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2018 Post Election Outlook - Gubernatorial and State Legislative Races - January 4, 2019

2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

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Page 1: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

2018 Post Election Outlook- Gubernatorial and State Legislative Races -

January 4, 2019

Page 2: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

2018 Election ResultsLast Updated: November 29, 2018

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Page 3: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

2018 Election ResultsLast Updated: November 7, 2018

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Page 4: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

2018 Election ResultsLast Updated: November 27, 2018

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Page 5: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

Eight Party Control Flips for Governor

Election 2018Last Updated: November 8, 2018

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1. Alaska – Dunleavy (R) 52.4 – Begich (D) 43.8

2. Illinois – Pritzker (D) 54.0 – Rauner (R) 39.3

3. Kansas – Kelly (D) 47.8 – Kobach (R) 43.3

4. Maine – Mills (D) 51.3 – Moody (R) 42.9

5. Michigan –Whitmer (D) 52.8 – Schuette (R) 44.3

6. New Mexico – Lujan Grisham (D) 56.9 – Pearce (R) 43.1

7. Nevada – Sisolak (D) 49.4 – Laxalt (R) 45.3

8. Wisconsin – Evers (D) 49.6 –Walker (R) 48.4

Page 6: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

New York Times: Race ResultsLast Updated: November 30, 2018

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Page 7: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

AlabamaLast Updated: November 26, 2018

General Election Winner: Kay Ivey (R)

Margin of Victory: 19.2%

Analysis: Ivey’s main task has been and will continue to be to restore Alabamians’ faith in their government after all of the scandals. Iveyassumed the role of governor last year upon the resignation of Robert Bentley, who stepped down after threats of impeachment forvarious scandals, including a relationship with a former staffer. Prior to Bentley’s resignation, the House speaker was convicted of ethicscharges and forced from office. Also, former Alabama Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy Moore, who faced numerous accusations ofsexual assault, was the Republican nominee for U.S. Senator last year. Ivey faced some criticism for backing Moore’s unsuccessful run.But generally, she’s given her opponents little fodder to attack her with and the state’s GOP establishment supports her entirely.

Another big issue for Alabamians is revenue; Alabama collects the lowest amount of taxes per capita in the US. Education, health care,infrastructure, prisons are all in need of more money. Many argue that the state loses out on lottery money Alabamians spend inTennessee and Georgia. Ivey has said she doesn’t see an urgent need for a lottery. Alabama is now the last southern state, and one ofonly five U.S. states without a lottery.

In a 2017 statewide poll, AL voters said K-12 education was a top issue for them. Alabama routinely ends up at the bottom of most listsranking outcomes in K-12 education in the US. They also rank last in the country in the state’s financial investment in education. Keyconcerns within K-12 education were funding, teacher preparation, class size, and low student achievement.

Republican TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: R+14 2016 Winner: Trump 62.1%

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Key Contacts: Steve Pelham, Chief of Staff; Bill Gossage, Deputy Chief of Staff

Attorney General: Steve Marshall (R) – incumbent

State Legislature:• House – Republicans maintain control, gain 5 seats• Senate – Republicans maintain control, gain 1 seat

Page 8: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

Alaska** Last Updated: November 27, 2018

General Election Winner: Mike Dunleavy (R)

Margin of Victory: 8.8%

Analysis: Mike Dunleavy was a member of the Alaska Senate from 2013 – 2018. He resigned his senate seat, effective January 15, 2018,in order to focus on his gubernatorial campaign. A former superintendent of schools, Dunleavy earned a bachelor’s of arts in historyfrom College Misericordia, now known as Misericordia University, in Pennsylvania and his master’s degree in education at UAF. Hispolitical experience includes being elected a board member of the Mat-Su School District, where he served also as board president. Hisresume includes working as a superintendent, principal, vice principal, teacher, program manager of the Alaska Statewide MentorProject, and owner of an education consultancy.

Dunleavy promises to be a champion of rural schools and wants rural students should have the same opportunities as their peers inurban communities. Dunleavy has supported educational choice; as a state senator, he proposed a constitutional amendment thatwould have allowed for public money to be used for private or religious schools. The measure died. He said he is "100 percentcommitted to making sure that we have the best public education in this country.“

Alaska’s economy is last in the nation and its unemployment rate is twice the national average. Alaska has no sales or personal incometax. Dunleavy has favored reduced spending.

A major controversy in Alaska politics is the oil-wealth checks from the oil-wealth fund, AKA the Alaska Permanent Fund (APF). For years,residents have shared in the state’s oil wealth; every man, woman, child gets as much as $2,075 each year. Walker and state legislatorscapped the payout (at $1,000) in 2016, angering Alaskans. The program’s future remains unsettled; the check will have to compete withschools, roads, troopers, & other services paid using the APF. Dunleavy has said that he supports a full dividend payout of the APF andwants the public to weigh in before any changes are made.

Republican TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: R+9

Last Election Win: 48.1% | 2016 Winner: Trump 51.3%

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Key Contacts: Brett Huber, Campaign Manager; Tuckerman Babcock, transition chair and chief of staff.

**New Governor, party flip

Party Control Changes• Alaska Governor flips from independent to red

State Legislature:• House – Republicans maintain control• Senate – Republicans maintain control

Page 9: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

Arizona Last Updated: December 4, 2018

General Election Winner: Doug Ducey (R)

Margin of Victory: 17.8%

Analysis: Education was a key gubernatorial race issue after an unprecedented statewide teacher strike in the spring shut down public schools for nearly a week as instructors demanded more funding. The teachers returned to class after Ducey signed a plan that granted pay raises that will reach 20 percent by 2020, including a 1 percent boost granted during the past budget year. And $1 million to create a computer science professional development program. Despite his re-election, voters soundly rejected Ducey's initiative approved by the Legislature in 2017 that would have greatly expanded the state's private school voucher program. Public school advocates had used a provision in Arizona's constitution and gathered enough signatures to temporarily block the law and place it on Tuesday's ballot.

Ducey continues to praise Arizona’s great economy: a low unemployment rate and the expansion of high-profile companies statewide. Ducey is also focusing on the strong and positive trade connection with Mexico he has worked hard on over the past few years and his strong stance on border security.

Republican TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: R+5

Last Election Win: 52.5% | 2016 Winner: Trump 48.1%

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Key Contacts: Daniel Scarpinato, Chief of Staff; Gretchen Conger, Deputy Chief of Staff, Budget & Policy

Attorney General: Mark Brnovich (R) – incumbent

State Legislature:• House – Republicans maintain control, Democrats gain 2 seats, 3 are still being counted• Senate – Republicans maintain control

Page 10: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

ArkansasLast Updated: December 4, 2018

General Election Winner: Asa Hutchinson (R)

Margin of Victory: 33.5%

Analysis: In 2018, healthcare was a top issue for Arkansans, followed by drugs, education, and then politicians/corruption. In 2016 &2017, the economy was a top concern.

