Upload
others
View
0
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
www.elsevier.com/locate/tecto
Tectonophysics 412 (
A source study of the 6 July 2003 (Mw 5.7) earthquake sequence in
the Gulf of Saros (Northern Aegean Sea): Seismological evidence for
the western continuation of the Ganos fault
Hayrullah Karabulut a, Zafeiria Roumelioti b, Christoforos Benetatos b,
Ahu Komec Mutlu a, Serdar Ozalaybey c, Mustafa Aktar a, Anastasia Kiratzi b,*
a Bogazici University, Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, Istanbul, Turkeyb Department of Geophysics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54124 Thessaloniki, Greece
c TUBITAK, Marmara Research Center, Earth and Marine Sciences Research Institute, Kocaeli, Turkey
Received 31 January 2005; received in revised form 12 September 2005; accepted 28 September 2005
Available online 21 November 2005
Abstract
The July 2003 sequence in the Gulf of Saros (Northeastern Aegean Sea) is investigated, in terms of accurate event locations and
source properties of the largest events. The distribution of epicenters shows the activation of a 25-km long zone, which extends in
depth between 9 and 20 km. The major slip patch of the 6 July 2003 Mw 5.7 mainshock is confined in a small area (~45 km2),
which coincides with the deeper (12–20 km) part of the activated zone. The epicenters of the sequence follow the northern margin
of the Saros depression. This observation supports recent studies, according to which the continuation of the Ganos fault in the Gulf
of Saros does not coincide with the fault along the northern coast of the Gelibolu peninsula, but it is located at the northern
boundary of the Saros depression. This is further supported by the fact that the focal mechanisms of the mainshock and of the
largest aftershocks of the 2003 sequence imply almost pure dextral strike-slip faulting, whereas the fault bounding the Gulf of Saros
to the south appears as a normal fault on seismic sections. Thus, we infer that the principle deformation zone consists of a major
strike-slip fault, which lies close to the northern margin of the Saros depression and this fault could be regarded as the continuation
of the northern branch of the North Anatolian Fault into the Saros Gulf and North Aegean Trough as suggested by regional tectonic
models. The northeastern extent of the 2003 sequence marks the western termination (at ~26.38 E) of a long-term seismic
quiescence observed in the period following the 1912 Ganos earthquake, which may be associated with the extend of the rupture of
the particular earthquake.
D 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Saros Gulf; Ganos earthquake; Focal mechanisms; Slip distribution; Aegean Sea
1. Introduction
In July 2003, a sequence of small to moderate
magnitude earthquakes occurred on the Gulf of Saros,
0040-1951/$ - see front matter D 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.tecto.2005.09.009
* Corresponding author. Tel.: +30 2310 998486.
E-mail address: [email protected] (A. Kiratzi).
close to the Greek–Turkish borders in Northeastern
Aegean Sea. An isolated event of Mw 4.0 occurred on
June 10, while the sequence began more in earnest on
July 5 and continued for a period of about one month.
The sequence included at least eleven events of mag-
nitude Mw 4.0 and larger, along with several smaller
ones. Two moderate earthquakes, Mw 5.7 at 19:10:28.0
UTC on July 6 and Mw 5.3 at 20:10:15.6 on the same
2006) 195–216
H. Karabulut et al. / Tectonophysics 412 (2006) 195–216196
day, were the strongest, in terms of magnitude, events
of the sequence. Although no damage was reported,
these earthquakes were strongly felt in wide parts of the
Greek and Turkish territories and caused panic to the
populations around the epicentral area.
The Saros Gulf is an E–W trending neotectonic
basinal structure located at the northeastern part of the
Aegean Sea, where the forces controlling the tectonic
escape of the Anatolian plate toward SW interact with
the back-arc, N–S extension of the Aegean Sea crust.
The wedge-shaped Saros Gulf extends parallel to the
coasts of the Thrace Shelf to the north and the Gelibolu
peninsula to the south (Fig. 1) and widens and deepens
toward WSW, where it becomes the easternmost part of
the North Aegean Trough.
A prevailing seismotectonic structure in this region
is the Ganos Fault (Fig. 1), which is known to have
ruptured during the 1912 catastrophic (Mw 7.4) Mur-
efte–Sarkoy earthquake (Ambraseys and Finkel, 1987,
1991; Ambraseys, 1990; Papazachos and Papazachou,
1997; Armijo et al., 2005), herein referred to as the
Ganos earthquake. Although the recent work of Armijo
et al. (2005) sheds light into the exact geometry and
continuation of the Ganos fault, the corresponding fea-
tures of its western termination, into the Gulf of Saros,
are poorly known. So far, most authors consider the
Fig. 1. Important features of the general geodynamic setting of the North Ae
correspond to NOA and squares to KOERI stations) whose waveforms were
the on land Ganos fault segment of the NAF are also shown.
southern margin of the Saros depression as the most
active one and consequently they identify it with the
main westward continuation of the Ganos fault in the
Gulf of Saros (Tuysuz et al., 1998; Okay et al., 1999;
SaatcVlar et al., 1999; Kurt et al., 2000), although such a
consideration is not adequately justified. Actually, the
most recent studies in the area (YaltVrak et al., 1998,
2000a,b; YaltVrak and Alpar, 2002; SakVnc et al., 1999)
discredit upon this theory and place the continuation of
the Ganos fault closer to the northern margin of the
trough.
The aim of this paper is to extract accurate informa-
tion from the high-quality seismological data of the
2003 Saros earthquake sequence to shed light into the
debating issue of the continuation of the Ganos fault in
the Gulf of Saros. To achieve this goal, we locate the
aftershock sequence by combining waveform and para-
metric data from Greek and Turkish seismological net-
works, determine the source parameters of the large
events of the sequence by applying a time-domain
moment tensor inversion technique (Pasyanos et al.,
1996; Dreger, 2002) and finally investigate the rupture
process of the mainshock (July 6, 2003, Mw 5.7) in
terms of its slip distribution through a source time
functions (STF) inversion procedure. We show that
the aftershock distribution of the 6 July 2003 sequence
gean Sea area and locations of the broadband stations (black triangles
used here. The location of the largest event of the 2003 sequence and
Fig. 2. One-dimensional velocity model used to locate the earthquakes
of the 2003 sequence.
H. Karabulut et al. / Tectonophysics 412 (2006) 195–216 197
and its focal mechanisms clearly indicate that the north-
ern margin of the Saros depression is presently the most
active one.
2. Earthquake location
Broadband data for selected events were available
from the Geodynamic Institute of the National Ob-
servatory of Athens (NOA) in Greece and the Mar-
mara Research Center (MRC) of the Scientific and
Technical Research Council of Turkey (TUBITAK)
and the Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Re-
search Institute (KOERI) in Turkey (Table 1). Addi-
tional phase data were obtained from short-period
stations of the Department of Geophysics of the
Aristotle University of Thessaloniki (GLUT) in
Greece and KOERI.
