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A presentation on:
General Applications of Exchange Traded Funds
Justin PascoeDirector of Investments
20. 8. 2002
2
Table of Contents
1. What are ETFs
2. Why have ETFs become so popular
3. Users and Applications of ETF
4. Global Developments of ETF
5. Developmental Challenges
6. Conclusion
What are ETFs?
4
What are ETFs?
Characteristics
Commingled fund structure
Listed on the exchange
Trade like ordinary shares
Passively managed against an index
Usually priced at a fraction of the index e.g: TraHK is 1/1000th, SPDR is 1/10th,
QQQ is 1/40th
Contribute and redeem in-kind
5
In-kind Subscription/Redemption
Investor
ETFCreation
Redemption
Share basket
Units
Units
Share Basket
Investor
ETF
Not as simple as taking a mutual fund and listing it on the exchange
Special in-kind creation and redemption mechanism
6
Importance of in-kind Creation and Redemption
Reduces transaction costs borne by the fund that result from investors’ activities
The ordinary mutual fund has to acquire/sell stocks in its portfolio when investors buy into and/or redeem from the fund, thereby incurring transaction costs
In-kind mechanism contributes to the lowering of the expense ratio of the fund
Facilitates arbitrage activities
Specialists, market makers and arbitrageurs compete to capture pricing discrepancies, which results in the ETF trading at its fair value
Hence increases the liquidity of ETFs
7
Arbitrage Activities
Unit price >NAV
Unit price<NAV
ETF
Cash Futures
Investors will:
• accumulate the units
• redeem the units
• sell the underlying shares
Investors will:
• accumulate the share basket
• create the units
• sell the units
Unit price closely tracking the NAV
Additional dimension for arbitrage improves market efficiency
8
ETF Arbitrage Matrix
Futures
If Units Cheap vs.
Stocks+ Units
- Stocks
Redeem units for stocks which are used to
cover the borrowed stocks
+ Units
- Futures
- Units
+ Stocks
Use stocks to create new units to replace the borrowed units OR buy back
units and sell stocks when units are cheap
- Units
+ Futures
+ Long position (Buy) - Short position (Borrow and sell)
If Units Expensive vs.
Opening Trade
Sell units and covert futures before it expires; or sell units and
let futures expire on the expiration day
Buy units and sell futures before it expires; or buy units and
let futures expire on the expiration day
Closing Trade
9
-2.00%
-1.50%
-1.00%
-0.50%
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
11
/12
/99
12
/12
/99
1/1
2/0
0
2/1
2/0
0
3/1
2/0
0
4/1
2/0
0
5/1
2/0
0
6/1
2/0
0
7/1
2/0
0
8/1
2/0
0
9/1
2/0
0
10
/12
/00
11
/12
/00
12
/12
/00
1/1
2/0
1
2/1
2/0
1
3/1
2/0
1
4/1
2/0
1
5/1
2/0
1
6/1
2/0
1
7/1
2/0
1
8/1
2/0
1
9/1
2/0
1
10
/12
/01
11
/12
/01
12
/12
/01
1/1
2/0
2
2/1
2/0
2
3/1
2/0
2
4/1
2/0
2
5/1
2/0
2
6/1
2/0
2
Closing Premium/Discount
Average
TraHK Premium/Discount Analysis
10
Two Levels of Tracking
Tracking of the ETF’s traded price against the NAV
depends on the efficiency of the arbitrage process
Tracking of the ETF’s NAV against the index (Tracking Error)
depends on the expertise of the fund manager – in the design of the basket and in the rebalancing techniques
need to subtract the accrued dividend from the ETF’s NAV before comparing with the index
11
Hybrid ProductSubscription /Redemption as Open-ended Mutual Funds, Traded on stock exchange as Close-ended Mutual Funds
SubscriptionInstitutional
Investors/Intermediaries
RedemptionInstitutional
Investors/Intermediaries
Fund
Retail Investors
Intermediaries Institutional Investors
Stock
次級市場Secondary Market
Stock
Arbitrage provides critical link between ETF, Equity and Futures markets
UnitUnit
Primarily Market
Market Price
Subscription/Redemption at NAV
Why ETF is getting more and more popular?
