A Project on Banking Sector

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    Presented To-

    Prof. Sanjeev Patkar

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    Huned Ali M.G. 36

    Huzefa Husein 37

    Moin Inamdar 58

    Suraj Digawalekar 270 Swati Porwal 271

    Tarannum Dhange 274

    Tejas Chotai 276

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    Industry Overview

    Value Chain of the industry

    Porters Five Force Theory

    Factors that determine Demand & Supply

    Business model of the company and its sustenance

    Comparative performance matrixbusiness

    The comparative matrixvaluation

    To find intrinsic value of the stock and hence the proposed action

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    Phase IThe Starting

    Creation of The Reserve Bank of India on April 1, 1935.

    State Bank of India (Subsidiary Banks) Act passed in1959.

    Nationalisation of Banks in 1969.

    Phase IILiberalisation Narsimham Committee Recommendations, 1991.

    Relaxation in FDI norms.

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    Phase IIITransition

    Focus on Customer Service.

    Securitisation Act, 2002. Mergers and Acquisition.

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    51%

    3%

    2%

    3%

    41%

    Loan Break up forAug97

    (%)Residential Mortgages Credit Cards Consumer Durables

    Education Loans Others

    Source : RBI, Duetsche bank

    48%

    5%

    1%

    5%

    41%

    Loan Break up for Dec'08

    (%)

    Residential Mortgages Credit Cards Consumer Durables

    Education Loans Others

    Source : RBI, Duetsche Bank

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    14%

    13%

    11%

    2%

    13%

    47%

    Corporate Loan Break up for FY 98 (%)

    Engineering Textiles Chemicals

    Infrastructure Metals Others

    6%11%

    7%

    23%

    19%

    34%

    Corporate Loan Break up for FY 08

    (%)

    Engineering Textiles Chemicals

    Infrastructure Metals Others

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    India - Strategic Map

    ServiceQua

    lity

    Rural Urban

    Low

    High

    Regional

    Citibank

    ABN Amro

    State Bank of India

    ICICI Bank

    HDFC

    IndusInd Bank

    Vysya Bank

    Karur Vysya

    PNB

    Andhra BankCanara Bank

    Co-operative Banks

    Rural Banks

    Bank of Baroda

    Bank of India

    Stan C

    HSBC

    Geographical Spread

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    Banking Sector Value Chain

    ProductDevelopment

    Back EndProcessing

    Riskmanagement

    DistributionTechnology

    Market Knowledge Clearance Credit Controls Online BankingBest practices transfer Settlement CRM Expertise Cross-selling

    Introducingsuccessfulmarketingvehicles to bettertarget newsegments withinnovativeproducts

    Efficiency & costmgt allows forprice flexibility,creatingcompetitiveadvantage

    Experience inmanaging riskallows banks tocharge higherpremiums, whilemanaging theirNPLs

    Expanding branchnetworks anddistributionplatformsimprove directaccess tocustomer base

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    Rivalry among Competing Firms

    Services which banks offer is more of homogeneous, which

    makes the company to offer the same service at a lower rate

    and eat their competitor markets share

    Market Players use all sorts of aggressive selling strategies

    and activities from intensive advertisement campaigns to

    promotional stuff

    Even consumer switch from one bank to another, if there is a

    wide spread in the interest

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    Potential Entry of New Competitors Reserve Bank of India has laid out a stagnant rules and

    regulation for new entrant in Banking Industry.

    Hence, the industry is less prone of new competitor.

    Potential Development of Substitute Products Banks are not limited to tradition banking , today banks offers

    loans for all products, derivatives, Forex, Insurance, Mutual

    Fund, Demat account etc

    Hence, The wide range of choices and needs give a sufficient

    room for new product development and product enhancement.

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    Bargaining Power of Suppliers

    Rules and regulation are laid down by RBI

    Hence, Reserve Bank of India is the authority to take

    monetary action which leads to direct impact on circulation of

    money in the Economy

    Bargaining Power of Consumers

    Banks offers different services according to clients need and

    requirement They offer loans at Prime Lending Rate (PLR) to their trust

    worthy clients and higher rate to others clients

    Hence, Bargaining Power of Consumers is little high as

    Customer is the King

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    DEMAND DRIVERS

    Growing Economy

    Improvement in standard ofliving

    Higher Disposable income

    Expansionary plans of

    Corporates

    SUPPLY DRIVERS

    Regulation by RBI

    Technology

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    Business Model of Union

    Bank of India

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    Targeting customers from all demographic and economic profiles andintroducing products and services to meet their needs

    Operates in all the areas including Retail lending

    Personal banking

    Corporate banking

    International banking

    Investments & treasury

    Caters to-

    The rural and semi urban centers Financing agriculture and allied activities

    Rural artisans

    Micro & medium enterprises in these areas

    It has opened 198 Village Knowledge Centres

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    Offers third party products Life And General Insurance,

    Mutual Funds

    On-line Trading

    Wealth Management Services through tie- up with other FIs.