We selected more than 130 events that were
recorded by at least three stations during the two-
month period following the mainshock. Arrival times
of both P and S phases were obtained for most of the
recording stations and were passed to the VELEST
inversion code (Kissling et al., 1994) to simultaneous-
ly invert for a one-dimensional velocity model and
station delays. The resulting velocity model (Fig. 2)
and station delays were then used in the HYPO71
code (Lee and Lahr, 1975) to accurately locate the
earthquakes of the sequence. In total, 101 events
(Appendix A), with average root mean square (rms)
travel-time residuals b0.12 s, were selected for the
final analysis (i.e. only well located events were
taken into account in subsequent steps of the analy-
Table 1
Information on the broadband stations, whose records were used in the analysis
Code Lat (8N) Lon (8E) Elev (m) Location Sensor Operating institute
CEV 40.3692 26.5831 118 Cevizli Gelibolu Peninsula L4-1Hz TUBITAK
EDR 41.5082 26.4462 209 Edirne CMG40T KOERI
ISK 41.0394 29.0355 132 Istanbul, Kandilli CMG3T KOERI
LIA 39.9000 25.1800 60 Limnos Isl. CMG40T/30 NOA
MFT 40.7900 27.3000 800 Murefte CMG40T KOERI
MRM 40.3619 27.3574 741 Marmara Island CMG40T KOERI
NEO 39.3100 23.2200 500 Neochori, Volos LE3D/20 NOA
NVR 41.3500 23.8600 595 Nevrokopi CMG40T/30 NOA
PLG 40.3740 23.4460 580 Poligiros, Chalkidiki Le3D/20 NOA
PRK 39.2460 26.2720 100 Ag. Paraskevi, Lesvos Isl. Le3D/20 NOA
RDO 41.1460 25.5380 100 Gratini, Rhodopi Le3D/20 NOA
SGT 40.7670 27.1081 310 Saglamtas, Tekirdag CMG40T TUBITAK
TRN 40.5061 27.7775 50 Erdek, BalVkesir CMG40T TUBITAK
YLV 40.3400 29.2234 829 Yalova CMG40T KOERI
TUBITAK = Scientific and Technical Research Council (Turkey).
KOERI = Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute (Turkey).
NOA = National Observatory of Athens, Geodynamic Institute (Greece).
sis). The average horizontal and vertical uncertainties
of the selected events are less than 2.0 and 3.0 km,
respectively. Relocation of these events, using the
double-differences algorithm of Waldhauser and Ells-
worth (2000), did not result in significant changes of
the original locations.
From the distribution of the epicenters (Fig. 3) we
observe that the epicenters are aligned mainly along the
deep trough that forms the axis of the Saros Gulf. The
along strike dimension of the activated zone (Fig. 3a) is
large (~25 km) compared to what is expected from the
H. Karabulut et al. / Tectonophysics 412 (2006) 195–216198
magnitude of the largest event of the sequence (6 July
2003, 20:10 UTM; Mw 5.7). We are tempted to observe
two distinct earthquake clusters in Fig. 3, which oper-
ated simultaneously. The eastern cluster is inherently
related to the largest event of the sequence whereas in
the western cluster the largest recorded event has Mw
Fig. 4. Focal mechanisms of the July 2003 Saros sequence as determined from moment tensor inversion, using regional broadband waveforms.
Event numbers are the same as in Table 2. Note the occurrence of the two major foreshocks (events 1 and 2) at the two ends of the rupture area. The
focal mechanism of a late aftershock (event 12; 15 July 2004, Mw 5.1), as well as the focal mechanism (Taymaz et al., 1991) of the 27 March 1975
(Mw 6.1) earthquake are also depicted. The parameters of the 12 moment tensor solutions are given in Appendix B.
H. Karabulut et al. / Tectonophysics 412 (2006) 195–216 199
4.7. In this cluster a late aftershock Mw 5.1 occurred
one year after, in 2004. In any case, the uncertainties of
the locations and the small spatial separation of the two
clusters do not permit any positive conclusions. No
seismic activity is observed on the northern shelf of
the Saros Gulf during the July 2003 earthquake se-
quence. Relatively diffused seismicity is observed on
the southern part of the depression, as well. The north–
south structural asymmetry of the Saros depression,
characterized by a stable northern margin and a distrib-
uted deformation zone toward the south, could be
compared to the asymmetric basin structures observed
in the Sea of Marmara (Le Pichon et al., 2001). Most
epicenters are concentrated close to the northern margin
of the depression, indicating that this branch of the
structure is the one that was activated during this recent
sequence.
Fig. 3. Distribution of epicenters (101 accurately located events of Appe
distribution; light shade color corresponds to the two largest events of the
occurrence of the largest event and dark shade color to the remaining e
perpendicular to the inferred fault strike, c) WSW–ENE cross-section (alon
distribution of regional seismicity (1970–2003, NEIC Catalog) shown for com
with the dashed ellipse). The 2003 earthquake sequence is also plotted on t
Vertical cross-sections (Fig. 3b, c) show that most
of the foci are concentrated at depths between 9 and
20 km. The computation of depths was based on an
extensive use of 3-component stations, which allowed
accurate S-wave arrivals selection. Similarities of
waveforms were taken into account to have consistent
picks. Although in some cases the available 3-com-
ponent stations were limited in number and provided
relatively poor azimuthal coverage of the activated
area, the consideration of low values for the residual
and the small error ellipses, assures the accuracy of
the depth solutions of the selected events. The ma-
jority of the hypocenters are concentrated in a narrow
zone, delineating the activated fault zone, which
appears to be pure vertical. Fig. 3d shows the distri-
bution of the regional seismicity in the studied area
for comparison purposes. A striking feature is the
ndix A) of the 2003 Saros Gulf earthquake sequence: a) horizontal
sequence, medium shade color to the events of the first 3 h after the
vents, b) three-dimensional view of the hypocenters in a direction
g line AB in Fig. 3a) of the accurately located earthquake sources, d)
parison (note the ~100 km seismic gap along the Ganos fault, marked
op of regional seismicity and in lighter shade color.
H. Karabulut et al. / Tectonophysics 412 (2006) 195–216200
quiescence along the Ganos fault, which is later
discussed.
3. Focal mechanisms
3.1. Method applied
We determined earthquake focal mechanisms of the
Saros sequence from regional broadband seismograms,
using the moment tensor inversion technique of Dreger
and Helmberger (1990, 1991, 1993). This approach
uses synthetic Green’s functions in the inversion of
observed three-component full-waveform broadband
data and is capable of revealing the seismic moment
tensor of earthquakes of magnitudes as low as Mw 3.5
(Pasyanos et al., 1996). In the present work, Green’s
functions were calculated using the frequency-wave
number integration code (FKRPROG) developed by
Saikia (1994). For a detailed description of the method
and the analysis procedure, the reader is referred to the
work of Pasyanos et al. (1996) and Dreger (2002).