In October, Hutchinson announced his plan to restructure the Arkansas state government by reducing the number of state agencies from42 to 15. For example, The Dept of Education and Dept of Higher Education will be brought into one higher cabinet. Hutchinson arguesthat the mergers would provide more resources to the agencies, would prevent duplication in different offices and would make it easierfor agency heads to make quick decisions. Hutchinson said Arkansas' Department of Finance estimates the plan would save the state $15million a year.

Regarding the economy in Arkansas, Governor Hutchinson sides with Trump on China trade war but warns that US farmers can’t takemuch more pain. Agriculture is the number one industry in Arkansas and soybeans are the top export.

Republican TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: R+15

Last Election Win: 55.4% | 2016 Winner: Trump 60.6%

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Key Contact: Alison Williams, Chief of Staff

Attorney General: Leslie Rutledge (R) – incumbent

State Legislature:• House – Republicans maintain control• Senate – Republicans maintain control

Page 11: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

California*Last Updated: November 26, 2018

General Election Winner: Gavin Newsom (D)

Margin of Victory: 18.6%

Analysis: Regarding immigration, Newsom is a strong supporter of the California sanctuary state law – As San Francisco mayor, he presided over a sanctuary city. He slams Trump’s border wall plan.

Newsom wants to create a task force for the homelessness problem. He wants developers to build 3.5 million homes through 2025, which would be an unprecedented building boom compared to modern California history. He supports a massive increase in state taxcredit to finance low-income housing, bring the state budget up to $500 million a year. He also supports the state’s increased tax & vehicle fees and wants to protect and preserve the gas tax. He’s been accused of flip flopping too much on the high-speed rail, but recently announced that he wants to keep the project going.

Universal healthcare was a central part of Newsom’s campaign. He promised to pursue a state-supported single-payer healthcare system but has not yet outlined a plan to fund such a program.

Newsom has emphasized a campaign promise to work toward universal preschool in the state, and wants a great focus on investing in early childhood education and care for the first three years of a child’s life. He also wants to launch college savings accounts for all incoming kindergarten students in the state. Newsom would also guarantee two free years of community college tuition for California students and says he would work toward reducing the cost of higher education to relieve student debt.

Democrat TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: D+12

2016 Winner: Clinton 61.5%

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Key Contacts: Ann O’Leary, Chief of Staff; Ana Masosantos, Cabinet Secretary

*New Governor

Attorney General: Xavier Becerra (D) – incumbent

State Legislature:• House – Democrats maintain veto-proof supermajority • Senate – Democrats gain 2 seats (& re-gain supermajority)

Page 12: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

Colorado*Last Updated: November 30, 2018

General Election Winner: Jared Polis (D)

Margin of Victory: 11.6%

Analysis: Congressman Jared Polis acknowledges that healthcare is the number one issue for Coloradans. He advocates single-payerhealthcare with a goal to reduce costs and expand care. He supports universal healthcare, but the path to get there isn’t so clear. He alsohas said that while he likes Medicare, it is a federal program, and may not translate well to the state level. Instead, he’s pushing his “100day roadmap” of healthcare policy, which would ideally lower costs for rural Coloradans, make it easier for doctors and health careprofessionals to set up shop in CO, and open community health clinics.

Congressman Polis made education a key issue in his campaign. He is a senior member of the House Education and WorkforceCommittee, founder of two public charter school networks, and was previously on the Colorado Board of Education. Polis wants toexpand access to college-level courses (AP, IB, dual or concurrent enrollment) for all students and eliminate enrollment bias byautomatically qualifying students into those courses based on academic merit instead of a guidance counselor or teacher assignment toprevent “tracking” and increase Colorado students’ college success.

As governor, Polis plans to set the state on a path to 100% renewable energy by 2040. He also supports spending existing state moneyon schools and healthcare rather than transportation.

Democrat TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: D+1

2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2%

12*New Governor

Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff. She also served as Polis’ chief of staffin Congress from 2014 to 2017. His education he team is chaired by Al Yates, former president of Colorado State University; andElaine Gantz Berman, a former member of the Colorado State Board of Education.

Party Control ChangesColorado Senate Post-Election: 19 D – 16 RColorado Senate Pre-Election: 17 D – 18 R

Attorney General: Phil Weiser (D) – open seat, party flip

State Legislature:• House – Democrats maintain control, gain 1 seat• Senate – Democrats gain control, gain 3 seats

Page 13: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

Connecticut*Last Updated: December 8, 2018

General Election Winner: Ned Lamont (D)

Margin of Victory: 1.7%

Analysis: Regarding the Connecticut economy, Ned Lamont has pledged to quickly create a “business recruitment board” with leaders inbusiness, education, culture and real estate to pursue new businesses. Within a year he said he would sign legislation raising theminimum wage to $15 an hour and introducing paid family and medical leave. He also said he would cut the capital stock tax before thenext election. Lamont has said he will reduce the income tax by increasing the property tax credit, providing $400 million in new annualrelief by his third fiscal year in office. He also hopes to eliminate the business entity tax.

Lamont has focused on the education gaps between Connecticut districts and wants education funding to go to the towns and cities thatneed it the most. Connecticut for years has had one of the the largest gaps in the nation in education achievement between black andwhite students. He has shared his plan to close these gaps by focusing on improving test scores, increasing instructional time, andcreating a more diverse staff that is reflective of the student body. He is also concerned about the large number of administratorsrelative to teachers in public schools. Additionally, Lamont has suggested forgiving student loans for those who teach for five years inConnecticut’s cities, whose schools persistently perform at lower levels than their suburban counterparts. In cities like Bridgeport, thestaff turnover in struggling schools is extremely high – one out of every five teachers leave each year.

Democrat TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: D+6

2016 Winner: Clinton 54.6%

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Key Contacts: Marc Bradley, Campaign Manager; Ryan Drajewicz, transition’s executive director.

*New Governor

Party Control Changes• Connecticut Senate Post-Election: 23 D – 12 R – 1 outstanding• Connecticut Senate Pre-Election: 18 D – 18 R

Attorney General: William Tong (D) – open seat, incumbent retired

State Legislature:• House – Democrats maintain control, gain 12 seats• Senate – Democrats gain control

Page 14: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

Florida*Last Updated: December 20, 2018

General Election Winner: Ron DeSantis (R)

Margin of Victory: .6%

Analysis: Congressman Ron DeSantis has proposed reducing the corporate income tax rate, along with phasing out the business rent taxand reducing regulations on small businesses. DeSantis committed to economic diversification beyond tourism, construction andagriculture. He promised efforts to lure companies to Florida working in specific fields including financial services, biomedical researchand aerospace industries.

