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A Cartography of Strategic Communications
Philip M TaylorProfessor of International
CommunicationsUniversity of Leeds
TERRORISM
The 21st CENTURY GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT
Global Warming +/ Ecological disaster +
Creeping Deserts =
POPULATION GROWTH +RESOURCE SCARCITY =
War over Food, Water, Fish
Virtual States
WEAPONS OFMASS DESTRUCTION
‘CLASH OF CIVILIZATIONS’
More GNP = More Defense Spending
GLOBAL ECONOMICGLOBAL ECONOMICINTERDEPENDENCEINTERDEPENDENCE
ASYMMETRICWARFARE
DISEASE(AIDS PANDEMICMALARIA, EBOLA)
ETHNO-Religious
PAN-NATIONALISM
Changing ALLIANCES: IMPACT OF THE EURO
ECO-ASIA
INFORMATIONWARFARE
Sub-National Groups: Russian Mafia,Russian Mafia, FARC,
IMPACT OFTECHNOLOGY
UNCERTAINFUTURE
UNCERTAINFUTURE
The 21st century Global Info-sphere
24/7 rolling news
‘citizen journalists’/Digital eye-witnesses
New regionalplayers
The Internet
Blogs, twitter Web 2.0
TERRORISM
Global Warming +/ Ecological disaster +
Creeping Deserts =
N GROWTH +RESOURCE SCARCITY =
War over Food, Water, Fish
Virtual States
WEAPONS OFMASS DESTRUCTION
‘CLASH OF CIVILIZATIONS’
More GNP = More Defense Spending
GLOBAL ECONOMICGLOBAL ECONOMICINTERDEPENDENCEINTERDEPENDENCE
ASYMMETRICWARFARE
DISEASE(AIDS PANDEMICMALARIA, EBOLA)
ETHNO-Religious
PAN-NATIONALISM
Changing ALLIANCES: IMPACT OF THE EURO
ECO-ASIA
INFORMATIONWARFARE
Sub-National Groups: Russian Mafia,Russian Mafia, FARC,
IMPACT OFTECHNOLOGY
UNCERTAINFUTURE
UNCERTAINFUTURE
Making ‘order’ out of apparent ‘chaos’..
New regionalplayers
The Internet
Blogs, twitter
Web 2.0
‘citizen journalists’/Digital eye-witnesses
24/7 rolling news
…is the job of Strategic Communications
• It is a very NOISY info-sphere• Lots of competing voices are shouting for
attention• Those voices are fast, disparate, difficult to
regulate/control, sometimes anarchic (e.g. viruses, Trojans, worms) sometimes terroristic
• They have a potential global reach• They are now interactive (=Web 2.0)• They challenge the traditional, dominant, top-
down, hegemonic, governmental ‘spokespeople’
Governments have to compete too• Not with a whisper but with a clear voice
that can and will be heard…• …because it is credible, reliable,
consistent, honest and truthful• Silence is not an option; the resultant
info-vaccuum will be filled with adversary ‘chatter’ (including misinformation and disinformation)
• Direct to Target Audiences because democratic free media are ‘unreliable’ as mediators of what is needed to be said
Communication is….• From the Latin word ‘communicare’ = to share• … to the 21st century what gas and oil were to the 20th
• … the fuel that drives political, economic, social, culturaland military engines• … networking and to defeat a network, you need a network• … changing rapidly, especially amongst young people• … increasingly conducted in virtual environments
Strategic Communication – the new US definition
• ‘The coordination of Statecraft, Public Affairs, Public Diplomacy, [Military] Information Operations and other activities, reinforced by political, economic and military actions, in a synchronized and coordinated manner.’
(National Security Council definition of Strategic Communication, February 2005, approved by Condoleezza Rice before her transition to the State Department.)
PUBLIC DIPLOMACY
INFORMATIONOPERATIONS
PUBLIC AFFAIRS
STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS
Foreign Office/State Department(USIA closed 1999)
Military/MoD: IO has replaced IW in the lexicon since mid 1990s
Government: political/strategicrelationship withmedia
‘Public Diplomacy – the open exchange of ideas and information – is an inherent characteristic of democratic societies. Its global mission is central to … foreign policy. And it remains indispensable to … [national] interests, ideals and leadership role in the world’. (US Advisory Commission on Public Diplomacy, 1991 Report).
