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4th Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium
Global aviation challenges & perspectives
Angela Gittens
12 December 2016
Athens, Greece
Total worldwide passengers (2005–2016)
4,7 5
,0
5,3 5,3
5,2
5,6
5,9 6
,1
6,4
6,8
7,2
7,6
6,6%5,1%
6,9%
0,1%
-1,8%
6,6%
5,3%
4,4%4,6%
5,5%
6,4%
5,6%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Sep 2016YTD
% Y
ea
r-o
ve
r-ye
ar
gro
wth
Pas
sen
gers
(b
illio
ns)
Global passenger traffic growth
(% change 2015/2014 and Jan-Sep 2016/2015)
0,6%
8,6%
5,2% 5,3%
9,6%
5,3%
6,4%
-4,2%
9,5%
4,3%
2,2%
9,9%
4,5%
5,6%
-6,0%
-4,0%
-2,0%
0,0%
2,0%
4,0%
6,0%
8,0%
10,0%
12,0%
Africa Asia-Pacific Europe Latin America-Caribbean
Middle East North America World
% Change (2015/2014) % Change (Sep 2016 YTD /Sep 2015 YTD)
Middle East passenger traffic highlights
2015: +9.6% Jan.-Sept. 2016: +9.9%
• Dubai (DXB), +10.3%
• Doha (DOH), 22.6%
Sept. 2016
2015: +8.6% Jan.-Sept. 2016: +9.5%
Asia-Pacific passenger traffic highlights
• Delhi (DEL), +24.1%
• Seoul-Incheon (ICN), +20.0%
• Shanghai-Pudong (PVG), +9.8%
• Beijing (PEK), +8.5%
Latin America-Caribbean passenger traffic highlights
2015: +5.3% Jan.-Sept. 2016: +2.2
• Mexico City (MEX), +10.0%
• Santiago (SCL), +11.7%
• Panama City (PTY), +17.3%
• São Paulo GRU), -7.5%
• Bogota (BOG), +4.9%
North America passenger traffic highlights
2015: +5.3% Jan.-Sept. 2016: +4.5%
• Los Angeles (LAX), +9.6%
• Denver (DEN), +12.8%
• Toronto-Pearson (YYZ), +12.4%
• Atlanta (ATL), +2.5%
• Orlando (MCO), +9.5%
• Seattle (SEA), +6.3%
Europe passenger traffic highlights
2015: +5.2% Jan.-Sept. 2016: +4.3%
• Amsterdam (AMS), +7.4%
• Barcelona (BCN), +9.8%
• Berlin-Schönefeld (SXF), +44.4%
• Antalya (AYT), -33.1%
Africa passenger traffic highlights
2015: +0.5% Jan.-Sept. 2016: -4.2%
• Tunis (TUN), +13.66%
• Enfidha (NBE), +377.16%
• Cape Town (CPT), +10.0%
• Algiers (ALG), 2016 +10.5%
Total worldwide air cargo (2005–2016)
88 9
1 95
91
84
97 97
97 98
10
3 10
6 10
7
3,0%3,8% 3,8%
-3,7%
-7,9%
15,3%
0,2% 0,5%0,9%
4,6%
2,6%1,8%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
0
20
40
60
80
100
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Sep 2016YTD
% Y
ear
-ove
r-ye
ar g
row
th
Car
go in
met
ric
ton
ne
s (m
illio
ns)
Global air cargo growth
(% change 2015/2014 and Jan.-Sept. 2016/2015)
3,5%
2,3%
0,5%
-1,3%
9,9%
3,1%2,6%
-1,1%
2,5%2,8%
0,4%
4,1%
0,1%
1,8%
-2,0%
0,0%
2,0%
4,0%
6,0%
8,0%
10,0%
12,0%
Africa Asia-Pacific Europe Latin America-Caribbean
Middle East North America World
% Change (2015/2014) % Change (Sep 2016 YTD /Sep 2015 YTD)
2015 ACI Airport Economics Report
2014 Airport net profit margin by size
-0,3%
16,2% 16,5%
20,1%
11,1%
18,6%
16,0%
-5,0%
0,0%
5,0%
10,0%
15,0%
20,0%
25,0%
<1m 1–5m 5–15m 15–25m 25–40m >40m World
2014 Return on invested capital
-2,6%
5,2%
7,3%
6,2% 6,2%6,4% 6,3%
-4,0%
-2,0%
0,0%
2,0%
4,0%
6,0%
8,0%
<1m 1–5m 5–15m 15–25m 25–40m >40m World
Total
revenue
2015/2014
% change
Aeronautical
revenue
2015/2014
% change
Non-
aeronautical
revenue
2015/2014
% change
Non-
operating
revenue
2015/2014
% change
Africa 3,600 19.3% 2,500 19.9% 900 15.4% 200 35.4%
Asia-Pacific 46,900 12.1% 23,500 11.2% 22,400 12.7% 1,000 23.0%
Europe 53,400 5.3% 31,900 4.6% 20,100 6.8% 1,400 1.3%
Latin
America-
Caribbean
11,000 35.3% 6,100 22.7% 4,700 56.6% 200 32.8%
Middle East 12,800 16.8% 6,400 20.4% 6,200 15.2% 200 31.5%
North
America28,200 1.3% 15,700 2.6% 10,900 4.8% 1,600 -17.8%
World 155,900 8.5% 86,100 7.7% 65,200 11.4% 4,600 -5.7%
2015 Industry revenue by region (US$)
2014 Distribution of non-aeronautical revenue sources by region
Economic benefits of global aviation
Source: Aviation Benefits Beyond Borders 2016, Air Transport Action Group
ACI World Airport Traffic Forecasts (WATF) 2016-2040
Forecasted ratio of international to
domestic passenger traffic (2000-2040)
Growth in passenger traffic –
emerging versus advance economies (2015)
Indira Gandhi International Airport –Terminal 3 (2016)New Istanbul Atatürk Airport (Q1 2018)
Ownership models Proportion of airports (inside) and
passenger traffic (outside) (2014)
12%
19%
69%
20,0%
20,3%59,8%
Private ownership (100%) Public-private partnership (PPP) Public ownership (100%)
Distribution of airports with private sector participation
by region (2015)
Airport profitability by ownership model (2014)
ACI Investing in Airports conference
BREXIT/US elections 2016
Passenger traffic forecast (2015-2040)
Companies, organizations and communities forging links
Asian Infrastructure Investment BankThe New Development Bank