13
Benefits to the Investors
Virtues of Indexation
Indexation enforces diversification
Obtains broad market exposure
Transparency – Investments & Performance
Advantages of Listing on Stock Exchange
Simple and flexible dealing
Small board lot size (10 shares)
Trading throughout the day
Can buy on margin or short-sell
Can place limit orders
Highly liquid
Special Features of ETF
Only one transaction to buy a diversified portfolio
Low expense ratio
Fair pricing
Adds to market depth, liquidity and efficiency
In Korea
Exemption from 0.3% transaction tax on the sale of ETF units
Short-selling of ETF exempted from the up tick rule
14
Cost is a a Major Consideration Annual Cost Comparison
* Annual portfolio turnover =Annual Trading Volume / 2
Fund Size
Expenses ETF Actively Managed Mutual Funds in Korea
Portfolio Turnover(A)*
5.00 – 10.00% 100.00 – 200.00%
Manager Transaction Costs(B)
0.50 – 1.20% 0.50 – 1.20%
Yearly Expenses (A) X (B)
0.025 – 0.12% 0.50 – 2.40%
Management Fee 0.25% 0.50%
Other Expenses 0.42% 1.00%
Total 0.695 – 0.79% 2.00 – 3.90%
Comparison of ETFs with other Investment Products
16
ETFs vs Active Mutual Funds
ETF Actively Managed Mutual Funds
Expense Structure <70 basis points >200 basis points
Performance In line with Index Possible outperformance or underperformance
Traded on Stock Exchange Yes No
Ability to Short/Borrow Yes No
Subscription/Redemption In-specie Cash
Add/Remove Exposure Any time market open Daily Price
17
ETFs vs Closed-ended Mutual Funds
ETF Closed End Funds
Expense Structure <70 basis points >200 basis points
Market Price and NAV Tracking Closely Large discount or premium that can persist
Traded on Stock Exchange Yes Yes
Liquidity High Low
Subscription/Redemption In-specie No
Ability to Short/Borrow Yes Limited
18
ETFs vs Open-ended Index Funds
ETF Open-ended Index Fund
Expense Structure Low Low
Tracking Error Minimal Higher than ETF
Traded on Stock Exchange Yes No
Add/Remove Exposure Any time market open Daily
Ability to Short/Borrow Yes No
Subscription/Redemption In-specie Cash
19
ETFs vs Index Futures
ETF Index Futures
Expense Structure Low Commission cost in rolling position
Need to Roll Position No Yes – hence roll risk
Margin Calls from Mark-to-Market No Yes
Margin Accounting Complexities None High
Dividends Yes No
Ability to Short Yes Yes
Types and Volume Many Less
Leverage No – but can create leverage by borrowing to
buy ETF
Yes
ETFs Users and Applications
21
ETFs Users
Institutional Investors
Market Intermediaries
Hedge Funds
Financial Advisors
Retail Investors
22
Applications of ETFs
Asset Allocation/Sector & Style
Use ETFs to gain country or sector exposure while limiting stock-specific risk – avoid frustration of the right country or sector choice, but the wrong stock pick
Rebalance allocation anytime during market hours and without the hassles of multi-stocks settlement
Efficient access to markets which have restrictions on foreign capital participation
Build core portfolio cheaply with broad-based & country ETFs and the “satellite” portfolio with industry sector ETFs
23
Core/Satellite Asset Allocation Strategy
Core Investments
Individual Stocks
Sector Funds
Growth
Small-Cap
Large-Cap
Value
資料來源 Source: MSDW 股票研究 MSDW Equity Research
Higher Risk/Higher Reward
Lower Risk/Lower Reward
Equity Risk Pyramid
Individual Stocks
Sector Funds
Large, Mid, Small-Cap Funds
Growth & Value Funds
Broad-based Indices
24
Applications of ETFs
Equitize Cash Inflows
Avoid drag of cash position on equity portfolio returns
achieve temporary equity exposure until portfolio manager decides which stocks to buy
25
Applications of ETFs
Use ETFs to create equitized liquidity reserve
To satisfy redemptions or withdrawals, compared to selling individual stocks, the ETF liquidity reserve can be liquidated
– Quicker
– Easier
– Lower transactions costs
– No effect on individual stock price
Enhance Management of Cash Outflows
26
Applications of ETFs
Hedge Equity Portfolio Exposure
Short ETF position can provide hedge against price declines
Alternative to futures and without the roll risk – especially attractive for institutions which are not permitted or prefer not to use derivatives
Allows the hedging of exposure to specific stock indexes or market segments not available with futures
27
Applications of ETFs
Manager Transition Trades
Facilitate transition of assets from a terminated investment manager to a new investment manager
Liquidate terminated manager’s portfolio and invest in ETFs to maintain equity exposure
