A Path to Victory

8/12/2019 A Path to Victory

1/20

THE PATH TO VICTORY


2/20

3 ABOUT THE RSLC

4RSLC LEADERSHIP

6SHAPING THE PARTYS FUTURE

8NATIONAL STATE OF PLAY

9EARLY SIGNS OF STRENGTH

10TARGET STATES

12TRENDS

15PREDICTIONS

19STAFF CONTACTS


3/20

ABOUT THE RSLC

JFI invests in citizen education efforts to ensure voters know the record andideology of candidates for judicial branch elections.

The Republican State Leadership Committee (RSLC) is the largest caucus of Republican state leadersin the country whose mission is to elect down-ballot, state-level Republican of ceholders. Since 2002,the RSLC has been electing candidates to the of ce of lieutenant governor, attorney general, secretaryof state and state legislator.

The RLCC has a strong track record of success in targeting resources to helpbuild and grow Republican legislative majorities in all fty states. Republican-led states lead the way in addressing our nations most critical issues throughbalancing budgets, eliminating debt and growing jobs.

The RLGA is the only national organization supporting Republican lieutenantgovernors and candidates. As executive officers, most lieutenant governorspreside over their S tate S enates. Several appoint all boards andcommittees. Republican lieutenant governors actively champion robust

policies to create pro-business climates within their states.

The RSSC supports the Republican leaders who maintain the integrity ofthe nations electoral system. In addition to conducting fair elections, manysecretaries also oversee corporation registration, professional licensing andperform other critical tasks that encourage economic development.

FMP creates a long-term, sustained commitment of signi cant contributions of

time and resources to support and elect female and diverse candidates. FMPbrings the full support offered by the RSLC to candidates who re ect Americasfull diversity.

3


4/20

RSLC BOARD MEMBERS

Bill McCollum, ChairmanFormer U.S. Congressman &

Attorney General, Florida

Christopher Rants, Vice ChairmanFormer Speaker, Iowa

Christine TorettiFounder, Women Lead PAC

David WilkinsFormer U.S. Ambassador, Canada

Charlie BlackChairman, Prime Policy Group

Luis FortuoFormer Governor, Puerto Rico

Matt Walter RSLC President

4


5/20

RSLC LEADERSHIP

Tate ReevesLieutenant Governor, MS

RLGA Chairman

Rebecca Klee schLieutenant Governor, WI

Right Women, Right Now Co-Chair

Susana MartinezGovernor, New Mexico

Future Majority Project Co-Chair

Brian KempSecretary of State, GA

RSSC Chairman

Kim WymanSecretary of State, WA

Right Women, Right Now Co-Chair

Brian SandovalGovernor, Nevada

Future Majority Project Co-Chair

Sam SmithSpeaker of the House, PA

RLCC Chairman

Beth HarwellSpeaker of the House, TN

Right Women, Right Now Co- Chair

5


6/20

HAPING THE PARTYS FUTURE

BUILDING THE BENCHState-level leaders often go on to serve at the federal level. In the 113th Congress, more than half ofthe members of the U.S. House and U.S. Senate got their start as state-level leaders.

U.S. HOUSE U.S. SENATE

Previous occupations of the 113th Congress:

10 Governors 8 Lieutenant Governors 7 Secretaries of State 262 State Legislators

Additionally, more than half of the nations current governors previously servedin other state-level of ces.

REPUBLICANS CURRENTLY HOLD

DIGITAL INVESTMENTS

Launched in 2014, .gop is the preferred domain name for all Republicansand conservatives online. The RSLC joins hundreds of other innovativecompanies in running a proprietary web ending. As the only politicalparty in the world to run its own web ending, .gop makes history byconnecting and uniting the entire Party in an online neighborhood andcreating a national support structure for digital initiatives. The registrypositions the RSLC and the Party on the cutting edge. Visit join.gop tosecure your domain today.

60 of 99 Legislativechambers

28 of 45 Lieutenantgovernors

28 of 50Secretaries

of state

6


7/20

SHAPING THE PARTYS FUTURE

FUTURE MAJORITY PROJECTThe Future Majority Project (FMP) seeks to recruit, train andsupport candidates that better reflect the full diversity of America. Wehave exceeded FMP goals for 2014 by identifying 200 first-timecandidates from diverse backgrounds and 300 new womencandidates as part of the Right Women, Right Now initiative. FMP willsupport these men and women as they run to grow the economy,support job creators and focus on ways to keep more money in thepockets of working families.The Future Majority Project is co-chaired by Governors Susana Martinez(NM) and Brian Sandoval (NV).