DeSantis pledged to spend 80 percent of the public school budget inside classrooms, cut the bureaucracy, and conduct a full audit ofFlorida’s public education system to find more savings. He wants to require local school districts to outline their spending in a publiconline database. Instead of an across-the-board pay raise for teachers, he would develop a merit-based pay plan tied to classroomperformance. His plan includes cutting administrative costs significantly and put the savings into school choice programs. DeSantisprioritizes charter schools and other non-traditional methods of schooling – magnet schools, independently managed charters, andtechnology to develop more options.

As his first order of business, DeSantis said he's sticking with one of his main campaign promises, and that is clean water - fighting toxicalgae, red tide, and restoring the Everglades. DeSantis is calling for a task force to study the toxic red tide outbreaks that havedevastated Florida's coasts. He's also said he would push to ban fracking in Florida. DeSantis has said that his close relationship withPresident Trump will help the state secure extra funding for Florida’s environmental problems.

Republican TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: R+2

2016 Winner: Trump 48.6%

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Key Contacts: Shane Strum, Chief of Staff; Brad Herold, Campaign Manager; James Blair, Policy Director; Susie Wiles – Campaign Chairman, ran Trump’s successful 2016 Florida effort; DeSantis has been widely praised for his appointment of former House Speaker Richard Corcoran as Commissioner of Education

*New Governor

Attorney General: Ashley Moody (R) – open seat, incumbent term limited

State Legislature:• House – Republicans maintain control, Republicans gained 1 seat• Senate – Republicans maintain control, 1 race undecided with Dem in the lead

Page 15: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

Georgia*Last Updated: December 6, 2018

General Election Winner: Brian Kemp (R)

Margin of Victory: 1.4%

Analysis: Georgia Secretary of State Brian Kemp was officially declared the winner almost two weeks after election day. With PresidentTrump's unabashed support, Kemp ran up huge vote margins in deeply conservative Georgia territory, giving him the highest vote totalof any governor in state history.

Kemp plans to put a cap on state spending, adjusted for growth and inflation, cut income taxes, increase teacher pay, and eliminatewasteful tax incentives. Kemp wants to cut down on red tape and reduce regulations for businesses. He has said he is in favor ofstrengthening the state economy and finding workforce solutions for rural Georgia.

Immigration was a major discussion point during the campaign. Kemp has proposed a creating a database for tracking unauthorizedimmigrants with criminal convictions and for speeding up their deportations.

Kemp supports school choice effort and he wants to double the state tax credit for student scholarship organizations and boost fundingfor charter schools. During the campaign he proposed giving Georgia public school teachers a permanent $5,000 annual pay raise if he’selected governor, a plan that would cost state taxpayers roughly $600 million a year. The former secretary of state said Tuesday that hewould not raise taxes or fees to fund the pay raises, instead depending on existing revenue from the state’s $26.2 billion budget.

Regarding healthcare, Kemp wants to grow the rural hospital tax credit program, increasing the cap from $60 million to $100 million. Healso hopes to limit surprise billing through expanded network coverage and an updated provider directory. Kemp has also favoredwaivers to allow for association health care plans and reinsurance programs.

Likely Republican TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: R+5

2016 Winner: Trump 50.4%

15*New Governor

Attorney General: Chris Carr (R) – incumbent

State Legislature:• House – Republicans maintain control, Democrats gain 11 seats • Senate – Republicans maintain control, Democrats gain 2 seats

Key Contacts: Tim Fleming, Chief of Staff; David Dove, head of transition; Mark Middleton, Policy Director

Page 16: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

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General Election Winner: David Ige (D)

Margin of Victory: 25%

Analysis: Despite a challenging first term marked by both natural and manmade disasters, Hawaii Governor David Ige won his bid for asecond term. Ige has and will likely continue to earn points for his public education accomplishments, including air conditioning inschools (a major issue in Hawaii) and negotiating a teacher’s contract.

Ige has consistently earned support from environmental groups over the past two years. He wants the state to have 100% renewableenergy by 2045.

Hawaii has the lowest unemployment rate in the nation and data shows the number of homeless people is dropping. Ige wants to pushCongress to spend more on Hawaii tourism, as record numbers of visitors are coming to Hawaii.

Ige recently appointed Clare Conners to serve as Hawaii’s next attorney general, replacing Russell Suzuki.

HawaiiLast Updated: January 4, 2019

Democrat TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: D+18

Last Election Win: 49.5% | 2016 Winner: Clinton 62.2%

Key Contact: Mike McCartney, Chief of Staff

State Legislature:• House – Democrats maintain supermajority, no net gains • Senate – Democrats maintain supermajority, Republicans gain 1 seat

Page 17: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

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Idaho*Last Updated: January 3, 2018

General Election Winner: Brad Little (R)

Margin of Victory: 22.1%

Analysis: Following a three-term governor, the 64-year-old Republican lawmaker Brad Little is as close to an experienced incumbent as anewcomer can be. Little has been lieutenant governor since 2009 and has vowed to continue retiring Gov. C.L. “Butch” Otter’s legacy ofleading the state’s recent explosive growth. Little has consistently supported Otter's frequent tax cuts and pledged more to come. Duringthe campaign, Little pledged to cut both personal and corporate income tax rates, while offering a break on business equipmentproperty taxes. Little said he would only cut taxes, however, if the state economy continues to grow. While pledging to shrinkgovernment, he also said the state must invest in key areas.

Idaho is the nation's fastest-growing state. It will have to cope with the numerous demands that come with growth, including fundingschools, even as its population ages, driving up health care costs. The state, as an entity, has limited resources. Idaho has the 48th lowesttotal state and local tax burden in the country. Little's stances on issues such as health and early childhood education won him supportnot only from Republican officials but also from business groups. Little acknowledges the state has unfinished business, but that the“Career ladder”, a $250 million plan to boost teacher pay, has helped so far. Little has also supported a bill for student loan forgivenessto rural teachers. He has said he will focus on Pre-K and is in favor of a program that would allow schools to spend on pre-K, all dayKindergarten, summer reading programs, and buses for kids to get to kindergarten. Little has talked about the 60% goal – the statewants 60% of its 25 – 34-year old’s to obtain a college degree or professional certificate. The state is stuck at 42%.

Little hasn’t stated his position clearly on Medicaid expansion, but he is worried that the expansion could cut into funding for K-12 andhigher education.

