger expanded Old Mutual’s geographic footprint further in Eastern Africa
6
1. STRATEGIC OVERVIEW – INTEGRATED FINANCIAL SERVICES PLAYThe UAP OM Group offers customers a wide array of financial products and services
7
1. STRATEGIC OVERVIEW – INTEGRATED FINANCIAL SERVICES PLAYThe combined Group at a glance
3.5%
3.6%
4.2%
4.7%
5.5%
5.6%
7.1%
7.7%
8.3%
10.9%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0%
First Assurance
AAR
GA
Heritage
ICEA
Britam
CIC
APC
UAP OM
Jubilee
3.4%
4.8%
5.1%
5.7%
6.3%
6.5%
6.9%
13.7%
15.0%
23.2%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%
Madison
Kenindia
Pioneer Assurance
CIC
Liberty
UAP OM
Sanlam
ICEA
Jubilee
Britam
8
■ UAP OM has a top market position in Kenya, Uganda and South Sudan with a strong
position in the other countries.
■ The integration process continues well and will be finalised in the second half of this year
post regulatory approvals. This will result in us having scaled life and asset management
businesses in our core Kenyan market.
1. STRATEGIC OVERVIEW – INTEGRATED FINANCIAL SERVICES PLAY
Kenya: 3Q 2016 General Insurance Market Share
Source: IRA for market share statistics.
Kenya: 3Q 2016 Life Assurance Market Share
Our General Business has the #2 position in Kenya while our Life Business is a leading
contender for a top 3 position in the near future
■ UAP Old Mutual Brand Launch – thematic campaign dubbed “Keep
Good Company”, well received by the market
■ UAP Old Mutual Tower completion – staff have moved as of December
2016 with final relocation of remaining staff by March 2017
9
■ Good progress in the journey to build East Africa’s leading Integrated
Financial Services provider
■ Sisi Centre launch and merger of countrywide branches, branding also
complete
■ M-Tiba Launch – mass market health product launched in collaboration
with Safaricom and Carepay. Good uptake with ramp up in 2017
■ Faulu – expanded its product offering to include Visa branded debit
cards and countrywide ATMs
1. STRATEGIC OVERVIEW – KEY WINS IN 2016
CONTENTS
1. Strategic Overview
2. Macroeconomic Review
3. Capital Markets Performance
4. Key Financial Highlights
5. Overview of Financial Performance
6. 2017 Outlook
7. Q&A
10
11
2. MACROECONOMIC REVIEWGenerally stable Macros for the East African Region
3Q 2016 GDP Growth
6.2%
5.7%
5.2%
2.5%
1.8%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
Tanzania Kenya Rwanda DRC Uganda
15.3%
11.0%
6.4%
5.7%
5.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
DRC Rwanda Kenya Uganda Tanzania
2016 December Inflation Rate 2016 Currency vs. USD
-31.6%
-8.6%
-7.0%
-3.0%
-0.2%
-35.0%
-30.0%
-25.0%
-20.0%
-15.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
DRC Rwanda Uganda Tanzania Kenya
12
2. MACROECONOMIC REVIEW CONT’D Macroeconomic highlights on Kenya, our largest market
■ Driven by stable food prices and low oil
prices, annual Inflation trended downwards
from 7.74% in January 2016 to 6.35% in
December 2016.
■ General downward trend in yields
supported by a stable inflation rate regime
and forex. Impact of Banking Amendment
Act 2016 realized towards the later part of
the year with a substantial shift by banks into
government paper.
■ KES strengthened in 1H 2106 due to low oil
prices, diaspora remittances and inflows
from the horticulture and tourism sectors.
■ In 2H 2016, Towards the end of the year, KES
weakened due to the 0.25% rate hike in the
Federal Funds Rate, markets' positive
reaction to the conclusion of the US election
and USD demand from local
importers/corporates.