RIGHT WOMEN, RIGHT NOW

Co-Chaired by Lieutenant Governor Rebecca Klee sch (WI), SecretaryKim Wyman (WA) and Speaker Beth Harwell (TN), Right Women,Right Now offers training, support, mentorship and events for womenrunning for office for the first time and leadership opportunities forcurrent elected women.

FUTURE MAJORITY CAUCUS

The Future Majority Caucus is a cooperative board of 25 recently elected,diverse Republicans serving in state legislatures across the nation.Together, they work to expand the scope of recruitment and mentorshipfor candidates of all diverse communities and assist with setting andachieving FMP recruitment goals.

JUDICIAL FAIRNESS INITIATIVEThe Judicial Fairness Initiative (JFI) is the RSLCs newest program toelect down ballot, state-level conservatives. Through JFI, the RSLCbecomes the only national political organization focused on the electoralprocess of judicial branches at the state level. Too often voters are starvedof information about judicial candidates and forced to vote completely inthe dark. To address this critically important need, JFI provides research,resource uni cation, citizen education and voter contact to support them.

7


8/20

NATIONAL STATE OF PLAY

8


9/20

EARLY SIGNS OF STRENGTH

FAVORABLE POLITICAL LANDSCAPE

History shows the generic congressional ballot and presidents approval rating a re reliable leadingindicators for down-ballot races in midterms. When the presidents approval rating is below 50%, hisparty suffers massive losses on the state level.

President Obamas approval rating hovers around 41% .

1974

President Nixons

Approval Rating:

24%Democratic seats

gained:

628

1994 President Clintons

Approval Rating:

46%Democratic seats

gained:

514

2006

President Bushs

Approval Rating:

39%

Democratic seatsgained:

322

The Fiscal Times list of Best States for Taxes was dominated by states withRepublican Legislatures. The red states took 4 of the top 5 and 7 of the top 10 spots.

CNBC noted for 2013 that 9 of the top 10 states for business were states completelycontrolled by Republican legislatures.

The Tax Foundations 2014 top 10 states for business tax climate included 7 states whereRepublicans control both houses of the legislature.

9


10/20

TARGET STATES

Note: Tese maps are intended to demonstrate where the campaigns to claim the majority are most competitive and are not inclusive of where all resources will be directed.

10


11/20

TARGET STATES

Note: Tese maps are intended to demonstrate the most competitive state races and are not inclusive of where all resources will be directed.11


12/20

TRENDS

OBAMA REPUDIATION STATESWhile President Obama struggles to top 35% approval in these four states, each with high pro le U.S.Senate races that will highlight the failure of Obama policies, Republicans are positioned to protect theirnew majorities in the Alaska Senate and both chambers of the Arkansas Legislature. After sweepingchanges in recent years in Southern states, the Kentucky House and West Virginia Legislature are thelast remaining Democrat majorities poised for a Republican takeover.

MIDWESTERN REFORMERS CEMENTING REPUBLICAN MAJORITIESOne of the most dramatic shifts in the 2010 elections occurred when Republicans swept four governorsraces in the Great Lakes region with success in winning constitutional of ces and across-the-boardlegislative majorities. Despite all four states going blue in the 2013 Presidential race, state-levelRepublicans retained control and have an opportunity to strengthen majorities with victories thisNovember.

WISCONSINGov. Walker and Lt. Gov.Klee sch are poised towin re-election while the

Assembly and Senatemajorities should grow.

MICHIGANRepublicans arepositioned for a continuedstatewide of ce sweep.

OHIOStatewide Republicansremain strong whileDemocrats struggle;public polling showsthat the state is on theright track.

PENNSYLVANIAObamas record-lownumbers are draggingdown Democrats.

Note: Te above percentages represent recent Obama polling numbers.

25.1%

34.9%

33.5%

35.1%

WEST VIRGINIA ALASKA

KENTUCKY ARKANSAS

12


13/20

TRENDS

POPULAR REPUBLICAN GOVERNORS BUILDING NEW MAJORITIESRepublican Governors Sandoval (NV), Martinez (NM) and Branstad (IA) in Presidential swing statesremain consistently popular, drawing weak opposition on their march to reelection. Governors Sandovaland Martinez also serve as co-chairs of the Future Majority Project. Each share the ticket with high

profile statewide and legislative races important to building a Republican team that will support theiagendas in the next term.

NEVADA

Republicans seek to win one seatfor a Senate majority, defeatHarry Reids handpickedlieutenant governor candidateand pick up the open sea t forsecretary of state.

CALIFORNIANarrow Democrat super majoritiesare vulnerable with Republicanswithin striking distance of breakingthem in both chambers.

NEW MEXICO

Republicans look to win threeseats for the House majority anddefend the lieutenant governorand secretary of state.

