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Ting FU A Novel Approach to Evaluate Pedestrian Safety at Unsignalized Crossings using Trajectory Data Ting Fu Supervisor: Luis Miranda-Moreno, Nicolas Saunier

A Novel Approach to Evaluate Pedestrian Safety at ...Collision Risk Measures –Event Analysis Interaction intensity measures: TC & DRSY Time to Crossing (TC) –the time required

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Page 1: A Novel Approach to Evaluate Pedestrian Safety at ...Collision Risk Measures –Event Analysis Interaction intensity measures: TC & DRSY Time to Crossing (TC) –the time required

Ting FU

A Novel Approach to Evaluate Pedestrian Safety

at Unsignalized Crossings using Trajectory Data

Ting Fu

Supervisor: Luis Miranda-Moreno, Nicolas Saunier

Page 2: A Novel Approach to Evaluate Pedestrian Safety at ...Collision Risk Measures –Event Analysis Interaction intensity measures: TC & DRSY Time to Crossing (TC) –the time required

1. Motivation & Literature Review

2. Framework Description

4. Conclusion & Future Work

Outline

3. Model Illustration – Case Study

Page 3: A Novel Approach to Evaluate Pedestrian Safety at ...Collision Risk Measures –Event Analysis Interaction intensity measures: TC & DRSY Time to Crossing (TC) –the time required

1. Motivation & Literature Review

Page 4: A Novel Approach to Evaluate Pedestrian Safety at ...Collision Risk Measures –Event Analysis Interaction intensity measures: TC & DRSY Time to Crossing (TC) –the time required

Unsignalized Locations – Not “controlled by traffic signal” (UIIG 2016)

Uncontrolled, no device assigning right-of-way

Yielding sign controlled

Stop controlled

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Volume is relatively low, but crash frequency keeps high

US – over 70 % fatal crashes, 2010-2012

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Past Methodologies

undergoing literature review project

Evaluated using

Historical Crash Data

Road Safety

Estimated using Factors

Associated with Crashes

Road Traffic

Conflicts

Behavior and Compliance

Perception of Safety

Crash Risk

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Past Methodologies

Behavior Measures – Yielding behavior, crossing decision measures

Traffic Conflict Techniques (TCT) – PET, TTC, ET etc.

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Past Methodologies

Hyden’s Pyramid

Behavior & Conflicts - Refined

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Past Methodologies

Limitations of Currently used Conflict & Behavior Measures

Conflict – not quite suitable

• TTC – constant velocity

• PET – waiting is ignored

• Severity not included (speed)

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Past Methodologies

Limitations of Currently used Conflict & Behavior Measures

Behavior – less explored, and much unexplained

• Yielding – situation of being too close

• Crossing – narrowly studied, off-road experiments

• Quantify event severity using behaviors is limited

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Motivation

99 % of crashes were due to human factors – behavior/reaction

Find a potential solution using behavior measures that could address all the previous mentioned issues

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2. Methodological Framework

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The Framework for Pedestrian Safety

Fu et al., TRB 2017, submitted to AAP (Minor Revision Required)

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Main

Assumptions

Model

Explanation

Safety Measures

• Behavior Measures

✓Yielding compliance

✓Crossing decision

• Collision Risk Measures

✓Time to Crossing

✓Deceleration Rate Required to Stop

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Main Assumptions

Drivers: perfect knowledge of being able to stop in front of the crosswalk.

Maximum deceleration rate: decided by the pavement friction rate.

showing intention or starts to cross the street

Approaches with a constant speed

Perception-ReactionBrakingReaction

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Some Basic Definitions

Pedestrian Occurrence

Pedestrian Crossing Decisions

Pedestrian Groups

Refer to Fu et al., AAP for details.