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
Jan-
16
Feb-
16
Mar
-16
Apr
-16
May
-16
Jun-
16
Jul-1
6
Aug
-16
Sep-
16
Oct
-16
Nov
-16
Dec
-16
%
91-Day 182-Day 364-Day
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
9.00%
Ja
n-1
6
Fe
b-1
6
Ma
r-1
6
Ap
r-1
6
Ma
y-1
6
Ju
n-1
6
Ju
l-1
6
Au
g-1
6
Se
p-1
6
Oc
t-1
6
No
v-1
6
De
c-1
6
Inflation Y-o-Y Upper Limit Lower Limit
-5.1%
-1.2%-0.2%
-4.8%
-11.3%
-0.2%
-12.0%
-10.0%
-8.0%
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Inflation Rates
T-Bill Yields
KES vs. USD Performance
13
2. MACROECONOMIC REVIEW CONT’D
South sudan is a key market accounting for 8.8% of group GWP
• Currency devaluation has increased the cost of living andconsequently the cost of doing business.
• Negative impact on businesses with some entities closing their operations.
• Food Inflation is at 420%.• The exchange rate in the black market at an all time high of97
SSP:1USD as the currency devaluation continues.
• Increase in the number of states to from 10 to 28. In January 2017 an addition of 4 more states.
• The implication to our businesses is that the Central Equatoria State Insurance Regulatory Authority has now been renamed as the Jubec State Authority.
• The insurance bill is yet to be signed into law and the supervisory arm of the BoSS that regulates insurance is still not functional.
Economic
Highlights
Regulatory
Highlights
CONTENTS
1. Strategic Overview
2. Macroeconomic Review
3. Capital Markets Performance
4. Key Financial Highlights
5. Overview of Financial Performance
6. 2017 Outlook
7. Q&A
14
15
■ The NSE 20 and NASI indices shed 21.1% and
8.5% respectively in 2016 as the equity market
was rattled by the introduction of the Interest
Rate Cap legislation in the second half of the
year and its impact on the future earnings
growth of the listed bank stocks that
comprise a significant weight of the equity
market.
■ All major asset classes finished positive in
2016. In Q4, U.S. stocks rallied after the
presidential election while other asset classes
declined.
■ The Fed hiked the FFR with expectations of
more hikes in 2017. This contributed to a
strengthened dollar which could have further
adverse impacts on the NSE.
3. CAPITAL MARKETS PERFORMANCEKenya’s poor capital markets performance is in stark contrast to a robust global
performance
-21.1%
-8.5%
8.6%
13.0%
-25.0% -20.0% -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0%
NSE 20
NASI
91 Day T-Bill
FTSE Bond Index
2016 Kenya Asset Class Returns
2.4%
4.9%
8.3%
8.6%
12.0%
18.6%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%
US Bonds
Foreign Equities
Gold
Real Estate
US Equities
Commodities
2016 Global ETF Returns
Source: Bloomberg. Personal Capital: Capital Markets Reviews and Outlook 4Q 2016.
CONTENTS
1. Strategic Overview
2. Macroeconomic Review
3. Capital Markets Performance
4. Key Financial Highlights
5. Overview of Financial Performance
6. 2017 Outlook
7. Q&A
16
24.7
33.1
42.1
48.7
57.0
-
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
9.1
12.7
14.8
16.9
19.4
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
17
4. KEY FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTSTrack record of consistent topline growth and returns to shareholders
GWP (KES Bn)
Total Equity (KES Bn)Total Assets (KES Bn)
PBT and Dividends (KES Bn)
11.6
14.8
17.217.8 17.7
-
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
1.7
2.2 2.3
0.7
1.2
0.4 0.4 0.4
-
0.4
-
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
PBT Dividends
18
4. DIVIDEND2016 DIVIDEND PROPOSAL OF KES 1.70 PER SHARE (KES 359M)
9.8
7.87.0
3.1
5.4
1.5 1.7 1.7
0
1.7
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
EPS DPS
15%
22%24%
0%
31%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
PAYOUT RATIO (DPS/EPS)
Board recommendation to pay-out KES 1.70
per share in dividend for the financial year
2016. This is subject to shareholders’ approval
at the Annual General Meeting.
Pay-out ratio is higher than previous years but
is appropriate given that no dividend was
paid for the 2015 financial year.
