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0
40
80
120
160
0
40
80
120
160
1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019
3.1.1 Household Debt as a Percent of Disposable Personal Income
Percent PercentAs Of: 2021 Q2
Source: BEA, Federal
Reserve, Haver AnalyticsNote: Other Household Credit includes
debts of both households and nonprofits.
Other Household CreditConsumer CreditMortgages
3.1.2 Household Personal Savings Rate
Percent PercentAs Of: Sep-2021
Note: Ratio of personal saving to
disposable personal income.Source: BEA, FRED
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
1990–Present
Average
3.1.3 Household Debt Service Ratio
Percent PercentAs Of: 2021 Q2
Note: Ratio of debt service payments to
disposable personal income. Seasonally
adjusted. Gray bars signify NBER recessions.
Source: Federal Reserve,
Haver Analytics
6
8
10
12
14
6
8
10
12
14
1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018
40
50
60
70
80
40
50
60
70
80
1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018
1990–Present
Average
3.1.4 Owners’ Equity as Share of Household Real EstatePercent Percent
Source: Federal Reserve,
Haver Analytics
As Of: 2021 Q2
Note: Gray bars signify NBER recessions.
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
1750
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
1750
2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021
3.1.5 Components of Consumer Credit
Billions of US$ Billions of US$As Of: 2021 Q3
Source: FRBNY Consumer Credit
Panel/Equifax, Haver Analytics
Auto LoansCredit Card Debt
Student Loans
Other Household Debt
Note: Other includes consumer finance and
retail loans. Gray bars signify NBER recessions.
0
2
4
6
8
10
0
2
4
6
8
10
Mar:2020 Jun:2020 Sep:2020 Dec:2020 Mar:2021 Jun:2021 Sep:2021
Nonbanks
Banks
Total
3.1.6 Percentage of Mortgages in ForbearancePercent Percent
Source: Mortgage Bankers Association
As Of: 26-Sep-2021
0
4
8
12
16
0
4
8
12
16
2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021
3.1.7 Transition to Delinquency (30+ Days) by Loan Type
Percent PercentAs Of: 2021 Q3
Source: FRBNY Consumer Credit
Panel/Equifax, Haver Analytics
Student Loans
Auto Loans
Note: Four-quarter moving sum. Student loan
data are not reported prior to 2004 due to uneven
reporting. Other includes consumer finance and
retail loans. Gray bars signify NBER recessions.
Credit Card Debt
Other Household Debt
20
30
40
50
60
20
30
40
50
60
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
3.2.1.1 Nonfinancial Corporate Credit as Percent of GDP
Percent Percent
Source: Federal Reserve,
Haver Analytics
As Of: 2021 Q2
Note: Gray bars signify NBER recessions.
3.2.1.2 Corporate Leverage: Debt / EBITDARatio Ratio
Source: Bloomberg, L.P.
Note: Ratio of debt-to-EBITDA for companies included
in Bloomberg Barclays Investment Grade and High-
Yield Indices. Gray bars signify NBER recessions.
As Of: 2021 Q2
2
3
4
5
6
2
3
4
5
6
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Investment Grade
High-Yield
3.2.1.3 Interest Coverage RatiosRatio Ratio
Source: Bloomberg, L.P.
Note: Ratio of earnings-to-interest expenses for companies
included in Bloomberg Barclays Investment Grade and High-
Yield Indices. Gray bars signify NBER recessions.
As Of: 2021 Q2
0
2
4
6
8
10
0
2
4
6
8
10
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Investment Grade
High-Yield
3.2.1.4 Nonfinancial Corporations Liquid AssetsPercent of Total Assets Percent of Total Assets
Source: Federal Reserve,
Haver Analytics
Note: Liquid assets includes foreign deposits, checkable deposits and
currency, time and savings deposits, money market fund shares,
security repurchase agreements, debt securities, and mutual fund
shares. Gray bars signify NBER recessions.
As Of: 2021 Q2
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
0
4
8
12
16
20
0
40
80
120
160
200
2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
Default Rate (right axis)
3.2.1.5 U.S. Corporate DefaultsBillions of US$ Percent
Source: Moody's
Investors Service, OFR
As Of: 2021 Q3
Total Defaulted Debt
(left axis)
Note: Issuer weighted 12-month trailing default
rate for speculative grade U.S. corporates.
-50
-25
0
25
50
75
100
-50
-25
0
25
50
75
100
1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Ea
sin
g
Tig
hte
nin
g
Ea
sin
g
T
igh
ten
ing
Large and Middle-Market Firms
Small Firms
3.2.1.6 Bank Business Lending Standards
Percent Percent
Source: Federal Reserve Senior
Loan Officer Opinion Survey
Note: Represents net percentage of banks reporting
tightening standards for C&I loans. Large and middle-
market firms are those with annual sales of $50 million
or more. Gray bars signify NBER recessions.
As Of: 2021 Q3
0
2
4
6
8
10
0
2
4
6
8
10
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
Hu
nd
red
s
3.2.1.7 Investment Grade Corporate Bond Spreads
Source: ICE Data Indices,
ICE BofA US, FRED
As Of: 30-Sep-2021Percent Percent
Note: The ICE BofA Option-Adjusted Spreads (OASs) are the
calculated spreads between a computed OAS index of all
bonds in a given rating category and a spot Treasury curve.
BBB US Corporate Index
Single-A US Corporate Index
AA US Corporate Index
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
5
10
15
20
25
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
3.2.1.8 High-Yield Corporate Bond Spreads
Source: ICE Data Indices,
ICE BofA US, FRED
As Of: 30-Sep-2021Percent Percent
Note: The ICE BofA Option-Adjusted Spreads (OASs) are the
calculated spreads between a computed OAS index of all
bonds in a given rating category and a spot Treasury curve.
Single-B US Corporate Index
BB US Corporate Index
Trillions of US$
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Investment GradeHigh-Yield
3.2.1.9 Gross Issuance of Corporate BondsTrillions of US$
Source: Refinitiv,
SIFMA
As Of: Sep-2021
Note: Includes all non-convertible corporate debt, MTNs, and
Yankee bonds, but excludes all issues with maturities of one
year or less and CDs. 2021 figures are through September.
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
12.5
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
12.5
2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
Hu
nd
red
s
Hu
nd
red
s
3.2.1.10 Leveraged Loan Spreads
Source: S&P LCD
As Of: 30-Sep-2021Percent Percent
Note: Spread-to-maturity for syndicated loans
included in the S&P LCD Leveraged Loan Index.
Billions of US$
0
150
300
450
600
750
0
150
300
450
600
750
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Institutional
3.2.1.11 Leveraged Loan IssuanceBillions of US$
Source: S&P LCD
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
Pro-Rata
Note: 2021 figures are through September.
Percent As Of: 30-Sep-2021
3.2.3.1 Performance of U.S. Stock Indices
-50
-25
0
25
50
75
100
-50
-25
0
25
50
75
100
Jan:2020 Jul:2020 Jan:2021 Jul:2021
Percent
Source: Bloomberg, L.P. Note: Indexed to 31-Dec-2019.
Nasdaq Composite
S&P 500
Russell 2000
P/E As Of: 30-Sep-2021
3.2.3.2 S&P 500 Forward Price-to-Earnings
10
15
20
25
30
10
15
20
25
30
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
10-Year Average
Forward Price-to-Earnings
P/E
Source: Bloomberg, L.P.
0
20
40
60
80
100
0
20
40
60
80
100
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
3.2.3.3 S&P 500 VolatilityIndex Index
Source: Bloomberg, L.P.
As Of: 24-Sep-2021
Implied VolatilityRealized Volatility
Note: 30-day realized and implied volatility.
Billions of US$
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Deal Value (left axis)
3.2.3.4 SPAC IssuancesCount
Source: Bloomberg, L.P.
As Of: 2021 Q3
Deal Count (right axis)
YTD Since YE 2019 5 Year (Annualized)
U.S. Indices
S&P 500 14.7% 33.3% 14.7%
Nasdaq Composite 12.1% 61.0% 22.1%
Russell 2000 11.6% 32.1% 12.0%
Other Major Indices
Topix 12.5% 17.9% 8.9%
FTSE 100 9.7% -6.0% 0.5%
Euro Stoxx 50 13.9% 8.1% 6.2%
DAX 11.2% 15.2% 7.7%
Emerging Markets
MSCI Emerging Market Index -3.0% 12.4% 6.8%
Brazil (Bovespa) -6.8% -4.0% 13.7%
India (S&P BSE Sensex) 23.8% 43.3% 16.2%
MSCI China -17.4% 4.6% 7.3%
Onshore China (CSI 300) -6.6% 18.8% 8.4%
Taiwan (TAIEX) 14.9% 41.2% 13.1%
South Korea (KOSPI) 7.2% 39.6% 8.5%
3.2.3.5 Returns in Selected Equities Indices
Source: Bloomberg, L.P.