When new manager is selected, ETFs can be sold to deliver cash or redeemed to deliver component stocks of ETF to new manager
28
Applications of ETFs
Relative Value, Long/Short Strategies
Strategies can include:
Go Long broad market Indexes, country or sector Indexes expected to outperform
Go Short the broad market Indexes, country or sector Indexes expected to underperform
Position can be leveraged by doubling the size of the long position versus the short
Anticipate sector rotations with long or short positions in industry sector ETFs
29
Privatization of Shares Held by Government
Innovative use of ETFs designed by SSgA – First used by the Hong Kong Government and hence the creation of TraHK
Government repackaging their shareholdings into ETF units and placing the units to institutional and retail investors through an initial public offering
Key advantages are:
Minimal market impact
Stock neutral
Diversifies ownership amongst retail and institutional investors
Broadens the capital markets with the introduction of a new investment product
Recently adapted for the unwinding of cross-holdings of Japanese banks But a crucial difference – there is a lack of new investors and new sources of
liquidity into the Japanese product
Applications of ETFs
Trends and Development of ETFs
31
Midcap SPDR
DIAMOND, Sector SPDRs
QQQs, iUnits 60, TraHK
SPDR
LDRs, iShares,streetTRACKSDJ CN 40, Xact OMX,SATRIX 40
WEBs
462
423
1,055
2,159
6,205
14,598
31,025
$103,242
$74,337
0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001/12/31
DAX, TALI 25, M-S CAC 40, TSE300, XMTCH (SMI)
Worldwide ETF Growth in Assets
Data as of Dec 31, 2001 (USD millions)Source: SSgA ETF group, AMEX
By 28 June 2002, assets under management reached US$120.6b in 238 ETFs
32
Existing Products
SSgA manages more than 33% of the ETF assets worldwide, including:
SPDR, Fortune, Select Sector SPDR, DJ Canada 40, StreetTRACKS, & TraHK
Source: BloombergData as of Jun 30, 2002 (USD Millions)
TraHK3,586
QQQ19,040
iShares MSCI EAFE3,999
OSE Nikkei 2252,687
TSE Topix8,024
iShares S&P 5003,629
MidCap SPDRs5,890
SPDRs26,896
iShares Russell 2000
2,742
DIAMONDS3,430
Others38,072
Select Sector SPDR2,805
33
ETFs in the Global MarketTop 10 Global ETFs by Turnover
Source: SSgA ETF Group, Bloomberg
Rank Name Symbol Tracking Against Daily Turnover
(in USD mn)*
Manager/Trustee
1 NASDAQ-100 Index Tracking Stock
QQQ NASDAQ 100 2,871.6 Bank of New York
2 SPDRs (Standard & Poor’s Depository Receipts)
SPY S&P 500 2,103.5 State Street Global Advisors
3 DIAMONDS Trust DIA Dow Jones Industrial Average
444.5 State Street Global Advisors
4 MidCap SPDRs MDY S&P MidCap 400 Index
114.1 Bank of New York
5 iShare Russell 2000 IWM Russell 2000 71.5 Barclays Global Investors
6 DAXEX DAXEX GR
Germany DAX Index
53.0 IndexChange
7 Master Share CAC 40 CAC FP France CAC 40 Index
42.6 Lyxor Asset Management
8 Select Sector SPDR – Financial Fund
XLF S&P Financial Index
40.0 State Street Global Advisors
9 iShare MSCI EAFE EFA US MSCI EAFE Index 35.4 Barclays Global Investors
10 iUnits S&P/TSE 60 Index Fund
XIU CN Canada S&P / TSE 60 Index
35.2 Barclays Global Investors
* Average daily turnover for the year ended 28 June 2002
34
ETFs in the Global MarketExisting Products AUM : US$120.6b in 238 funds*
N AmericaAUM : US$ 93.5 bn
No. Funds : 118
Europe & Middle EastAUM : US$ 8.9 bn
No. Funds : 93
Asia PacificAUM : US$ 17.6 bn
No. Funds : 24
Source: Morgan Stanley Research
* Data as of 28 June 2002, not including HOLDRS
STI
* Including
Singapore’s first local ETF listed on 17 Apr 2002
South AfricaAUM : US$ 0.6 bn
No. Funds : 3
35
U.S. Lead in ETFs - Reasons for dominance of the US market
First mover advantage
Favorable end-user response
The number of institutional investors reporting holding one or more US listed ETFs or HOLDR has increased to 1,162 in June 2002 from 911 institutions in June 2001
(Source: Morgan Stanley Research and Thomson Financial)
Well developed market infrastructure
Key theme is asset growth
In the 1st half of 2002, assets have grown by US$5.5 billion to about US$93.5 billion and 1 new ETF was launched
36
ETFs in Europe
ETFs are winning investors Significant increase in usage of ETFs by European institutions, from 32 institutions in June 2000
to 246 in June 2002 (Source: Morgan Stanley Research)
Rapid product launches In the 1st half of 2002, there were 21 new ETF launches and assets increased by US$2.9 billion
to about US$8.5 billion
Cross-listing is common As of 28 June 2002, the number of primary listings was 92 but the number of total ETF listings
was 154.