*New Governor

Republican TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: R+192016 Winner: Trump 59.2%

Attorney General: Lawrence Wasden (R) – incumbent

State Legislature:• House – Republicans maintain control, Democrats gain 3 seats• Senate – Republicans maintain control, Democrats gain 1 seat

Key Contact: Zach Hauge, Chief of Staff. Little recently announced several key hires, including a senior policy advisor with a focus on education.

Page 18: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

Illinois**Last Updated: December 7, 2018

General Election Winner: J.B. Prtizker (D)

Margin of Victory: 15%

Analysis: Democrat JB Pritzker, the 53-year-old heir to the Hyatt Hotel fortune, contributed $171 million from his own pocket to hiscampaign, the most ever by a U.S. gubernatorial candidate. Pritzker has been around politics a long time. He ran unsuccessfully forCongress 20 years ago and has been a major Democratic donor, leading a tech initiative for Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel and funding aschool breakfast program for the state.

Pritzker claims that the population has been decreasing in Illinois because of high property taxes and the messy process of paying forschools. He also says the 30% cut in higher education under Rauner has caused students to leave the state. 72,000 students have chosennot to go to college in Illinois as a result of these budget cuts. Pritzker doesn’t have an immediate solution to plugging the massive gapbetween the $8.4 billion Illinois spends on K-12 public schools and projections of what adequate funding would cost. He claims he wouldmake college more affordable by increasing financial aid and restoring funding for college and universities to “pre-Rauner levels.” Healso wants to work on the credit transfer system to make it easier to transfer credits from community college to public universities.

Pritzker said during the campaign that he’d like to create a graduated income tax, moving the state away from the current flat rate andcalling on higher-income individuals to pay more. He also favors legalizing marijuana, which could bring in some new revenue, as well asexpanding gambling and sports betting. In general, though, his victory over Rauner was such a foregone conclusion that he wasn’tpressed to offer many specifics about what he’d do in office.

Democrat TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: D+7

Last Election Win: 50.8% | 2016 Winner: Clinton 55.5%

18**New Governor, party flip

Key Contacts: Former Chicago Board of Education Vice President Jesse Ruiz and early-childhood expert Barbara Bowman, have been named to the transition team. Ruiz will serve as counsel to the transition team. He has served as interim CEO at the school district and previously chaired the Illinois State Board of Education. Bowman co-founded the Erikson Institute, a child development graduate school in Chicago. Bowman is the mother of Valerie Jarrett, who was former President Barack Obama’s senior advisor. The transition team will be led by Juliana Stratton, who will become Illinois’ first African-American lieutenant governor. Anne Caprara is going to be Chief of Staff.

Party Control Changes• Illinois Governor flips from red to blue

Attorney General: Kwame Raoul (D) – open seat, incumbent retiredState Legislature:• House – Democrats maintain control, veto proof• Senate – Democrats maintain control, veto proof

Page 19: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

IowaLast Updated: December 7, 2018

General Election Winner: Kim Reynolds (R)

Margin of Victory: 3%

Analysis: Since Republicans took control of the governors office in Iowa in 2011, state education funding has increased $765 million –more than all but three U.S. states, according to a 2017 report by the Washington, DC-based Center on Budget and Policy Priorities thatexamines K-12 funding across the country. During her campaign, Reynolds highlighted this increased funding, teacher salaries, a top-ranked high school graduation rate, and nationally recognized math- and science based learning. Reynolds has said she is proud of theinvestment the state has made into education, but that the state can’t measure its success purely in the amount invested and shouldinstead look to how well the state is preparing students for future jobs. Reynolds has said she supports initiatives to accomplish studentpreparedness. A signature issue for Reynolds has been her Future Ready Iowa program, which aims to increase the state’s skilledworkforce. The Legislature approved a bill creating a number of targeted job training programs, and it passed with little opposition. But,Democrats were critical that it lacked the funding to be truly successful. They’ve also argued that even as Reynolds highlights skilledworker training, her administration has presided over cuts to higher education and community colleges.

Reynolds has admitted that mistakes have been made with the privatization of Medicaid and said she is working to improve the system,as well as creating new options to make health care accessible for all Iowans.

Key Contacts: Sara Craig Gongol, Chief of Staff; Stephanie Groen, DC Director.

Republican TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: R+3

Last Election Win: N/A | 2016 Winner: Trump 51.1%

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Attorney General: Tom Miller (D) – incumbent

State Legislature:• House – Republicans maintain control, Democrats gain 5 seats• Senate – Republicans maintain control, gain 3 seats

Page 20: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

Kansas**Last Updated: January 5, 2019

General Election Winner: Laura Kelly (D)

Margin of Victory: 4.5%

Analysis: Born in New York City, Kelly comes from a Republican military family that moved frequently during her childhood. She came toKansas in the mid-1980s. She raised two daughters with her husband, Ted Daughety, a doctor focused on pulmonary and sleepdisorders. Kelly, 68, was director of the Kansas Recreation and Park Association for 19 years. The organization advocates on behalf of thestate’s parks, recreation and leisure industry. She won election to the Kansas Senate in 2004 by just 98 votes — a victory she credits tocampaigning everywhere in her district in Shawnee and Wabaunsee counties, including rural areas. She has served in elected office inTopeka longer than any other candidate in the governor’s race. Over time, she has become one of the most prominent Democraticlawmakers in Topeka. She was the highest-ranking Democrat on two budget committees and a health and welfare committee.

Kelly focused her campaign on issues like Medicaid expansion, school funding and highway construction, winning endorsements frommany prominent Kansas Republicans and votes from across the political spectrum. She relentlessly brought up education – specificallythe education cuts made during Brownback’s term as governor. Her number one priority is the restoration of education funding and thereturn of a full five day school week. Kelly supports strong early childhood programs (“investing early”); she argues this benefits bothkids and their families. Her proudest accomplishment in the state senate was securing critical support for childhood education programs.She plans to expand pre-K programs, fully fund K-12 schools, and add a cost of living index. Regarding higher education, Kelly has saidshe will continue to work with the Board of Regents in Kansas to address the recent increases in state tuition and provide relief forKansas students and their families.

