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NSF Town Hall January 7, 2016 Jim Ulvestad, Division Director, MPS/AST @UlvestadNSF Patricia Knezek, Deputy Division Director, AST

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Page 1: AAS Town Hall - faculty.virginia.edu · ~110 research awards/yr in AAG, plus MSIP, ATI, AAPF, REU, PAARE ... non-competitive 10 -yr award has been made to AURA for NSO (including

NSF Town HallJanuary 7, 2016

Jim Ulvestad, Division Director, MPS/AST@UlvestadNSF

Patricia Knezek, Deputy Division Director, AST

Page 2: AAS Town Hall - faculty.virginia.edu · ~110 research awards/yr in AAG, plus MSIP, ATI, AAPF, REU, PAARE ... non-competitive 10 -yr award has been made to AURA for NSO (including

High-Level Summary

01/07/2016 2

Outstanding science opportunities offered/developed ALMA, EVLA, Dark Energy Camera, GPI, DKIST, LSST ~110 research awards/yr in AAG, plus MSIP, ATI, AAPF, REU, PAARE Interagency: DES, DESI, NN-EXPLORE (plus LSST, of course) Beyond AST budget, NSF spent over $100 million on construction of

AST facilities in FY 2015

No expectation for significant budget increases this decade Partnerships with NASA and DOE have strengthened Data-enabled science continues to grow in importance Challenges are many, but our community continues to

make progress at the science frontiers

NSF-AAS-TownHall

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Outline

Recent Highlights Budget Status and Outlook Decadal Survey Status Portfolio Review Status Summary

01/07/2016 3NSF-AAS-TownHall

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Recent Highlights

01/07/2016 4NSF-AAS-TownHall

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Atacama Large Millimeter/Submm Array (ALMA) Construction of ALMA was officially

completed in 2015. ALMA is a joint project of North

America (led by NSF), the European Southern Observatory, and East Asia, with a total construction cost of $1.4 billion.

At upper right, an optical image of the merging “Antennae” galaxies is shown, progressively zoomed into a compact but intense source of millimeter radiation imaged with ALMA. This massive, dense, star-free cloud may be the first known example of a globular star cluster about to be born. Credit: B. Saxton (NRAO/AUI/NSF); Images from NASA/ESA

Hubble, B. Whitmore (STScI); K Johnson (U.Va.); ALMA (NRAO/ESO/NAOJ). (ApJ, 2015, 806, 35)

01/07/2016 5NSF-AAS-TownHall

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Gemini: GPI Results

The image to the right shows the exoplanet 51 Eridani b (bottom of frame); this object is the most similar to our Solar System’s gas giants of any known exoplanet (Macintosh et al., Science, August 13, 2015).

Credit: Marois, Ingraham, & GPI Team

The images to the left show the T Tauri star TW Hya, imaged polarimetrically at J and K bands (intensities in right-hand panels scaled by r2), illustrating a 50% dimunition in intensity at r~23 AU. Modeling indicates at least one 0.2MJ planet (Rapson et al. 2015, ApJL, 815, L26)

Credit: J. Rameau (UdeM) and C. Marois (NRC Herzberg)

01/07/2016 6NSF-AAS-TownHall

Credit: Gemini Observatory/AURA; Valerie Rapson, RIT)

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Next Generation Fornax Survey

Dark Energy Camera on the CTIO 4-m telescope reveals numerous “new” (red circles in the 3-deg2

field at right) dwarf galaxies in the Fornax cluster (Muñoz et al. 2015, ApJL, 813, L15)

Total of 30 deg2 being studied

Possible solution to the “missing” dwarf galaxies predicted by cosmological simulations

01/07/2016 7NSF-AAS-TownHall

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Daniel K. Inouye Solar Telescope Excellent construction progress, with some delays on

site work because of poor weather in Hawaii Scheduled for completion in 2019

Data rate ≈ LSST data rate, but three years earlier!

01/07/2016 8NSF-AAS-TownHall

Telescope enclosure assembly underway at the DKIST site on Haleakala, Maui, HI, November2015. Credit: DKIST project web camera.