3.2. Distribution of focal mechanisms
Digital broadband waveforms obtained from NOA
and KOERI stations were used for the inversion. NOA
stations are equipped with Lennartz (LE-3D/20s) or
Guralp (CMG40T/30) sensors, whereas Kandilli sta-
tions are equipped with Guralp (CMG40T and
CMG3T) seismometers. Prior to the inversion, raw
data were cut into segments of at least 5-min duration,
band-pass filtered between 0.05–0.08 Hz and re-sam-
pled at 1 s. The velocity model used for the calculation
of the Green’s functions is the one proposed by
Novotny et al. (2001). Although this model is not as
Table 2
Parameters of the focal mechanisms obtained from moment tensor inversio
No Year Month Day Time Latitude
8NLongitude
8EDepth
km
Magnitude
Mw
1 2003 06 10 01:01:51.8 40.240 25.640 14 4.0
2 2003 07 05 21:58:30.0 40.426 26.079 16 4.3
3 2003 07 06 19:10:28.0 40.427 26.103 18 5.7
4 2003 07 06 19:39:50.7 40.411 25.996 19 4.2
5 2003 07 06 20:10:15.6 40.439 26.108 16 5.3
6 2003 07 06 20:48:53.3 40.406 26.006 20 4.7
7 2003 07 09 22:01:57.5 40.385 25.913 13 3.8
8 2003 07 09 22:08:49.5 40.386 25.902 12 4.1
9 2003 07 09 22:31:40.8 40.388 25.912 16 4.7
10 2003 07 13 06:32:08.1 40.389 25.923 14 4.0
11 2003 07 18 05:44:07.4 40.394 25.962 14 3.8
12 2004 07 15 12:02:38.5 40.373 25.901 13 5.1
The parameters of the strongest event of the sequence are marked in bold.
detailed as the one computed by the VELEST code in
the frame of the present work (see Section 2) it has been
previously used for various paths in the Aegean Sea
area (Benetatos et al., 2002; Zahradnik, 2002) and has
been proven adequate to explain the low frequency
content (0.05–0.08 Hz) of the recorded broadband
waveforms. We performed the inversion for depths
ranging from 6 to 25 km, with a 2-km increment.
The quality (good signal-to-noise ratio) and amount
of available data allowed the computation of 12 focal
mechanisms corresponding to two foreshocks, the
mainshock and 9 aftershocks. The focal spheres are
shown in Fig. 4, while the parameters of the moment
tensors are listed in Table 2. The results of the moment
tensor inversion for the 12 earthquakes are also pre-
sented in detail in Appendix 2.
These focal mechanisms show pure right-lateral
strike-slip faulting that is strongly associated with the
strike-slip motions characterizing the stress regimes of
the westernmost part of the NAF zone (Kiratzi, 2002).
The orientation of the fault planes of the studied earth-
quakes is ENE–WSW, which is in alignment with the
long axis of the basin bathymetry.
4. Slip distribution
4.1. Method used
The slip distribution of the Mw 5.7, July 6, 2003
earthquake in the Gulf of Saros was investigated by
combining the empirical Green’s function method
(Hartzell, 1978) with the earthquake source inversion
method introduced by Mori and Hartzell (1990) and
later extended by Dreger (1994) to be applicable at
regional distances. The combined methods are briefly
n using regional broadband waveforms
Strike1
(8)Dip1
(8)Rake1
(8)Strike2
(8)Dip2
(8)Rake2
(8)P az
(8)P dip
(8)T az
(8)T dip
(8)
51 81 152 146 62 10 101 13 5 26
78 73 171 171 81 17 304 6 35 19
257 89 �179 167 89 �1 122 1 212 0
89 53 173 183 84 37 310 21 53 30
253 89 175 343 85 1 298 3 208 4
252 85 �178 162 88 �5 117 5 207 2
74 89 �173 344 83 �1 299 6 209 4
75 87 �174 345 84 �3 300 6 210 2
71 78 �178 341 88 �12 295 10 27 7
69 83 165 161 75 7 116 6 24 16
244 87 �176 154 86 �3 109 5 19 1
74 82 178 164 88 8 299 4 29 7
H. Karabulut et al. / Tectonophysics 412 (2006) 195–216 201
described in the following paragraphs; readers are re-
ferred to the aforementioned papers (and references
therein) for a more detailed description.
In the frequency domain and in the case of a point
source, the far-field wave displacement, U(x)
recorded at distance r and azimuth / can be repre-
sented by:
U xð Þ ¼ MM xð ÞdG x; r;/ð ÞdRdI xð Þ ð1Þ
where M is the moment rate function (STF) of the
event, G is the Green’s function response of the
medium along the wave path, which includes the
effects of attenuation and geometrical spreading, R
is the radiation pattern factor and I is the response
of the recording instrument. In order to retrieve the
STFs (required for retrieving the slip distribution
pattern of the examined earthquake) from the dis-
placement records one has to remove the effects of
the propagation path and the recording instrument. To
accomplish this we deconvolved the waveforms of a
nearby smaller event with similar focal mechanism,
herein referred to as an empirical Green’s function
(eGf). In this approach the small event is assumed to
be a point source both in time and space and to the
extent that this assumption does not hold the STF of
the target event will be a coarse estimate of the true
one. Therefore, the eGf should be small enough to be
treated as a point source, but also large enough to
ensure a satisfactory signal to noise level at the
examined distances.
In the following stage and prior to the inversion,
the estimated STFs are normalized to unit area. This is
done to ensure that all of the STFs used integrate to
the appropriate scalar seismic moment and also tends
to equalize the weighting of individual STFs in the
inversion.
The next step involves the inversion of the STFs,
which are estimated as described previously. The
employed inversion technique (Mori and Hartzell,
1990; Dreger, 1994) is based on the assumption that
the variations in STF shape can be mapped onto the
spatial and temporal slip history of the event. The
source is parameterized through a radially propagating
rupture front, which expands with a constant rupture
velocity. Slip is confined to one of the nodal planes
indicated by the focal mechanism of the event. Then the
inversion method fits the STF of the examined event by
summing contributions from different subfaults, taking
into account the time delay due to wave propagation
and to the propagation of the rupture front, with respect
to the hypocenter. Distances to the different subfaults
are estimated using a half space ray trajectory approx-
imation. The contribution from each subfault can take
the form of several synthetic time functions. Here the
subfaults STFs have the form of boxcar functions.
The subfault STFs (B) are related to the observed
STF’s (D) through a system of equations of the form:
Di tð Þ ¼ STFi tð Þ ¼Xmj
Bj t � sij� �
wj ð2Þ
where s is the time delay due to wave and rupture
propagation, i is a station index, j is a subfault index
and w is a weight proportional to fault slip. In the
above system of equations positivity constraint is
also imposed to require all subfaults to have the
same slip direction. A spatial derivative minimization
constraint is applied to smooth the resulting slip
model. As a result, Eq. (2) can finally be written
in matrix form as:
B
kS
�dw ¼ D
0
���ð3Þ
where S is the matrix of first spatial derivatives and
k is a constant controlling the weight of the smooth-
ing equation.