Key Contacts: Duane Goossen, an early supporter of Kelly’s who served as budget director under former Republican Gov. Bill Graves andDemocratic Gov. Kathleen Sebelius. Ashley All – Director of Communications and Strategy

Incumbent: Jeff Colyer (R) – defeated in primaryPartisan Voting Index: R+13

Last Election Win: N/A | 2016 Winner: Trump 56.2%

20**New Governor, party flip

Party Control Changes• Kansas Governor flips from red to blue

Attorney General: Derek Schmidt (R) – incumbent

State Legislature:• House – Republicans maintain control• Senate – Republicans maintain control

Page 21: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

Maine**Last Updated: December 7, 2018

General Election Winner: Janet Mills (D)

Margin of Victory: 8%

Analysis: The party flip in Maine’s state government will likely result in big changes in priorities and policies. A major law that wouldlikely be implemented under the new democratic Governor is a bill introduced in 2004 requiring the state to cover 55% of costs forprimary and secondary public education. Gov.-elect Janet Mills supports fully funding Maine’s public schools, claiming that when thestate fails to meet these obligations, the impact is disproportionately damaging to rural and lower-income communities. Mills also claimsthat far too many (around 200,000) Maine people have completely some college – she hopes to close this gap. Like many other newlyelected governors, Mills also hopes to invest in a “Rural Return Scholarship” to incentivize younger adults to return to their hometownsafter graduation college. Mills opposes using Maine tax dollars to fund private and charter schools and does not support lifting the 10-school cap. She was one of 20 attorneys general to sue U.S. Education Secretary Betsy DeVos over the Education Department’s plans – alawsuit they won. Mills wants to increase support to retired teachers. Mills also has a plan to end childhood hunger; it is one of her toppriorities. She plans to request additional aid from the USDA.

Maine has a low unemployment rate, but ranks 44th nationally in median household income. Mills plans to ensure a livable minimumwage and she plans to continue defending workers’ rights to collective bargaining. She also wants to look into the cost of living, claimingthat the tax cuts of current Governor LePage caused skyrocketing property taxes.

As attorney general, Mills said she made tacking the opioid crisis one of her top priorities. She also believes that the states that takeadvantage of the Medicaid expansion have seen lower health care costs, healthier citizens, more stable hospital systems and strongereconomic growth.

Democrat TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: D+3

2016 Winner: Clinton 46.8%

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Key Contacts: Jeremy Kennedy, Campaign Manager/Chief of Staff; Ben Grant (former Maine Democratic Party Chairman). Former Obama health car advisor Jane Lambrew will lead Maine DHHS.

**New governor, party flip

Party Control Changes• Maine Governor flips from red to blue• Maine Senate Post-Election: 20 D – 13 R - 2 Outstanding• Maine Senate Pre-Election: 17 D – 18 R

State Legislature:• House – Democrats maintain control, gain at least 12 seats• Senate – Democrats gain control, gain 5 seats

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MarylandLast Updated: December 7, 2018

Partisan Voting Index: D+12Last Election Win: 51.6% | 2016 Winner: Clinton 60.3%

General Election Winner: Larry Hogan (R)

Margin of Victory: 13.4%

Analysis: During his first term, the popular incumbent Governor Hogan emphasized seeking accountability on the billions the statealready spends on school and giving more choice to parents via charter schools, vouchers and tax breaks for donations to privateschools. Hogan also signed legislation to allow free community college for lower-income families and wants to expand it to allowrecipients to earn four-year degrees tuition free. He also wants to make student loan interest fully deductible on Maryland income taxes.

Hogan has repeatedly sought to enact legislation creating a non-partisan redistricting commission, but the legislature has refused to acton it. He said he would continue to pursue such reforms in a second term.

Hogan has emphasized his administration’s success in working with Maryland’s health care stakeholders to renew and expand the state’sMedicare waiver with the federal government and his work with the legislature on a reinsurance program that led to lower rates onMaryland’s Obamacare exchange. He said he’s open to efforts to rein in prescription drug costs.

Attorney General: Brian Frosh (D) – incumbent

State Legislature:• House – Democrats maintain control, no net change (but 3 races haven’t been called; democrats are leading in 2/3)• Senate – Democrats maintain supermajority, gain 4 seats

Key Contacts: Matt Clark, Chief of Staff; Tiffany Robinson, Deputy Chief of Staff

Page 23: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

MassachusettsLast Updated: December 7, 2018

General Election Winner: Charlie Baker (R)

Margin of Victory: 33.8%

Analysis: By most polls, Republican Charlie Baker is the most popular Governor in the nation which is an even higher complimentconsidering Massachusetts is a solidly blue state. He is also the most moderate of the nation’s 33 Republican Governors.

A very moderate conservative, Baker supports some type of carbon tax. He also supports a regional approach to combatting climatechange, like the state already has in its Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative. Critics say Baker hasn’t done nearly enough for theenvironment.

Regarding education, Baker supported establishing more Charter schools when he was first elected, especially in under-performingdistricts, but the state voted “no” in 2016. Since then, Baker has focused on much smaller-scale education initiatives. Baker says that inhis second term, he will continue to make small, safe investments in education – because fully funding education would take away fromother important initiatives in transportation, etc. Baker’s approach to higher education: $7 million to cover free community college forthe neediest students. And a new program called the “Commonwealth Commitment" that can dramatically reduce the cost of abachelor's degree for students who go full-time, get good grades, and start their education at a community college.

Baker leans pretty conservative when it comes to taxes – he didn’t raise taxes in his first term and says he won’t in his second termeither. He instead says that they came up with smarter ways to deliver services and made big investments in agencies and local servicesto balance the budget. He plans to continue doing exactly that, emphasizing the importance of transportation initiatives, specifically theT in Boston.

Partisan Voting Index: D+12Last Election Win: 58.5% | 2016 Winner: Clinton 60%

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Attorney General: Maura Healey (D) – incumbent

State Legislature:• House – Democrats maintain control, gain 2 seats• Senate – Democrats maintain control, no net gain

Key Contact: Elizabeth Mahoney, Policy Director

Page 24: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

Michigan**Last Updated: January 4, 2019

General Election Winner: Gretchen Whitmer (D)

Margin of Victory: 9.1%

Analysis: Governor elect Whitmer is the former minority leader of the state Senate and later served as Ingham County's interimprosecutor. During the campaign she cast herself as a bipartisan problem-solver who joined with term-limited Gov. Rick Snyder toexpand Medicaid to more than 600,000 adults. Whitmer believes Michigan’s “economic comeback” excludes a lot of small businessowners, the working class, women, and people of color. She claims that this is why her jobs plan focuses on raising household incomesby expanding education and skills training, investing in our infrastructure, aggressively pursuing economic development and supportingsmall business growth so that everyone has a path to a good job and a secure future.

