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Why do conflicts occur among countries? Managing Peace and Security

4E Deterrence & Diplomacy

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Page 1: 4E Deterrence & Diplomacy

Why do conflicts occur among countries?

Managing Peace and Security

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Why conflicts occur among countries?

1. Competing territory

2. Conflict over scarce resources

3. Conflict over ideological differences

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By the end of the lesson…

We will be able to,

1. Explain competing territory as a cause of conflict among countries.

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Question

1. Explain the significance of competing territory as a cause of conflict among countries. [5]

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Question

1. Explain the significance of competing territory as a cause of conflict among countries. [5]

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Competing territory

Point:

• Competing territory is a significant cause of conflict among countries.

Elaborate:

• This refers to the competition for territory that is crucial to national interests such as defence, economic conditions or national pride.

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Competing territory

Example: • For example, China and India has a long-standing

border conflict over the Aksai Chin plateau and the North East Frontier Agency (NEFA).

• In 1958, China built a road on the Aksai Chin plateau to lay its claim on the plateau, recognizing its strategic importance.

• This led to the Indian government protesting that its territorial rights were violated. China, however claimed non-violation arguing that the border has never been defined.

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Travellers stranded on the Aksai Chin

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Competing territory

Example:

• Tension escalated in 1959 when fighting broke out in the NEFA and in the Aksai Chin plateau.

• By mid-1961, China had occupied even more territories which India regarded as its own, and refused to return the territories despite demands by India.

• In 1962, war broke out between China and India, which fortunately, ended quickly.

• In 2005, an agreement was signed between the two countries to settle the border dispute amicably.

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Competing territory

Link:

• The conflict between China and India shows that competing territory can lead to damaging bilateral relations and even armed conflict among nations, which if left unresolved can further escalate into war, hence competing territory is a significant cause of conflict among countries.

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By the end of the lesson…

We will be able to,

1. Explain conflict over scarce resources as a cause of conflict among countries.

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Question

2. Explain the significance of competition for scarce resources as a cause of conflict among countries. [5]

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Conflict over scarce resources

Point:

• Competition for scarce resources is a significant cause of conflict among countries.

Elaborate:

• This refers to the competition for natural resources which are scarce and unequally distributed yet necessary for survival and economic growth.

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Conflict over scarce resources

Example:

• For example, Iceland and Britain were in conflict over fishing grounds in the 1970s.

• Fish stocks in Iceland decreased significantly in the 1970s as a result of overfishing by European countries such as Belgium and Britain.

• This was detrimental to Iceland’s economy as the country has few natural resources at that time and depended almost exclusively on fishing for income.

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Conflict over scarce resources

Example:

• As a result, Iceland extended its fishing grounds from 50 to 200 nautical miles beyond its shore.

• However Britain refused to recognise the boundary and both countries cut diplomatic ties.

• During the conflict, several incidents of ramming between Icelandic vessels and British vessels occurred which resulted in the deployment of armed frigates from both countries.

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Britain’s vessel HMS Mermaid clashing with Icelandic vessel 'FPV Baldur’ during the Third Cod War, 1976.

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Conflict over scarce resources

Example:

• The matter was only resolved after both countries signed an agreement to allow Britain to catch a fixed amount of fish while allowing Iceland’s patrol vessels to stop and inspect British trawlers for violation of the agreement.

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Conflict over scarce resources

Link:

• The conflict between Iceland and Britain shows that countries are willing to risk international disputes and harm diplomatic relations to protect or compete for scarce resources that are of national interest, therefore conflict over scarce resources is a significant cause of conflict among countries.

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By the end of the lesson…

We will be able to,

• Explain different political ideologies as a cause of conflict among countries.

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Question

3. Explain the significance of ideological differences as a cause of conflict among countries. [5]

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Kim II Sung

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Kim Jong Il Kim Jong Un

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Conflict over ideological differences

Point:

• Ideological differences is a significant cause of conflict among countries.

Elaborate:

• This refers to different political ideologies and beliefs that may well form the basis of a country’s national identity and legitimacy.

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Conflict over ideological differences

Example:

• For example, North Korea and South Korea fought a war to defend their own ideologies of communism and democracy respectively.

