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A Global View of Entrepreneurship Global Entrepreneurship Monitor 2012 Donna Kelley, Babson College REITI Workshop Tokyo Japan January 21, 2001

A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

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Page 1: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

A Global View of Entrepreneurship Global Entrepreneurship Monitor 2012

Donna Kelley, Babson College

REITI Workshop

Tokyo Japan January 21, 2001

Page 2: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

In 2012, its 14th year, GEM surveyed 198,000 adults in 69 economies

In 1999, GEM launched its survey on entrepreneurship in 10

developed economies

Page 3: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

Efficiency-Driven Argentina, Barbados, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, El Salvador, Mexico, Panama, Peru, Trinidad & Tobago, Uruguay

GEM Regions

Latin America & Caribbean

United States

European Union Efficiency-Driven Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania

Innovation-Driven Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, UK

Middle East & North Africa Factor-Driven Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Palestine

Efficiency-Driven Tunisia

Innovation-Driven Israel

Factor-Driven Angola, Botswana, Ethiopia, Ghana, Malawi, Nigeria, Uganda, Zambia

Sub-Saharan Africa Efficiency-Driven Namibia, South Africa

Asia Pacific & South Asia Factor-Driven Pakistan Efficiency-Driven: China, Malaysia, Thailand

Innovation-Driven: Japan, Republic of Korea, Singapore, Taiwan

Non-European Union Efficiency-Driven Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Macedonia, Russia, Turkey

Innovation-Driven Norway, Switzerland

Page 4: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

Factor-Driven Economies

Innovation-Driven Economies

Increased industrialization and economies of scale.

Basic Requirements Efficiency Enhancers Entrepreneurship Conditions

From subsistence agriculture to extraction of natural resources.

Greater R&D, knowledge intensity, and expanding service sector. More potential for innovation.

Efficiency-Driven Economies

Economic Development Levels

Page 5: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

Entrepreneurship Profile

The GEM Model Basic Requirements • Institutions • Infrastructure • Macroeconomic Stability • Health and Primary Education

Efficiency Enhancers • Higher Education and Training • Goods Market Efficiency • Labour Market Efficiency • Financial Market Sophistication • Technological Readiness • Market Size

Innovation and Entrepreneurship • Entrepreneurial Finance • Government Policies • Government Entrepreneurship

Programs • Entrepreneurship Education • R&D Transfer • Commercial & Legal Infrastructure • Internal Market Openness • Physical Infrastructure • Cultural and Social Norms

Attitudes: Perceived opportunities and capabilities; Fear of failure; Status of entrepreneurship

Activity: Opportunity/Necessity driven; Early stage; Inclusiveness; Industry; Exits

Aspirations: Growth; Innovation; International orientation; Social value creation

Social Economic Development

(Jobs, Innovation, Social value)

Established Firms

Employee Entrepreneurship Activity

From Gem Adult Population Survey (APS)

From Gem 2011 Adult Population Survey (APS)

