3680 Avalon Park Blvd E3680 Avalon Park Blvd EOrlando, FL 32828Orlando, FL 32828

Phone: 407-382-5222Phone: 407-382-5222Fax: 407-382-5420Fax: 407-382-5420

Future Land UseFuture Land UseAllocation ModelAllocation Model

(FLUAM)(FLUAM)

Presentation OutlinePresentation Outline

• Overview of FLUAM Methodology

• Demonstrate FLUAM ArcMap

• Data Sources

• Software Requirements

Overview of FLUAM Overview of FLUAM MethodologyMethodology

Existing DevelopmentExisting Development Add latest

parcel data from all District 5 Counties’ Property Appraiser

Data should have the attributes needed for the analysis• Year built• DOR code (Land

Use code)• Building Sq. Ft.• Owner Info.• Land Value

Existing DevelopmentExisting Development Select out the

parcels that are built

Assign Zdata categories to parcels based on DOR code (Com, Ser, SF, MF, etc.)

Existing DevelopmentExisting Development Join Built parcel

table to Existing Factor table based on Zdata field

Calculate the existing Unit count, Population, Employment, Enrollment – based on PPH, Vacancy Rates, Units/Acre, Square Footage/Employee

Data Sources – Factor Data Sources – Factor TablesTables

• Persons Per Household – U.S. Census Bureau

• Vacancy Rates – U.S. Census Bureau (MF, SF); for Hotel/Motel (Smith Travel, or supplied by County/MPO)

• Units/Acre – Calculated from existing development

• Square Footage/Employee – InfoUSA (employee), Square Footage (PA file)

Forecasted DevelopmentForecasted Development Create the

Environmentally Constrained layer by combining the 100 Year Floodplain, Wetlands and Water Bodies

Forecasted DevelopmentForecasted Development Overlay the

Environmentally Constrained layer on the Vacant Lands layer

Forecasted DevelopmentForecasted Development Clip out these

Environmentally Constrained areas to remove those sensitive areas from any future development scenarios

Forecasted DevelopmentForecasted Development Overlay this

layer with the Latest Future Land Use to determine the amount of developable land in each FLU category

Forecasted DevelopmentForecasted Development

Create the Buffer layers by buffering the Similar Development parcels (15 year historical), the major roads and the Employment Centers• Determines

parcels more desirable for development

Forecasted DevelopmentForecasted Development Rank the

Developable Vacant Land parcels based on these buffer layers as well as Land Value (Cost/Ac)

This determines the development potential for each parcel – higher ranked parcels develop first

Forecasted DevelopmentForecasted Development Determine the

Population and Employment control totals by the Residential and Employment Submarkets

Submarkets could be Census Tract, municipal boundaries, etc.

Forecasted DevelopmentForecasted Development Calculate the

population and employment of each of the vacant ranked parcels until the Submarket Control Totals are reached for each forecast year (2010 - 2030)

Forecasted DevelopmentForecasted Development Output the final Zdata 1

& Zdata2 results to Excel tables – summarized by TAZ Numbers

FLUAM ArcMap 9 FLUAM ArcMap 9 ApplicationApplication

FLUAM ArcMap 9 ApplicationFLUAM ArcMap 9 Application

Right-click on the tool bar to add the FLUAM Extension or click on ‘Add from file…’ to browse to the location of the FLUAM dll file

FLUAM ArcMap 9 ApplicationFLUAM ArcMap 9 Application

Position the new FLUAM tool on the tool bar

Click on the button to start the extension

FLUAM – File MenuFLUAM – File Menu

Under the File menu, you can do a quick print, export to Jpeg or exit the application

FLUAM - View MenuFLUAM - View Menu

Under the View menu, you can view the layers (if they have been created)

FLUAM - Update MenuFLUAM - Update Menu

Clicking on the Update menu allows you to access the Update interface

FLUAM - Update MenuFLUAM - Update Menu

Browse to the locations of the input shapefiles and tables and convert them to coverages

FLUAM - Analysis MenuFLUAM - Analysis Menu

Under the Analysis menu, you can access all of the analysis functions of the FLUAM application