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
3.3.1.1 Federal Budget Surplus/DeficitPercent of GDP Percent of GDP
Note: Data for fiscal years. Years after
2020 are projected as of July 2021.Source: CBO, Haver Analytics
Historical
Projected
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
CBO July 2021
Baseline ProjectionHistorical
3.3.1.2 Federal Debt Held by the PublicPercent of GDP Percent of GDP
Note: Data for fiscal years.
Years after 2020 are projected.Source: CBO, Haver Analytics
Billions of US$
3.3.1.3 Net Issuance of Treasury SecuritiesBillions of US$
Source: U.S. Department of the
Treasury, Bureau of the Fiscal
Service, SIFMA, Haver Analytics
As Of: 2021 Q3
Note: Includes marketable
securities only.
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Bills
Notes and Bonds
Net
Billions of US$ As Of: 29-Sep-2021
3.3.1.4 Treasury General Account Balance
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
1750
2000
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
1750
2000
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Billions of US$
Source: Federal Reserve, Haver Analytics
Percent As Of: 30-Sep-2021
3.3.1.5 U.S. Treasury Yields
Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
1
2
3
4
5
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Percent
10-Year
2-Year
Percent As Of: 30-Sep-2021
3.3.1.6 10-Year TIPS Yield and Breakeven
Source: U.S. Department
of the Treasury
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Percent
10-Year Breakeven
Treasury Inflation-
Protected Securities
Note: Breakeven represents the difference
between the nominal and TIPS yield.
0
10
20
30
40
0
10
20
30
40
Jan:2020 Jun:2020 Nov:2020 Apr:2021 Sep:2021
3.3.1.7 Intraday Volatility for 10-Year Treasury YieldsBasis Points Basis Points
Source: Bloomberg, L.P.
As Of: 24-Sep-2021
99th Percentile
95th Percentile
Intraday Volatility
Note: Intraday volatility calculated as daily high yield
minus daily low yield on 10-year Treasury notes.
Percentiles based on January 2005–September 2021.
Billions of US$
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
RevenueGeneral Obligation
3.3.2.1 Municipal Bond IssuanceBillions of US$
Source: Refinitiv,
SIFMA
As Of: Sep-2021
Note: Excludes maturities of less than 13
months. 2021 figures are through September.
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
3.3.2.2 Monthly Municipal Bond Mutual Fund FlowsBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: ICI, Haver Analytics
As Of: Sep-2021
Note: Net fund flows.
3.3.2.3 Municipal Bonds to U.S. Treasuries
Source: Municipal Market
Advisors, Bloomberg, L.P.
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Percent PercentAs Of: 30-Sep-2021
Note: Percentage of municipal yields against equivalent Treasury
yields. Bloomberg's BVAL AAA Benchmark replaced MMA as the
provider for municipal yields on September 1, 2010.
2005–Present Average
10-Year AAA
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019
3.3.2.4 Changes in State and Local Government Tax Revenues
Percent Percent
Source: U.S. Census
Bureau, Haver Analytics
Note: Data represents year-over-year percentage
change. Revenue measures includes revenues from
property, individual income, corporate income, and sales
taxes. Gray bars signify NBER recessions.
As Of: 2021 Q2
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
3.4.1.1 CP Outstanding by Issuer TypeTrillions of US$ Trillions of US$As Of: Sep-2021
Domestic Financial
Domestic Nonfinancial
Foreign Financial
ABCP
Other
Foreign Nonfinancial
Source: Federal Reserve,
Haver Analytics
Note: Not seasonally adjusted. Domestic includes
CP issued in the U.S. by entities with foreign parents.
0
20
40
60
80
100
0
20
40
60
80
100
1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018
Money Market Funds
3.4.1.2 CP InvestorsPercent PercentAs Of: 2021 Q2
Source: Federal Reserve, Haver Analytics
Nonfinancial Corporates
State & Local Governments
Other
Funding Corporations
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Jan:2020 Jul:2020 Jan:2021 Jul:2021
3.4.1.3 3-Month CP Interest Rate Spreads
Percent PercentAs Of: 30-Sep-2021
A2/P2-Rated Nonfinancial
AA-Rated ABCP
AA-Rated Financial
AA-Rated Nonfinancial
Source: Federal Reserve,
Bloomberg, L.P.
Note: Spread to 3-Month
Overnight Index Swap (OIS) rate.
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
3.4.1.4 Commercial Bank Deposit Growth
Percent PercentAs Of: Sep-2021
Total Deposits
Source: Federal Reserve Note: Year-over-year percentage change.
Large Time Deposits
0
300
600
900
1200
1500
0
300
600
900
1200
1500
Apr:2018 Apr:2019 Apr:2020 Apr:2021
SOFR
TGCR
3.4.2.1 Repo VolumesBillions of US$ Billions of US$As Of: 30-Sep-2021
Source: FRBNYNote: TGCR = Tri-Party General Collateral Rate;
SOFR = Secured Overnight Financing Rate.
Billions of US$
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Jul:2019 Jan:2020 Jul:2020 Jan:2021 Jul:2021
AggregateRepo LendingRepo Borrowing
3.4.2.2 Sponsored Repo ActivityBillions of US$
Source: DTCC
As Of: Sep-2021
Note: Average daily volume. Breakdown of repo lending
and repo borrowing unavailable prior to April 2020.
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.4.2.3 Primary Dealer Repo AgreementsTrillions of US$ Trillions of US$As Of: 29-Sep-2021
Source: FRBNY, Haver Analytics
Overnight/ContinuingTerm
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.4.2.4 Primary Dealer Repo CollateralTrillions of US$ Trillions of US$
Source: FRBNY, Haver Analytics
As Of: 29-Sep-2021
Equities
Other
Corporates
Agency MBS
Agency Debt
U.S. Treasuries
Note: U.S. Treasuries includes
TIPS. Other includes ABS.
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.4.2.5 Primary Dealer Reverse Repo AgreementsTrillions of US$ Trillions of US$As Of: 29-Sep-2021
Source: FRBNY, Haver Analytics
Overnight/ContinuingTerm
Billions of US$ As Of: 2021 Q1
3.4.2.6 Repo Borrowing of Qualifying Hedge Funds
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Billions of US$
Source: SEC Form PF
Statistics Report
Note: Repo borrowing as reported on
Question 43 of Form PF.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Jan:2019 Jul:2019 Jan:2020 Jul:2020 Jan:2021 Jul:2021
SOFR
TGCR
3.4.2.7 Repo RatesPercent Percent
Source: FRBNY
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
Note: TGCR = Tri-party General Collateral Rate;
SOFR = Secured Overnight Financing Rate.
0
300
600
900
1200
1500
1800
0
300
600
900
1200
1500
1800
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.4.2.8 ON-RRP Participation
Billions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: FRBNY
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
Note: Overnight Reverse
Repurchase Agreement Facility.
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.4.2.9 Value of Securities on LoanTrillions of US$ Trillions of US$
Source: Markit
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
Note: Data is based on a
survey of agent-based lenders.
Foreign MarketsU.S. Market
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.4.2.10 Value of U.S. Securities on LoanTrillions of US$ Trillions of US$
Source: Markit
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
Note: Data is based on a
survey of agent-based lenders.
EquitiesCorporate Bonds
Government Debt
OtherETFs
25
30
35
40
45
50
25
30
35
40
45
50
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.4.2.11 Securities Lending Cash CollateralPercent Percent
Source: Markit
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
Note: Data is based on a
survey of agent-based lenders.
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0.0
0.4
0.8
1.2
1.6
2.0
2.4
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
3.4.2.12 U.S. Securities Lending Cash ReinvestmentTrillions of US$ Days
Source: The Risk
Management Association
Mean WAM (right axis)
Median WAM (right axis)
As Of: 2021 Q2
Note: Data is based on a
survey of agent-based lenders.
Total Cash Reinvestment
(left axis)
0
20
40
60
80
100
0
20
40
60
80
100
2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
3.4.2.13 U.S. Securities Lending Cash Reinvestment Collateral
Percent of Total Percent of Total
Source: The Risk Management
Association, OFR
As Of: 2021 Q2
Note: Nongovernment repos have collateral of whole
loans, equity, and corporate debt. Other includes ABS,
funding agreements, other funds, and other vehicles.
Data is based on a survey of agent-based lenders.
Nongovernment Repo
Corporate Securities
Other
Government Repo
Money Market Funds
Commercial Paper
Bank Deposits
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.4.3.1 U.S. Futures Markets VolumeBillions of Contracts Billions of Contracts
Source: CFTC
As Of: 2021 Q3
Note: 2016–2020 figures represent full year
volumes. 2021 figure represents year-to-
date volume through September 30, 2021.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.4.3.2 U.S. Futures Markets Open InterestTrillions of US$ Trillions of US$
Source: CFTC
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
Note: Open interest as of
September 30 for all years.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Gold Crude Oil S&P 500 Corn Silver Soybean
2021 Range
9/30/2021
5-Year Average
3.4.3.3 Futures 60-Day Historical VolatilityPercent Percent
Source: Bloomberg, L.P.