The slip weight vector is obtained by standard least
squares. Slip amplitudes at each subfault, uj, are finally
obtained based on an independent seismic moment
estimate, M0, through the relation:
uj ¼M0dwj
Adlð4Þ
where A is the subfault area and l is the shear modulus,
usually taken equal to 3.5�1010 Pa.
4.2. Application — results
The selection of the appropriate eGf to be used in the
STF inversion method was based on a comparison of
the moment tensor parameters of the largest events of
the sequence to the corresponding parameters of the
mainshock, as well as on direct visual comparison of
the waveforms of the different events. Although many
small events present similar focal mechanisms with the
mainshock (Table 2), only one event (no 2 in Table 2; 5
July 2003, 21:58 UTM, Mw 4.3) provided low-noise
STFs. In Fig. 5 we indicatively compare horizontal
displacement seismograms at selected stations for the
mainshock and the eGf.
The STFs of the 6 July 2003, Mw 5.7, earthquake
were estimated using the broadband waveforms at
twelve stations (as depicted in Fig. 1 except from
Fig. 5. Comparison of the displacement waveforms of the 6 July 2003 Mw 5.7 earthquake and the corresponding waveforms of the employed eGf at
four selected stations located at various azimuths around the epicenter. All waveforms are band-passed filtered (0.05–1 Hz).
H. Karabulut et al. / Tectonophysics 412 (2006) 195–216202
NEO and MFT, which were omitted due to the poor
quality of the eGf records), which provided satisfac-
tory azimuthal coverage of the epicentral area. The
largest azimuthal gap between the used stations is
observed to the southeast of the epicentral area (be-
tween stations CEV and PRK) and is of the order of
758. The original data from the Turkish stations were
down-sampled from 0.01 to 0.02 s, to match the
sampling interval of the Greek data. All waveforms
were then integrated to displacement and band-pass
filtered in the frequency range 0.05 to 1.0 Hz. The
deconvolution process was performed in the frequency
domain, by dividing the displacement spectra of the
two events. To avoid instability problems due to spec-
tral sags in the denominator we used a 1% water-level
correction (Clayton and Wiggins, 1976). Furthermore,
Fig. 6. Source time functions of the 6 July 2003, Mw 5.7 earthquake at the twelve examined stations. STFs are presented prior to normalization, with their absolute amplitudes as derived from the
eGf deconvolution (the x–y scale and units are shown on the lower left of the figure). Note the simple triangular shapes of the STFs at the eastern stations and the two-lobe shape of the STFs at the
western along strike stations (see text for further discussion).
H.Karabulutet
al./Tecto
nophysics
412(2006)195–216
203
H. Karabulut et al. / Tectonophysics 412 (2006) 195–216204
to reduce the noise in the computed source time
functions we treated each one of the three-recorded
components separately and then stacked the results.
The final step in the extraction of the STFs included
their normalization to unit area.
The computed STFs at the 12 examined stations,
prior to normalization, are depicted in Fig. 6. Despite
the moderate magnitude of the event, the STFs ap-
pear complicated, with at least two lobes at the
western stations-located along the strike of the
fault- and simple triangular shapes at the eastern
stations — again to those along the strike of the
fault. An interesting observation is that the second
major lobe of the STFs that correspond to stations
LIA and PLG is similar, both in absolute amplitude
and duration, with the triangular STFs derived at the
eastern stations. If absolute amplitudes are correct,
then the STFs in Fig. 6 imply larger seismic moment
release toward west. It seems as if, prior to the main
event, there is energy onset from a smaller event,
which has only been recorded at the western stations.
A closer examination of the recorded waveforms
supports this hypothesis. Computation of correlation
Fig. 7. Comparison between mainshock and eGf velocity (left panels) and di
LIA. Top panels include waveforms aligned at the P-onset, while at low p
achieve maximum correlation. Amplitudes are normalized to unit and all w
functions between the mainshock and the eGf wave-
forms at the examined stations revealed that although
at the eastern stations the maximum correlation is
achieved when the waveforms are aligned at the P-
wave onset, at western stations the corresponding
correlation maximum is observed a few seconds
after the P-wave onset in the mainshock records. A
characteristic example of this shift is presented in
Fig. 7.
Assuming that a small event occurred close in
space and time to the main event, the STF inversion
will fail to correctly produce the slip distribution
pattern, unless the effect of the two events in the
STFs is separated. In the following, we present the
inversion results a) using the entire length of the STFs
in all stations and b) using only the second triangular
lobe in the eastern stations (the STFs of the western
stations remain the same).
In the inversion of the STF shapes we assumed a
planar fault model with dimensions 20�20 km, dis-
cretized into 1 km2 square subfaults. The dimensions
of the fault model were chosen to be larger than those
expected for an earthquake of Mw 5.7, to avoid an
splacement (right panels) waveforms (east–west component) at station
anels eGf waveforms are shifted to the right by approximately 2 s to
aveforms are band-passed filtered between 0.05 and 1 Hz.
H. Karabulut et al. / Tectonophysics 412 (2006) 195–216 205
imposed confinement of the slip. The orientation of
the fault model was taken equal to the orientation of
the almost E–W nodal plane of the focal mechanism
(Table 2) of the examined event, following the delin-
eation of the 2003 sequence epicenters (Fig. 3a) and
the rupture initiation point was assumed to coincide
with the hypocenter of the event. The rise time, H ,was given a constant value of 0.3 sec, [using the
empirical relation s =2.03d 10�9dM01 / 3 (Somerville et
al., 1999)], where M0 was given the value of
3.77d 1024 dynd cm, as computed from the time-do-
main moment tensor inversion. The rupture velocity,
Fig. 8. Sensitivity tests and slip distribution models for the 6 July 2003, M
presented in Fig. 6 (after normalization), b) inverting the STF at station LIA, o
MRM, TRN, SGT) and d) inverting the STFs at the eastern stations (as pres
stations (RDO and NVR were omitted due to difficulty in splitting the S
location. Our preferred model is the one shown in 8d. The major slip patc
released in an area 10 �6 km. Note that most of the slip (average slip 24
deepest 12–20 km of the vertical fault plane.
