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1 5 March 2021 Recycling Supply Tracker - Marketing Plan 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

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Page 1: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

15 March 2021 Recycling Supply Tracker - Marketing Plan

3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

Page 2: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

Asia Recycling Prospects for a developing market

Tan Jia Hui

Analyst, Plastics Recycling, APAC

[email protected]

Helen McGeough

Senior Analyst, Plastics Recycling & Global Analyst Team Lead

[email protected]

Page 3: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

Recycling value chain

Government and waste

management companies

focus on collection and sorting

Consumers purchase products from

retailers and brands, consume the

product and dispose of the

product/packaging at end of life

Recyclers and manufacturers offer the technologies and capacity to reprocess the waste mechaniclly and chemically

Converters and brands design and produce the packaging on the market and determine the volume and type of recycled content

Page 4: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

Asia’s Recycling value chain

Source: GA Circular, Edited for ICIS

Page 5: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

Jan 2018

National Sword Policy: China banned

the import of 24 scrap materialsEstimated 111 million tones of plastic waste

displaced

Early 2018

Exporting markets frenzied – shifted

exports to elsewhere in Asia, especially

countries in SEAMalaysia the new top destination for the world’s plastic in

2018. Indonesia saw a 250% increase in plastic waste

imports. In Vietnam, inbound shipments surged 200%.

Mid 2018

SEA countries imposed tighter

waste import restrictions Malaysia repatriated 150 containers of illegal

plastic waste. In September, Indonesia said it

was returning containers of contaminated

waste to Australia.

End 2018

Countries like Vietnam & Thailand

explore total waste ban.

Australia and South Korea announced

a phased ban on waste exports.

2020

Countries to manage

own wasteAustralia announced

Recycling Modernisation Fund

Recycling in APAC post 2018

Page 6: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

Government funded Industry funded

Investments in the region

Page 7: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

Japan❑ Reduce disposable plastic waste by 25 percent by

2030.

❑ 100% of containers and packaging be designed to be

reusable or recyclable by 2025.

❑ Aims for a 60 percent recycling rate for containers

and packaging by 2030, and 100 percent utilization of

used plastics by 2035.

Australia2025 National Plastic Targets

❑ 100% reusable, recyclable or

compostable packaging.

❑ 70% of plastic packaging being

recycled or composted.

❑ 50% of average recycled content

included in packaging.

❑ Phase out single use plastics.

❑ Australasian Recycling Label

Korea❑ By 2030, Korea aims to reduce plastic wastes

by 50% and recycle 70% of the waste plastics.

India❑ Proposed target to ensure 100%

recycling and reuse of PET

plastic.

❑ Proposed target of recycling at

least 75% of other types of

plastics.

❑ It also aims to ban recyclable

waste such as plastics, metals,

glass, paper and other

biodegradable waste from

reaching landfills by 2025.

Singapore❑ Brand owners, manufacturers,

importers, supermarkets with an

annual turnover of more than

$10mil to adhere to Mandatory

Packaging Reporting & submit 3R

plans in 2021.

❑ Deposit return scheme for various

containers rolling out in 2022.

❑ EPR for packaging waste to follow

through in 2025.

Sri Lanka❑ Single use plastic

ban starting Mar

2021.

Source: ICIS

IndonesiaNational Plastic Action

Partnership (NPAP)

❑ Double plastic waste collection

to 80% by 2025.

❑ Double recycling capacity.

❑ 70% reduction in marine

plastic debris by 2025.

❑ Plastic pollution-free by 2040.

China❑ 30% reduction of single use plastics

by 2025.

❑ Single-use straws banned by the end

of 2020.

❑ Non-degradable bags will be banned

in major cities by the end of 2020 and

in all cities and towns by 2022.

❑ Hotels must not offer free single-use

plastic items by 2025.

Page 8: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

• Korea Cosmetic Association declared the ‘2030 cosmetics plastic initiative’

• Create packaging of single material

• Reduce petrol chemical based plastics by 30%

• DRS equivalent in stores

• Cut single-use plastics by 50% by 2025

• Establish guidelines for using recycled materials in its branded products

• First supermarket chain in Asia to make such a commitment

8

• Fully move away from virgin plastic derived from fossil fuels by 2030

• 100% recyclable packaging to enable bottle to bottle recycling

• Use 50% sustainable plastic packaging (R-PET) across primary packaging by 2025

• By 2021, launch 100% R-PET bottles

• 100% of packaging reusable, recyclable, or compostable by 2025

• 25% of recycled material on plastic packaging by 2025

• 50% of recycled material on beverage bottles, and 100% for Evian bottles by 2025

• By 2025, launch 100% bioplastic bottles

• By 2025, support collection and recycling in top 20 markets

Brand owner pledges

Page 9: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

Increase in mechanical recycling capacity

Source: ICIS, Recycling Supply Tracker

-

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Mill

ion

/To

nn

es

SEA AU and NZ North Asia Lesser South Asia CHINA INDIA

Page 10: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

Recycling capacity in APAC

Source: ICIS, Recycling Supply Tracker

Page 11: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

Source: ICIS, Recycling Supply Tracker

Recycled polymer output

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

PET

PP

PE

PE28%

PP18%

PET54%

Page 12: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Post-industrial waste

Unknown

Production waste

Post-industrial and post-consumer waste

Post-consumer waste

Feedstock sources

Source: ICIS, Recycling Supply Tracker

45%

27%

18%

10%

Page 13: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

Source: Ellen MacArthur Foundation, Financial Times

FMCGs and their progress

Page 14: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

Negative reinforcement Positive support

Carrots and sticks

Page 15: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

Opportunities & Barriers to overcome

Increase in capacity

- Increase in food grade capacity

- Challenges: countries agreeing on definitions, regional certification

Civic societies playing a larger role

- Cross sector collaboration: National Packaging Association Pact

(NPAP), Alliance to End Plastic Waste (AEPW)

- Industry led voluntary Packaging Recovery Organisations (PROs)

A PRO is a setup in which packaging producers are responsible for organizing and funding the

collection, sorting, and/or recycling of post-consumer packaging materials in the community.