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
1
2
3
4
5
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
CurrenciesEnergyMetalsStock IndicesTreasuries
3.4.3.4 Micro Futures Contracts Open InterestBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: CFTC
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
Note: Open interest as of September 30 for all years.
3.4.3.5 Futures Transaction Volume – Leaderboard
Source: CFTC
Futures ContractNumber of
Contracts (YTD)
1. 3-Month Eurodollars 439 Million
2. 10-Year Treasury Notes 357 Million
3. E-Mini S&P 500 Stock Index 300 Million
4. 5-Year Treasury Notes 209 Million
5. WTI Crude Oil 183 Million
6. Micro E-Mini NASDAQ 100 174 Million
7. Micro E-Mini S&P 500 Index 161 Million
8. E-mini NASDAQ 100 Index 103 Million
9. U.S. Treasury Bonds 86 Million
10. 2-Year U.S. Treasury Notes 82 Million
Note: Total futures volume through September 30, 2021.
12/29/2015 12/29/2016 12/29/2017 12/29/2018 12/29/2019 12/29/2020
-1000
-750
-500
-250
0
250
500
750
1000
-1000
-750
-500
-250
0
250
500
750
1000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Billions of US$ As Of: 28-Sep-2021
3.4.3.6 U.S. Treasury Futures Open Interest: Asset Manager
Billions of US$
Source: CFTC,
Haver Analytics
Note: Note: Net notional amount of open interest. 10-Year
includes 10-Year and 10-Year Ultra Treasury Note Futures; 30-
Year includes Treasury Bond and Ultra Treasury Bond Futures.
5-Year2-Year
30-Year10-Year
12
/29/2
015
1/2
9/2
016
2/2
9/2
016
3/3
1/2
016
4/3
0/2
016
5/3
1/2
016
6/3
0/2
016
7/3
1/2
016
8/3
1/2
016
9/3
0/2
016
10
/31/2
016
11
/30/2
016
12
/31/2
016
1/3
1/2
017
2/2
8/2
017
3/3
1/2
017
4/3
0/2
017
5/3
1/2
017
6/3
0/2
017
7/3
1/2
017
8/3
1/2
017
9/3
0/2
017
10
/31/2
017
11
/30/2
017
12
/31/2
017
1/3
1/2
018
2/2
8/2
018
3/3
1/2
018
4/3
0/2
018
5/3
1/2
018
6/3
0/2
018
7/3
1/2
018
8/3
1/2
018
9/3
0/2
018
10
/31/2
018
11
/30/2
018
12
/31/2
018
1/3
1/2
019
2/2
8/2
019
3/3
1/2
019
4/3
0/2
019
5/3
1/2
019
6/3
0/2
019
7/3
1/2
019
8/3
1/2
019
9/3
0/2
019
10
/31/2
019
11
/30/2
019
12
/31/2
019
1/3
1/2
020
2/2
9/2
020
3/3
1/2
020
4/3
0/2
020
5/3
1/2
020
6/3
0/2
020
7/3
1/2
020
8/3
1/2
020
9/3
0/2
020
10
/31/2
020
11
/30/2
020
12
/31/2
020
1/3
1/2
021
2/2
8/2
021
3/3
1/2
021
4/3
0/2
021
5/3
1/2
021
6/3
0/2
021
7/3
1/2
021
8/3
1/2
021
-1000
-750
-500
-250
0
250
500
750
1000
-1000
-750
-500
-250
0
250
500
750
1000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Billions of US$ As Of: 28-Sep-2021
3.4.3.7 U.S. Treasury Futures Open Interest: Leveraged Funds
Billions of US$
Note: Net notional amount of open interest. 10-Year includes
10-Year and 10-Year Ultra Treasury Note Futures; 30-Year
includes Treasury Bond and Ultra Treasury Bond Futures.
5-Year2-Year
30-Year10-Year
Source: CFTC,
Haver Analytics
0
15
30
45
60
75
90
Jan:2019 Jul:2019 Jan:2020 Jul:2020 Jan:2021 Jul:2021
3.4.3.8 CME Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Thousands of Bitcoin
Source: Bloomberg, L.P.
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
Note: Includes Bitcoin Futures and Micro Bitcoin
Futures contracts. Open interest converted into Bitcoin
equivalents using respective futures contract units.
Thousands of Bitcoin
0
20
40
60
80
100
0
20
40
60
80
100
Jan:2019 Jul:2019 Jan:2020 Jul:2020 Jan:2021 Jul:2021
3.4.3.9 Bitcoin Futures and Reference Index Volume
Thousands of Bitcoin Thousands of Bitcoin
Source: Bloomberg L.P.,
Bitcoinity.org
As Of: Sep-2021
CME CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index
CME Futures Volume
Note: Average daily volume. Incudes CME Bitcoin and Micro
Bitcoin volumes converted into bitcoin equivalents. Spot volumes
are Bitcoin/USD pairs from underlying spot exchanges referenced
by the CME CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index.
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
5
10
15
20
25
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
FuturesOptions
IndexSwaps
3.4.3.10 Growth of USD ESG and Emissions Derivatives Markets
Billions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: CFTC
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Dec:2019 Dec:2020 Mar:2021 Jun:2021 Sep:2021
3.4.3.11 Growth of the ESG Indices Futures Markets
Billions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: CFTC
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
Millions of Contracts As Of: Sep-2021
3.4.3.12 Exchange-Traded Equity Option Volume
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Jan:2019 Jul:2019 Jan:2020 Jul:2020 Jan:2021 Jul:2021
Millions of Contracts
Source: Options Clearing Corp.
Note: Average daily volume. Includes
FLEX, excludes index and ETF options.
Put Options
Call Options
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.4.3.13 Options on Futures: Open InterestTrillions of US$ Trillions of US$
Source: CFTC
As Of: Sep-2021
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.4.3.14 Options on Futures: VolumeMillions of Contracts Millions of Contracts
Source: CFTC
Other Options
Eurodollar Options
As Of: Sep-2021
YTD
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
10
20
30
40
50
60
70C
orn
Wheat
So
yb
ea
n
Su
gar
Co
tto
n
Le
an
Ho
gs
WT
I
Co
pp
er
Gold
Silv
er
9/30/2021
5 Year Average 1 Year Range
3.4.3.15 3-Month Implied Volatility for Select Commodities Options
Percent Percent
Source: Bloomberg, L.P.
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
Trillions of US$
0
10
20
30
40
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021
Notional Amounts
(left axis)
3.4.3.16 Global OTC Positions
Trillions of US$
Source: BIS, Haver Analytics
As Of: 2021 Q2
Gross Market Values
(right axis)
Gross Credit Exposures
(right axis)
Trillions of US$
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021
3.4.3.17 Global OTC Equity Derivatives Outstanding
Trillions of US$
Source: BIS, Haver Analytics
As Of: 2021 Q2
Note: Gross notional amounts outstanding.
Other Equities
U.S. Equities
0
3
6
9
12
15
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.4.3.18 Derivatives Notional VolumeTrillions of US$ Trillions of US$
Source: CFTC, ISDA
As Of: 24-Sep-2021
Note: 12-week moving-averages. Excludes security-
based swaps. ISDA adjusted numbers since Nov 2020.
Credit Default Swaps
(left axis)
Interest Rate Swaps
(right axis)
0
100
200
300
400
500
0
2
4
6
8
10
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.4.3.19 Derivatives Notional Amount OutstandingTrillions of US$ Trillions of US$
Source: CFTC
Interest Rate Swaps
(right axis)
Index CDS
(left axis)
As Of: 24-Sep-2021
Note: Weekly Swaps Report not issued between Dec. 22,
2018 and Jan. 26, 2019 due to a lapse in government
funding. Excludes security-based swaps.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.4.3.20 Commodity Swaps: Open InterestBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: CFTC
As Of: Sep-2021
Note: Estimated notional value.
Figures as of end of September.
Agricultural
Energy
Soft
Metals
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.4.3.21 Commodity Index Swaps Gross Notional Value
Billions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: CFTC
As Of: Sep-2021
Note: Estimated notional value.
Figures as of end of September.
0
100
200
300
400
500
0
100
200
300
400
500
2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
3.4.3.22 Customer Margin Funds Held at FCMsBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: CFTC
Foreign FuturesSwaps
U.S. Futures
As Of: Sep-2021
Note: Includes CFTC registered FCMs.
3.4.3.23 FCM Concentration: Customer Futures Balances
Source: CFTC
Percent PercentAs Of: 2021 Q3
Note: Represents total amount of funds that an FCM is
required to segregate on behalf of customers who are
trading futures and options on futures at US exchanges.
0
25
50
75
100
0
25
50
75
100
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Top 5Top 3 Top 10
3.4.3.24 FCM Concentration: Customer Swap Balances
Source: CFTC
0
25
50
75
100
0
25
50
75
100
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Percent Percent
As Of: 2021 Q3
Note: Represents the amount of funds an FCM is required
to segregate for customers who trade cleared swaps.