Vr, was also considered constant (2.7 km/s) and equal
to 80% of the shear-wave velocity at the source
region. It must be noted that usually when applying
the STFs inversion method a grid search for the
optimum values of the rise time and the rupture
velocity is possible. However, in our case the exam-
ined earthquake is relatively small in magnitude and
the correspondingly small dimensions of the slipped
area do not permit such a search. This was verified by
multiple inversion tests with different values of these
two parameters, which resulted in practically the same
variance reduction and slip distributions.
w 5.7 Saros Gulf earthquake a) inverting the entire set of STFs as
nly c) inverting the STFs of only the eastern stations (YLV, ISK, CEV,
ented in Fig. 6) and only the second large lobe of the STFs of western
TFs). The white star symbol corresponds to the adopted hypocenter
h is confined in an area ~45 km2, whereas most of the moment was
cm, with a maximum of 104 cm near the epicenter) is located at the
H. Karabulut et al. / Tectonophysics 412 (2006) 195–216206
In Fig. 8 we present the calculated slip distribution
models for the 6 July 2003, Mw 5.7 Saros earthquake.
The results of the inversion are evaluated through the
Fig. 9. Comparison between the observed (continuous lines) and the synth
distribution models of (a) and (d) of Fig. 8. Both slip models produce synt
variance reduction, which corresponds to the goodness
of fit between the computed and synthetic STFs. In Fig.
8a, we present the distribution that was derived using
etic (dashed lines) source times functions corresponding to the slip
hetics with satisfactory fit.
H. Karabulut et al. / Tectonophysics 412 (2006) 195–216 207
the STFs (as shown in Fig. 6) after they were normal-
ized to unit area. The variance reduction (VR), in this
case, is of the order of 91% and the synthetic STFs
present satisfactory agreement with the corresponding
observed ones (Fig. 9a). In accordance with the STFs
shapes, the slip appears to localize in two patches
(marked as 1 and 2 in Fig. 8a), with the largest one
almost centered at the hypocenter area and the second,
smaller one, at shallower depths and to the west of the
hypocenter.
This model (Fig. 8a) provides high variance reduc-
tion and reflects the major slip patches satisfactorily,
but it does not adequately explain the difference in the
STFs durations between the western and the eastern
stations. Based on these durations, one should expect
source directivity effects toward east. However, emer-
gence of such effects is not supported by the model of
Fig. 8a. Tests performed using reduced sets of stations
in the inversions (Fig 8b, c) confirmed the inconsisten-
cy between the results from the eastern and western
stations. In Fig. 8b we indicatively present the distri-
bution derived by the inversion of a single STF com-
puted at station LIA. Similar distributions were
obtained when western stations PLG and NVR were
incorporated in the inversion. This model is quite dif-
ferent from the one of Fig. 8a. The slip appears dis-
persed in a much wider area and consequently the peak
slip amplitudes decrease (umax=65 cm in Fig. 8a com-
pared to umax=37 cm in Fig. 8b). Furthermore, a sig-
nificant amount of blateQ slip appears in an arched
patch, which seems rather unnatural. In Fig. 8c we
present the resulting model from the use of the eastern
stations solely (YLV, ISK, CEV, MRM, TRN, SGT;
VR=97%; umax=70 cm).
In Fig. 8d we present the model finally adopted
using the largest set of stations (all stations shown in
Fig. 6 except RDO and NVR; VR=92%; umax=106
cm). In this last case we have inverted only the second
large-amplitude lobe of the western STFs. Stations
RDO and NVR were excluded from the last trial be-
cause it was difficult to split the two lobes of their
STFs. In Fig. 9 we compare the observed STFs and
the synthetic STFs as computed using the models (a)
and (d) in Fig. 8.
The comparative examination of the four slip pat-
terns presented in Fig. 8, leads to the conclusion that
only the major slip concentration around the hypocenter
is well constrained. The second slip patch, which
appears clearly in Fig. 8a and vaguely in Fig. 8c,d
could be an artifact if the first lobe of the western
STFs really corresponds to another event. In this case,
the code simultaneously inverts the STFs of the first
event at the western stations and the STFs of the second
event at the eastern stations. As a result, the energy of
the second lobe of STFs at western stations, e.g., LIA
and PLG, is shifted away from the hypocenter and
appears as a second slip patch. Confirmation of this
hypothesis requires the application of a more sophisti-
cated slip inversion method that could handle a double
source.
Although the presence of a second slip patch in the
slip distribution model cannot be unambiguously con-
cluded by the applied method, the dimensions of the
ruptured area appear to be well resolved, as they
remain more or less the same in all inversions.
Based on Fig. 8d, which is our proposed model for
the 6 July 2003, Mw 5.7 Saros earthquake, the major
slip patch (asperity) is ~45 km2. The slip is mainly
concentrated in an area with an along-strike dimension
of hardly 10 km and an along-dip dimension of ap-
proximately 6 km. The slip, averaged across the rup-
tured fault surface, is ~24 cm, which equals the value
computed from the empirical relation of Somerville et
al. (1999). A peak slip value of about 106 cm was
obtained very close to the adopted hypocenter. Gen-
erally most of the slip is concentrated close to and
around the hypocenter and at depths larger than 15 km
and up to 20 km.
5. Discussion
Kurt et al. (2000) describe the Saros depression as
a typical negative flower structure and therefore as-
sume that all fault traces are joined into a single one
at a certain depth. However, they also state that the
fault line that limits the depression to the south,
marking the boundary of the Gelibolu shelf, is the
main fault line and constitutes the western continua-
tion of the Ganos fault. Morphological analysis of
this southern branch shows a substantial amount of
vertical offset and therefore implies that normal
mechanism is an essential component of the Saros
fault activity. The fault mechanism solutions of some
past large events show a clear strike-slip mechanism
with minor extensional component (Taymaz et al.,
1991).
The present data, which are unprecedented in terms
of resolution, indicate that recent seismic activity is not
clustered around the southern border of the Saros de-
pression, but is concentrated on its northern border. The
fault plane solutions are mostly pure right lateral strike-
slip and clearly aligned with the axis of the depression.
The majority of the fault-plane solutions show minor
normal component with right-lateral fault planes dip-
H. Karabulut et al. / Tectonophysics 412 (2006) 195–216208
ping to the south, which also implies that the activity is
related to the northern border.
A relatively deep seismogenic zone is also sug-
gested, which reaches to the depth of 20 km and
clearly indicates that the activity is concentrated well
below the branching point of the flower structure
inferred by Kurt et al. (2000). Furthermore, the inver-
sion of the STFs of the largest event of the 2003 Saros
Gulf sequence (6 July 2003, Mw 5.7) revealed that the
slip during this earthquake was confined at depths
greater than 12 km. The depth of the seismogenic
zone is characteristically similar to that observed at
the western end of the Marmara Sea, where accurate
and long term observations showed that the seismo-
genic zone extends to a depth of 25 km (Ozalaybey et
al., 2003).
It is worthwhile to note that the detailed analysis
of the July 2003 swarm leads to a conclusion that the
presently active seismic regime in the Gulf of Saros
is similar to the one in the Sea of Marmara. This
means that, although diffuse deformation occurs in
the south of a stable shelf, the principle deformation
zone consists of a single major strike-slip fault, which
lies close to the northern margin of the Saros depres-
sion and follows the deepest parts of this depression.