• Following the surrender of the Japanese at the end of World War II, American administrators divided Korea along the 38th Parallel, with the US occupying the southern half and the USSR the northern half.

• To unite the two Koreas, the United Nations (UN) called for an election in 1947 but the USSR refused and installed a communist regime.

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Conflict over ideological differences

Example: • With the support of the UN, the south became a

democratic republic in 1948.• To unite the two Koreas under communism,

North Korea invaded South Korea in 1950. • To stem the tide of communism, the UN

defended South Korea and pushed the North Korean forces north of the 38th Parallel.

• Fearing for their national interest, China joined the war in 1951 and aided North Korea in pushing the UN forces back to South Korea.

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These South Korean recruits, sitting flat car for transfer to a training center, are heading for the army and the war against the North Korean invaders. They were given a flag-waving, band-playing send-off on July 17, 1950. (AP Photo)

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A North Korean tankman lies dead on ground (lower left) amid knocked-out tanks on August 13, 1950 in Indong, Korea, North of Waegwan, after South Korean attack. (AP Photo)

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A 25th Division tank uses a flame thrower on an enemy pillbox deeply emplaced in a hillside near Korea's Han River front on March 30, 1951. (AP Photo)

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Columns of light stab the night as U.S. rockets thunder toward Communist-held targets in Wonsan, Korean port city on July 1, 1951. The fire trails brilliantly lit the ship and could be followed by sight as they struck their targets. (AP Photo/DOD) #

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A U.S. Marine dives for cover in his bunker as a communist 82 millimeter mortar shell scores a hit on a ridge in eastern Korea, April 8, 1952. (AP Photo/Edward A. McDade/U.S. Navy)

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Conflict over ideological differences

Example:

• The fighting ended in 1953 when an agreement was signed to restore the border between the Koreas at the 38th Parallel.

• Though the fighting has ended, antagonism between the Koreas still exists today.

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Bodies of U.S. Marines, British Royal Marines Soldiers and Republic of Korea troops are gathered for a mass burial at Koto-ri on December 8th, 1950. (U.S. Department of Defense/SGT. F.C. Kerr)

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A dead Chinese soldier, his burned uniform still smoking, lies with bodies of his comrades at a collection point near Chunchon on May 17, 1951 after allied forces had stemmed the major enemy attack near the town on Korea's central front. (AP Photo/ENJ)

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In this Dec. 4, 1950 file photo, residents from Pyongyang, North Korea, and refugees from other areas crawl perilously over shattered girders of the city's bridge, as they flee south across the Taedong River to escape the advance of Chinese Communist troops. (AP Photo/Max Desfor)

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With her brother on her back a war weary Korean girl tiredly trudges by a stalled M-26 tank, at Haengju, Korea. June 9, 1951. (U.S. Navy/Maj. R.V. Spencer, UAF)

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Conflict over ideological differences

Link:

• The conflict between the two Koreas shows that countries are willing to risk peace and enter armed conflict in the defence of their ideological beliefs when those beliefs are threatened, therefore ideological differences is a significant cause of conflict among countries.

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Pair/Group Discussion

• You are mature and informed political leaders of Singapore. Considering Singapore’s domestic challenges and regional and international realities, what would you do to ensure the security of your country?

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How does Singapore manage conflict and ensure national security?

Managing Peace and Security

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By the end of the lesson…

We will be able to,

• Describe the concepts of deterrence and diplomacy.

• Describe how Singapore manages conflict and ensures national security.

• List Singapore’s deterrence strategies.

• Explain how a citizen armed force ensures national security.

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Deterrence

• Generally, deterrence is something that discourages or is intended to discourage someone from doing something.

• As an approach to national security, deterrence refers to measures taken by countries to prevent and protect themselves from threats.

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Diplomacy

• Generally, diplomacy refers to the art of dealing with people in a sensitive and effective way.

• As an approach to national security, diplomacy refers to the way countries manage or conduct relations with one another, to promote common interests and to resolve conflicting interests in a peaceful manner.

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Singapore’s Approach

• As a small state with limited resources, Singapore adopts a national security policy of deterrence supported by diplomacy.

– Our deterrence policy prepares us for any form of threats.

– Our diplomacy policy develops diplomatic relationships with as many countries as possible.