PUBLIC DIPLOMACY DEFINTION
‘Soft power …is the ability to get desired outcomes because others want what you want. It is the ability to achieve goals through attraction rather than coercion. It works by convincing others to follow or getting them to agree to norms and institutions that produce the desired behaviour.
Soft power can rest on the appeal of one's ideas or culture … and … depends largely on the persuasiveness of the free information that an actor seeks to transmit. If a state can [do this] it may not need to expend as many costly traditional economic or military resources.’ (Keohane & Nye)
SOFT POWER
PUBLIC DIPLOMACY
CULTURALDIPLOMACY
INTERNATIONALBROADCASTING
INFORMATIONOPERATIONS
PUBLIC AFFAIRS
STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS
PUBLIC DIPLOMACY‘Soft Power’
CULTURALDIPLOMACY
INTERNATIONALBROADCASTING
Long-term;Elites are main target audience
Short-term;Mass Communication(radio, TV, internet)
• Reciprocal (two-way)• Mutual• Development of mutual trust and understanding• Talking AND Listening• ‘To know us is to love us’
• One-way (point-to-multipoint)• Counter-propaganda with ‘news’ and ‘facts’• Needs to be fast (but not ‘real-time’) and CREDIBLE• ‘Truth is the best propaganda’
PUBLIC DIPLOMACY‘Soft Power’
CULTURALDIPLOMACY
INTERNATIONALBROADCASTING
Long-term;Education
Short-term;News & Views
• British Council• Alliance Française• Dante Alighieri Society• Goethe Institute• Carnegie Foundation• Confucius Institute
• BBC World Service• Radio France International• RAI International• Deutsche Welle• Voice of America• China Radio International
PUBLIC DIPLOMACY
INFORMATIONOPERATIONS
PUBLIC AFFAIRS
STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS
Information Operations definition - UK JWP 3-80
• ‘Co-ordinated actions undertaken to influence an adversary or potential adversary in support of political and military objectives by undermining his will, cohesion and decision making ability, through affecting his information, information based processes and systems while protecting one’s own decision-makers and decision-making processes’
PUBLIC DIPLOMACY
INFORMATIONOPERATIONS
Computer Network Operations
HumanFactors
PSYCHOLOGICAL OPERATIONS (PSYOPS)
CIVIL-MILITARY CO-OPERATION (CIMIC)
MEDIA
PUBLIC AFFAIRS
STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS
INFORMATION ASSURANCEOPERATIONAL SECURITYELECTRONIC WARFARE
DECEPTION
SIGINT HUMINT
US DoD JP 3-13 2006
• The integrated employment of electronic warfare (EW), computer network operations (CNO), psychological operations (PSYOP), military deception (MILDEC), and operations security (OPSEC), in concert with specified supporting and related capabilities, to influence, disrupt, corrupt, or usurp adversarial human and automated decision making while protecting our own.
INFORMATION OPERATIONS‘Soft information support to hard power’
HUMAN FACTORS‘HUMINT’
COMPUTER NETWORK OPERATIONS
‘SIGINT’
• CIMIC• DECEPTION• PSYOPS---------------------------• PUBLIC AFFAIRS
• COMPUTER NETWORK ATTACK• COMPUTER NETWORK DEFENCE• ELECTRONIC WARFARE• OPSEC
NATO Definition of Psychological Operations (PSYOPS):
‘Planned psychological activities using methods of communications and other means directed to approved audiences in order to influence perceptions, attitudes and behaviour, affecting the achievement of political and military objectives’
HUMAN FACTORSThe Influence (People) Piece in IO
PSYOPS• White• Grey• Black
Leaflets, TV, Radio,Posters, websites,Loudspeakers etc
- Talks directly to TA- Relationship to CIMIC
PUBLIC AFFAIRS• Press• Radio & TV• Internet
Press briefings &Conferences, releases,Off-the record?