FLUAM – Developable Land FLUAM – Developable Land AnalysisAnalysis

The Developable Land Analysis tool is the first step in determining the Built, Public and Vacant parcels

FLUAM – Developable Land FLUAM – Developable Land AnalysisAnalysis

Verify that the necessary files are available, browse for missing files and press ‘Run’ to start the process

FLUAM – Calculate Existing FLUAM – Calculate Existing Zdata FactorsZdata Factors

You can review and change the Existing Growth Factors

Click ‘View TAZ’ to zoom to that TAZ

FLUAM – Calculate Existing FLUAM – Calculate Existing ZdataZdata

You can view the TAZ and add any other layers that you want to see

FLUAM – Suitability RankingsFLUAM – Suitability Rankings

Set up the ranking factors for each Zdata category

Press ‘Run’ to start the buffering and ranking processes

FLUAM – Review Demand FLUAM – Review Demand NumbersNumbers

Review the Demand numbers for the Population Submarkets

FLUAM – Review Demand FLUAM – Review Demand NumbersNumbers

Review the Demand numbers for the Employment Submarkets

FLUAM – Review Demand FLUAM – Review Demand NumbersNumbers

Click on the ‘View Sub’ button to zoom to that Submarket

FLUAM – Calculate Projected FLUAM – Calculate Projected Zdata FactorsZdata Factors

You can review and change the Projected Growth Factors

Click ‘View TAZ’ to zoom to that TAZ

FLUAM – Calculate Projected FLUAM – Calculate Projected Zdata FactorsZdata Factors

You can view the TAZ and add any other layers that you want to see

FLUAM – Zdata MenuFLUAM – Zdata Menu

Under the Zdata menu you can review the Population and Employment Zdata numbers

FLUAM – Review Population FLUAM – Review Population ZdataZdata

Review Zdata1 Population numbers for the current and forecasted years

FLUAM – Review Employment FLUAM – Review Employment ZdataZdata

Review Zdata2 Employment numbers for the current and forecasted years

FLUAM – Review ZdataFLUAM – Review Zdata

You can view the TAZ and add any other layers that you want to see

FLUAM – Help MenuFLUAM – Help Menu

Under the Help menu you can open the Help file

FLUAM – View HelpFLUAM – View Help

Under the Help menu you can open the Help file

Data SourcesData Sources

Data SourcesData Sources

• Parcel Shapefile and Attribute Table – from each County Property Appraiser; need such attributes as DOR (Land Use Code), Owner, Building Value and Year Built, Building Square Footage

• Future Land Use Shapefile – this can be gathered from all of the Counties and Cities in the study area, or the Generalized FLU Shapefile that the ECFRPC produced can be incorporated into the analysis

• Environmental Constraints Data – Floodplain, wetlands and water body shapefiles can be downloaded from the FGDL website

Data SourcesData Sources

• Development of Regional Impact Shapefile – this data is available from the ECFRPC; some additional research is needed to determine build-out years

• Planned Unit Developments – PUD information is generally produced by County and City Zoning departments

• Existing and Future Roads – available from Counties, MPOs, TPOs, FDOT

Data SourcesData Sources

• Census Block & Block Group Data – Census Block Group information is used to produce the development factors that are then assigned to overlaying TAZs. These factors include Single and Multi-Family Vacancy Rates, People per Household, and the number of Autos per household

Software RequirementsSoftware Requirements

Software RequirementsSoftware Requirements

• FLUAM is run using ESRI’s ArcGIS 9 suite of tools

• The data and factors can be viewed and modified with the standard ArcMap license

• In order to run the Developable Land Analysis and the Land Use Forecasting steps, an ArcINFO license is necessary

QUESTIONS?QUESTIONS?

3680 Avalon Park Blvd E3680 Avalon Park Blvd EOrlando, FL 32828Orlando, FL 32828

Phone: 407-382-5222Phone: 407-382-5222Fax: 407-382-5420Fax: 407-382-5420

www.edats.comwww.edats.com