Gretchen Whitmer wants to phase in full-day universal preschool through expanding the Great Start Readiness Program to cover everyfour-year-old in the state. She wants to increase access to high-quality, safe child care for kids up to age three. Whitmer also wants toconvert the state’s per-pupil allowance to one that is weighted, giving certain schools more money to educate students like specialeducation, at-risk, or English language learners. She wants to stop diverting money from the School Aid Fund to ensure that all of it goesto K-12 education and maintain transparency all around. She hopes to end ineffective over-testing and embrace alternative options thatsuccessfully gauge student outcomes, like work-product portfolios and year-end projects, as well as the flexibility offered in federal lawabout how and how often to test students.

Partisan Voting Index: D+12016 Winner: Trump 47.3%

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Key Contacts: Whitmer transition team includes Dr. Mona Hanna-Attisha, who exposed the Flint water crisis; former Detroit U.S. Attorney Barb McQuade; and former Detroit Mayor Dennis Archer. Ann Arbor attorney Mark Bernstein will serve as director of her Transition Office. She announced several more members of her transition team, including a diverse group of policy, business and philanthropic leaders serving as honorary co-chairs for the transition. She also announced key members of her cabinet, including state treasurer, budget director and the director of the Office of the State Employer, along with Executive Office leadership.

**New governor, party flip

Party Control Changes• Michigan Governor flips from red to blue

Attorney General: Dana Nessel (D) – open seat, incumbent term-limited, party flip

State Legislature:• House – Republicans maintain control, Democrats gain 5 seats• Senate – Republicans maintain control, Democrats gain 5 seats

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Minnesota*Last Updated: December 14, 2018

General Election Winner: Tim Walz (D)

Margin of Victory: 11.5

Analysis: As a 20 year classroom high school teacher, Walz says he is deeply committed to the success of every student. Walz attendedChadron State College, where he graduated with a social science degree in 1989. Harvard University offered Tim an opportunity to gain anew perspective on global education by teaching in the People’s Republic of China in 1989-90, where he joined of one of the firstgovernment-approved groups of American teachers to work in Chinese high schools. Before being elected to Congress, Walz taught highschool geography and coached football for 20 years in the Mankato public schools. Determined to expand his own education, Timcompleted his master’s degree in educational leadership in 2001 and began doctorate studies at St. Mary’s University in Winona.

Walz believes “a single-payer type systems is on Minnesota’s horizon.” He supports expanding the state’s public health care option forlow-income people, MinnesotaCare, to all Minnesotans, if they choose to buy in. He also supports unions and wants to fully fund“essentials” including transportation, housing, water, and broadband infrastructure. Walz wants to expand the Working Family TaxCredit and other breaks for low- and middle-class people. He's pledging to increase the gas tax to cover fixes for the state's "crumblinginfrastructure" and says he'd bring local government aid back to pre-Pawlenty administration levels.

Regarding education, Walz wants to fully fund classrooms in all of the state, give better access to pre-K, recruit quality teachers, andexpand technical education. He said he would start by auditing Minnesota’s education system and then telling residents how much itwould cost to make the changes people want to see. K-12 spending already makes up the biggest portion of spending by the state,comprising 41% of total spending. Walz wants to provide two years tuition free education at Minnesota state schools for individualswhose families make less than $125k per year. Walz has not revealed how much his proposals would cost.

Partisan Voting Index: D+12016 Winner: Clinton 46.4%

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Key Contacts: Leah Solo, Campaign Manager; Chris Schmitter, Chief of Staff; Kristin Beckmann, transition lead.

*New Governor

Party Control ChangesMinnesota House Post-Election: 74 D – 59 R - 1 OutstandingMinnesota House Pre-Election: 55 D – 76 R – 3 V

Attorney General: Keith Ellison (D) – open seat, incumbent ran for governor

State Legislature:• House – Democrats gain control, gain 18 seats• Senate – Republicans barely gain control, gain 1 seat (State Senate was tied)

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NebraskaLast Updated: December 15, 2018

Republican TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: R+14

Last Election Win: 57.2% | 2016 Winner: Trump 58.7%

General Election Winner: Pete Ricketts (R)

Margin of Victory: 18.8%

Analysis: Regarding taxes, Rickett’s goal will be to build on the work he’s made and pass additional property tax relief – this is the top priority of his second term. He’s introduced significant property tax relief plans every year, and grown the Property Tax Credit Relief Fund by more than 60 percent.

Currently in Nebraska, the bulk of state school aid goes to K-12 schools with less property tax resources and greater student need, leaving property-tax rich rural schools having to rely almost totally on property taxpayers. Pete Ricketts plans to change this during his next term so that the state funds go to all schools. Ricketts wants to make sure that every child gets some dollars out of the school aid formula. During the campaign, Ricketts pledged to continue to work on career preparation and training for high school and junior high school students.

Rickett’s claims he is making the state government more efficient and effective, enabling them to do more with less. He also cites the growth of the Nebraska economy as a major accomplishment, noting that Nebraska leads the nation in economic development projects per capita for two years in a row.

Governor Ricketts will be the RGA Chairman in 2019.

Key Contact: Matt Miltenberger, Chief of Staff

Attorney General: Doug Peterson (R) – incumbent

The Nebraska Legislature (also called the Unicameral) is the supreme legislative body of the state of Nebraska. Its members are "senators." The legislature is officially unicameral and nonpartisan, making Nebraska unique among U.S. states.

Page 27: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

Nevada**Last Updated: January 3, 2019

General Election Winner: Steve Sisolak (D)

Margin of Victory: 4.1%

Analysis: Clark County Commissioner Steve Sisolak became the Silver State’s first Democratic governor in two decades. He previouslyserved 10 years as a Nevada System of Higher Education regent.

Sisolak hopes to preserve and promote Nevada’s business friendly tax climate, but he doesn’t want corporate incentives to go too far.Sisolak emphasized the need to increase spending to fund educational programs, to fund collective bargaining for state workers, and to“increase the reimbursement rate” for doctors who accept Medicaid, among other programs.

Both Sisolak and his republican opponent spent a majority of their time discussing their plans to fix Nevada’s healthcare. Nevada’s poorhealthcare system has routinely ranked at or near the bottom of nationwide medical services. Sisolak has promised to expand mentalhealth facilities, push for transparency in pharmaceutical pricing. Sisolak acknowledged that the state does not currently have theresources for Medicaid expansion, but said he was determined to help Nevada find the money. During the campaign, Sisolak vowed tocreate a Patient Protection Commission to bring together patients, physicians, providers and policymakers to move Nevada’s health caresystem forward. He is a strong proponent of the ACA and has promised as a “first act” that he and his new attorney general will join theintervenor states in their imminent appeal of the decision by a federal judge that the Act is unconstitutional.