Top 5Top 3 Top 10
3.4.3.25 Concentration of Swap Positions for Registered SDs
Source: CFTC
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Q32014
Q32015
Q32016
Q32017
Q32018
Q32019
Q32020
Q32021
Percent PercentAs Of: 2021 Q3
Note: Positions between two Swap Dealers (SDs) in the same
category (e.g., Top 3 or Top 5) are double-counted (i.e., a trade
between the #1 SD and #3 SD would be counted twice).
Top 5Top 3 Top 10
Billions of US$ As Of: Sep-2021
3.4.3.26 SEF Trading Volumes: Interest Rate Swaps
Source: CFTC
Percent
Note: Average daily notional volume. Data have
been adjusted to correct a DDR data issue.
30
40
50
60
70
80
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
Jan:18 Jan:19 Jan:20 Jan:21
Share of Total Volume
(right axis)
On-SEF Interest Rate
Swap Volume (left axis)
Billions of US$ As Of: Sep-2021
3.4.3.27 SEF Trading Volumes: CDS Index
Source: CFTC
50
60
70
80
90
100
0
20
40
60
80
100
Jan:18 Jan:19 Jan:20 Jan:21
On-SEF CDS Index
Volume (left axis)
Share of Total Volume
right axis)
Percent
Note: Average daily notional volume. Excludes security-based
swaps. Data have been adjusted to correct a DDR data issue.
50
100
150
200
250
50
100
150
200
250
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
3.4.4.1 Relative Performance of Commodity IndicesIndex Index
Source: S&P GSCI, Haver Analytics
Industrial Metals
Precious Metals
As Of: 24-Sep-2021
Agriculture & Livestock
Energy
Note: S&P GSCI Spot Indices.
Indexed to 100 as of January 1, 2016.
60
80
100
120
140
160
60
80
100
120
140
160
Sep:2020 Dec:2020 Mar:2021 Jun:2021 Sep:2021
3.4.4.2 Relative Performance of Precious MetalsIndex Index
Source: Bloomberg, L.P.
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
Silver
Gold
Palladium
Platinum
Note: Indexed to 100 as of
September 30, 2020.
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Jan:2020 Jul:2020 Jan:2021 Jul:2021
3.4.4.3 Relative Performance of Industrial MetalsIndex IndexAs Of: 30-Sep-2021
Aluminum
Copper
Zinc
Nickel
Source: S&P GSCI, Haver AnalyticsNote: S&P GSCI Spot Indices.
Indexed to 100 as of January 2, 2020.
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
Jan:2020 Jul:2020 Jan:2021 Jul:2021
3.4.4.4 Relative Performance of Agriculture ProductsIndex Index
Source: S&P GSCI, Haver Analytics
As Of: 24-Sep-2021
Cotton
Wheat
Live Cattle
Coffee
Lean Hogs
Corn
Soybeans
Note: S&P GSCI Spot Indices.
Indexed to 100 as of January 3, 2020.
Percent As Of: 28-Sep-2021
3.4.4.5 U.S. Drought Conditions
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Percent
Source: University of Nebraska-Lincoln
Moderate Drought
Abnormally Dry
Severe Drought Exceptional Drought
Extreme Drought
Note: Limited to Continental U.S.
0
500
1000
1500
2000
0
500
1000
1500
2000
Jan:2019 Jul:2019 Dec:2019 Jul:2020 Dec:2020 Jun:2021
3.4.4.6 CME Lumber Futures
Contract Price, US$ Contract Price, US$
Source: CME, Haver Analytics
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
Note: US$ per 1,000 Board Feed.
Millions of Barrels As Of: Aug-2021
3.4.4.7 U.S. Crude Oil Production & Inventories
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
900
1000
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Millions of Barrels
Source: EIA, Haver Analytics
Note: Crude oil production presented
as millions of barrels per day.
Crude Oil Production
(right axis)
Crude Oil Inventories
(left axis)
Price Per Barrel ($)
3.4.4.8 WTI Crude Oil Futures Curve
30
40
50
60
70
80
30
40
50
60
70
80
1 7 13 19 25 31 37 43 49 55
Price Per Barrel ($)
Source: Bloomberg, L.P.Note: CME WTI Crude Oil Futures. X axis
represents the number of months until expiry.
9/30/2020
9/30/2019
9/30/2021
US$ Per MMBtu
3.4.4.9 Natural Gas Futures Curve
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 56
9/30/2019
US$ Per MMBtu
Source: Bloomberg, L.P.
9/30/2020
9/30/2021
Note: NYMEX Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures. X
axis represents the number of months until expiry.
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
5
10
15
20
25
Sep:2020 Dec:2020 Mar:2021 Jun:2021 Sep:2021
3.4.4.10 U.S. Natural Gas Prices
Contract Price, US$ Contract Price, US$
Source: Bloomberg, L.P.
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
Front Month Future
Spot Price
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021
3.4.4.11 European & U.S. Natural Gas Prices
US$ Per MMBtu US$ Per MMBtu
Source: World Bank Group, Bloomberg, L.P.
As Of: Sep-2021
Europe
United States
Index As Of: Aug-2021
3.4.5.1 House Prices by Census Division
Source: FHFA
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1991 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2015 2019
Index
Mountain
Pacific
West South Central
South Atlantic
West North Central
Total U.S.
New England
East South Central
Middle Atlantic
East North Central
Note: Purchase-only, seasonally adjusted, nominal,
constant-quality price index. Indexed to January 1991.
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
0.0
0.3
0.6
0.9
1.2
1.5
2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020
Existing Home Sales (right axis)
New Home Sales (left axis)
3.4.5.2 Home SalesMillions of Units Millions of Units
Source: NAR, Census Bureau,
Haver Analytics
As Of: Sep-2021
Note: Series are seasonally adjusted annual rates and
are expressed in millions of single-family housing units.
-20
-10
0
10
20
301/1/2000 1/1/2003 1/1/2006 1/1/2009 1/1/2012 1/1/2015 1/1/2018 1/1/2021
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021
House Price Changes(right axis)
3.4.5.3 New Housing Starts and Price ChangesMillions of Housing Units Percentage Change
Source: U.S. Census Bureau,
FHFA, Haver Analytics
As Of: Aug-2021
Note: Data are seasonally adjusted annual rates. House
Price Changes series is the year-over-year percentage
change of the FHFA National House Price Index.
Housing Starts(left axis)
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
8.5
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Homeownership Rate(left axis)
Rental Vacancy Rate(right axis)
3.4.5.4 Homeownership and Vacancy RatesPercent Percent
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current
Population Survey/Housing Vacancy Survey
As Of: 2021 Q3
Note: Data are non-seasonally
adjusted quarterly percentages.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
30-Year Fixed Rate
Mortgage Average
Spread to 10-Year
Treasury
3.4.5.5 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Rate and Spread
Percent Percent
Source: Bankrate.com, Bloomberg, L.P.
As Of: 24-Sep-2021
0
300
600
900
1200
1500
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
30-Year Mortgage Rate
(left axis)
3.4.5.6 Mortgage Originations and RatesPercent Billions of US$
Source: NMDB®,
Bankrate.com
As Of: 2021 Q1
Refinance (right axis)Purchase (right axis)
Note: Quarterly originations represent all 1-4 family
homes with first-lien, closed-end residential mortgages.
0
20
40
60
80
100
0
20
40
60
80
100
2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019
3.4.5.7 Purchase Origination Volume by Credit ScorePercent of Originations Percent of Originations
Source: NMDB®
As Of: 2021 Q2
Note: Based on all-borrower VantageScore 3.0 for first-lien,
closed-end residential purchase mortgages; excludes territories.
<601
601-660
661-780
>780
0
20
40
60
80
100
0
20
40
60
80
100
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
3.4.5.8 Shares of Mortgages by Equity PercentagePercent Percent
Source: NMDB®
As Of: 2021 Q2
Note: Quarterly percentage of all mortgage
loans that are not closed or terminated.
Percentage of mortgages with
20% or more equity
5 to <20%
0 to <5%
<0%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
3.4.5.9 Mortgage DelinquencyAs Of: 2021 Q2Percent Percent
Note: Quarterly percentage of all mortgage
loans that are not closed or terminated.Source: NMDB®
In process of
foreclosure,
bankruptcy or
deed-in-lieu
90 to 180 Days
Past Due30 or 60 Days
Past Due
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Mar:2020 Jun:2020 Sep:2020 Dec:2020 Mar:2021 Jun:2021
3.4.5.10 Forbearance Rates by Investor Type
As Of: Aug-2021Percent Percent
Note: Rates are the weekly percentage of servicing
portfolio volume in forbearance by investor type over time.Source: NMDB®
FHA, VA, and RHS
Total
GSE
Other (PLS, Portfolio, etc.)
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Case-Shiller Home Price Index
FHFA Home Price Index
B.1 House Price GrowthPercent Percent
Source: S&P CoreLogic Real Estate
Data, FHFA, Haver Analytics
As of: Aug-2021
Note: Year-over-year
percentage change.