Dividend recommendation based on:
o Our goal to continue providing a cash
return to our shareholders
o The need to retain enough resources in
the business to fund expected growth in
order to maximize both present and
future returns to our shareholders.
CONTENTS
1. Strategic Overview
2. Macroeconomic Review
3. Capital Markets Performance
4. Key Financial Highlights
5. Overview of Financial Performance
6. 2017 Outlook
7. Q&A
19
20
Joe MutuguGroup CFO
2.4
2.9
4.6
3.3 3.1
-
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
3.9
5.8
8.1 8.0
9.8
-
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
6.5
9.0
11.3 12.1
15.4
-
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
5. OVERVIEW OF FINANCIAL PERFORMANCEA uniform financial performance from underwriting and investment activities
NEP (KES Bn)
Investment Income (KES Bn)Net Claims Payable (KES Bn)
■ A decent financial performance
underpinned by
continued topline growth
better claims management
expense control and stable investment
income
21
■ A strong set of performance indicators
marked by a 76% recovery of PBT from
FY 2015.
■ For FY 2015, our PBT dipped due to:
single digit topline growth;
28.1% decline in investment income;
full year impact of finance costs.
■ In 2016, the recovery in PBT largely
driven by 15% topline growth and
expense management which has only
seen expenses increasing by an 8%
inflationary rate.
■ General Business Claims Loss Ratio
declined from 62% in 2015 to 59% in
2016.
22
5. OVERVIEW OF FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE – PBTWe have experienced a steady growth in PBT albeit with the dip in 2015 reflective of
business and investment conditions2016 PBT (KES Bn)
1.7
2.2 2.3
0.7
1.2
-
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
8.1
11.3
12.7
15.0
17.2
-
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
■ The General Business grew 14.8% in
FY2016 as a result of a sustained drive to
grow the book and expand the
product suite.
■ We review our General Business
performance using a division between
“P&C” which mainly covers Non-Health
business and “Health” which focuses on
medical business.
■ The Health Division recorded
substantial growth contributing to our
growth in market share for General
Insurance in Kenya.
23
5. OVERVIEW OF FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE – BUSINESS SEGMENTThe General Business accounts for 89% of our GWP
Total General Business GWP (KES Bn)
Total General Business Split
39.3%49.6%
60.7%50.4%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
2015 2016
Health P&C
24
5. OVERVIEW OF FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE – GENERAL BUSINESS PRODUCT LINES
Health
49.6%
Motor
23.2%
Fire
9.7%
Theft
3.6%
Others
3.1%Engineering
2.8%
Personal
Accident
2.6%
Workmen's
Compensation
2.2%
Liability
1.6%
Marine
1.5%
Health
39.3%
Motor
25.4%
Fire
10.8%
Engineering
9.0%
Theft
4.2%
Personal
Accident
2.7%
Others
2.4%
Workmen's
Compensatio…
Liability
2.0%
Marine
2.0%
2016 General Business GWP by Product Line2015 General Business GWP by Product Line
We are diversifying the portfolio mix in the General Business to reduce reliance on the
Motor Class
■ Reducing the contribution of the Motor business to GWP will enhance our underwriting
profits.
■ We are also driving growth in other product lines including Marine:
UAP OM has a very compelling Marine proposition for both retail and corporate
customers importing goods into Kenya.
■ Individual Life contribution to total life
gross written premium has increased
from 38% to 45%.
■ Current focus is on maintaining proper
business mix so as to increase group life
premiums which contribute to short
term profitability.
25
5. OVERVIEW OF FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE – BUSINESS SEGMENT The Life Business is growing its share of topline
0.4
0.7
1.2
0.7
1.0
-
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Total Life GWP (KES Bn)
0.5
0.7
0.9
1.2 1.2
-
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
0.9
1.4
2.1
1.9
2.2
-
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Ordinary Life (KES Bn)Group Life (KES Bn)
26
5. OVERVIEW OF FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE – INVESTMENT INCOMEProactive investment management has produced good yields that supplement our
underwriting
2016 Asset Allocation 2015 Asset Allocation
Investment
Property
52.7%
Government
Bonds
20.1%
Equity Investment
12.1%
Deposits with
Financial
Institutions
10.2%
Corporate Bonds
4.9%
Investment
Property
49.6%
Government
Bonds
27.1%
Deposits with
Financial
11.5%
Equity Investment
7.6%
Corporate Bonds
4.3%
■ Tactical asset allocation has enabled us to protect our investment returns, which in turn
shores up our total returns.
