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    - A German Perspective

    Presentation at the Renewable Energy Technology Forum, Bonn, 6 October 2011

    Source:juwiHolding

    AG(www.juwi.d

    Dr. Ulrik Neupert

    )

    eputy ea o epartment ec no ogy na ys s an ores g tCoordinator Defence ForesightFraunhofer Institute for Technological Trend Analysis INT, Euskirchen

    TechnologieAnalysenVorausschau

    . . .

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    Fraunhofer INT

    Planning support for state and industry

    Overview of the general research and technology landscape

    Overview of the entire spectrum of national and internationaltechnological developments

    s ecialized anal ses and forecasts in selected technolo ical areas

    own experimental and theoretical research on the effects of ionizingand electromagnetic radiation on electronic components and systems.

    INT Annual Reports @www.int.fraunhofer.de

    Source:INT

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    Department Technology Analysis and Foresight

    Balanced, independent overview and

    In-depth analyses in selected researchareas (e.g. new materials, nano-technology, robotics/unmannedsystems, energy storage)

    methodological framework andrefinement

    engineers from various scientific areas

    Source: INT

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    Why Photovoltaics? Solar energie is available in abundance

    > 1018 kWh/year 10,000 x yearly worldwide use of primary energy

    Solar energy is available (nearly) worlwide

    Solar radiation can be predicted reliably

    Photovoltaics deliversvaluable peak load

    Worldwide map of solar radiation received on the ground. Solar areas defined by the dark diskscould provide more than the world's total primary energy demand (assuming a conversion efficiency of

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    , , . . _ , . .

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    Why Photovoltaics?

    Solar Energy has a much higher efficiency per acreage than productionof biomass (20-100x)

    Prices for Solar Energy are decreasing rapidly, we are close to reaching

    Grid Parity, module costs decrease by currently 8-10 % per year.

    Decrease in cost of roof-mounted PV facilities in /kWhfrom 2006-2011 (Source: BSW - Bundesverband

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    . . , . . , . .

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    Relevance for Large-Scale Energy Supply

    Requirements:

    long life

    high Net Energy Gain (NEG) Competitive price

    esearc a enge:

    Integration into power networks/SmartGrids

    o ar ouse ource: uw o ng , www. uw . e

    Solar power station in Ruanda (Source: juwi

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    , . .

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    Relevance for Small-Scale Energy Supply

    Energy Harvesting:

    Capturing energy from externalsources (e.g. solar power, thermalenergy, wind energy, and kinetic

    energy), to power small, wirelessobilephone

    g)

    au onomous ev ces

    Requirements:Solar-poweredm

    (Source:Samsu

    high net energy gain (NEG)Handbag with integrated solar charger(Source: Solarc GmbH, www.solarc.de)

    -

    Flexibility

    Power management, low-powerelectronicsConcept of a solar-powered bat-sized spyplane (Source: University of Michigan,

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    . . .

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    Solar Cells Working Mechanism

    Sunlight enters the solar paneland is absorbed by asemiconducting material likesilicon.

    are set free in this process.

    Due to the electric field formedy e unc on o e n- an p-

    doped semiconductor layersthe electrons are only allowed

    ,resulting in an electric current.

    Basic structure of a silicon based solar cell and its working mechanism(Source: Wikipedia: Solar cell, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_cell, 30.09.2011)

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    Trends: New Processing Technologies

    Silicon Purification:

    new interruption-free trichlorosilane process (Wacker Chemie AG)

    new cost- and energy-efficient trichlorosilane/monosilane process (Evonik/Solar

    World)rys a row :

    Faster crystal growth process for multicrystalline silicon (Fraunhofer ISE)

    :

    Reduction of losses in the sawing process

    Innovations, University of Konstanz)

    Module Design:

    Thinner electrical contacts between cells causing less shadow

    ...

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    Trend: Thin-Film Solar Cells

    Based on semiconductors (microcrystalline or amorphous silicon,

    2, 2, 2, ,

    Thinner compared to crystalline silicon cells due to higher light absorption

    Flexible CIGS-Cell with > 10% efficiency

    (Source: Solarion AG, http://www.solarion.net)

    Roll-to-Roll Processing of CIGS Solar Cells(Source: Solarion AG, http://www.solarion.net)

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    Efficiency of commercially available PV Modules

    Significant trend towards higher

    from crystalline silicon (c-Si) and

    thin-film semiconductors.

    Comparison of total area efficiency of commercial available PV modules(Source: Willeke using data from Photon Februar 2003-2009, Photon Profi 2-

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    Trend: Concentrated Photovoltaics

    To achieve very high efficiencies opticssuch as lenses are used to bundle a large

    photovoltaic material. Multijunction

    photovoltaic cells with several layers of

    capture a wide range of wavelengths.Fraunhofer ISE achieved a recordefficienc of 41 1% with a cell containin

    three p-n junctions. very expensive

    economic in places with high sunlightintensity like in Southern Europe.

    the cell towards the sun

    Principle drawing of a concentrator cell (Source:http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solarzelle#Konzentratorzellen,30.09.2011)

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    Trend: Organic and Polymer Solar Cells

    Based on thin films of organic semiconductors

    flexible

    potentially disposable

    Relativel new technolo ,

    , , . . .Solar Power Wires Based on Organic Photovoltaic

    Materials, Science, 10 April 2009

    main challenges:

    efficiency

    Dye Solar Cell (Source: Fraunhofer ISE)

    service life

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    Trend: Recycling

    Current composition of PV-waste:

    90 % crystalline silicon cells (c-Si)

    10 % Thin-film cells (amorphous or microcrystalline Si, CdTe, CIS)

    Sour

    eine

    Phot

    Frd

    ce:K.Sandere

    Rcknahme-

    ovoltaischePro

    erkennzeichen

    ta

    l.:Studiezur

    nd

    Verwertung

    dukte,2007,B

    03MAP092

    Entwicklun

    g

    ssystemsfr

    U

    Upcycling instead of Downcycling (reuse materials for the same application)

    - -

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    Research Institutes:

    Fraunhofer-Institut fr Solare Energiesysteme (ISE)

    Forschungszentrum Jlich, Institut fr Energie- und Klimaforschung

    Institut fr Solarenergieforschung Hameln (ISFH)

    Fraunhofer-Center fr Silizium-Photovoltaik CSP

    International Solar Energy Research Center Konstanz e.V. (ISC Konstanz)

    Helmholtz Zentrum Berlin (HZB)

    Max-Planck-Institut fr Polymerforschung (MPIP)

    Industr :

    SCHOTT Solar AG

    SolarWorld AG

    Wrth Solar GmbH & Co. KG

    ANTEC Solar GmbH

    o ar or nnovat ons m

    SOLARWATT AG

    Q-CELLS SE

    o au

    Solarion AG

    Sunways AG

    Fraunhofer INT

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    Conclusion/Outlook

    Solar cell production is getting more efficient with less environmental impact

    for improvement while thin-film technologies are catching up.

    Polymer cells will first see widespread use for powering low-cost dispensableelectronics

    Photovoltaics will soon deliverelectricit at current consumer

    prices for electricity, giving thistechnology a worldwide boost.

    has to be managed

    There will be fierce competitionin this expanding market,requiring a solid research anddevelopment base

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    .