Social Cultural, Political, Context

From other available sources

From Gem National Expert Surveys

Page 6: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

GEM Global Report: 2012

• Entrepreneurial Attitudes • Entrepreneurship Activity • Regional Studies

• United States • Asia Pacific and Southeast Asia

• Special Topic: Immigrant Entrepreneurship

Page 7: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

GEM Global Report: 2012

• Entrepreneurial Attitudes • Entrepreneurship Activity • Regional Studies

• United States • Asia Pacific and Southeast Asia

• Special Topic: Immigrant Entrepreneurship

Page 8: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

Perceived Opportunities and Capabilities in Select GEM Economies, 2012

0102030405060708090

100

Iran

Egyp

t

Nig

eria

Russ

ia

Chin

a

Sout

h Af

rica

Mal

aysia

Thai

land

Braz

il

Colo

mbi

a

Japa

n

Kore

a

Spai

n

Sing

apor

e

Uni

ted

Stat

es

Swed

en

FACTOR EFFICIENCY INNOVATION

Perceived opportunities Perceived capabilities

Page 9: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

Fear of Failure Rates in Select GEM Economies, 2012

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Mal

awi

Iran

Tuni

sia

Sout

h Af

rica

Braz

il

Chin

a

Mal

aysia

Russ

ia

Thai

land

Slov

enia

Uni

ted

Stat

es

Taiw

an

Sing

apor

e

Kore

a

Japa

n

Gree

ce

FACTOR EFFICIENCY INNOVATION

Page 10: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

GEM Global Report: 2012

• Entrepreneurial Attitudes

• Entrepreneurship Activity • Regional Studies

• United States • Asia Pacific and Southeast Asia

• Special Topic: Immigrant Entrepreneurship

Page 11: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

Total early-stage Entrepreneurial Activity

(TEA)

The Entrepreneurship Process

Intentions

Potential Entrepreneurs:

Beliefs and Attitudes

Nascent

New

Established

Discontinuance

Page 12: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

Total Entrepreneurship Activity (TEA) in the Adult Population (18-64 years of age) in 69 economies, 2012

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Egyp

tAl

geria

Pale

stin

eIra

nPa

kist

anEt

hiop

iaBo

tsw

ana

Ango

laN

iger

iaM

alaw

iU

gand

aG

hana

Zam

bia

Russ

iaTu

nisia

Lith

uani

aM

aced

onia

Mal

aysia

Sout

h Af

rica

Bosn

ia a

nd H

erze

govi

naCr

oatia

Rom

ania

Hung

ary

Pola

ndPa

nam

aM

exic

oTu

rkey

Chin

aLa

tvia

Esto

nia

Uru

guay

Trin

idad

& T

obag

oCo

sta

Rica

El S

alva

dor

Braz

ilBa

rbad

osN

amib

iaAr

gent

ina

Thai

land

Colo

mbi

aPe

ruCh

ileEc

uado

rJa

pan

Italy

Fran

ceBe

lgiu

mG

erm

any

Denm

ark

Slov

enia

Spai

nSw

itzer

land

Finl

and

Irela

ndSw

eden

Gre

ece

Isra

elKo

rea

Nor

way

Taiw

anPo

rtug

alU

nite

d Ki

ngdo

mAu

stria

Slov

akia

Net

herla

nds

Sing

apor

eU

nite

d St

ates

FACTOR-DRIVEN EFFICIENCY-DRIVEN INNOVATION-DRIVEN

Page 13: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

Necessity-Driven Portion of TEA in Select GEM Economies, 2012

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

Paki

stan

Ethi

opia

Russ

ia

Mal

aysia

Sout

h Af

rica

Bosn

ia a

nd H

erze

govi

na

Chin

a

Braz

il

Thai

land

Colo

mbi

a

Japa

n

Swed

en

Kore

a

Taiw

an

Slov

akia

Sing

apor

e

Uni

ted

Stat

es

FACTOR EFFICIENCY INNOVATION

Necessity Portion of TEA Non-necessity Portion of TEA

Page 14: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

0

5

10

15

20

25

Factor-Driven(average)

Efficiency-Driven(average)

Innovation-Driven(average)

Early-stage entrepreneurial activity (TEA)Established business ownership rate

Comparison of TEA and Established Business Ownership Rates by Economic Development Level

Page 15: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

Reasons for Business Discontinuance

• 52% of those discontinuing businesses in sub-Saharan Africa cited lack of finance or unprofitability – 39% in Asia Pacific/South Asia cited these reasons

• 20% of those discontinuing businesses in the EU did so because they sold the business, retired, or pursued another opportunity – 10% in MENA cited these reasons

Page 16: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

Age Distribution of Entrepreneurs

• In general, a bell shaped curve with participation most frequent at 25-34 years of age – 35-44 year olds most prominent in Chile, Korea Rep.,

Singapore Netherlands, UK, USA

• More older entrepreneurs in Latin America/Caribbean and sub-Saharan Africa – 1/3 of entrepreneurs are 45-64 years old