Thus, this fault is most probably identified as the
continuation of the northern branch of the NAF into
the Saros Gulf and North Aegean Trough as sug-
gested by regional tectonic models proposed by Kree-
mer et al. (2004). The data presented in this paper,
which are however constrained by the analysis of a
temporary swarm activity, provide clear evidence for
such conclusion.
A final consideration is given to the argument of
whether this well located swarm activity may mark
the western limit of the 1912 rupture of the Ganos
earthquake. This earthquake is given an Ms (=Mw)
magnitude of 7.4 or 7.3 (Ambraseys and Finkel,
1987; Ambraseys and Jackson, 2000, respectively).
Although it is known that the 1912 earthquake rup-
ture involved the entire length of the Ganos fault on
land, the exact geometry and slip distribution is
poorly known since the rest of the rupture must be
located submarine. The 1999 Izmit earthquake (Mw
7.4), which is nearly similar in size to the 1912
earthquake, created approximately 145 km rupture
zone on land (Barka et al., 2002) and appears to
have extended ~30 km westwards, into the Sea of
Marmara (Cakir et al., 2003; Armijo et al., 2005),
resulting in an overall rupture length of more than
170 km. Altunel et al. (2004) studied co-seismic and
cumulative slip distribution on the ruptured segment
of 1912 earthquake. They obtained right-lateral dis-
placement values of 3.5–4 m observed at several
localities on land. Using the analogy to the Izmit
earthquake and large slip values observed at the
termination of the Ganos fault on land, they con-
cluded that the rupture should extend at least 20 km
into the Gulf of Saros and 30 km into the Sea of
Marmara. Armijo et al. (2005) provide submarine
observations according to which the eastern continu-
ation of the 1912 surface rupture into the Sea of
Marmara is of the order of 60 km. On the other
hand, it is well recognized that consistent seismic
quiescence has been established along the on land
rupture length of the 1912 Ganos earthquake and
within the eastern part of the Gulf of Saros, based
on the seismicity data since this event (NEIC seis-
micity). This ~100 km long seismic gap is clearly
reflected in the present regional seismicity map pre-
viously shown (see Fig. 3d). The aftershock sequence
that we analyze here is located at the exit of the
Saros Gulf along the line of the seismic gap. As-
suming that the observed seismic gap in this area
covers part of the 1912 earthquake rupture, then
based on the high quality data that we used, recorded
both in Turkey and Greece, we speculate that the
northeastern termination of this sequence (at approx-
imately 26.38 E) marks the western termination of
this rupture into the Saros Gulf. Thus, we infer a
40–50 km long submarine segment in the Saros
Gulf, which along with the 50 km long on land
Ganos segment (Ambraseys and Jackson, 2000) and
the 60 km long submarine segment in the Sea of
Marmara (Armijo et al., 2005) results in an overall
length of ~160 km during the 1912 event. This
length is comparable to the observed rupture length
of the 1999 Izmit earthquake.
Acknowledgements
Thanks are due to our colleagues John Latoussakis
and George Stavrakakis from the Institute of Geody-
namics of the National Observatory of Athens for pro-
viding part of the data used. Thanks are also due to
Doug Dreger from the University of California at Ber-
keley for his continuous help and support. Esen Arpat
and Dean Childs are thanked for reading the manuscript
and providing fruitful suggestions. This work was
funded by TUBITAK from the Turkish side and the
General Secretariat of Research and Technology (Min-
istry of Development) from the Greek side. Most of the
figures were produced by GMT software (Wessel and
Smith, 1998).
Appendix A (continued)
Date Origin Lat (8N) Lon (8E) Depth (km) Mw
20030707 164741.8 40.363 26.140 15.0 2.7
H. Karabulut et al. / Tectonophysics 412 (2006) 195–216 209
Appendix A. Hypocenter parameters of the 101
located earthquakes of the 2003 Saros sequence
Date Origin Lat (8N) Lon (8E) Depth (km) Mw
20030706 191028.0 40.427 26.103 17.5 5.7
20030706 192451.4 40.448 26.131 17.6 3.6
20030706 192622.7 40.400 26.028 12.6 3.6
20030706 193950.7 40.411 25.996 18.5 4.2
20030706 194108.4 40.411 26.098 15.5 3.6
20030706 195837.5 40.407 26.165 19.1 2.8
20030706 200244.7 40.430 26.120 17.6 3.4
20030706 201015.6 40.439 26.108 16.4 5.3
20030706 201552.2 40.429 26.144 16.1 3.3
20030706 201953.9 40.431 26.116 17.8 3.2
20030706 202418.5 40.381 25.929 8.4 2.8
20030706 202642.5 40.405 25.964 10.0 3.3
20030706 202949.2 40.362 25.977 11.1 2.8
20030706 203206.2 40.370 25.971 15.0 2.8
20030706 204853.3 40.406 26.006 19.6 4.7
20030706 220548.5 40.403 25.989 16.3 4.2
20030706 222031.4 40.362 25.972 11.3 2.6
20030706 223940.5 40.239 26.001 20.9 2.8
20030706 224208.7 40.405 25.940 13.3 4.4
20030706 224604.2 40.399 25.968 10.4 3.0
20030706 225209.1 40.436 26.129 8.9 2.3
20030706 232719.1 40.369 25.987 12.9 2.3
20030706 233021.2 40.398 26.015 14.4 2.6
20030706 234720.1 40.358 26.001 13.9 2.6
20030706 235454.3 40.394 25.967 13.7 3.2
20030707 002407.3 40.381 25.921 9.5 3.4
20030707 004815.2 40.393 25.967 13.8 3.5
20030707 005535.1 40.410 26.013 9.9 2.7
20030707 011313.4 40.420 26.128 15.3 2.3
20030707 013639.6 40.392 25.945 10.9 2.7
20030707 030543.50 40.392 26.036 17.0 2.8
20030707 031625.3 40.382 26.056 17.9 2.4
20030707 034824.9 40.484 26.134 9.4 2.4
20030707 042407.4 40.371 25.979 10.5 2.4
20030707 062939.7 40.496 26.272 6.3 2.4
20030707 071011.6 40.433 26.068 14.9 2.6
20030707 071202.5 40.383 25.924 12.8 3.4
20030707 071503.1 40.383 25.909 8.9 3.1