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Management Competitions NOAO competition concluded. AURA selected. New 5-yr

cooperative agreement began on October 1, 2015 NRAO competition concluded. AUI selected. New 10-yr cooperative

agreement to begin on October 1, 2016 ALMA + VLA + Central Development Laboratory + associated administration

Gemini competition nearing completion, for 6-yr cooperative agreement to begin on January 1, 2017

Also, non-competitive 10-yr award has been made to AURA for NSO (including DKIST), and will run through September 30, 2024

01/07/2016 9NSF-AAS-TownHall

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AST Scientific Staff Changes Since Jan. 2015

Retirements: Craig Foltz: (DKIST/NSO); Gary Schmidt (Gemini); Eric Bloemhof (Arecibo/ATI)

Departures: Dana Lehr: (NRAO, to AURA); Joan Schmelz (IPA, AAPF, to Arecibo); Dan Evans (IPA, ESP + AAG + Gemini, to NASA); Maria Womack (AAG PLA, end of IPA); Sandra Cruz-Pol (Spectrum Management, end of VSEE)

Arrive/Depart: Claire Cramer (Gemini, detail from NIST); Greg Mack (MSIP, AAAS FellowExpertAPS)

Arrivals: Chris Davis (Gemini, from Liverpool); Joan Wrobel (IPA, CAREER and AAG); Harshal Gupta (2-yr appt, AAPF); Faith Vilas (VSEE, AAG PLA); Tom Wilson (VSEE, Spectrum Management); Hugh Van Horn (Fed Temp, arrives January 10, AAG); Ed Ajhar (arrives late January, LSST and DKIST)

01/07/2016 10NSF-AAS-TownHall

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Division of Astronomical Sciences (AST)Office of the Division Director

Individual Investigator Programs and Astronomy & Astrophysics Research Grants

Facilities, Mid-Scale, & MREFC Projects

Administration

Philip PuxleyNational Radio AstronomyObservatory/ALMA

David BoboltzNational Solar Observatory

Ralph GaumeAdvanced Technologies & Instrumentation

Vernon PankoninNational Optical Astronomy Observatory

David BoboltzDaniel K. Inouye Solar Telescope

James UlvestadDivision Director

Vernon PankoninSenior Advisor

Donna O’Malley Operations Specialist

Elizabeth Pentecost Project Administrator

Diana PhanProgram Analyst

Matthew ViauProgram Specialist

Craig McClureProgram Support Manager

Richard BarvainisMid-ScaleInnovations Program

James NeffIIP Coordinator;Stellar Astronomy & Astrophysics

Joan WrobelCAREER;

ExtragalacticAstronomy & Cosmology

Glen LangstonGalactic Astronomy

Christopher DavisGeminiObservatory

Harshal GuptaAstronomy & Astrophysics Postdoctoral Fellowships

Richard Barvainis Extragalactic Astronomy &Cosmology

Glen LangstonEnhancing Access to the Radio Spectrum

James NeffEducation & SpecialPrograms(REU, PAARE)

Patricia KnezekDeputy DivisionDirector

David BoboltzTheoretical and Computational Astrophysics Networks

VacantProgram Assistant

Nigel SharpLarge Synoptic Survey Telescope

Faith VilasPlanetary Astronomy

Mangala SharmaElectromagnetic Spectrum Management

ESM

Ralph GaumeAreciboObservatory

Vacant StudentTrainee –Administrative

Gregory MackExpert

Major ResearchInstrumentation

01/07/2016 NSF-AAS-TownHall 11

Tom WilsonElectromagnetic Spectrum Management

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IPA Program Officers Needed

AST has 2-3 openings for rotators under Intergovernmental Personnel Act (IPA), with a new ad soon to be posted Typically 2-3 years at NSF, while maintaining

employment status at home institution Per diem of $22,500; up to 50 days of research time

IPAs bring a different and important university perspective to the federal government, and can help translate federal requirements to the scientific community As a default, IPAs return to their home institutions Some come back to the federal government or leverage

their experience for other positions At present, AST has only two IPAs on staff Potential candidates urgently needed!