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
New Listings
Total Inventory
B.2 Inventory of Homes Listed for SaleThousands Thousands
Source: Redfin, Haver Analytics
As of: Aug-2021
Note: Seasonally adjusted.
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
1996 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021
B.3 Price-to-Rent RatiosIndex Index
Source: S&P CoreLogic Real Estate
Data, FHFA, BLS, Haver Analytics
As of: Aug-2021
Note: Seasonally adjusted; indexed
to January 1996. Rental data are
owners’ equivalent rent.
Case-Shiller Home Price Index
FHFA House Price Index
0
20
40
60
80
100
0
20
40
60
80
100
1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019
3.4.5.11 Mortgage Originations by ProductPercent of Originations Percent of OriginationsAs Of: 2020 Q4
FHA, VA & RHS
GSE
Private Portfolio
and Securitized
Note: Quarterly data for first-lien,
closed-end residential mortgages.Source: NMDB®
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
3.4.5.12 RMBS Issuance
Trillions of US$ Trillions of US$
Source: FHLMC, FNMA, GNMA, NCUA,
FDIC, Bloomberg, L.P., Dealogic,
Thomson Reuters, SIFMA
As Of: Sep-2021
Non-AgencyAgency
Note: 2021 figures are
through September.
YTD
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
Mar:2020 Jul:2020 Nov:2020 Mar:2021 Jul:2021
3.4.5.13 Cumulative MBS Purchases by the Federal Reserve
Trillions of US$ Trillions of US$
Source: FRBNY
As Of: 24-Sep-2021
UMBSGNMA
Note: Cumulative purchases beginning in March 2020. Weekly series
are aggregated from daily Agency MBS operations in the TBA pool.
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020
3.4.6.1 Commercial Property Price GrowthPercent Percent
Source: Real Capital Analytics,
Bloomberg, L.P.
Retail
Industrial
National
As Of: Sep-2021
Note: Year-over-year price change.
Office: Central Business District
Apartment
Office
0
2
4
6
8
10
0
2
4
6
8
10
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
3.4.6.2 Conduit CMBS Delinquency and Foreclosure Rate
As Of: Sep-2021Percent Percent
Source: JPMorgan, Trepp
Foreclosure /
Real Estate
Owned
60+ Days
Delinquent
Note: 60+ Days Delinquent includes
Foreclosure/Real Estate Owned.
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019
National Cap Rate
National Cap Rate Spread
3.4.6.3 Average Capitalization Rates and SpreadsPercent Percent
Source: Real Capital Analytics,
Bloomberg, L.P.
As Of: Sep-2021
Note: Dotted lines represent
2001–present averages.
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
3.4.6.4 CMBS IssuanceBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: Inside
Mortgage Finance
As Of: Sep-2021
Agency
Non-Agency
Note: 2021 figures are through September.
Agency includes multifamily CMBS.
3.5.1.1 Categorization of Large U.S. BHCs
Source: Federal Reserve
Description U.S. Domestic Banking Org.
Category I
(U.S. G-SIBs)
Bank of America JPMorgan Chase
Bank of New York Mellon Morgan Stanley
Citigroup State Street
Goldman Sachs Wells Fargo
Category II
(Large complex, ≥$700b Total assets, or ≥
$75b in Cross-Jurisdictional Activity)
Northern Trust
Category III
(Large complex, ≥$250b Total assets or ≥ $75b
in NBA, wSTWF, or Off-balance sheet exposure)
Capital One Truist Financial
Charles Schwab U.S. Bancorp
PNC Financial
Category IV
(Large noncomplex, other firms with $100b
to $250b Total assets)
Ally Financial Huntington
American Express KeyCorp
Citizens Financial M&T Bank
Discover Regions Financial
Fifth Third
Note: Northern Trust is in Category II due to its cross-jurisdictional activity.
Synchrony Financial dropped out of Category IV in 2021:Q2 and did not participate
in the 2020 or 2021 stress tests.
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
G-SIBs LargeComplex
LargeNoncomplex
Other IHCs
3.5.1.2 Total Assets by BHC Type/IHCTrillions of US$ Trillions of US$
Source: FR Y-9C
As Of: 2021 Q2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019
3.5.1.3 Common Equity Tier 1 RatiosPercent of RWA Percent of RWAAs Of: 2021 Q2
Source: FR Y-9C,
Haver Analytics
Note: Tier 1 common capital is used as the numerator of the CET1 ratio
prior to 2014:Q1 for G-SIBs and large complex BHCs, and prior to
2015:Q1 for large noncomplex and other BHCs. The denominator is
risk-weighted assets (RWA). Shaded areas indicate NBER recessions.
G-SIBsLarge ComplexLarge NoncomplexOther
0
4
8
12
16
20
0
4
8
12
16
20
BAC BK C GS JPM MS STT WFC
2021 Q1
2021 minimum including U.S.
G-SIB surcharge
Source: FR-Y9C
2020 Q2
3.5.1.4 Common Equity Tier 1 Ratios at U.S. G-SIBs
Percent of RWA Percent of RWAAs Of: 2021 Q2
2021 Q2
3.5.1.5 Payout Rates at U.S. G-SIBs
Source: FR Y-9C
0
50
100
150
200
0
50
100
150
200
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Billions of US$Percent of NIAC As Of: 2021 Q2
NIAC (right axis)
Note: Net income available to common shareholders
(NIAC) is net income minus preferred dividends.
2021 data represents YTD data through Q2.
Common Stock Cash Dividends
(left axis)
Stock Repurchases
(left axis)
0
2
4
6
8
10
0
2
4
6
8
10
BAC BK C GS JPM MS STT WFC
3.5.1.6 Supplementary Leverage Ratios at U.S. G-SIBsPercent PercentAs Of: 2021 Q2
Source: FR Y-9C,
Call Report
Note: Enhanced SLR is only required for the G-SIBs. The ratio is equal to tier 1
capital divided by total assets plus off-balance sheet exposures. The ratio
excludes Treasury securities and reserves from the denominator during
2020:Q2 and 2021:Q1, reflecting a temporary change to the SLR rule to ease
strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic.
2021 Q1
2020 Q2
Minimum
2021 Q2
-1
0
1
2
3
-1
0
1
2
3
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
3.5.1.7 Return on AssetsPercent PercentAs Of: 2021 Q2
Source: FR Y-9CNote: Quarterly, seasonally-adjusted annual rate. Return on
assets is equal to net income divided by average assets.
Other
Large Noncomplex
Large Complex
G-SIBs
1
2
3
4
5
6
1
2
3
4
5
6
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Other
Large Noncomplex
Large Complex
G-SIBs
3.5.1.8 Net Interest MarginsPercent PercentAs Of: 2021 Q2
Source: FR Y-9C
Note: Quarterly, seasonally-adjusted annual rate. Net
interest margin is equal to net interest income divided
by the quarterly average of interest-earning assets.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
3.5.1.9 Sources of Funding at G-SIBs and Large-Complex
Percent of Total Liabilities Percent of Total LiabilitiesAs Of: 2021 Q2
Long-Term Funding
Core Deposits
Source:
FR Y-9C
Note: ST funding: liabilities with maturities =< 1 yr, trading liabilities, repos, CP, and foreign deposits.
LT funding: other borrowed money, subordinated notes and large time deposits with maturities > 1
yr. Core deposits: demand deposits, noninterest-bearing balances, transaction accounts, money
market deposits and time deposits <$250,000. Gray bars signify NBER recessions.
Short-Term Funding
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
5
10
15
20
25
2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019
3.5.1.10 Deposit Growth, All Commercial BanksPercent PercentAs Of: Jun-2021
Source: Federal Reserve,
Haver Analytics
Note: Statistical Release H.8, “Assets and Liabilities of
Commercial Banks in the United States.” Seasonally adjusted
values. Year-over-year percentage change.
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.25
1.50
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.25
1.50
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
3.5.1.11 Effective Deposit Rates by BHC Category
Rates RatesAs Of: 2021 Q2
Source: Call Report
Note: Effective deposit rates are defined as the ratio of the
annualized quarterly-average interest expense on deposits and the
one-quarter lag of the quarterly-average deposit balances.
Other
Large Noncomplex
Large Complex
G-SIBs
0
4
8
12
16
20
0
4
8
12
16
20
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
3.5.1.12 Delinquency Rates on Real Estate LoansPercent PercentAs Of: 2021 Q2
Source: FR Y-9CNote: Includes all loans in domestic and foreign
offices. Gray bars signify NBER recessions.
Commercial
Real Estate
Residential
Real Estate
0
2
4
6
8
0
2
4
6
8
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
3.5.1.13 Delinquency Rates on Selected LoansPercent PercentAs Of: 2021 Q2
Source: FRY-9C,
Call Report
Note: Seasonally adjusted. Includes all loans in domestic
and foreign offices. Auto loans became available in 2011
Q1. Gray bars signify NBER recessions.
