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7/30/2019 5ddc6LTV 1
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Amity Business School
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Amity Business School
The life Time value is the net present value of the
future contribution by a customer to the overhead
and the profit of a company.
The customer value calculation does not take placeon an individual customer level but on a segment
level.
The calculations includes the expected income and
expenses for only the first two or three years.
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CLTV : Its meaning and measurement
First phase: Manual selection of criteria. Eg. postcode
Second phase: Inclusion of socio-economic/ geo-demographic data.
Third phase: Data mining / propensity scoring.
Fourth phase: LTV based selection.Fifth phase (current): Yield-optimized, multi-channel/ product
segmentation.
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Amity Business School
Customer life time value creation consists of a
process of ad hoc segmentation and data analysisfor data base marketing, a process of automation
of decisions against customer requests, targeted
retention activities and decisions to ensure
retention effort is aligned to customer life time
value, identification of customer categories for
cross selling and up selling of financial services,
development of service and product portfoliosaligned to the concept of customer life time value,
alignment of customers to appropriate channels
by customer life time value.
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Amity Business School
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Amity Business School
LTV = Total revenues- (Fixed costs + variable costs)
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Customer Lifetime value CLV
It is the basis from which an ongoingprogramme of customer communication and
support can be planned, evaluated and
constantly updated.
It improves customer loyalty and retention, the
ability to cross and upsell and, through all of
this, directly improves bottom line profits.
It depicts firms cost of acquiring, serving andretaining its customers.
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Amity Business School
A share broking firm operates for 225 days a year. A customer
with a total investment portfolio of Rs 5,00,000 churns hisportfolio every 15 working days.
The total number of times he churns his portfolio is = 225/15
= 15
The total business he conducts with the firm = 15 x
(as churning includes both buying and selling) Rs 5,00,000 x2
Commission the firms gets @ 5% = Rs 2,22,500x5
If he stays with the firm for just five years his value
for the firms = Rs.11,12,500If he brings in one more customer of half of his value = Rs.5,56,250
The revenue the organization is going to get from him = Rs.16,68,750
The total revenue at stake for the organization = Rs. 16,68,750
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Amity Business School
Three models for LTV
RFM Model
Share-of-Wallet Model
Past Customer Value Model
Value of CLV is based on the actual experience
by the customer in the marketplace.
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Amity Business SchoolRFM model Bult and Wansbeek (1995), where RFM is stand
for Recency, Frequency, and Monetary.
CLV = R x F X M
R = Recency of how long it has been since acustomer last placed an order with the
company.
F = Frequency of how often a customer ordersfrom the company in a certain defined period.
M = Monetary Value of amount that a customer
spends on an average transaction.
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Share-of-Wallet (SOW) model
Share-of-Wallet (SOW) model is the secondmodel that can be used for estimating the CLV
of each customer.
Kumar and Reinartz (2005) defined SOW as
the proportion of category value accountedfor by a focal brand or a focal firm within its
base of buyers.
SOW is defined as the proportion of categoryvalue accounted for by a focal brand or a
focal firm for a buyer from all brands that the
buyer purchases in that category.
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It indicates the degree to which a customer meets his
needs in the category with a focal brand or firm. It is computed by dividing the value of sales (S) of the
focal firm (j) to a buyer in a category by the size-of-wallet
of the same customer in a time period. SOW is measured
in percentage.
S = sales to the focal customer j = firm
summation of the value of sales made by all the
J firms that sell a category of products to a buyer.
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Amity Business School
Past performance of the customer (transaction or buying)indicates their future level of profitability and an extrapolationof the results of past transactions is a measure of customersvalue in the future.
The value of a customer is determined based on the totalcontribution (towards profits) provided by the customer in thepast.
The contributions from past transactions of every customer are
adjusted for the time value of money and the cumulativecontribution till the present period of the past customer value ofcustomer.
Past customer value model (PCV model)
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PCV can compute using the following formula:
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Model is lacking of detecting the location of
a single customer in the geographical
location.
Not able to presenting the CLV of customer
in the market place, as well as other CLV
model.
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Issues in calculating CLV
Lack of data
Lost customers
Newer company Choosing a formula
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Fed Ex analyzed the returns on its business for about 30
large customers that generate about 10% of its total
volume.
It found that certain customers including some who
required lots of residential deliveries were not bringingin as much revenue as they had promised when they first
negotiated discounted rates.
Fedex demanded that some customers pay higher rates.
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Amity Business School
Thomas Cook
Thomas Cook divided its customers into:
As (those bringing in $750 or more in annual revenues)
Bs (those bringing in $250-$749 or more in annual
revenues)
Cs (those bringing in less than $250 or more in annual
revenues)
80% of the customers were in C category.
When C customers demand time consuming services (eg
asking an agent to research a trip they are not sure they
will take) they are asked for a $25 deposit).
This differentiation between the best and the worst
customers has resulted in 20% growth in the companys A
& B clients.
B i f f l CLV
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Basis for successful CLV
Connect with overall business strategy.
Linkage with the loyalty that the company
seeks to bring in. Referrals must be the part of the CLV.
Constant rate of retention and discount not
feasible.