01/07/2016 12NSF-AAS-TownHall

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Budget Status and Outlook

01/07/2016 13NSF-AAS-TownHall

Page 14: AAS Town Hall - faculty.virginia.edu · ~110 research awards/yr in AAG, plus MSIP, ATI, AAPF, REU, PAARE ... non-competitive 10 -yr award has been made to AURA for NSO (including

NWNH Budget vs. Actual AST Budget

01/07/2016 14

0

100

200

300

400

$M

ForecastA2010ScenAScenB

FY16Req.

FY10 FY13 FY16 FY19

~NSF input to A2010

NSF-AAS-TownHall

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FY 2016 Budget Status Omnibus funding bill for FY 2016 passed in December

Since NSF received less than the President’s Request Budget, MPS and AST are unlikely to receive more!

NSF Current Plan for FY 2016 is in preparation for submission to Congress, and subsequent approval

FY 2017 President’s Request will be out in early February, and probably will contain FY 2016 Estimated Budget

01/07/2016 15

$M FY14 Actual

FY15 Actual

FY16 Request

FY16 Omnibus

NSF Total 7131 7344 7724 7464

NSF R&RA 5775 5934 6186 6034

MPS 1268 1337 1366 ??

AST 238.4 244.2 246.5 ??

MREFC 200.0 200.8 200.3 200.3

NSF-AAS-TownHall

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AST Budget Breakdown, 1995-2016

01/07/2016 16

Facility fraction was 63%-65% in late 1990s, decreased to 53% in 2008, then rose back to 60% in FY 2016 request

1995 2008 2016 (req.)

NSF-AAS-TownHall

20102000 20050

50

100

150

200

250

$M

Small Awards

Midscale

Faciliites

2009 ARRA

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Status of Decadal Survey Response, and

Follow-on Reports

01/07/2016 17NSF-AAS-TownHall

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High-Level Look at the Decade So Far

01/07/2016 18

NSF has successfully started the two highest priority “Large Ground-Based Projects” from New Worlds, New Horizons, Large Synoptic Survey Telescope: under construction in Chile Mid-Scale Innovations Program: full proposals invited from second

solicitation Plenary talks at this meeting on two projects awarded in the

first MSIP round (Event Horizon Telescope; Zwicky Transient Facility)

Realized budgets have precluded additional large actions Complete summary of NSF response to NWNH is in a Dear

Colleague Letter (DCL), NSF 15-044, available at

http://www.nsf.gov/publications/pub_summ.jsp?ods_key=nsf15044NSF-AAS-TownHall

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Large Synoptic Survey Telescope

01/07/2016 19

NSF construction award made in August 2014 Strong NSF/DOE partnership in construction and operations NRC committee studied OIR system in LSST era (more later)

NSF-AAS-TownHall

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AAG Funding History, 1990-2015

01/07/2016 20

16.2 17.0 18.2 17.1 20.2 18.6 17.5 19.3 19.7 18.8 20.9 22.729.4 32.4 30.7

34.038.9 41.5 42.1

79.6

49.4 48.144.5 42.4 43.7

48.4

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

AAG Budget, $M

50.448.0

45.1

29.5

45.1

29.324.9

31.227.6 26.7

31.234.3

38.1 36.8

28.8 28.524.4 23.9

20.7

36.3

22.419.9

14.8 15.4 16.7 18.0

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Proposal Success Rate, %

NSF-AAS-TownHall

Realized budgets have prevented the increase to ~$54M recommended in NWNH

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Mid-Decadal Survey Statement of Task

01/07/2016 21

Given funding circumstances that are substantially below those described in NWNH, the committee’s review will describe: The most significant scientific discoveries, technical advances, and

relevant programmatic changes in astronomy and astrophysics since NWNH;

How well the Agencies’ programs address the strategies, goals, and priorities outlined in NWNH and other NRC reports;

Progress toward realizing these strategies, goals, and priorities; and

Any actions that could be taken to maximize the science return of the Agencies’ programs.

Have NSF responses to funding realities (e.g., AST Portfolio Review, funding and programmatic choices) been consistent with the spirit of NWNH?