Credit Card
Auto
C&I
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.5.1.14 Provisions to Loans Ratios at BHCsPercent PercentAs Of: 2021 Q2
Credit Cards
Other Consumer
Residential Real Estate
Commercial Real Estate
C&I
Source: FR Y-9CNote: Excludes Barclays, Credit
Suisse, Deutsche Bank, and UBS.
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019
3.5.1.15 C&I Loan Growth, All Commercial BanksPercent PercentAs Of: Jun-2021
Source: Federal Reserve,
Haver Analytics
Note: Statistical Release H.8, “Assets and Liabilities
of Commercial Banks in the United States.” Year-
over-year percentage change.
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
3.5.1.16 Loans to Nondepository Financial InstitutionsPercent of Total Loans Percent of Total Loans
Source: FR Y-9C
As Of: 2021 Q2
Other
Large Noncomplex
Large Complex
G-SIBs
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
3.5.1.17 High-Quality Liquid Assets by BHC TypePercent of Assets Percent of Assets
Source: FR Y-9C
As Of: 2021 Q2
Note: HQLA is estimated by adding excess reserves to an
estimate of securities that qualify for HQLA. Haircuts and
level 2 asset limitations are incorporated into the estimate.
Other
Large Noncomplex
Large Complex
G-SIBs
0
3
6
9
12
15
0
3
6
9
12
15
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
3.5.1.18 Selected Liquid Assets at All BHCs Percent of Assets Percent of Assets
Source: FR Y-9C, FR 2900
As Of: 2021 Q2
Reserve Balances
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac MBS
Treasury Securities
Ginnie Mae MBS
Note: Not seasonally adjusted.
0
50
100
150
200
0
50
100
150
200
BAC BK C GS JPM MS STT WFC
3.5.1.19 Liquidity Coverage Ratios at U.S. G-SIBsPercent PercentAs Of: 2021 Q2
Source: LCR Disclosures
from each banks’ websitesNote: The solid line represents the
regulatory minimum.
2021 Q12021 Q2
2020 Q2
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
3.5.1.20 Held-to-Maturity Securities Percent of Investment
Securities
Percent of Investment
SecuritiesAs Of: 2021 Q2
Source: Call Report,
Haver AnalyticsNote: Investment securities are held-to-maturity
securities plus available-for-sale securities.
Other
Large Noncomplex
Large Complex
G-SIBs
3.5.1.21 Duration Gap
Source: Call Report,
Haver Analytics
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019
Years YearsAs Of: 2021 Q2
Note: Duration gap is the approximate weighted-average
time of cash inflows less the approximate weighted-average
time of cash outflows. Gray bars signify NBER recessions.
Other
Large Noncomplex
Large Complex
G-SIBs
Index As Of: 29-Jun-2021
3.5.1.22 Bank Stock Performance
Source: Yahoo! Finance,
Bloomberg, L.P.
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
Jan:2019 Jun:2019 Dec:2019 Jun:2020 Dec:2020 Jun:2021
Large Noncomplex
Large Complex
G-SIBs
Index
Note: January 2, 2019 = 100. EU Bank Stock Index created from
stock prices for the following banks: BCS, BNPQY, CS, ACA, DB,
SAN, UBS. All indexes are created by equally weighting banks.
S&P 500
EU Bank Stock Index
Other
Percent As Of: Jun-2021
3.5.1.23 Price-to-Book for Select U.S. G-SIBs
Source: SNL
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Percent
Note: Month-end values.
Wells Fargo
JPMorgan Chase
Morgan Stanley
Goldman Sachs
Citigroup
Bank of America
Basis Points As Of: Jun-2021
3.5.1.24 5-Year CDS Premiums Select U.S. G-SIBs
Source: Markit
0
100
200
300
400
500
0
100
200
300
400
500
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Basis Points
Note: Monthly averages.
Wells Fargo
JPMorgan Chase
Morgan Stanley
Goldman Sachs
Citigroup
Bank of America
Basis Points As Of: Jun-2021
3.5.1.25 5-Year CDS Premiums Select Foreign Banks
Source: Markit
0
100
200
300
400
500
0
100
200
300
400
500
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Basis Points
Santander
Credit Suisse
Barclays
Note: Monthly averages.
Deutsche Bank
Société Générale
BNP Paribas
0
4
8
12
16
0
4
8
12
16
201318
201430
201531
201633
201734
201835
201918
202033
202123
Post-Stress DFASTPre-Stress
3.5.1.26 Initial and Stressed Capital Ratios
Percent of RWA Percent of RWA
Source: Federal
Reserve
Note: Regulatory minimum is 5% pre-2016 and 4.5% from 2016
onwards. For DFAST 2013-2015, bars show Tier 1 Common Capital
Ratio. DFAST 2016-2021 bars show Common Equity Tier 1 Ratio. The
x-axis labels represent the number of banks tested within a given year.
Post-Stress CCAR
Regulatory Minimum
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
0
30
60
90
120
150
180
2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020
3.5.1.27 FDIC-Insured Failed Institutions As Of: 2020Number of Institutions Percent
Note: No FDIC-insured institutions
failed during 2005, 2006, and 2018.Source: BEA, FDIC,
Haver Analytics
Number of Institutions (left axis)
Assets of Failed Institutions as a
Percent of Nominal GDP (right axis)
-1200
-800
-400
0
400
800
1200
-1200
-800
-400
0
400
800
1200
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Noninterest IncomeNet Interest Income
Noninterest ExpenseProvisions
3.5.1.28 Commercial Bank and Thrift Net IncomeBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: FDICNote: Includes all commercial banks and
thrift institutions. All items are annualized.
As Of: 2021 Q2
Realized Gains/Losses
Net Income
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
5
10
15
20
25
1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014 2019
Number of Insured
Depository Institutions
(right axis)
3.5.1.29 Total Assets of Largest Insured Depository Institutions
Trillions of US$ Count (‘000s)
Source: FFIEC Call Report
As Of: 2021 Q2
Top 11-100 IDIs (left axis)
Other IDIs (left axis)
Top 10 IDIs (left axis)
Note: Fourth quarter data was used for years 1984-
2020 and second quarter data was used for 2021.
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
3.5.1.30 U.S. Branches and Agencies of Foreign Banks: Assets
Trillions of US$ Trillions of US$
Source: Federal Reserve,
Haver Analytics
As Of: 2021 Q2
Reserve Balances
Net Due from Related Institutions
Securities Purchased with Repos &
Fed Funds Sold
Cash and Balances Due from
Depository Institutions (Excluding
Reserve Balances)
Other Assets
Non-C&I Loans
C&I Loans
Note: Other assets includes government
securities, ABS, and other trading assets.
0
1
2
3
4
0
1
2
3
4
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
3.5.1.31 U.S. Branches and Agencies of Foreign Banks: Liabilities
Trillions of US$ Trillions of US$
Source: Federal Reserve,
Haver Analytics
As Of: 2021 Q2
Deposits & Credit Balances
Securities Sold with Repos & Fed Funds Purchased
Other Liabilities
Net Due to Related Depository Institutions
Note: Other liabilities includes transaction accounts,
non-transaction accounts, and other borrowed money.
-100
-50
0
50
100
-100
-50
0
50
100
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Net Income
3.5.1.32 Credit Union IncomeBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: NCUA
As Of: 2021 Q2
Noninterest IncomeNet Interest Income
Note: Federally-insured credit
unions. Values are annualized.
Noninterest ExpenseProvisions Realized Gains/Losses
on Investments
50
60
70
80
90
100
50
60
70
80
90
100
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
3.5.1.33 Loans as a Percent of Total DepositsPercent of Total Assets Percent of Total Assets
Source: NCUA
As Of: 2021 Q2
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
3.5.2.1 Number of Broker-Dealers
Number of Firms Number of FirmsAs Of: 2021 Q2
Source: FINRA
0
100
200
300
400
500
0
100
200
300
400
500
2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
3.5.2.2 Broker-Dealer Revenues and Net IncomeBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: FINRA
As Of: 2021 Q2
Net Income
Total Revenue
0
2
4
6
8
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
5
10
15
20
25
3.5.2.3 Broker-Dealer Assets and LeverageTrillions of US$ Ratio
Source: FINRA
As Of: 2021 Q2
Note: Leverage is the ratio of total
assets to total regulatory capital.
Total Assets (left axis) Leverage (right axis)
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
1
2
3
4
5
2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
BHC Leverage (right axis)
FBO Leverage (right axis)
3.5.2.4 Broker-Dealer Assets and Leverage by Affiliation
Trillions of US$ Ratio
Source: FINRA
As Of: 2021 Q2
FBO Total Assets (left axis)
BHC Total Assets (left axis)
Note: Data covers BHC and FBO-affiliated
broker-dealers that are among the 25 largest
broker-dealers by assets at year-end 2020.