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Singapore’s Deterrence Strategies

1. A citizen armed force

2. 3rd Generation Singapore Armed Forces

3. National defence industry

4. Total Defence

5. Multi-agency coordination on security

6. Military co-operation with other countries

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Question

1. Explain how a citizen armed force deters aggressors from threatening Singapore. [5]

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“We can best avoid war by showing our seriousness to defend ourselves and our capability to do so should the need arise.

Potential aggressors must know that the cost of any military adventurism will be high so that they will be deterred. A credible deterrence is essential for the survival of a small state, a little red dot, such as Singapore.”

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“You remember what happened to Singapore when the Japanese troops came in?” The people were defenceless. We were spectators. Then we were the sufferers. This time we are the participants.We will defend ourselves.

Whoever else wants to defend us, I will say to them, “Thank you very much. But please remember I can defend myself and make no mistake about it.”

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A citizen armed force

Point:

• A citizen armed force deters aggressors from threatening Singapore.

Elaborate:

• This refers to an armed force that is mainly made up of conscripted citizens that are well-trained and ready to defend Singapore when the need arises.

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A citizen armed force

Example:

• As Singapore cannot afford to maintain a large professional army due to its small population and limited resources, National Service (NS) was introduced in 1967 that require all able-bodied male citizens to enlist and undergo military training for two years once they turn 18.

• These men also have to report for regular reservist training up to the age of 45.

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A citizen armed force

Link:

• Having a citizen armed force ensures an effective and stable defence force with soldiers who are prepared for deployment at all times. A strong citizen armed force thereby enables Singapore to defend itself against all threats, hence deters aggressors from threatening Singapore.

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By the end of the lesson…

We will be able to,

• Explain how the 3rd Generation Singapore Armed Forces deters potential aggressors from attacking Singapore.

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Question

2. Explain how developing a 3rd Generation Singapore Armed Forces deters aggressors from threatening Singapore. [5]

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3G SAF

Point: • Developing a 3rd Generation Singapore Armed

Forces (3G SAF) deters aggressors from threatening Singapore.

Elaborate: • This refers to the upgrading of Singapore’s

defence force to meet the changing face of warfare that has become more complex with advances in info-communication technologies and non-conventional threats such as terrorism and piracy.

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3G SAF

Example:

• For example, the 3G SAF soldier is equipped with state-of-the-art equipment that includes the Singapore-manufactured SAR 21 assault rifles to replace the M16S1, and pixelated combat uniform which generates patterns to make personnel less obvious as a visual target for hostile forces, effectively enhancing their survival by delaying enemy detection time.

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3G SAF

M16S1

SAR 21

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3G SAF

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3G SAF

Example:

• The 3G SAF also engages in research and technology actively by partnering with research institutes of the Ministry of Defenceand local universities, with the aim of maximising defensive capabilities through modern technology.

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3G SAF

Link:

• Developing the 3G SAF through allows our armed forces to respond swiftly and effectively to potential threats, and anticipate and respond quickly to new security challenges through continuous technological innovation, thereby serving as a constant reminder of our vigilance and capabilities to potential aggressors, hence deters aggressors from threatening Singapore.

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3G SAF

Link:

• Though our armed forces may be small, developing the 3G SAF allows us to multiply our armed forces through the use of military technology, thereby deterring the enemy from even considering involving in a hostile relationship with Singapore.

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By the end of the lesson…

We will be able to,

• Explain how a national defence industry deters potential aggressors from attacking Singapore.

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Question

3. Explain how having a national defenceindustry deters aggressors from threatening Singapore. [5]

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National Defence Industry

Point:

• Having a national defence industry deters aggressors from threatening Singapore.

Elaborate:

• This refers to a nation-owned defence industry that will enable the self-reliance of Singapore’s armed forces and ensure access to the latest in essential defence and weapons technology.

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National Defence Industry

Example: • Singapore’s defence industry had a humble start in

1967, beginning with Chartered Industries of Singapore (CIS) which produces small arms ammunition.

• Over the years, CIS has expanded, reformed and reinvented itself as ST Kinetics and now runs 3 divisions namely automotive, ammunitions and weapons.

• Beyond small arms ammunition, it has developed a series of flagship products such as the Pegasus 155 mm lightweight howitzer, Primus 155mm self-propelled artillery gun, and Bionix armoured fighting vehicle.