20030707 095911.0 40.392 26.158 17.0 2.5
20030707 104548.6 40.409 26.159 12.4 3.0
20030707 124932.2 40.431 26.193 16.2 2.9
20030707 140802.0 40.403 26.031 13.0 2.8
20030707 142706.5 40.471 26.230 10.3 2.4
20030707 143056.5 40.407 26.202 12.3 2.2
20030707 151355.9 40.343 26.176 18.2 2.3
20030707 151649.6 40.403 26.188 10.4 2.7
20030707 161738.7 40.403 25.921 12.7 3.4
20030707 164402.1 40.398 26.182 17.8 3.0
20030707 164540.3 40.386 25.925 13.1 3.4
20030707 165339.3 40.399 26.186 18.1 2.7
20030707 185029.1 40.371 25.928 10.9 2.7
20030707 195745.3 40.396 25.897 10.7 3.3
20030707 211828.0 40.400 26.021 14.8 2.7
20030707 214113.2 40.416 26.177 15.0 2.4
20030707 232819.4 40.436 26.134 13.5 2.6
20030707 234430.3 40.410 26.093 12.6 2.5
20030708 012445.1 40.397 25.957 10.6 2.6
20030708 043123.8 40.411 26.177 15.4 3.3
20030708 072856.0 40.430 26.201 15.8 2.6
20030708 101231.5 40.447 26.056 8.3 2.5
20030708 101453.7 40.402 26.006 14.5 3.0
20030708 172054.6 40.418 26.232 13.6 2.3
20030708 192936.3 40.429 26.218 14.0 2.5
20030708 205123.2 40.397 26.072 18.2 2.4
20030708 234227.5 40.416 26.175 17.2 3.1
20030709 000651.1 40.389 25.940 9.4 2.4
20030709 000758.2 40.400 25.920 10.3 3.4
20030709 002116.0 40.391 26.165 17.9 2.6
20030709 002306.6 40.387 25.916 10.2 2.9
20030709 085042.2 40.219 26.052 26.8 2.8
20030709 205131.6 40.440 26.158 15.5 2.8
20030709 220157.5 40.385 25.913 12.6 3.8
20030709 220849.5 40.386 25.902 11.9 4.1
20030709 223140.7 40.388 25.912 15.8 4.7
20030709 223708.6 40.370 25.882 9.5 3.4
20030710 000504.0 40.368 25.913 11.9 3.0
20030710 012617.7 40.387 25.912 16.5 4.4
20030710 073345.8 40.365 25.902 10.6 2.4
20030710 132533.4 40.381 25.897 10.2 3.4
20030710 151028.9 40.435 26.162 10.7 2.1
20030710 201445.8 40.386 25.893 10.1 3.1
20030710 203052.1 40.383 25.856 6.7 2.9
20030711 025628.2 40.397 25.877 7.0 2.7
20030711 072248.7 40.421 26.165 15.3 3.2
20030711 235114.3 40.191 25.283 21.0 3.8
20030713 020640.3 40.395 26.135 11.9 2.9
20030713 062015.8 40.397 25.921 10.8 3.0
20030713 063208.1 40.389 25.923 13.9 4.0
20030713 101250.8 40.431 26.064 18.1 3.0
20030715 214938.9 40.396 26.145 10.5 3.0
20030716 100248.4 40.261 26.195 22.1 2.7
20030716 162439.8 40.180 25.293 19.3 3.5
20030718 054407.2 40.394 25.962 14.0 3.8
20030718 125212.2 40.436 26.116 18.7 3.3
20030723 193706.0 40.437 26.153 16.8 2.8
20030805 034844.9 40.423 26.004 10.5 2.8
20030810 083635.3 40.314 25.901 17.3 2.8
20030811 231429.9 40.401 26.208 11.0 2.6
20030831 075056.7 40.415 25.972 17.0 4.0
20030914 091526.7 40.365 25.980 13.1 2.8
H. Karabulut et al. / Tectonophysics 412 (2006) 195–216210
Appendix B
Focal mechanisms of the earthquakes listed in Table 2. For each station the vertical, tangential and radial
components are shown. Observed waveforms are marked with solid lines and synthetics with dashed lines. Station
names and variance reduction are listed below each waveform. At the right part of the figure the parameters of the
focal mechanism and the moment magnitude are shown along with the percentage of the double couple (DC) and of
the compensated linear vector dipole (CLVD) for each earthquake.
H. Karabulut et al. / Tectonophysics 412 (2006) 195–216 211
H. Karabulut et al. / Tectonophysics 412 (2006) 195–216212
H. Karabulut et al. / Tectonophysics 412 (2006) 195–216 213
H. Karabulut et al. / Tectonophysics 412 (2006) 195–216214
H. Karabulut et al. / Tectonophysics 412 (2006) 195–216 215
References
Altunel, E., Meghraoui, M., Akyuz, H.S., Dikbas, A., 2004. Char-
acteristics of the 1912 co-seismic rupture along the North Anato-
lian Fault Zone (Turkey): implications for the expected Marmara
earthquake. Terra Nova 16, 198–204.
Ambraseys, N.N., 1990. Engineering seismology. Earthquake Eng.
Struct. Dyn. 17, 1–105.
Ambraseys, N.N., Finkel, C.F., 1987. The Saros–Marmara earthquake
of 9 August 1912. Earthquake Eng. Struct. Dyn. 15, 189–211.
Ambraseys, N.N., Finkel, C.F., 1991. Long-Term Seismicity of Istan-
bul and the Marmara Region. Eng. Seismol. Earthquake Rep., vol.
91/8. Imperial College.
Ambraseys, N.N., Jackson, J., 2000. Seismicity of the Sea of Marmara
(Turkey) since 1500. Geophys. J. Int. 141, F1–F6.
Armijo, R., Pondard, N., Meyer, B., Ucarkus, G., Mercier de Lepinay,
B., Malavieille, J., Dominguez, S., Gustcher, M.-A., Schmidt, S.,
Beck, C., Cagatay, N., Cakir, Z., Imren, C., Eris, K., Natalin, B.,
Ozalaybey, S., Tolun, L., Lefevre, I., Seeber, L., Gasperini, L.,
Rangin, C., Emre, O., Sarikavak, K., 2005. Submarine fault scarps
in the Sea of Marmara pull-apart (North Anatolian Fault): impli-
cations for seismic hazard in Istanbul. Geochem. Geophys. Geo-
syst. 6, Q06009. doi:10.1029/2004GC000896.
Barka, A., Akyuz, H.S., Altunel, E., Sunal, G., Cakir, Z., Dikbas, A.,
Yerli, B., Armijo, R., Meyer, B., de Chabalier, J.B., Rockwell, T.,
Dolan, J.R., Hartleb, R., Dawson, T., Christofferson, S., Tucker,
H. Karabulut et al. / Tectonophysics 412 (2006) 195–216216
A., Fumal, T., Langridge, R., Stenner, H., Lettis, W., Bachhuber,
J., Page, W., 2002. The surface rupture and slip distribution of the
17 August 1999 Vzmit earthquake (M 7.4), North Anatolian Fault.
Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 92 (1), 43–60.
Benetatos, C., Roumelioti, Z., Kiratzi, A., Melis, N., 2002. Source
parameters of the M 6.5 Skyros Island (North Aegean Sea)
earthquake of July 26, 2001. Ann. Geophys. 45 (3/4), 513–526.
Cakir, Z., de Chabalier, J.-B., Armijo, R., Meyer, B., Barka, A., Peltzer,
G., 2003. Coseismic and early postseismic slip associated with the
1999 Izmit earthquake (Turkey), from SAR interferometry and
tectonic field observations. Geophys. J. Int. 155, 93–110.