0
200
400
600
800
0
200
400
600
800
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
3.5.2.5 mREIT Financial AssetsBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: Federal Reserve,
Haver Analytics
As Of: 2021 Q2
Agency & GSE-Backed Securities
Mortgages
Other
Index As Of: 30-Sep-2021
3.5.2.6 REIT Stock Performance
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
Jan:2020 Jun:2020 Nov:2020 Apr:2021 Sep:2021
Index
Source: NAREIT,
Bloomberg, L.P.
Note: Indexed to 100 as of year-end 2019; mREITs represents the FTSE
Nareit Mortgage REITs Index; Equity REITs represents the FTSE Nareit
Equity REITs Index; Financials represents the S&P 500 Financials Subindex.
S&P 500
Financials
Equity REITs
mREITs
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.5.2.7 MMF Assets by Fund TypeTrillions of US$ Trillions of US$
Source: SEC
As Of: Sep-2021
PrimeTax-ExemptGovernment
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.5.2.8 Liquid Asset Shares of Prime MMFsPercent of Total Assets Percent of Total Assets
Source: SEC
As Of: Sep-2021
Daily Liquid - Retail
Weekly Liquid - Retail
Daily Liquid - Institutional
Weekly Liquid - Institutional
10
20
30
40
50
60
10
20
30
40
50
60
2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
3.5.2.9 Weighted Average Maturities by Fund TypeDays Days
Source: SEC
Government
Prime
Tax-Exempt
As Of: Sep-2021
Note: Weighted by fund size.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
3.5.2.10 Net Assets of the Investment Company Industry
Trillions of US$ Trillions of US$As Of: 2021 Q3
Closed-End Funds
ETFs
Equity Mutual Funds
Bond/Hybrid Mutual Funds
MMFs
Source: ICI, Federal Reserve, SEC
UITs
Note: Excludes non ’40 Act ETPs.
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.5.2.11 Monthly Bond Mutual Fund FlowsBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: ICI, Haver Analytics
As Of: Sep-2021
Tax-ExemptTaxable
Note: Net fund flows.
-100
-75
-50
-25
0
25
50
-100
-75
-50
-25
0
25
50
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.5.2.12 Monthly Equity Mutual Fund FlowsBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: ICI, Haver Analytics
As Of: Sep-2021
Note: Net fund flows.
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.5.2.13 Monthly Bank Loan and High-Yield Mutual Fund Flows
Billions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: Morningstar, Inc.
As Of: Sep-2021
Note: Net fund flows.
High-YieldBank Loan
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.5.2.14 Cumulative Equity Fund FlowsBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: Morningstar, Inc.
As Of: Sep-2021
Passively Managed ETPs
Actively Managed ETPs
Passively Managed Mutual Funds
Actively Managed Mutual Funds
Note: Cumulative net fund flows. Includes U.S.,
international, sector, and nontraditional equity funds.
-250
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
-250
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.5.2.15 Cumulative Fixed Income Fund Flows
Billions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: Morningstar, Inc.
As Of: Sep-2021
Note: Cumulative net fund flows. Includes
taxable and municipal bond funds.
Passively Managed ETPs
Actively Managed ETPs
Passively Managed Mutual Funds
Actively Managed Mutual Funds
0
2
4
6
8
0
2
4
6
8
2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
3.5.2.16 ETP Assets by Category of InvestmentTrillions of US$ Trillions of US$
Source: Morningstar, Inc.
As Of: Sep-2021
Equity
Fixed Income
CommoditiesOther
-40
-20
0
20
40
-40
-20
0
20
40
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.5.2.17 Monthly ETP Flows: Fixed Income FundsBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: Morningstar, Inc.
As Of: Sep-2021
Tax-ExemptTaxable
Note: Net fund flows.
-100
-60
-20
20
60
100
-100
-60
-20
20
60
100
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.5.2.18 Monthly ETP Flows: Equity FundsBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: Morningstar, Inc.
As Of: Sep-2021
Note: Net fund flows.
-10
-5
0
5
10
-10
-5
0
5
10
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.5.2.19 Monthly Inverse and Leveraged ETP FlowsBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: Morningstar, Inc.
As Of: Sep-2021
InverseLeveraged
Note: Net fund flows.
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
0
2
4
6
8
10
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Leverage: GAV/NAV
(right axis)
3.5.2.20 Hedge Fund Gross and Net AssetsTrillions of US$ Leverage
Source: SEC Form PF, OFR
As Of: 2021 Q1
Net Assets (left axis)
Gross Assets (left axis)
Note: Qualifying Hedge Fund gross and net assets
as reported on Form PF Questions 8 and 9.
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020
3.5.2.21 Private Equity AUM
Billions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: Preqin
As Of: 31-Dec-2020
Unrealized ValueDry Powder
0
50
100
150
200
250
0
50
100
150
200
250
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021YTD
3.5.2.22 M&A Loan Volume for Private Equity-Backed Issuers
Billions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: S&P LCD
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
LBONon-LBO
US$
0
40
80
120
160
0
40
80
120
160
Share Price at Inception $40 Increase in Share Price
Position size: $100
Initial margin$20 = 14.3%
Initial margin$20 = 20%
Position size: $140
$40 variation margin paid
Financed: $120Financed: $80
D.1 Static Margin Model Example
US$
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020
3.5.2.23 Public Plan Allocation to Alternative AssetsPercent PercentAs Of: 2020
Source: publicplansdata.org
Real EstateOther Alternative
Private EquityHedge Fund
Note: Includes public plans that reported investment
allocations from 2002-2020. Simple average.
0
20
40
60
80
100
0
20
40
60
80
100
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
3.5.2.24 Insurance Industry Net IncomeBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: NAIC
As Of: 2020
HealthLifeP&C
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019
3.5.2.25 Consumer Loans and Leases Outstanding
Trillions of US$ Trillions of US$As Of: Aug-2021
Source: Federal Reserve,
Haver Analytics
Note: Loans and leases owned and securitized. Series breaks
in December 2010 and December 2015 due to change in data
collection methodology. Gray bars signify NBER recessions.
Commercial Banks
Finance Companies
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019
3.5.2.26 Business Loans and Leases Outstanding
Trillions of US$ Trillions of US$As Of: Aug-2021
Source: Federal Reserve,
Haver Analytics
Commercial Banks
Finance Companies
Note: Loans and leases owned and securitized. Series
break in December 2010 due to change in data collection
methodology. Gray bars signify NBER recessions.
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Jan:2018 Jan:2019 Jan:2020 Jan:2021
3.5.2.27 AAA Securitization SpreadsBasis Points Basis Points
Source: JPMorgan
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
Private Student Loan 3-Year
Equipment 3-Year
Subprime Auto 2-Year
Prime Auto 3-Year
Credit Card 3-Year
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
3.5.2.28 ABS IssuanceBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: Thomson Reuters, SIFMA
As Of: Sep-2021
Credit Card
Auto
Equipment
Note: Figures are as of year end through 2020.
2021 figures are through September.
Student LoansOther
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.6.1.1 DTCC Clearing Fund RequirementsBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: PFMI Quantitative
Disclosures, Clarus FT
FICC: MBSDNSCC
FICC: GSD
As Of: 2021 Q2
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
DTCC GSD DTCC MBSD DTCC NSCC
3.6.1.2 Maximum Uncovered Exposure for DTCC Billions of US$ Billions of US$
2020 Q1
2015 - 2019
As Of: 2021 Q1
Note: Peak uncovered exposure for
preceding 12 months as reported on
question 6.5.4 of PFMI quarterly disclosures.
2021 Q1
PFMI Quantitative
Disclosures, Clarus FT
0
100
200
300
400
0
100
200
300
400
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.6.1.3 Initial Margin: U.S. Exchange Traded DerivativesBillions of US$ Billions of US$
ICE Clear USOptions Clearing Corp.
CME
As Of: 2021 Q2
Source: PFMI Quantitative
Disclosures, Clarus FTNote: Initial margin required as reported in quantitative
disclosures; includes house and client accounts.
0
100
200
300
400
0
100
200
300
400
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.6.1.4 Initial Margin: Centrally Cleared OTC Derivatives
Billions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: PFMI Quantitative
Disclosures, Clarus FT
Credit Default SwapsInterest Rate Swaps
As Of: 2021 Q2
Note: Initial margin required as reported in quantitative disclosures;
includes house and client accounts. Interest rate swaps margin
includes LCH Ltd. and CME. CDS margin include CME, ICC,
ICEU, and LCH SA). CME ceased clearing CDS in March 2018.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
0
200
400
600
800
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.6.1.5 Initial Margin by Segregation Type
Billions of US$ Billions of US$
House
Customer
As Of: 2021 Q2
Source: PFMI Quantitative
Disclosures, Clarus FT
Note: Initial margin required as reported in quantitative disclosures;
includes exchange-traded derivatives (Options Clearing Corp., CME,
and ICUS), interest rate swaps (LCH Ltd. and CME), and CDS (CME,
ICC, ICEU, and LCH SA). CME ceased clearing CDS in March 2018.