NSF-AAS-TownHall

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Mid-Decadal Survey Status Committee chaired by Jackie Hewitt, MIT Three face-to-face meetings October 8-10; December 12-14; January 11-13

Report expected in spring 2016

Note: NSF presentation to October 8-10 meeting, available on either AST or NRC web sites, includes a comprehensive summary of AST responses to all NWNH recommendations

01/07/2016 22NSF-AAS-TownHall

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Portfolio Review Status

01/07/2016 23NSF-AAS-TownHall

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Next “Senior Review”

01/07/2016 24

NWNH, p. 32:

“NSF-Astronomy should complete its next senior review before the mid-decade independent review that is recommended elsewhere in this report, so as to determine which, if any, facilities NSF-AST should cease to support in order to release funds for (1) the construction and ongoing operation of new telescopes and instruments and (2) the science analysis needed to capitalize on the results from existing and future facilities.”

This became the AST Portfolio Review (PR)

NSF-AAS-TownHall

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Portfolio Review Purpose & Outcome

01/07/2016 25

Portfolio Review Committee (PRC) was charged to recommend a balanced program, in realistic funding scenarios, that did the best job of responding to NWNH science program Recommendations resulted in a balance among

facilities, mid-scale programs, and grants that stayed similar to the balance in 2010

Why did PRC recommend divesting facilities, which reduces community access to research tools? Need to retain balance between community research tools

(large and mid-scale facilities) and direct research funding (mid-scale experiments and individual investigator awards) in order to best sustain the astronomical enterprise

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Divestment Activities

01/07/2016 26

Portfolio review identified facilities recommended for divestment from AST budget, or for future consideration

NSF (through a contractor) is currently concluding engineering studies and baseline environmental surveys for a number of telescopes and observatories Goals: Identify key issues, bound costs of different alternatives,

and provide NSF information needed to assess viability of options

Generic alternatives New partnership arrangements (preferred, but complicated) Conversion to new mission, including scope reductions Mothballing Decommissioning

Real progress being made on partnerships, with ongoing negotiations in many cases

NSF-AAS-TownHall

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AST Portfolio Scenarios from FY 2013

01/07/2016 27

Chart above shows the maximum impact of divestment (or non-divestment) within a likely budget scenario

With Max.Divestment

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

AST $M

Fiscal Year

Individual Investigator+ Mid-scaleDKIST

ALMA

Pre-2010 Facilities

Facility Budget Reductions, FY10-FY13

LSST enters here

FY10 FY13 FY16 FY19

Assuming No Divestment

FY19FY17

NSF-AAS-TownHall

Fac. Level in FY 2016 Request

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What Comes Next

01/07/2016 28

After receiving engineering reports, NSF will identify viable options for evolution of different facilities/telescopes If new partner options are in place for a facility, development of

partner agreements may be the next step Options such as scope reductions require study of alternatives,

under National Environmental Policy Act Formal and open process, including consultation of stakeholders and

opportunity for comment/input “No-action” alternative (i.e., continue operations as in the past) is always an

alternative that must be considered

Following conclusion of formal alternative consideration, NSF will select a preferred alternative for each facility and then seek to execute that alternative

NSF-AAS-TownHall

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Facility Futures

01/07/2016 29

Telescope Status

KPNO 2.1m Caltech-led consortium (Robo-AO) operating for FY 2016-2018

Mayall 4m Slated for DESI; bridge from NSF; NSF/DOE MOU in place

WIYN 3.5m NOAO share to NASA-NSF Exoplanet Observational Research Program; NSF/NASA MOU in place for transition

GBT Engineering study under way; separation from NRAO in FY 2017

VLBA Engineering study under way; separation from NRAO in FY 2017

McMath-Pierce Engineering study; university-led consortium seeking funding

GONG/SOLIS SOLIS is off Kitt Peak; GONG refurbishment; MOU with NOAA in draft form

Dunn Solar Tel. Engineering study under way; partner discussions in progress

Arecibo Engineering study under way; issued Dear Colleague Letter seeking viable concepts for future operations (deadline January 15, 2016)