• Youth more prevalent in the non-EU – ½ between 18-34 years of age

Page 17: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

Latin America &Caribbean

Middle East &North Africa

Sub-SaharanAfrica

Asia Pacific &South Asia

European Union Non-EuropeanUnion

United States

Male (%TEA)

Female (%TEA)

Male To Female Participation In Early-stage Entrepreneurial Activity

Page 18: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

Economies with at Least Equal Participation by Women in Entrepreneurship, Compared with Men, GEM 2012

PANAMA THAILAND

GHANA ECUADOR

NIGERIA MEXICO

UGANDA

SWITZERLAND

Page 19: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

Growth Expectations

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Latin America& Caribbean

Middle East &North Africa

Sub-SaharanAfrica

Asia Pacific &South Asia

EuropeanUnion

Non-EuropeanUnion

United States

20 or more jobs5 - 19 jobs0 - 5 jobs

Page 20: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

GEM Global Report: 2012

• Entrepreneurial Attitudes • Entrepreneurship Activity

• Regional Studies • United States • Asia Pacific and Southeast Asia

• Special Topic: Immigrant Entrepreneurship

Page 21: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

GEM Regions

United States

Page 22: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

Attitudes

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

United States Average (innovation-driven)

Perceived opportunities

29

30

31

32

33

34

35

36

37

38

United States Average(innovation-driven)

Fear of failure*

Page 23: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

GEM Regions

United States • Average TEA level (13%) compared to regions

• But highest among innovation-driven economies • Low level of necessity motives (21%) in regional comparison

• But above average for an innovation-driven economy • Seven women for every 10 male entrepreneurs in the U.S.

• Higher than the innovation-driven group average (6:10 ratio) • High growth expectations

• Average for innovation-driven

Page 24: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

GEM Regions

Asia Pacific & South Asia Factor-Driven Pakistan Efficiency-Driven: China, Malaysia, Thailand

Innovation-Driven: Japan, Republic of Korea, Singapore, Taiwan

Page 25: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

Attitudes

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Perceived opportunities

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Fear of failure*

Page 26: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

GEM Regions

Asia Pacific & South Asia Regional Averages • Falling around the

middle of the regional averages for the four measures, but exhibiting diversity within the regions

• TEA rates range from 4% in Japan to 19% in Thailand

• Thailand reports one of the highest ratios of women to men participation (12:10)

• Pakistan shows the lowest ratio of the entire sample (.6:10)

• 15% or less of the entrepreneurs in Malaysia and Singapore have necessity motives

• Over half the entrepreneurs in Pakistan are necessity-driven

• Despite Thailand’s high TEA rate, only 17% of entrepreneurs anticipate growth

• Taiwan’s TEA rate is lower than the regional average but more than half project growth

Page 27: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

GEM Global Report: 2012

• Entrepreneurial Attitudes • Entrepreneurship Activity • Regional Studies

• United States • Asia Pacific and Southeast Asia

• Special Topic: Immigrant Entrepreneurship

Page 28: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

Migrant Entrepreneurs

• More likely to be entrepreneurs than nonmigrants in factor and innovation-driven economies – Less likely in efficiency-driven

• Migrant entrepreneurs are more likely to pursue growth (10 or more jobs) than nonmigrant entrepreneurs across all economic development levels

• Equal level of innovativeness

• More likely to sell to international customers in efficiency and innovation-driven economies

Page 29: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

Implications and Recommendations

• Inclusiveness may imply different training, support, resources for different groups

• Migrant entrepreneurship adds jobs and enhances international trade

• Former entrepreneurs can provide ongoing value (whether successful or not)

• Legal framework can promote internal and international entrepreneurship efforts

• Promote entrepreneurship education in schools

Page 30: A Global View of Entrepreneurship : Global Entrepreneurship

“Entrepreneurship creates employment and adds economic value to all societies;

However, it needs to be addressed in

tandem with inclusiveness for all sections of society, as it is an effective way to

promote prosperity and peace”