50
60
70
80
90
100
50
60
70
80
90
100
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3.6.1.6 Average Clearing Rates for OTC TradingPercent Percent
Source: CFTC
As Of: 2021 Q3
Note: Gross notional of new transactions.
Excludes security-based swaps.
Index CDSInterest Rate Swaps
0
2
4
6
8
0
1
2
3
4
May:2018 Feb:2019 Nov:2019 Aug:2020 May:2021
As a Percent of Eurodollar
Volume (right axis)
E.1 SOFR Futures VolumeMillions of Contracts Percent
Source: CME, Bloomberg, L.P.
As Of: Sep-2021
3-Month SOFR Futures
(left axis)
1-Month SOFR Futures
(left axis)
0
2
4
6
8
10
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
May:2018 Feb:2019 Nov:2019 Aug:2020 May:2021
As a Percent of Eurodollar
Open Interest (right axis)
E.2 SOFR Futures Open InterestMillions of Contracts Percent
Source: CME, Bloomberg, L.P.
As Of: Sep-2021
3-Month SOFR Futures
(left axis)
1-Month SOFR Futures
(left axis)
0
100
200
300
400
500
0
100
200
300
400
500
Jan:20 Apr:20 Jul:20 Oct:20 Jan:21 Apr:21 Jul:21
3.7.1.1 Federal Reserve Swap LinesBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: Federal Reserve
As Of: 29-Sep-2021
Note: Wednesday levels.
3.7.1.2 Nominal U.S. Dollar Trade-Weighted IndexIndex Index
Source: Federal Reserve, Haver Analytics
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
Jan:2021 Mar:2021 May:2021 Jul:2021 Sep:2021
Emerging Markets
Broad
Advanced
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
3.7.1.3 YTD Change in USD Exchange Rates, EMEsPercent Percent
Source: Federal
Reserve, Wall Street
Journal, Haver Analytics
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
Note: Percent change relative to end-2020. Chinese renminbi (RMB), Korean
won (KRW), Indian rupee (INR), Indonesian rupiah (IDR), Mexican peso (MXN),
South African rand (ZAR), Russian ruble (RUB), Argentine peso (ARS), Turkish
lira (TRY), Brazilian real (BRL). Positive indicates appreciation of listed currency.
3.7.1.4 Real U.S. Dollar Trade-Weighted IndexIndex Index
Source: Federal Reserve,
Haver Analytics
As Of: Sep-2021
Note: Index shown as a share of its 20-year average. Real USD
Trade-Weighted Index is a weighted average of the FX value of
the USD against the currencies of a broad group of major U.S.
trading partners. Gray bars signify NBER recessions.
80
90
100
110
120
80
90
100
110
120
2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019
Percent As Of: Oct-2021
3.7.2.1 Advanced Economies Real GDP Growth
-12
-8
-4
0
4
8
-12
-8
-4
0
4
8
2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023
Percent
Source: IMF WEO,
Haver AnalyticsNote: Annual change in GDP, constant prices. Dotted lines
represent the October 2021 projections for 2021-2023.
Euro Area
Japan
United States
United Kingdom
0
10
20
30
40
0
10
20
30
40
USA CAN GBR FRA DEU ITA JPN AEs
3.7.2.2 Discretionary Fiscal Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic
Percent of GDP Percent of GDP
Source: IMF
Equity, Loans, and GuaranteesAdditional Spending &
Foregone Revenue
As Of: Oct-2021
Note: IMF Database of Country Fiscal Measures
in Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic.
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
40
60
80
100
120
140
2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
3.7.2.3 Advanced Economy Interest Expense and Government Debt
Percent of GDP Percent of GDP
Source: IMF Fiscal Monitor
Interest Expense
(right axis)
Government Debt
(left axis)
As Of: Apr-2021
Note: 2021 projected.
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
3.7.2.4 Advanced Economy Headline Inflation RatePercent Percent
Source: Bloomberg, L.P.
As Of: Sep-2021
Note: Data represents year-over-year
percentage change in headline inflation.
Euro Area
Japan
United States
United Kingdom
Percent As Of: Sep-2021
3.7.2.5 Euro Area Business and Consumer Surveys
Source: European
Commission, Haver Analytics
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Index
Economic Sentiment (right axis)
Industrial Confidence (left axis)
Consumer Confidence (left axis)
Note: Confidence surveys calculated by subtracting
the percentage of negative responses from the
percentage of favorable responses. For economic
sentiment index, 100 = long-term average.
Index As Of: 2021 Q3
3.7.2.6 Real GDP for Select Euro Area Economies
Source: European Commission,
Haver Analytics
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
2019:Q4 2020:Q2 2020:Q4 2021:Q2
Index
Germany
France
Italy
Spain
Note: Seasonally adjusted real GDP.
Indexed to 100 as of 2019:Q4.
Percent As Of: 30-Sep-2021
3.7.2.7 Euro Area 10-Year Sovereign Yields
Source: Reuters, Haver Analytics
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
Jan:2018 Jan:2019 Jan:2020 Jan:2021
Percent
Spain
France
Germany
Greece
Italy
Portugal
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020
3.7.2.8 Japanese Consumer Price InflationPercent Percent
Source: Bank of Japan,
Haver Analytics
As Of: Sep-2021
Note: Data represents year-over-year percentage
change. CPI excludes fresh food and is adjusted for the
consumption tax increase that took effect in April 2014.
-40
0
40
80
120
160
-40
0
40
80
120
160
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
3.7.2.9 Japan 10-Year Government Bond YieldBasis Points Basis Points
Source: Bloomberg, L.P.
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
0
2
4
6
8
10
0
2
4
6
8
10
Aggregate Asia Europe LatinAmerica
Middle East Africa
3.7.3.1 EME GDP Growth
Percent Percent
Source: IMF WEO
As Of: Oct-2021
2010–2019 Average
2021 Projected
3.7.3.2 Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads
Source: JP Morgan, Haver Analytics
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Basis Points Basis PointsAs Of: 30-Sep-2021
Latin America
Europe
Asia
Note: JP Morgan EMBI+ Sovereign
Spreads indices for each region.
0
150
300
450
600
750
900
0
150
300
450
600
750
900
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
YTD
3.7.3.3 Emerging Market Non-Local Bond IssuanceBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: Dealogic
As Of: 30-Sep-2021
Note: Bonds have maturities greater than one-year and have been
internationally marketed or placed. “Public” includes issuance by municipal
and state-owned enterprises. 2021 figures are through September.
PrivatePublic
Sovereign
-300
-150
0
150
300
450
600
-300
-150
0
150
300
450
600
2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
Other
3.7.3.4 Foreign Investor Inflows to EMEsBillions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: IMF, Haver Analytics
As Of: 2021 Q2
Portfolio FlowsForeign Direct Investment Net Flows
-150
-75
0
75
150
225
300
-150
-75
0
75
150
225
300
2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
3.7.3.5 Foreign Investor Portfolio Inflows to EMEs, by Region
Billions of US$ Billions of US$
Source: IMF, Haver Analytics
As Of: 2021 Q2
Emerging Markets (ex-China)
China
Percent As Of: 2021 Q3
3.7.3.6 Chinese Real GDP Growth and its Components
Source: China National Bureau
of Statistics, Haver Analytics
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Agriculture
Services
Manufacturing
Total
Percent
Note: Year-over-year percentage change.
0
50
100
150
200
250
0
50
100
150
200
250
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
3.7.3.7 Credit to the Chinese Nonfinancial Private Sector
Percent of GDP Percent of GDPAs Of: 2021 Q1
Source: China National Bureau of
Statistics, BIS, Haver Analytics Note: Rolling 4-quarter sum of GDP.
Nonbank Lending
Bank Lending
Percent As Of: Sep-2021
3.7.3.8 Chinese Credit Growth
Source: PBOC, CCDC,
Haver Analytics, Staff
Calculations
5
10
15
20
25
5
10
15
20
25
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Total Social Financing (New Definition)
Total Social Financing (Old Definition)
Percent
Note: Calculated as the year-over-year percentage change in total
social financing (TSF) flows since 2002. TSF refers to the total volume
of financing provided by the financial system to the real economy. TSF
(old definition) excludes loan write-offs, ABS of depository institutions,
and local government special bonds.
0
10
20
30
40
50
0
10
20
30
40
50
2020 2030 2040 2050
Percent Change
F.1 Annual Expected Damage from Tropical Cyclones
Percent Change
Source: NGFS CA
Climate Impact ExplorerNote: Percent change in annual damages under
NGFS current policies scenario; relative to 2020.
97.5th Percentile
Median
As Of: Jun-2021
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
5
10
15
20
25
2020 2030 2040 2050
Percent Change
F.2 Fraction of Population Exposed to Heatwaves
Percent Change
Source: NGFS CA
Climate Impact Explorer
Note: Change in fraction of U.S. population annually
exposed to heatwaves under NGFS current policies
scenario. Percent change relative to 1986-2006 average.
97.5th Percentile
Median
As Of: Jun-2021