- Activist groups enacting changes

Municipal Solid Waste management /

Domestic end of life management

- Countries taking steps to develop end of life waste management

capacity on shore

e.g. Australia (Recycling Modernisation Fund) & Singapore (Integrated Waste

Management Facility, NewOil)

Up and coming developments

- Chemical recycling

- Bioplastics

e.g. In 2018, the Japanese Ministry of Environment made an announcement for the

inclusion of USD 45.0 million in the FY2019 budget for developing products manufactured

from bio-plastics.

Page 16: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

Challenges remain elsewhere: EU R-PET

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

2017 2018 2019 2025 2030

MT

Current RPET usage in food contact bottle market

Projected usage requirements

Brand 50% ambition

European collection volumes current and projected

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

2017 2018 2019 2025 2029

MT

Collection Collection forecast

European R-PET usage in food contact

bottles current and projected

Page 17: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

Brand-owner pledges more than beverages….

And the list goes on….

Page 18: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

US PCR Bottle End Market 2019

US/ Canada R-PET End Markets Europe R-PET End Markets

Source: APR, ACC, and NAPCOR

Page 19: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Mill

ion

/to

nn

es

19 20 21 22 23 24 25

Global polyolefin capacity expansions

Polyethylene

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Mill

ion

/to

nn

es

19 20 21 22 23 24 25

Polypropylene

25kty

2572Equals to the addition

of

recycling units

with output capacity of

Source: ICIS Supply and Demand Database

Source: ICIS, Supply and Demand Database

Page 20: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

57%

11%

9%

5%

17%

1% 1%

Feedstock source (EU)

Post-consumerwaste

Post-industrialand post-consumer wasteProduction waste

Unknown

Post-industrialwaste

Deposit returnscheme

PE42%

PP24%

PET35%

Recycled polymer output (EU)

Global comparison

Source: ICIS, Recycling Supply Tracker

PE39%

PP24%

PET37%

Recycled polymer output (Americas)

62%18%

18%

2%

Feedstock sources (Americas)

Page 21: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

Pricing Editor: Hazel Goh | Recycling Analyst: Tan Jia Hui

ICIS Asia Recycled PET

Overview | Outlook | Prices | Analytics

Page 22: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

Frequency Weekly

Assessment

closing time

1700 hours Tuesdays in Singapore

Cargo timing Cargoes loading 0-6 weeks forward

from date of publication

Payment term LC at sight up to LC 60 days

Specifications Flakes :

- Colourless (up to 30% light blue flakes)

- 0-300ppm PVC

Pellets :

- IV around 0.65 dL/g or 0.8 dL/g

- Filament yarn or Food grade packaging

application

- Without additives

Email [email protected] for more information on ICIS’ services

Extending our benchmark prices R-PET methodology

Page 23: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

Asia Recycling - Prospects For A Developing Market

Panel discussion

Moderator

Louise BoddyHead of Commercial

Strategy Sustainability, ICIS

Shiva MudgilDirector, RaboResearch

Food & Agribusiness, Rabobank

Frederico Akira CamposGeneral Manager,

Polymers, Bio-Polymers and Circular Economy Asia,

Braskem

Colm JordanHead of

Sustainability Communications &

Advocacy, Indorama Ventures

Panellists

Helen McGeough Senior Analyst & Global

Team Lead, Plastics Recycling, ICIS

Page 24: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

The 3rd ICIS Recycling & Sustainability Conference

Discover, act and collaborate to accelerate industry growth

27 - 29 April 2021 at8.30am (London) / 3.30pm (Singapore)

“The ICIS Recycling & Sustainability Conference is a prime example of how we can bring together key stakeholders from both industry and civil society to share both ideas and solutions being implemented on the ground” - VP, Projects - Alliance to End Plastic Waste

www.icisevents.com/recycling

Page 25: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

Full value chain representation from…

25Date Presentation title

…to end users / brands owners

Page 26: 3 March 2021, 15:30 Singapore time

ICIS Recycling & Sustainability Contacts

Editorial:

Senior Editors, Recycling:

Mark Victory – R-PP R-PE

Europe

[email protected]

Matt Tudball – R-PET

Europe

[email protected]

Hazel Goh – R-PET Asia

[email protected]

Analytics:

Senior Analyst, Plastic Recycling, & Global Analyst Team Lead

Helen McGeough

[email protected]

Global Recycling Analyst Team:

Daria Grossi (Europe)

[email protected]

Carolina Perujo Holland (Europe)

[email protected]

Paula Leardini (Americas)

[email protected]

Hyejin Kim (Americas)

[email protected]

Jia Hui Tan (Asia)

[email protected]

Joshua Tan (Asia)

[email protected]