31
4 th Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Global aviation challenges & perspectives Angela Gittens 12 December 2016 Athens, Greece

4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    2

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

4th Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium

Global aviation challenges & perspectives

Angela Gittens

12 December 2016

Athens, Greece

Page 2: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

Total worldwide passengers (2005–2016)

4,7 5

,0

5,3 5,3

5,2

5,6

5,9 6

,1

6,4

6,8

7,2

7,6

6,6%5,1%

6,9%

0,1%

-1,8%

6,6%

5,3%

4,4%4,6%

5,5%

6,4%

5,6%

-3%

-2%

-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Sep 2016YTD

% Y

ea

r-o

ve

r-ye

ar

gro

wth

Pas

sen

gers

(b

illio

ns)

Page 3: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

Global passenger traffic growth

(% change 2015/2014 and Jan-Sep 2016/2015)

0,6%

8,6%

5,2% 5,3%

9,6%

5,3%

6,4%

-4,2%

9,5%

4,3%

2,2%

9,9%

4,5%

5,6%

-6,0%

-4,0%

-2,0%

0,0%

2,0%

4,0%

6,0%

8,0%

10,0%

12,0%

Africa Asia-Pacific Europe Latin America-Caribbean

Middle East North America World

% Change (2015/2014) % Change (Sep 2016 YTD /Sep 2015 YTD)

Page 4: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

Middle East passenger traffic highlights

2015: +9.6% Jan.-Sept. 2016: +9.9%

• Dubai (DXB), +10.3%

• Doha (DOH), 22.6%

Sept. 2016

Page 5: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

2015: +8.6% Jan.-Sept. 2016: +9.5%

Asia-Pacific passenger traffic highlights

• Delhi (DEL), +24.1%

• Seoul-Incheon (ICN), +20.0%

• Shanghai-Pudong (PVG), +9.8%

• Beijing (PEK), +8.5%

Page 6: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

Latin America-Caribbean passenger traffic highlights

2015: +5.3% Jan.-Sept. 2016: +2.2

• Mexico City (MEX), +10.0%

• Santiago (SCL), +11.7%

• Panama City (PTY), +17.3%

• São Paulo GRU), -7.5%

• Bogota (BOG), +4.9%

Page 7: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

North America passenger traffic highlights

2015: +5.3% Jan.-Sept. 2016: +4.5%

• Los Angeles (LAX), +9.6%

• Denver (DEN), +12.8%

• Toronto-Pearson (YYZ), +12.4%

• Atlanta (ATL), +2.5%

• Orlando (MCO), +9.5%

• Seattle (SEA), +6.3%

Page 8: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

Europe passenger traffic highlights

2015: +5.2% Jan.-Sept. 2016: +4.3%

• Amsterdam (AMS), +7.4%

• Barcelona (BCN), +9.8%

• Berlin-Schönefeld (SXF), +44.4%

• Antalya (AYT), -33.1%

Page 9: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

Africa passenger traffic highlights

2015: +0.5% Jan.-Sept. 2016: -4.2%

• Tunis (TUN), +13.66%

• Enfidha (NBE), +377.16%

• Cape Town (CPT), +10.0%

• Algiers (ALG), 2016 +10.5%

Page 10: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

Total worldwide air cargo (2005–2016)

88 9

1 95

91

84

97 97

97 98

10

3 10

6 10

7

3,0%3,8% 3,8%

-3,7%

-7,9%

15,3%

0,2% 0,5%0,9%

4,6%

2,6%1,8%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

0

20

40

60

80

100

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Sep 2016YTD

% Y

ear

-ove

r-ye

ar g

row

th

Car

go in

met

ric

ton

ne

s (m

illio

ns)

Page 11: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

Global air cargo growth

(% change 2015/2014 and Jan.-Sept. 2016/2015)

3,5%

2,3%

0,5%

-1,3%

9,9%

3,1%2,6%

-1,1%

2,5%2,8%

0,4%

4,1%

0,1%

1,8%

-2,0%

0,0%

2,0%

4,0%

6,0%

8,0%

10,0%

12,0%

Africa Asia-Pacific Europe Latin America-Caribbean

Middle East North America World

% Change (2015/2014) % Change (Sep 2016 YTD /Sep 2015 YTD)

Page 12: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

2015 ACI Airport Economics Report

Page 13: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

2014 Airport net profit margin by size

-0,3%

16,2% 16,5%

20,1%

11,1%

18,6%

16,0%

-5,0%

0,0%

5,0%

10,0%

15,0%

20,0%

25,0%

<1m 1–5m 5–15m 15–25m 25–40m >40m World

Page 14: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

2014 Return on invested capital

-2,6%

5,2%

7,3%

6,2% 6,2%6,4% 6,3%

-4,0%

-2,0%

0,0%

2,0%

4,0%

6,0%

8,0%

<1m 1–5m 5–15m 15–25m 25–40m >40m World

Page 15: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

Total

revenue

2015/2014

% change

Aeronautical

revenue

2015/2014

% change

Non-

aeronautical

revenue

2015/2014

% change

Non-

operating

revenue

2015/2014

% change

Africa 3,600 19.3% 2,500 19.9% 900 15.4% 200 35.4%

Asia-Pacific 46,900 12.1% 23,500 11.2% 22,400 12.7% 1,000 23.0%

Europe 53,400 5.3% 31,900 4.6% 20,100 6.8% 1,400 1.3%

Latin

America-

Caribbean

11,000 35.3% 6,100 22.7% 4,700 56.6% 200 32.8%

Middle East 12,800 16.8% 6,400 20.4% 6,200 15.2% 200 31.5%

North

America28,200 1.3% 15,700 2.6% 10,900 4.8% 1,600 -17.8%

World 155,900 8.5% 86,100 7.7% 65,200 11.4% 4,600 -5.7%

2015 Industry revenue by region (US$)

Page 16: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

2014 Distribution of non-aeronautical revenue sources by region

Page 17: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

Economic benefits of global aviation

Source: Aviation Benefits Beyond Borders 2016, Air Transport Action Group

Page 18: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

ACI World Airport Traffic Forecasts (WATF) 2016-2040

Page 19: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

Forecasted ratio of international to

domestic passenger traffic (2000-2040)

Page 20: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

Growth in passenger traffic –

emerging versus advance economies (2015)

Page 21: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

Indira Gandhi International Airport –Terminal 3 (2016)New Istanbul Atatürk Airport (Q1 2018)

Page 22: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

Ownership models Proportion of airports (inside) and

passenger traffic (outside) (2014)

12%

19%

69%

20,0%

20,3%59,8%

Private ownership (100%) Public-private partnership (PPP) Public ownership (100%)

Page 23: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

Distribution of airports with private sector participation

by region (2015)

Page 24: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

Airport profitability by ownership model (2014)

Page 25: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

ACI Investing in Airports conference

Page 26: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

BREXIT/US elections 2016

Page 27: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change
Page 28: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

Passenger traffic forecast (2015-2040)

Page 29: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

Companies, organizations and communities forging links

Page 30: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change

Asian Infrastructure Investment BankThe New Development Bank

Page 31: 4 Airport Chief Executives’ Symposium Angela Gittens 12 ... · Total revenue 2015/2014 % change Aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change Non-aeronautical revenue 2015/2014 % change