Clayton, R.W., Wiggins, R.A., 1976. Source shape estimation and
deconvolution of teleseismic body waves. Geophys. J. R. Astron.
Soc. 47, 151–177.
Dreger, D., 1994. Empirical Green’s function study of the January 17,
1994 Northridge, California earthquake. Geophys. Res. Lett. 21,
2633–2636.
Dreger, D., 2002. Manual of the Time-Domain Moment Tensor
Inverse Code (TDMT_INVC), Release 1.1. Berkeley Seismolog-
ical Laboratory. 18 pp.
Dreger, D., Helmberger, D., 1990. Broadband modeling of local
earthquakes. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 80, 1162–1179.
Dreger, D., Helmberger, D., 1991. Complex faulting deduced from
broadband modelling of the 28 February 1990 Upland earthquake
(ML=5.2). Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 81, 1129–1144.
Dreger, D., Helmberger, D., 1993. Determination of source para-
meters at regional distances with single station or sparse network
data. J. Geophys. Res. 98, 8107–8125.
Hartzell, S., 1978. Earthquake aftershocks as Green’s functions. Geo-
phys. Res. Lett. 5, 1–4.
Kiratzi, A., 2002. Stress tensor inversions along the westernmost
North Anatolian Fault Zone and its continuation into the North
Aegean Sea. Geophys. J. Int. 151, 360–376.
Kissling, E., Ellsworth, W.L., Eberhart-Phillips, D., Kradolfer, U.,
1994. Initial reference models in local earthquake tomography. J.
Geophys. Res. 99 (B10), 19635–19646. doi:10.1029/93JB03138.
Kreemer, C., Chamot-Rooke, N., Le Pichon, X., 2004. Constraints on
the evolution and vertical coherency of deformation in the North-
ern Aegean from a comparison of geodetic, geologic and seismo-
logic data. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 25, 329–346.
Kurt, H., Demirbag, E., Kuscu, I., 2000. Active submarine tectonism
and formation of the Gulf of Saros, Northeast Aegean Sea,
inferred from multi-channel seismic reflection data. Mar. Geol.
165, 13–26.
Lee, W.H.K., Lahr, J.C., 1975. HYPO71: a computer program for
determining hypocenter, magnitude and first motion pattern of
local earthquakes. USGS Open File Rep. 75–311, 1–116.
Le Pichon, X., Sengor, A.M.C., Demirbag, E., Rangin, C., Imren, C.,
Armijo, R., Gorur, N., Cagatay, N., Mercier de Lepinay, B.,
Meyer, B., SaatcVlar, R., Tok, B., 2001. The active main Marmara
Fault. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 92 (4), 595–616.
Mori, J., Hartzell, S., 1990. Source inversion of the 1988 Upland
earthquake: determination of a fault plane for a small event. Bull.
Seismol. Soc. Am. 80, 278–295.
Novotny, O., Zahradnik, J., Tselentis, G.-A., 2001. North-western
Turkey earthquakes and the crustal structure inferred from surface
waves observed in Western Greece. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 91,
875–879.
Okay, A., Demirbag, E., Kurt, H., Okay, N., Kuscu, I., 1999. An
active, deep marine strike-slip basin along the North Anatolian
fault in Turkey. Tectonics 18, 129–147.
Ozalaybey, S., Karabulut, H., Ergin, M., Aktar, M., TapVrdamaz, C.,
Bicmen, F., Yoruk, A., 2003. Seismogenic zones of Marmara Sea:
recent seismicity and focal mechanism solutions. EGS-AGU-EUG
Joint Assembly, Nice, France, 6–11 April 2003.
Papazachos, B., Papazachou, C., 1997. The Earthquakes of Greece.
Ziti Publ. Co, Thessaloniki, Greece. 356 pp.
Pasyanos, M., Dreger, D., Romanowicz, B., 1996. Towards real-time
determination of regional moment tensors. Bull. Seismol. Soc.
Am. 86, 1255–1269.
SaatcVlar, R., Ergintav, S., Demirbag, E., Inan, S., 1999. Character
of active faulting in the North Aegean Sea. Mar. Geol. 160,
339–353.
Saikia, C., 1994. Modified frequency–wave number algorithm for
regional seismo-grams using Filon’s quadrature; modelling of
Lg waves in eastern North America. Geophys. J. Int. 118,
142–158.
SakVnc, M., Yaltirak, C., Oktay, F.Y., 1999. Palaeogeographical evo-
lution of the Thrace Neogene Basin and the Tethys–Paratethys
relations at northwestern Turkey (Thrace). Palaeogeogr. Palaeo-
climatol. Palaeoecol. 153, 17–40.
Somerville, P., Irikura, K., Graves, R., Sawada, S., Wald, D., Abra-
hamson, N., Iwasaki, Y., Kagawa, Smith, N., Kowada, A., 1999.
Characterizing crustal earthquake slip models for the prediction of
strong ground motion. Seismol. Res. Let. 70, 59–80.
Taymaz, T., Jackson, J., McKenzie, D., 1991. Active tectonics of the
north and central Aegean Sea. Geophys. J. Int. 106, 433–490.
Tuysuz, O., Barka, A.A., Yigitbas, E., 1998. Geology of the Saros
graben and its implications for the evolution of the North Anato-
lian fault in the Ganos–Saros region, North-western Turkey. Tec-
tonophysics 293, 105–126.
YaltVrak, C., Alpar, B., 2002. Kinematics and evolution of the north-
ern branch of the North Anatolian Fault (Ganos Fault) between the
Sea of Marmara and the Gulf of Saros. Mar. Geol. 190, 351–366.
YaltVrak, C., Alpar, B., Yuce, H., 1998. Tectonic elements controlling
the evolution of the Gulf of Saros (Northeastern Aegean Sea).
Tectonophysics 300, 227–248.
YaltVrak, C., Alpar, B., Sakinc, M., Yuce, H., 2000a. Origin of the
Strait of Canakkale (Dardanelles): regional tectonics and the
Mediterranean–Marmara incursion. Mar. Geol. 164, 139–156
(with Erratum 167, 189–190).
YaltVrak, C., Sakinc, M., Oktay, F.Y., 2000b. Westward propagation of
North Anatolian fault into northern Aegean: timing and kinemat-
ics. Comment, Geol. 28, 187–188.
Waldhauser, F., Ellsworth,W.L., 2000. A double-difference earthquake
location algorithm: method and application to the Northern Hay-
ward fault, California. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 90, 1353–1368.
Wessel, P., Smith, W.H.F., 1998. New improved version of the
Generic Mapping Tools released, EOS Trans. AGU 79, 579.
Zahradnik, J., 2002. The weak motion modelling of the Skyros island,
Aegean Sea, Mw=6.5 earthquake of July 26, 2001. Stud. Geo-
phys. Geod. 46, 753–771.