Talks to TA via Media (reliability?)
IO HUMAN FACTORS &THE ‘WAR’ ON TERROR
PSYOPS• White• Grey• Black
PUBLIC AFFAIRS• Press• Radio & TV• Internet
‘ATTRIBUTABLE’ &‘NON-ATTRIBUTAL’
WHITE = ANHONEST SOURCE
GREY = IDENTIFIESNO SOURCE
BLACK – PRETENDSTO BE A DIFFERENT
SOURCE TRUTHFUL, ATTRIBUTABLE AND ‘OFF THE RECORD’
PUBLIC DIPLOMACY
CULTURALDIPLOMACY
INTERNATIONALBROADCASTING
INFORMATIONOPERATIONS
CNOHUMANFACTORS
PSYOPSCIMICMEDIA
PUBLIC AFFAIRS
STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS
INFO ASSURANCEOPSEC/EW DECEPTION
US INTERNATIONAL BROADCASTING ‘FAMILY’
VOICE OF AMERICABroadcasting Board of Governors
RADIO FREE EUROPERADIO FREE ASIA (1996)
Targets China, North Korea,Burma, Vietnam etc
RADIO & TV MARTI
Cuba
RADIO SAWA & AL HURRA TV‘Together’ & ‘The Free One’
Middle East
RADIO FARDA (2002)‘Tomorrow’
Iran
CUBA NEWS The Miami HeraldBy Nancy San Martin, Fri Jun. 24, 2005.
Martí a priority, state official says
The U.S. military aircraft broadcastingTV and Radio Martí's signals to Cubawill not be diverted to Iraq, at least until a replacement plane is bought and equipped, a senior State Departmentofficial said Thursday.
''The president has made the decision that we would do what we could to break through the information blockade imposed by the Castro regime,'' the official said after El Nuevo Herald and The Herald reported concerns raised by Miami Republican Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen that the Pentagon's C-130 Commando Solo plane could be sent to the Middle East.
''As far as we know . . . until the permanent platform is available, the C-130 is flying,'' said the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity because of sensitivity surrounding the issue.
If you are at the receiving end of these broadcasts, it looks likePSYCHOLOGICAL WARFARE
Commando Solo
And you thought the Cold Warhad ended !!!
PUBLIC DIPLOMACY
CULTURALDIPLOMACY
INTERNATIONALBROADCASTING
INFORMATIONOPERATIONS
CNOHUMANFACTORS
PSYOPSCIMICMEDIA
PUBLIC AFFAIRS
STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS
INFO ASSURANCEOPSEC/EW DECEPTION
National Media Image vs National Official Image
Cultural Diplomacy or ‘Cultural Imperialism’?
• Free media products give negative impressions of a society (news media interested in ‘bad news’; Hollywood interested in sex, drugs and rock ‘n roll’)
• Governmental CD & SC tries to correct this with ‘good news’ and cultural achievements
• If you are on the receiving end, CD CAN look like Cultural Imperialism, Coca-colonialism, McDomination of another form of psychological war of ideas and values
• It therefore HAS to be TWO-WAY: mutual and reciprocal
PUBLIC DIPLOMACY
INFORMATIONOPERATIONS
PUBLIC AFFAIRS
DOMESTIC FOREIGN
STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS
Public Affairs – US Public Affairs – US DefinitionDefinition
Public Affairs – US Public Affairs – US DefinitionDefinition
““Those public information and Those public information and community relations activities community relations activities directed toward the domestic directed toward the domestic general public by various elements general public by various elements of the USG, as well as those of the USG, as well as those activities directed to foreign publics, activities directed to foreign publics, including the media, by official U.S. including the media, by official U.S. spokesmen abroad.”spokesmen abroad.”