■ Our investment portfolio also includes iconic properties such as the UAP Old Mutual
Tower in Upper Hill, Nairobi, Kenya and UAP Equatoria Tower in Juba, South Sudan.
18.2
23.9
31.8
37.6
44.0
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
27
5. OVERVIEW OF FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE – BALANCE SHEETOur capital structure facilitates business growth and undergirds our returns
Total Investments (KES Bn)
24.7
33.1
42.1
48.7
57.0
-
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Total Equity (KES Bn)Total Assets (KES Bn)
11.6
14.8
17.217.8 17.7
-
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
■ We are adequately capitalized and in
compliance with regional regulatory
requirements.
■ Our balance sheet provides sufficient
funding that enables us to pursue
profitable growth.
■ Strong topline growth for 2016 with a
27.8% improvement in Net Earned
Premium for the core P&C and Health
businesses.
■ Steady investment income
combined with the above buoyed
operating results .
■ Profit after tax has declined by 8%
largely driven by significant tax credit
in 2015 not enjoyed in 2016, 2015 tax
credit was due to recognition of
higher deferred tax assets and due
to higher profit before tax
contribution from South Sudan.
28
5. OVERVIEW OF FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE – UAPHL OPERATING METRICSA decent financial performance underpinned by continued topline growth, better
claims management, expense control and stable investment income
(KES Bn)
UAPHL Financial Metrics 2016 2015 % Change
Gross written premium 19.39 16.87 15.0%
Gross earned premium 18.74 15.33 22.2%
Reinsurance ceded (3.31) (3.26) 1.4%
Net earned premium 15.43 12.07 27.8%
Investment income 3.11 3.31 (5.9%)
Commissions earned 0.69 1.03 (32.6%)
Other income 0.18 0.11 73.9%
Total Income 19.42 16.51 17.6%
Claims and policy owners' benefits payable (10.93) (9.20) 18.8%
Less: Amount recoverable from reinsurers 1.10 1.21 (9.5%)
Net claims payable (9.84) (7.99) 23.2%
Operating and other expenses (5.61) (5.20) 8.0%
Commissions payable (2.19) (2.05) 6.8%
Total expenses & commissions (7.81) (7.25) 7.7%
Finance costs (0.55) (0.58) (4.3%)
Profit before tax 1.22 0.69 76.1%
Income tax expense (0.39) 0.20 (294.1%)
Profit for the year 0.83 0.90 (7.9%)
CONTENTS
1. Strategic Overview
2. Macroeconomic Review
3. Capital Markets Performance
4. Key Financial Highlights
5. Overview of Financial Performance
6. 2017 Outlook
7. Q&A
29
30
7. 2017 OUTLOOK
MACRO-ECONOMIC
ENVIRONMENT
PRIORITY AREAS
• Regional growth strong (5 – 7%) compared to world GDP
growth expectations of ~2%.
• Headwinds expected due to upcoming Kenya elections
and the political situation in South Sudan.
• Insurance revenue growth will be boosted by enabling
legislation in respect of Marine Cover in our core Kenya
market.
• Integrated Financial Services: Enrichment of our value propositions and customer experience improvements
as we execute on our one-stop shop strategy for
financial services.
• Merger Completion: Finalisation of Mergers of our Life and Asset Management businesses in Kenya.
• Efficiency: Technology investments and prudent cost management to improve business cost-to-income
ratios.
• People: Talent is a key enabler of our business strategy.
CONTENTS
1. Strategic Overview
2. Macroeconomic Review
3. Capital Markets Performance
4. Key Financial Highlights
5. Overview of Financial Performance
6. 2017 Outlook
7. Q&A
31
32
Q & A
THANK YOUTHANK YOU
33