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Pegasus 155 mm lightweight howitzer

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Primus 155mm self-propelled artillery gun

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Bionix armoured fighting vehicle

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National Defence Industry

Example:

• In 2000, the Defence Science and Technology Agency (DSTA) was formed to provide cost-effective and modern technology to the SAF and the Ministry of Defence. This is done through its three triple role of acquiring, maintaining and developing new defence technology.

• Some defence systems currently supported by DSTA includes the Apache Attack Helicopter and the Hermes Unmanned Aerial Vehicle.

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Apache Attack Helicopter

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Hermes UAV

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National Defence Industry

Link:

• A strong national defence industry of producers and developers, as shown by the examples is evidence of the self-reliance and strength of Singapore’s defence capabilities, effectively serving as a strong warning to potential aggressors against any considering any forms of threat, hence having a national defence industry deters aggressors from threatening Singapore.

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By the end of the lesson…

We will be able to,

• Explain how Total Defence deters potential aggressors from attacking Singapore.

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Question

4. Explain how Total Defence deters aggressors from threatening Singapore. [5]

4a. Explain how military defence deters aggressors from threatening Singapore. [5]

4b. Explain how civil defence deters aggressors from threatening Singapore. [5]

4c. Explain how economic defence deters aggressors from threatening Singapore. [5]

4d. Explain how social defence deters aggressors from threatening Singapore. [5]

4e. Explain how psychological defence deters aggressors from threatening Singapore. [5]

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Total Defence

Point:

• Total Defence deters aggressors from threatening Singapore.

Elaborate:

• This refers to a whole-of-nation approach to defence that involves every Singaporean playing a part, individually and collectively to build a strong, secure and cohesive nation that is prepared to deal with any crisis.

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Total Defence

Example:

• Total Defence was introduced in 1984 to involve everyone in the defence of the country and consists of five aspects – Military, Civil, Economic, Social and Psychological Defence.

• For example, Military Defence involves a citizen armed forces that is operationally ready at all times, and a strong defence ecosystem that includes the SAF, DSTA and Singapore Kinectics as the user, developer and producer respectively.

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Total Defence

Example: • Civil Defence requires us to know what to do in

times of emergency and be alert at all times. During crisis, resources will be strained but if we know what to do, we can save ourselves and our loved ones, help others and ensure that life goes on as normally as possible. The importance of knowing what to do was seen when Singaporeans volunteered up to help the rescue effort of the collapsed Hotel New World in 1986, which saved 17 lives.

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Total Defence

Example: • Economic Defence refers to building a resilient economy

that will not break down in times of crisis such as war. It also means staying relevant and employable by being able to adjust to changing economic demands.

• To prepare for emergencies, the government and businesses work together to put in place contingencies to keep businesses running even after National Servicemen have been mobilised, and to maintain national stockpiles of essential items to keep the economy going.

• The Singapore Workforce Development Agency (WDA) was formed in 2003 to upgrade the skills of workers to ensure workers have the relevant skills and remain employable.

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Total Defence

Example:

• Social Defence is about living harmoniously and helping fellow Singaporeans.

• For example, organisations such as the Inter-Racial Confidence Circle (IRCC) actively organisesvisits to places of worship of different faiths and inter-faith dialogues and workshops. This helps to ensure that unity will not be broken during testing situations such as a terrorist attack.

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Total Defence

Example:

• Psychological Defence is about having pride and loyalty in the country, and the resilience to overcome challenges.

• For example, during the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) crisis in 2003, even amidst real fears, Singaporeans from all sectors of society came together and worked closely with the health authorities to fight the deadly virus.

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Total Defence

Link:

• As Total Defence provides a comprehensive and integrated response to all kinds of threats and involves every Singaporean, potential aggressors will have to think twice about attacking Singapore as they will have to face the whole nation and not just the armed forces, therefore Total Defence deters aggressors from threatening Singapore.

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By the end of the lesson…

We will be able to,

• Explain how multi-agency coordination deters potential aggressors from attacking Singapore.