Key theme is pan-Europe sector based ETFs Introduction of Euro
Institutional investors move from country based to sector based allocation
37
ETFs in Asia Pacific
ETFs in Asia Pacific
Hong Kong
Japan
Australia
Singapore
38
ETFs in Hong Kong
Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (TraHK) was the first ETF listed outside North America in 1999
US$4.3 billion IPO the first stage of Hong Kong Government’s disposal of shares purchased in events of August 1998
Tap Mechanism an on-going disposal mechanism for the Government’s remaining holdings
Incentive package with Loyalty Bonuses has resulted in TraHK being less liquid initially than typical ETF of this size
Current assets under management of about US$3.8 billion
Cross-trading iShares in Hong Kong from May 2001
Korea & Taiwan the first 2 of a planned 6
Launch of iShares MSCI China Free in Hong Kong in November 2001 Current assets under management of about US$38 millions for Hong Kong retail investors
39
Observations from TraHK
Local investors prefer local indices
Low cost and transparency are the major appeal
Benefits to the capital market:
More investment choices – benefits investors
Development of long-term equity holding culture – 70% of investors from IPO still retaining their units even after the distribution of all loyalty bonuses
Increased efficiency of index futures pricing
Increased liquidity resulting from arbitrage activities
Active trading of derivatives positive for the development of the product
40
Marketing important aspect especially in the initial stages To increase investor awareness and familiarity
Operationally demanding product Need to interact with numerous parties
Importance of fully integrated systems
Experience is key - steep learning curve and inexperience incurs the risk of developing a flawed product
Extremely profitable business for the stock exchange
Observations from TraHK (Con’td)
41
ETFs in Japan
Japan ‘mass launch’ of 5 ETFs in July 2001
Indices approved for ETF development increased from 4 to 8:
Nikkei 225, Nikkei 300, Topix, S&P Topix 150, MSCI Japan, FTSE Japan, DJ Industrial Average, Nasdaq-100
A total of 17 ETFs listed currently, with total assets of about US$14 bn
60% of the ETF assets came from the injection of crossholdings of Mitsubishi Tokyo Financial Group (MTFG) and Meiji Life.
No clear evidence of strong institutional use of ETFs except for the unwinding of cross-holdings in the above cases by MTFG and Meiji Life.
As these ETF units were created for share unwinding purpose, it has resulted in persistent short futures open interests in the market as well as these ETFs being less liquid than typical ETF of this size.
Product design far from satisfactory
Different creations and redemptions processes due to different interpretation of the trust law by the ETF issuers
Trade basket is typically published more than 1 day prior to the trade date – creates uncertainty in the fund management process especially when large corporate actions are pending.
42
<TRADING VALUE> Jul.01- Feb.2002 Jul.01- Dec.01 Jan.2002
Ratio Ratio Ratio
<Property> 688,727 73% 469,290 77% 59,283 65%
<Brokerage> 256,962 27% 140,366 23% 31,962 35%
<Financial Institutions> 25,632 10% 12,131 9% 5,964 19%
<Investment Trusts> 5 0% 5 0% 0 0%
<Business Companies> 23,392 9% 10,279 7% 3,006 9%
<Securities Companies> 14,438 6% 8,581 6% 1,605 5%
<Individuals- cash> 87,164 34% 51,695 37% 10,236 32%
<Individuals- margin> 60,482 24% 34,419 25% 7,269 23%
<Foreigners> 45,849 18% 23,255 17% 3,881 12%
Japan ETFs - Trading Dominated by Proprietary Trading
Source: Tokyo Stock Exchange
43
ETFs in Australia
ASX 200 & ASX 50 ETFs launched in August 2001 Rapid growth from US$ 40 mn at launch to US$ 114 mn at the end of June 2002
Importance of complementary futures contract
ETF tracking Listed Property Trust Index launched in Feb ’02, with AUM of about US $21mn as at end of June 2002
ETFs(Data as of 28 June 2002)
Source: Bloomberg
Assets under Management
(USD mn)
Average Daily Turnover
(USD)
StreetTRACKS S&P / ASX 200
73.7 4,169,660
StreetTRACKS S&P / ASX 50
14.0 40,000
44
ETFs in Singapore
Cross-listing 5 US ETFs in Singapore from May 2001
SPDR, iShares S&P500 and Diamonds
DJ US Technology
iShare Singapore
streetTRACKS Straits Times Index Fund launched on 17 April 2002
Replicating many key features of TraHK
based on well-known local index
drawing new investors into market (CPF approved)
low cost structure
but no Tap Mechanism or loyalty bonuses => ‘organic growth’
45
ETF Asia Overview
Asia clearly under-represented globally
Why?