SOAR Post-2020 status to be reviewed

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OIR System Study

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NRC/CAA OIR System Study “A Strategy to Optimize the U.S. Optical and Infrared

System in the Era of the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST)”

Recommended by AAAC in 2013 Committee chaired by Debra Elmegreen, Vassar College Three face-to-face meetings in 2014 July 31/August 1; October 12-13; December 2-3

Report delivered in April 2015 NSF initial response in Dear Colleague Letter NSF 15-115,

issued in August 2015 Extensive discussions and planning ongoing, with both

NOAO and LSST

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OIR System Recommendations-1 R1: Direct NOAO to administer telescope-time exchange

system Under discussion with NOAO; may need injection of funds First, need data on who wants to offer time in marketplace This is the most challenging recommendation

R2: NOAO to lead community-wide planning process and facilitate System organizing committee. NSF would solicit proposals to meet prioritized capabilities. A natural role for NOAO Action: See response to R3 below

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OIR System Recommendations-2 R3: Wide-field highly multiplexed spectroscopic

capability Community working group (R2) needed to define highest priority

science case and instrument requirements. Action: NSF wrote to NOAO and LSST in August asking them to

work jointly to develop specific requirements for R3 and R4 Action: Kavli Institute is supporting a workshop in May 2016 to

move toward development of specific instrument requirements. Input process for this workshop is under way

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OIR System Recommendations-2 R4a: Support development of event brokers for LSST

Action: NSF is funding several projects along these lines Zwicky Transient Facility through MSIP (see plenary talk) INSPIRE grant: Joint Arizona-NOAO

Special instance of the more global issue of development of Level 3 data products for LSST

R4b: Position Gemini-S for faint object spectroscopy early in era of LSST operations Gen 4#3 instrument for Gemini may meet this recommendation Action: Feasibility studies for Gen 4#3 completed, with

summaries reported out at Gemini science meeting in June 2015 Action: Gemini Request for Proposals under construction, for

release in 2016

01/07/2016 34NSF-AAS-TownHall

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OIR System Recommendations-3 R4c: Ensure that OIR system time can be allocated for

faint transient observations prioritized by LSST event broker Action: NSF is in discussion with Gemini partners and NOAO (see

R4D below)

R4d: Enhance coordination among federal telescopes in Southern Hemisphere to optimize LSST follow-up Action: NSF has told AURA that the first LSST operations proposal

must take advantage of synergies with NOAO (scientific and operational); ongoing discussions with LSST, NOAO, AURA, DOE

Action: Gemini (Gemini Board + Observatory) is presently developing a Strategic Science Vision that will incorporate the changed landscape of OIR telescopes in the post-2020 period

NSF believes that “follow-up” should mean coordination for a range of studies, not just for transient sources

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OIR System Recommendations-4 R5: Plan for an investment in one or both Giant

Segmented Mirror Telescopes Action: MSIP competition is open to instrument proposals

R6: Continue to invest in development of critical technologies, including Adaptive Optics and precision Radial Velocities Action: Precision RV is a goal of NN-EXPLORE, with concepts for

Extreme Precision Doppler Spectrometer now under evaluation by NASA, with NOAO and NSF input

R7: Coordinated suite of schools, workshops, and training networks for training in instrumentation, software, and data analysis AST believes this is not sufficient for maintaining and enhancing

instrumentation and data science expertise, and will continue to consider possibilities

01/07/2016 36NSF-AAS-TownHall

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High-Level Summary

01/07/2016 37

Outstanding science opportunities offered/developed ALMA, EVLA, Dark Energy Camera, GPI, DKIST, LSST ~110 research awards/yr in AAG, plus MSIP, ATI, AAPF, REU, PAARE Interagency: DES, DESI, NN-EXPLORE (plus LSST, of course) Beyond AST budget, NSF spent over $100 million on construction of

AST facilities in FY 2015

No expectation for significant budget increases this decade Partnerships with NASA and DOE have strengthened Data-enabled science continues to grow in importance Challenges are many, but our community continues to

make progress at the science frontiers

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Questions?

01/07/2016 38NSF-AAS-TownHall