Sisolak offered detailed plans for improving education in the state, but was heavily criticized for failing to show how Nevada would payfor it. Regarding K-12 education, Sisolak supports smaller class sizes, more teacher pay, and better career and technical trainingprograms. Class sizes in Nevada had the highest student-to-teacher ratio in the U.S in 2016. Sisolak also wants to make sure that certaintax dollars that were promised for education are spent on it. The 2009 room tax increase and 2016 marijuana ballot initiative are his keytargets in that regard.

Democrat TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: D+1

2016 Winner: Clinton 47.9%

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Key Contacts: Chris Sloan, Campaign Manager; Michelle White, Executive Director (for transition)Sisolak also recently selected his director of appointments and his budget advisor. Sisolak recently announced six key hires in his administration, including Michelle White as Chief of Staff

Attorney General: Aaron Ford (D), open seat, incumbent ran for governor, party flip

**New governor, party flip

Party Control Changes• Nevada Governor flips from red to blue

State Legislature:• House – Democrats maintain control• Senate – Democrats maintain control

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New HampshireLast Updated: December 15, 2018 Partisan Voting Index: EVEN

Last Election Win: 49% | 2016 Winner: Clinton 46.8%

General Election Winner: Chris Sununu (R)

Margin of Victory: 7%

Analysis: Regarding the drug/opioid epidemic, New Hampshire has been among the hardest hit states, ranking third in the nation in drugoverdoses per capita. $45 million in federal funds were given to the state to address the opioid epidemic. Sununu said improving accessto treatment and recovery services will be one of the state’s top priorities. "We are really setting ourselves on a course, finally, to seesome appreciable results not just in the death rate, not just in the overdose rate, but what's happening in homes, what's happening inthe workforce, what's happening with individuals," he said.

Sununu, a strong supporter of the so-called school choice movement, pushed hard for Senate Bill 193, which would set up a voucher-likesystem for families who remove their kids from public schools to be able to spend state funds on the alternative form of schooling theychoose for their children (religious, private, home schooling). The bill failed in the House of Representatives in May. Sununu plans towork again with lawmakers in 2019 to try and pass the program. Sununu also wants the state’s public schools to start after Labor Day."That's a loss of huge opportunity. We are still a tourism driven state and we need to maximize everything we can get," Sununu said.Sununu created a commission to study exactly how a mandatory later start day would impact everything from academics to athleticprograms and tourism in the state.

New Hampshire’s tuition at public four-year institutions remains the most expensive in the nation. Sununu highlighted the nearly $5million Governor’s Scholarship Program, a fund to help up to 1,000 students pay for higher education at New Hampshire state schools.

Party Control ChangesSenate Post-Election: 13 D – 11 R Senate Pre-Election: 10 D – 14 RHouse Post-Election: 231 D – 163 R - 6 OutstandingHouse Pre-Election: 176 D – 217 R – 3 I – 4 V

State Legislature:• House – Democrats gain control• Senate – Democrats gain control

Key Contacts: Jayne Millerick, Chief of Staff; DJ Bettencourt, Policy Advisor

Page 29: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

New Mexico*Last Updated: January 4, 2019

General Election Winner: Michelle Lujan Grisham (D)

Margin of Victory: 14.2%

Analysis: There is currently an active education funding lawsuit in New Mexico but Lujan Grisham pledged during the campaign to haltany appeal initiated by the Martinez administration upon taking office. Lujan Grisham wants to spend the state’s budget surplus onteachers and social workers in schools, to ensure childhood safety. She plans to focus on poor education outcomes, low teacher pay, andunemployment rates. She has also made preschool access one of her main issues and is proposing to fund its expansion through $285million over five years from the state’s Land Grant Permanent Fund. Lujan Grisham has said she will submit a proposal to boost teachers’starting salaries to $40,000 from $36,000 immediately after she becomes governor. A harsh critic of Common Core standardized testing,Lujan Grisham hopes to find a better way to measure student success, as well as the state’s teacher evaluation system.

Lujan Grisham campaigned on a promise to try and increase the minimum wage to $10/hour, claiming it would help keep families out ofpoverty. She hopes to pass a law that permits non-citizens to drive in New Mexico, but the bill is very unpopular in the state. She alsosupports green energy projects. She opposes drilling at New Mexico’s parks and near Santa Fe and wants stricter control on oil and gasfracking. She believes revenue from taxes on legal cannabis could be good for the economy, although she wants New Mexico to avoidmistakes made where pot is already legal.

Democrat TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: D+3

2016 Winner: Clinton 48.3%

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*New Governor

Key Contacts: Former U.S. Senator Bingamam will chair the transition and Dominic Gabello, who was her campaign manager during the election cycle, will direct transition efforts. Gabello was Lujan Grisham’s Chief of Staff in her congressional office. Lujan Grisham recently announced her first cabinet members: three in-state appointees with proven track records. They include the leader of the Human Service Dept, Secretary of Energy, Minerals, and Natural Resources, and the Secretary of Finance and Administration. She also announced that John Bingaman – son of former U.S. Sen. Jeff Bingaman, D-N.M. – and Santa Fe County administrator Teresa Casadoswill help lead her administration, operating as equals who report directly to her.

Attorney General: Hector Balderas (D) – incumbent

Party Control Changes• New Mexico Governor flips from red to blue

State Legislature:• House – Democrats maintain control• Senate – Democrats maintain control

Page 30: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

New YorkLast Updated: December 19, 2018

General Election Winner: Andrew Cuomo (D)

Margin of Victory: 22.2

Analysis: Cuomo has vowed to continue to invest in economic development programs with a region-by-region focus, as most of the jobgrowth in recent years has been largely in New York City. Campaign aides to the governor said that he would like to push through moreethics reforms and continue and complete big infrastructure projects like a new Penn Station and La Guardia Airport. Now that the StateSenate is in Democrat control, this should be easier for Cuomo to accomplish.

The Democrat-controlled Assembly again passed the DREAM Act in February 2018 and it will be among the party’s top legislativepriorities now that the State Senate flipped to Democrat. The legislation – in contrast to a federal bill that provides a route to citizenshipfor “DREAMers” – would allow undocumented students to pay in-state tuition at New York public universities, as well as make themeligible for state financial aid programs. The bill would cost $27 million.

Cuomo promises to extend the state’s property tax cap and keep state spending to two percent annual increases, even as somemembers of his party’s Senate slate push for things like state-run single-payer healthcare and a polluter’s tax -- neither of which Cuomosupports. Cuomo has said little else about taxes, despite the fact that his attempts to thwart the impact of the federal tax reform havethus far not panned out, the state’s current millionaires tax is set to expire next year, the state is facing upcoming budget gaps, and thestate-run MTA is in need of billions of dollars to get the NYC subway system functioning properly.