PUBLIC DIPLOMACY
CULTURALDIPLOMACY
INTERNATIONALBROADCASTING
INFORMATIONOPERATIONS
CNOHUMANFACTORS
PSYOPSCIMICMEDIA
PUBLIC AFFAIRS
DOMESTIC FOREIGN
STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS
INFO ASSURANCEOPSEC/EW DECEPTION
Office of Strategic Influence (OSI)
Office of Special Plans (OSP)
IMPACT = UNDERMINED CREDIBILITY OF ALL THE OTHER PILLARS
Are these pillars appropriate?
IS THIS REALLY ME?
STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS
PD IO PA
Legacy of the Cold War
• They become bureaucratic stovepipes, slow and reactive
• They cause ‘turf wars’• They were designed to win an
ideological battle against communism as a political system
• They were built before the age of the internet and Al Qaida as an ‘idea’
Is there a better solution?
• A Dedicated Department/Ministry of Strategic Communication?
• Answerable to President/Prime Minister’s Office – it is STRATEGIC
• Close liaison with all other ministries• A long-term Grand (Information)
Strategy is required
Influencing Attitudes
DEPARTMENT OF STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS
Public Diplomacy
Influence Operations
Public Affairs
Old & NewMediaInternational Broadcasting
Why is this necessary?• To bring order to the chaos generated by
terrorism and AQ in internet-age asymmetric information warfare
• Terrorists know that their activities are 10% violence and 90% propaganda
• The western (US) response to 9/11 has been 90% violence (war) and 10% strategic communication
• NATO countries still tend to regard ‘information’ as a support weapon or tool
• For AQ, it is THE CENTRAL weapon and tool
Obama vs. Osama?
• Iraq, Afghanistan and the ‘war’ on terror have made ‘winning’ the information war harder and longer
• ‘Terror’ cannot be defeated with tanks, planes, armies, missiles and ships – in fact it makes it worse (e.g. Palestine)
• Guantanamo, Abu Ghraib and a whole host of SC ‘own-goals’ have undermined the credibility of the west as a ‘force for good in the world’ (global polls reflect massive anti-Americanism, anti-western sentiment)
Western information ‘own goals’• The label of ‘war’ empowers terrorists with the
status of ‘warriors’• ‘Crusade’, ‘Infinite Justice’ and numerous other
semantic and cultural insensitivities (Danish Cartoons, Saudi female drivers, Sudanese Teddy Bear names, Afghan soccer balls)
• In themselves, not serious but in the long-term – and fixed on the internet – they provide adversaries with ‘proof’ of a clash of civilisations
AQ’s SC advantages
• Doesn’t need to ‘play by the same rules’ (e.g. lies, Katrina) and exploits openness of democratic systems
• Has a vision of what victory looks like (Caliphate) but draws on the past (final battle of a 1000 year crusade against the infidel)
• AQ’s kinetic acts are designed to win political information effects, not winning militarily
Conclusions• Intelligence Services and police are the
most effective tools to defeat terrorists WHO ARE CRIMINALS
• To fight an idea, you need to wage an INFORMATION WAR at the tactical, operational and STRATEGIC (i.e. POLITICAL) levels
• Restoration of western credibility is possible – but you need a Grand Strategy
Where to wage ‘information war’ in the real world?
STRATEGIC(GLOBAL)
OPERATIONAL(REGIONAL)
TACTICAL(THEATRE OF OPERATIONS)
IRAQAFGHANISTAN
MIDDLE EAST
ISLAMIC & NON-ISLAMIC WORLD
INFORMATIONOPERATIONS/PSYCHOLOGICALOPERATIONS
PUBLICDIPLOMACY
STRATEGICCOMMUNICATIONS
LOCATIONTARGETEDINFORMATION
Where to wage ‘information war’ in the virtual world?
WebsitesSecond life
Facebook/BEBOBlogs
Chat-roomsEmail
podcastsServersYouTube
On-line gamesInternet-linked Wii
Internet cell phones
All tacticalinformationhas strategic potential &vice versa
Anonymity/disguise ofUsers & Locations
‘To fight a networkYou need a network’
Users aged 13-35:The key targetaudience for terrorist recruiters
Info-bombers,Hackers, bloggers
Broadbandrevolution increasesspeed of downloads/uploads