    Bank has initiated a large scale transformation process named

    Nav Nirman to adress four key activities:

    Retail Asset ( marketing & processing)

    SME marketing & processing)

    Branch sales and services( improving the customer experience in the branch)

    Centralisation of key processes

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    Alternate delivery channels1. ATMs

    2. Internet banking

    3. Phone banking

    4. Mobile banking.

    Technology based services like

    1. RTGS

    2. Online NEFT free of cost

    3. On line application for products and services

    4. Online redressal of grievances.

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    Bank has a network of more than1. 2500 service outlets which includes specialized branches for MSME (SME

    SARALS)

    2. corporate credit

    3. Union Loan points for Retail Products

    Full fledged overseas branches

    Bank plans to open 500 new branches in the next six months

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    Diversification

    Partnership with Bank of India and Dai-Ichi of Japan fordistribution of Life insurance products

    Agreement with Belgian KBC group for setting up a jointventure AMC in India

    MoU with NSIC

    MoU with NCMSL

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    Union bank has promised 4 key deliverables to customers

    based on the strength built in-

    1) Value for money2) Committed turnaround time for delivery of products and

    services

    3) Choice of banking channels for customers and

    4) Transparency in product offerings and prices

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    Year

    Credit-Deposit

    Ratio(%)2004 61.17

    2005 67.96

    2006 75.5

    2007 76.46

    2008 75.55

    61.17

    67.96

    75.5 76.46 75.55

    Credit-Deposit Ratio(%)

    Credit-Deposit Ratio(%)

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

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    Year

    Net Interest

    Spread(%)

    2004 3.24

    2005 3.31

    2006 3.03

    2007 3.05

    2008 2.80

    3.24

    3.31

    3.033.05

    2.8

    Net Interest Spread(%)

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

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    Year

    Capital

    AdequacyRatio(%)

    2004 12.32

    2005 12.09

    2006 11.41

    2007 12.8

    2008 12.51

    12.32

    12.09

    11.41

    12.8

    12.51

    Capital Adequacy Ratio(%)

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

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    No. of

    Branches Year

    2020 2004

    2051 2005

    2082 2006

    2206 2007

    2361 2008

    2020

    2051

    2082

    2206

    2361

    1800

    1900

    2000

    2100

    2200

    2300

    2400

    No. of Branches

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

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    Metro

    21%

    Rural

    32%

    Urban

    23%

    Semi-Urban

    24%

    Area Wise Branch Network

    AREA Percentage

    Metro 21.52

    Rural 32.33

    Urban 22.7

    Semi-

    Urban 23.55

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    Rs.in Crores

    Year Total DepositTotal

    AdvancesTotal

    Business

    2003-04 50559 30928 81487

    2004-05 61831 41103 102934

    2005-06 74094 54644 128738

    2006-07 85180 63658 148838

    2007-08 103859 75878 1797372003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

    50559

    6183174094

    85180

    103859

    3092841103

    5464463658

    7587881487

    102934

    128738

    148838

    179737

    Growth over the Years

    Rs.in Crores Total Deposit Rs.in Crores Total Advances

    Rs.in Crores Total Business

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    473

    769

    1146

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400No.of ATM's

    2006 2007 2008

    Year No.of ATM's

    2006 473

    2007 769

    2008 1146

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    Credit Deposit Ratio

    Net NPA

    Net Interest Margin

    CASA

    No. of ATMs

    Capital Adequacy Ratio

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    0.10.2

    0.1

    1.1

    Union Bank ofindia

    Indian Bank Andhra Bank Dena Bank

    Net NPA (%)

    Net NPA

    2.6

    3.91

    3.35

    2.88

    Union Bank ofindia

    Indian Bank Andhra Bank Dena Bank

    Net Interest Margin (%)

    NIM

    34.8632 33.6

    41.13

    Union Bank ofindia

    Indian Bank Andhra Bank Dena Bank

    CASA (%)

    CASA

    71 71

    69

    67

    Union Bank of

    india

    Indian Bank Andhra Bank Dena Bank

    CDR (%)

    CDR (%)

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    Union

    Bank ofindia

    Indian

    Bank

    Andhra

    BankDena Bank

    No. of ATM's 1146 608 656 316

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    Number of ATMs

    Contd.

    12.212.1 12.1

    11.3

    Union Bank of

    india

    Indian Bank Andhra Bank Dena Bank

    Capital adequacy ratio (%) as onjune 08

    CAR (%) as on june 08

    Source : systematix group

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    5.27

    6.21

    4.11

    7.4

    6.3

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    Union Bank Vijaya Bank Dena Bank Uco Bank IOB

    P/E Ratio (As on 31/03/2008)

    P/E Ratio (As on

    31/03/2008)

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    1.271.02

    0.93

    1.19

    1.56

    0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1

    1.2

    1.4

    1.6

    1.8

    Union

    Bank

    Vijaya

    Bank

    Dena

    Bank

    Uco Bank IOB

    P/BV (As on 31/03/2008)

    P/BV (As on 31/03/2008)

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    Years 2009E 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004

    PAT 1581.18 1387 845 674 720 713

    PAT

    CAGR Growth of 14% over 5 years is

    assumed for 2009

    Dividend Payout rato

    CAGR Growth of 18% over 5 years is

    assumed for 2009

    Dividend Amount (in Rs. Crore) 284.6124

    Retained Earnings 1296.568

    Networth 6919.568

    Book Value 136.9886

    P/BV for 2009E 1.0X

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