Less sophisticated market infrastructures
– settlement, ability to short-sell, etc
Index construction issues - liquidity & concentration
Investor focus has been on active management / stock selection
Limited offering of cost-effective products
– institutions / arbitrageurs very cost sensitive
New funds coming as providers meet demand
Developmental Challenges
47
Developmental Challenges
Regulatory
Funding
Fiscal
Operational
• Hybrid Product• Shareholder Protection• Investment Concentration Restrictions
• Securities Marketplace Infrastructure• Disseminating Information• Settlement• Basket Creation
• Financial Status• Tax on Creations and Redemptions
• Distribution• Incentive Structure• Marketing
48
Service Provider Example: SPDR / TraHK Role
Stock Exchange AMEX/HKEX Conduit for trading Promotes the product
Regulator SEC / SFC Provides the legal infrastructure
Index Provider S&P / HSI Services Engineers the index to be tracked
Investment Manager SSgA Tracks the designated index
Clearing Depository DTC / HK Clearing Settles the transactions
Registrar DTC / Central Registration Registers the units of the trust
Trustee/Custodian State Street Bank & Trust Values the trust and holds trust assets
Market Maker Spear Leeds(for SPDR)
Ensures liquidity Promotes the product
Participating Dealers Securities Houses Ensure fluid trading
Distributor ALPS Mutual Fund Services (for SPDR)
Promote and sell the product
Interaction with Multiple Parties
49
Funding Challenge - Launching by IPO or Seed Capital
Advantages of IPO
Achieve investor awareness immediately
Enable the ETF to gather sufficient assets to attain a economically viable size
Assures liquidity
Equal chance of participation by all investors
50
Both the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong and Satrix40 are one of the most liquid counters traded on their respective exchanges.
Precedents of Launching ETF via IPO
Hong Kong South Africa Brazil
ETF Tracker Fund of Hong Kong
Satrix40To be announced
Promoter EFIL (Hong Kong Government)
CoreCapital Bank, Gensec bank, and
Johannesburg Stock Exchange
Development Bank of Brazil
Date of launch 12 November 1999 27 November 2000 Under preparation
Benchmark Index Hang Seng Index All Share Top 40 Companies
Bovespa Index
Assets under management at launch
HKD 33.3 billion Rand 2.6 billion N/A
Assets under management(as of 31July 2002)
HKD 27.3 billion Rand 3.6 billion N/A
Daily turnover(average for the year ended 31July 2002)
USD 7.5 million USD 1.1 million N/A
51
Funding Challenge - Launching by IPO or Seed Capital (cont’d)
Launching by reliance on seed capital
The main advantage is minimal expense
Disadvantages are:
It will take a much longer time before the assets in the ETF build up – see the example of SPDRs and other ETFs
As a result, liquidity is usually constrained in the initial period
As the APs are not the end-user, there is no new capital inflow into the market
Conclusion
53
Benefits that a Successful ETF can bring to the Capital Market
Increased investor choice
Low cost investment vehicle
Development of long-term equity culture
Benefits of indexation – e.g. enforcing diversification
Can be used as a risk management tool
Increase in market liquidity
ETFs rank among the most liquid counters in most markets
54
So what is a successful ETF?
Asset under management – large
Liquidity – high
Bid/ask spread (re market price) – narrow
Total expense ratio – low
Tracking error against the index – minimal
Difference between traded price and NAV - small
55
The State Street Advantage Product and Personnel Experience
State Street is the pioneer of exchange traded funds (ETFs) – began the design and development of SPDR in 1990 in conjunction with AMEX
Largest, sole service provider of ETFs worldwide with over 33% market share worldwide, including structuring, distribution and management
Manager of US$28 billion SPDR, largest ETF in the world and US$3.8 billion Tracker Fund of Hong Kong, largest ETF in Asia (ex-Japan)
Preferred partner of stock exchanges to development their system platform for ETFs
AMEX, Toronto Exchange, Hong Kong Exchange, Singapore Exchange, Australia Exchange
Invested and committed significant time and resources in the development of ETFs that vary by legal structure and trade under different market conditions
Specialists are involved in every step of the ETF process, from development, to conversion, and to successful implementation in North America, Europe and Asia - dedicated, experienced ETF Asian Team