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Main

Assumptions

Model

Explanation

Safety Measures

• Behavior Measures

✓Yielding compliance

✓Crossing decision

• Collision Risk Measures

✓Time to Crossing

✓Deceleration Rate Required to Stop

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Model Explanation

Based on these assumptions, whether the driver is able to stop can be decided by the distance (D) and approaching speed (v) of the vehicle

Minimum stopping distance (𝐷𝑚𝑖𝑛) - the minimum required distance for the vehicle to make a stop (stop distance)

𝐷𝑚𝑖𝑛 = 𝑣𝑡𝑟 +𝑣2

2𝑔(𝜇𝑚𝑎𝑥−𝜃)

If D > Dmin, they are required to stop

As 𝑡𝑟 ∈ [𝑡𝑟_𝑚𝑖𝑛 , 𝑡𝑟_𝑚𝑎𝑥],

𝑫𝒎𝒊𝒏 ∈ [𝑫𝟎, 𝑫𝟏] = [𝒗𝒕𝒓_𝒎𝒊𝒏 +𝒗𝟐

𝟐𝒈(𝝁𝒎𝒂𝒙−𝜽), 𝒗𝒕𝒓_𝒎𝒂𝒙 +

𝒗𝟐

𝟐𝒈(𝝁𝒎𝒂𝒙−𝜽)]

where 𝑣 is the approaching speed of the vehicle, 𝑡𝑟 is the perception-reaction time, 𝜇𝑚𝑎𝑥 is the maximum friction rate the road can provide for braking, 𝑔 is the acceleration of gravity, 𝜃 is the slope angle of the road. When vehicle distance is greater than the minimum stopping distance, they are required to stop and yield.

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Model Explanation

0

10

20

30

40

0 3 6 9 12 15

Dis

tan

ce (

m)

Velocity (m/s)

Line A - Distance and velocity of the approaching vehicle

When pedestrian appears

When pedestrian crossing decision is made

Breaking Maneuver After Reaction

Phase I vehicles cannot make full stop

𝑫𝟏

𝑫𝟎

Phase III Vehicles can yield

Phase II Yielding depends on reaction time

Line A

Braking maneuver after reaction

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Main

Assumptions

Model

Explanation

Safety Measures

• Behavior Measures

✓Yielding compliance

✓Crossing decision

• Collision Risk Measures

✓Time to Crossing

✓Deceleration Rate Required to Stop

Page 21: A Novel Approach to Evaluate Pedestrian Safety at ...Collision Risk Measures –Event Analysis Interaction intensity measures: TC & DRSY Time to Crossing (TC) –the time required

Behavior Measures

0

10

20

30

40

0 3 6 9 12 15

Non-yielding Violation

Confusing Non-yielding Maneuver

Non-infraction Non-yielding

𝑫𝟏

𝑫𝟎

III

II

I

Dis

tan

ce (

m)

Velocity (m/s)

Yielding Behavior

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Behavior Measures

Yielding Ratios

Yielding Rate - Portion of vehicles that yield among all the interactions of interest

Yielding Compliance - Portion of vehicles that yield right-of-way among the drivers who are physically able to yield when they pay attention

0

10

20

30

40

0 3 6 9 12 15

Dis

tan

ce (

m)

Speed (m/s)

Phase I

𝑫𝟏

𝑫𝟎

Phase III

Phase II

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Behavior Measures

Uncertainty Zone

0

10

20

30

40

0 3 6 9 12 15

Dis

tan

ce (

m)

Speed (m/s)

Phase I

𝑫𝟏

𝑫𝟎

Phase III

Phase II

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Behavior Measures

Crossing decision – Ratios of Crossing Decisions

0

10

20

30

40

0 3 6 9 12 15

Safe Crossing Decision

Risky Crossing Decision

Dangerous Crossing Decision

𝑫𝟏

𝑫𝟎

III

II

I

Dis

tan

ce (

m)

Velocity (m/s)

Page 25: A Novel Approach to Evaluate Pedestrian Safety at ...Collision Risk Measures –Event Analysis Interaction intensity measures: TC & DRSY Time to Crossing (TC) –the time required