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Question

5. Explain how multi-agency coordination on security deters aggressors from threatening Singapore. [5]

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Singapore Government

1. Prime Minister’s Office

2. Communications and Information

3. Culture, Community and Youth

4. Defence

5. Education

6. Environment and Water Resources

7. Finance

8. Foreign Affairs

9. Health

10. Home Affairs

11. Law

12. Manpower

13. National Development

14. Social and Family Development

15. Trade and Industry

16. Transport

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Multi-agency coordination

Point:

• Multi-agency coordination on security deters aggressors from threatening Singapore.

Elaborate:

• This refers to coordination and collaboration across Singapore’s various government agencies to meet the changing face of security threats that are fast-becoming non-conventional which include threats such as transnational terrorism and cyber sabotage.

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Multi-agency coordination

Example:• To achieve greater synergy among different government

agencies, the National Security Coordination Secretariat (NSCS) was set up to provide a whole-of-government coordination and collaboration so as to strengthen Singapore's capabilities against threats to our national security.

• The NSCS is headed by a ministerial-level Security Policy Review Committee (SPRC) which oversees sub-committees that span across ministries, each focusing on capability and strategic plans development in specific domains such as food security and critical infrastructure.

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Multi-agency coordination

Link:• Multi-agency coordination allows different

organisations and agencies to share intelligence and resources which creates a concerted effort in defence planning such that the whole is greater then the sum of its parts. Potential aggressors will thus have to think twice about threatening Singapore as any attack will be met by a coordinated and swift response, thereby multi-agency coordination on security deters aggressors from threatening Singapore.

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By the end of the lesson…

We will be able to,

• Explain how a military co-operation deters potential aggressors from attacking Singapore.

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Question

6. Explain how military co-operation with other countries deters aggressors from threatening Singapore. [5]

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Military co-operation

Point:

• Military co-operation with other countries deters aggressors from threatening Singapore.

Elaborate:

• This refers to the fostering of friendly ties with foreign armed forces to create allies in arms that would aid one another in times of emergencies.

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Military co-operation

Example:

• Singapore has bilateral military agreements with various countries such as Australia, New Zealand, India and Taiwan to allow Singapore troops to train in these countries.

• In addition, Singapore also conducts combined armed exercises with the troops from these countries to increase cooperation and strengthen ties, such as the annual Exercise Wallaby in Australia.

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Military co-operation

Example:

• Singapore is also involved in multi-lateral military agreements with other countries such as the Five Power Defence Arrangements (FDPA) that include Malaysia, United Kingdom, Australia and New Zealand.

• The members of the FDPA conduct military exercises every year to enhance cooperation and coordination and meet to discuss security measures.

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Military co-operation

Link:

• Military co-operation with other countries strengthens friendship with foreign armed forces, and creates comrades-in-arms. Potential aggressors will thus have to think twice about threatening Singapore as they will have to face the combined force of the SAF and our allies, therefore military co-operation with other countries deters aggressors from threatening Singapore.

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By the end of the lesson…

We will be able to,

• List Singapore’s diplomacy strategies.

• Explain how establishing bilateral relations benefits Singapore.

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Singapore’s Diplomacy Strategies

1. Bilateral relations

2. Regional relations

3. International relations

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Question

1. Explain how establishing bilateral relations benefits Singapore. [5]

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Bilateral Relations

Point:

• Establishing bilateral relations benefits Singapore.

Elaborate:

• This refers to the forming of relations with foreign countries to promote political, economic and cultural ties to speed up Singapore’s development.

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Bilateral Relations

Example:

• For example, Singapore maintains diplomatic relations with 186 countries such as neighbouring Malaysia and Indonesia, emerging giants such as China and India and global powers such as the USA and Germany.

• These partnerships have benefitted Singapore with more trading opportunities and access to technological skills and advancements.

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Bilateral Relations

Example:

• Singapore also plays the role of a friend by providing aid to allies in need.

• For example in 2013, Singapore donated $200,000 through the Red Cross to help in the relief efforts of the Philippines in response to the devastation caused by Typhoon Haiyan.

• The Singapore Civil Defence Force was also activated and dispatched a team to Tacloban City to assist in the rescue efforts.

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Bilateral Relations

Link:

• Through forming bilateral relations with other countries, Singapore is able to benefit from more economic linkages such as more trading opportunities and access to natural resources, to the strengthening of our defence position through the forming of strategic defencealliances, hence establishing bilateral relations benefits Singapore.