OREGONSenate Republicans are withintwo seats of a majority. The Houseis positioned for gains.

IOWA

Republicans are positioned tohold the lieutenant governor andsecretary of state along withthe House, and aim to capturethe Senate.

WASHINGTONSecretary of State Kim Wymanis well-positioned as the solestatewide elected Republican.The Senate Republican MajorityCoalition remains strong.

MOMENTUM OF THE LEFT COASTRepublicans hold a majority coalition in the Washington Senate and a favorable political environment

offers opportunities to challenge Democratic control and make gains up and down the West Coast.Washington House Republicans have gained seats in four straight election years. In Oregon, the Senateis narrowly divided and the House had split control after the 2010 elections. California Democrats arereeling since three recent legislators have been arrested, indicted or convicted of corruption.

13


14/20

TRENDS

Momentum is building for Republicans from coast to coast. In red states and in solidly blue states wevenoticed several Republican pickups as a result of strong candidates, solid ground game, exceptionalcampaigns and a focus on winning conservative issues.

RECENT NOTABLE ELECTIONS AND VICTORIES

ARKANSASRepublicans expanded anew Senate majority bywinning a special electionin a district not held sinceReconstruction.

WISCONSINJessie Rodriguezbecame the rst Latinarepresentative in the stateshistory.

VIRGINIARepublicans expanded toa 68-seat super-majority inthe House of Delegateswith a pickup in a 55%Obama District.

WASHINGTONJan Angel won the SD-26special election - the mostexpensive legislative race instate history.

CALIFORNIA Andy Vidak won a Senatespecial election, the rsttime either party ippedcontrol of a seat in aspecial election since 1996 .

KENTUCKYSuzanne Miles securedvictory in a district witha 3-to-1 Democraticregistration advantage.

NOTABLE WOMEN ELECTED IN BATTLEGROUND STATES IN 2013

14


15/20

PREDICTIONS

On Election Day 2014, Republicans will reach historic highs in chamber control, ipping the narrowDemocratic majorities in the Colorado Senate, Nevada Senate, New Mexico House, Kentucky Houseand West Virginia House. Republicans will also win back control in the Minnesota House and NewHampshire House after 2012 losses. The GOP will cement majorities in the Alaska Senate, Arkansas

House, Iowa House, Michigan House, Ohio House, Pennsylvania House and both chambers in Arizona and Wisconsin, while protecting Republican majority coalitions in the New York Senate and theWashington Senate.

15


16/20

PREDICTIONS

Defeating Harry Reids handpicked candidate, Republicans will defend an open seat in Nevada. Additionally, Republicans will hold seats across the board and win the vacant seat in Arkansas. Witha strong political environment and good campaigns, the Republican wave will extend to victories inConnecticut, Illinois and Massachusetts.

16


17/20

PREDICTIONS

Republicans will pick up a term-limited open seat in Nevada, while holding open Republican-heldseats in the key Presidential campaign states of Arizona, Colorado and Iowa. Popular incumbentsin Arkansas, Michigan, New Mexico and Ohio will also be re -elected.

17


18/20

WHAT THEY ARE SAYING

As Republicans look ahead to Election Day 2014, con dence at the state level is growing. With positivemomentum, a favorable and improving environment and a comprehensive strategy to defend our pastvictories, we have many opportunities to gain ground this November. For more than 12 years, theRepublican State Leadership Committee has successfully invested in and won elections across

the nation. Partnering with state leaders, donors and the grassroots, we have helped build a strongbench of current and future leaders for our Party. We are proud that Republicans maintainoverwhelming majorities across the country, and we remain committed to helping grow thesenumbers in 2014.

18

"REPUBLICANS WIN APPROVAL FOR '.GOP' IN A

POTENTIAL BOON FOR ONLINE ORGANIZING"


19/20

STAFF CONTACTSMatt Walter President [email protected] (202) 448-5163

Erin VeltmanExecutive Director, RLCC [email protected](202) 448-5275?

Erin EhrichExecutive Roundtable Director [email protected](202) 448-5164

Jill Bader

Communications Director [email protected](202) 448-5271

Jesse Adams Executive Director, RLGA

[email protected](202) 448-5276

Anne Thomas Finance Coordinator [email protected] (202) 448-5166

Neri MartinezFuture Majority Project Director [email protected](202) 448-7986

Jessica Simmons Executive Director, RSSC

[email protected](202) 448-8797

Will Martinez.gop Registry [email protected] (202) 448-7988

Justin Richards

Political Director [email protected] (202) 448-5272

19


20/20

1201 F Street Northwest, Suite 675, Washington, D.C. 20004 www.rslc.gop

(202) 448-5160

Documents

A Path to Victory