Collision Risk Measures – Event Analysis

Interaction intensity measures: TC & DRSY

Time to Crossing (TC) – the time required for the vehicle to reach the pedestrian crossing path if continuing at constant speed, presented as

TC =𝐷

𝑉

Deceleration Rate Required to Stop (DRS) – average deceleration rate required for the vehicle to stop and give right-of-way to pedestrians, assuming the driver pays attention to the pedestrian

𝐷𝑅𝑆 =𝑣2

2 𝐷−𝑣𝑡𝑟_𝑚𝑖𝑛, 𝑖𝑓 𝐷 > 𝑣𝑡𝑟_𝑚𝑖𝑛

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Model Description

Model Illustration Through A Case Study

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3. Case Study

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Sites

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Data Collection

GoPro’s Hero Edition cameras are used in HD resolution

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Data Processing – check the paper for details

Semi-automated

using automatically extracted trajectories

manually identified events - pedestrian occurrences & crossing decisions

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Data Processing – check the paper for details

Under the help the tracker in the open source Traffic Intelligence project

Step 3: Filter and Mark

Interactions

Manually find the

interactions of interest

Record the timestamp of

pedestrian occurrence

Record the timestamp of

pedestrian crossing

decision

Step 1: Trajectory Data

Extraction from Video

Output

Trajectory data saved in

SQLite files

Traffic Intelligence

Tracker

Input

Video Data

Step 2: Preparation of Trajectory Data

Trajectory Data

Sites need multiple

camera installations

Check the start time of

video recording

Record the time offsets

of camera views for

synchronization

Yes No

Step 4: Data Extraction for

the DV Framework

Input - Trajectory Data,

and Timestamps of

Occurrence & Crossing

Script to Extract Vehicle

Location and Speed Data

Output - Vehicle

Distance and Velocity of

each Interaction

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Sample Outputs

Vehicle trajectory through multiple cameras

0

15

30

45

0 3 6 9 12 15

Dis

tan

ce (

m)

Velocity (m/s)

Page 33: A Novel Approach to Evaluate Pedestrian Safety at ...Collision Risk Measures –Event Analysis Interaction intensity measures: TC & DRSY Time to Crossing (TC) –the time required

Results – Vehicle Yielding

Painted

0

20

40

60

0 5 10 15 20

Dis

tan

ce (

m)

Velocity (m/s)

Pedestrian Occurance of Yielding Maneuvers Pedestrian Occurrence of Non-yieldings

0 5 10 15 20

Velocity (m/s)

Unprotected

0 5 10 15 20

Velocity (m/s)

Stop Sign Controlled

DV plot for yielding behavior

Page 34: A Novel Approach to Evaluate Pedestrian Safety at ...Collision Risk Measures –Event Analysis Interaction intensity measures: TC & DRSY Time to Crossing (TC) –the time required

Results – Vehicle Yielding

Yielding rate (YR) Yielding compliance (YC)

Painted 47.4 % 64.3 %

Unprotected 8.7 % (worst) 10.8 % (worst)

Stop Sign Controlled 77.8 % (best) 77.8 % (best)

Behavior Measures

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Results – Vehicle Yielding

0

4

8

12

16

Painted Unprotected Stop Sign

TC

(s)

0

2

4

6

8

Painted Unprotected Stop Sign

DR

S (

m/s

2)

Collision Risk Measures

Page 36: A Novel Approach to Evaluate Pedestrian Safety at ...Collision Risk Measures –Event Analysis Interaction intensity measures: TC & DRSY Time to Crossing (TC) –the time required

Results – Pedestrian Crossing Decisions

0

20

40

60

0 5 10 15 20

Dis

tan

ce (

m)

Velocity (m/s)

Successive Crossing Attempts Forced-back Crossing Attempts

0

20

40

60

0 5 10 15 20

Velocity (m/s)

0

20

40

60

0 5 10 15 20

Velocity (m/s)

DV plot for yielding behavior

Painted Unprotected Stop Sign Controlled

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0

4

8

12

16

Painted Unprotected Stop Sign

TC

(s)

0

2

4

6

8

Painted Unprotected Stop Sign

DR

S (

m/s

2)

Results – Pedestrian Crossing Decisions

Collision Risk Measures

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Discussion

Results generally meet the framework assumptions. For instance, no single yielding maneuver is observed for interactions in situation 1) / Phase I.

Significant differences with huge variance between the yielding rate and the compliance were observed for the different crosswalk types.

Comparison results show that crosswalk with stop sign performs best for pedestrian safety, while the unprotected crosswalk is the least safe.

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6. Conclusions & Future Work

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Conclusions

A new framework is proposed to study pedestrian-vehicle interactions in a potentially more precise and microscopic way.

It can be used for different purposes including treatment evaluation, behavior analysis, safety monitoring (violation detecting), pedestrian-vehicle interaction modeling, and improving yielding enforcement policy.

Results from the case study indicate the framework works reasonably. However, the model needs to be further validated through a sufficiently large number of observations

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Data

Model Improve

Machine Learning

Tracking through multiple cameras

Pedestrian body movement detection

Drone data

GPS data

3D LiDAR

Model Apply

Weather & Pavement

Possibility instead of Phases

Weather & Pavement

More data for Validation

Turning vehicles

Adjust for signalized intersections

Video

Others

Treatment Validation

Behavior Analysis –Distraction etc.

Geometric Designs –Parking & Plants

Interaction Simulations

Autonomous vehicle -Performance validation

ETC.Cyclist – Pedestrian

Interactions

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Almost Done

Project 1: Literature Review on Methodologies in InvestigatingPedestrian Safety at Unsignalized Crossings

Project 2: Literature Review on Stop Sign Safety & OperationEfficiency: Methodologies, Topics and Limitations

Undergoing

Project 3: Investigating Pedestrian Safety at UnsignalizedLocations with Different Traffic Control Methods underDifferent Geometric Conditions

Project 4: Cycling Attitude and Behavior towards Pedestriansin Shared Spaces using the DV Framework

Finished

1. T. Fu*, S. Zangenehpour, P. St-Aubin, L. Fu, and L. F.Miranda-Moreno. “Using Microscopic Video DataMeasures for Driver Behavior Analysis during AdverseWinter Weather: Opportunities and Challenges”, Journal ofModern Transportation, 2015. (ESCI) – Journal Article

2. T. Fu*, L. F. Miranda-Moreno, and N. Saunier. “PedestrianCrosswalk Safety at Non-signalized Crossings duringNighttime using Thermal Video Data and Surrogate SafetyMeasures”, Transportation Research Record: Journal of theTransportation Research Board, 2016 (SCI) – Journal Article

3. T. Fu*, J. Stipancic, S. Zangenhpour, L.F. Miranda-Moreno,and N. Saunier. “A Comparison of Regular and ThermalCameras for Traffic Data Collection under Varying Lightingand Temperature Conditions in MultimodalEnvironments”, Journal of Advanced Transportation, 2017(SCI) – Journal Article

4. T. Fu*, L. Miranda-Moreno, and N. Saunier. “AutomaticTraffic Data Collection under Varying Lighting andTemperature Conditions in Multimodal Environments:Thermal versus Visible Spectrum Video-Based Systems”,submitted to Accident Analysis & Prevention (MinorCorrection Required), 2017 (SSCI) – Journal Article

5. T. Fu*, D. Beitel, B. Navarro, L. Miranda-Moreno, and N.Saunier. “Investigating Cyclist-Pedestrian Interactions andCyclist & Pedestrian Behavior using a Novel Distance-Velocity Model”, submitted to Transportation ResearchPart F, 2017 (SSCI) – Journal Article

Representative Work

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Thank you!

Questions or comments?

[email protected]