The issue that would likely be the most divisive inside the Democratic conference would be whether or not to pass the New York HealthAct, an effort to create a universal, single-payer healthcare system statewide. Governor Cuomo supports single-payer health care butsays it is more feasible financially if done on the federal level. Cuomo recently announced his full support of statewide recreationalmarijuana, making it an administration priority in 2019. He claims it will add $1.3 billion in new tax revenue.

Democrat TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: D+11

Last Election Win: 54% | 2016 Winner: Clinton 59%

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Party Control ChangesNew York Senate Post-Election: 40 D – 23 RNew York Senate Pre-Election: 32 D – 31 R*

Key Contact: Melissa DeRosa, Secretary to the Governor

Attorney General: Letitia James (D) – open seat, incumbent resigned

State Legislature:• House – Democrats maintain control• Senate – Democrats gain full control

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Ohio*Last Updated: January 4, 2019

General Election Winner: Mike DeWine (R)

Margin of Victory: 4.3%

Analysis: As Ohio’s attorney general, DeWine focused on higher education for much of his time in office, arguing that through educationand increased efficiencies, Ohio can find savings and lower default rates for current and prospective college students. DeWine touts his“Ohio Prosperity Plan,” which he says would ensure that high school students are either college-ready or career-ready when theygraduate. He convened the Student Loan Debt Collection Advisory Group to advise on ways to improve college affordability. DeWinewants state colleges to be able to target their programs and degree offerings for in-demand jobs.

As a former United States Senator, Congressman, and former Lieutenant Governor of Ohio, General DeWine has been a vocal supporterfor school choice. DeWine proposes making K-12 funding more equitable by directing more state aid to the poorest districts. He alsowants to find a way to reduce the amount of standardized tests administered in schools, and instead find other ways to measure studentgrowth.

Regarding health care for Ohioans, DeWine says he always has supported guaranteed coverage for pre-existing conditions. But in 2011he joined other Republican attorneys general in filing suit in federal court in an unsuccessful bid to overturn the Affordable Care Act.However, he announced in July he supported keeping the program that provides health care to more than 600,000 low-income Ohioans.DeWine says he also would work to reduce costs, implement a work requirement and impose a wellness initiative to improve healthoutcomes and contain spending. Regarding the opioid crisis, DeWine has cited his 12 point plan that demands drug makers anddistributors pay.

DeWine sees the fracking production of oil and natural gas as vital to the economy of Appalachian Ohio. He does not support increasingtaxes on the industry, which outgoing Governor Kasich has unsuccessfully sought for years. DeWine says he will continue to work withthe Ohio EPA and Department of Natural Resources to ensure fracking does not harm private property or the environment.

Republican TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: R+3

2016 Winner: Trump 51.3%

Key Contacts: Laurel Dawson, Director of Transition Committee & Chief of Staff; Michael Hall, Policy Director. DeWine also named an “opioid czar”. Most of his other cabinet nominees have worked under DeWine at the Ohio Attorney Generals office or in Congress.

Attorney General: Dave Yost (R) – open seat, incumbent (DeWine) ran for Governor

*New governor

State Legislature:• House – Republicans maintain control, no change• Senate – Republicans maintain control, 1 race undecided with Republican winning

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Oklahoma*Last Updated: December 18, 2018

General Election Winner: Kevin Stitt (R)

Margin of Victory: 12.1%

Analysis: Kevin Stitt, a businessman from Tulsa, said he wants to run the state government like a business, give first-time teachers a$5,000 bonus and reduce and streamline several state agencies in an effort to save money. He prides himself on being an outsider,noting that a fresh set of eyes on education will help fix a lot of the issues. Stitt thinks the economy is recovering and will generate $500million next fiscal year for priorities.

Stitt says he wants schools to have more local control over all of the tax money they get so they can choose whether to spend it onbuildings or people and supplies. He also believes the solution to the teacher shortage was more pay and giving teachers more controlover their classrooms. Stitt claims a lot of the issues stem from alignment and structural problems. He plans to look for more efficienciesin administrative consolidation to provide more money for the classroom. He also says he will create a program to use technology todeliver Advanced Placement courses to rural high schools and pledges new efforts to recruit talented schoolteachers.

While Stitt said he supports bringing more federal tax dollars back into the state, he would oppose expanding Medicaid because it wouldincrease the number of recipients and put Oklahoma "into a situation that's going to be harmful years from now. He has repeatedlycalled for additional audits of the Oklahoma Health Care Authority, the state’s Medicaid agency, to ensure that people on the rolls areeligible.

Republican TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: R+202016 Winner: Trump 65.3%

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*New Governor

Key Contacts: Michael Junk, Chief of Staff; Aamon Ross, Campaign Manager

Attorney General: Mike Hunter (R) – incumbent

State Legislature:• House – Republicans maintain control • Senate – Republicans maintain control

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OregonLast Updated: December 18, 2018

General Election Winner: Kate Brown (D)

Margin of Victory: 4.9%

Analysis: Incumbent Democrat Kate Brown was elected to serve her first full term after being elected in 2016 to serve the remainder ofJohn Kitzhaber’s term. Her opponent, Knute Buehler, said the most important issue facing Oregonians was education – specifically K-12.Buehler cited Oregon's dismal high school graduation rate (third-worst in the country) and cuts to programs because of the state'sunfunded public pension liability, despite a strong economy. Brown says she's proud of her record, pointing to the 22 percent increase ineducation spending and uptick in Oregon's graduation rate since she took office. She also says more low-income children have access tofree preschool as a result of her policies. Brown wants to lengthen the school year, increase in public school funding, recruit moreteachers of color to match Oregon’s diverse student population, and expand strong career-technical programs. She wants the graduationrate to be 85 percent by the end of her term in 2022. In regards to higher education, Brown has suggested a guarantee that Oregonstudent is provided with a jumpstart toward a college degree or hands-on, career-connected learning tied to a job in their community.

Since the implementation of the Affordable Care Act in 2014, the number of Oregonians with health care has increased 10 percentagepoints to 94 percent this year. One of Brown's accomplishments on this front is the passage of the "Cover All Kids" bill in 2017, whichextended coverage under the Oregon Health Plan to an estimated 15,000 children in the country without documentation.

Oregon is one of many states across the country — especially in the West — dealing with the growing problem of homelessness andhousing insecurity. According to a survey, nearly 14,000 people in Oregon were classified as experiencing homelessness in 2017, a 6percent increase from two years prior. The majority of those people were unsheltered. The governor's plan prioritizes ending childhoodhomelessness and housing homeless veterans, investing in permanent supportive housing and increasing the number of affordablehomes in Oregon.

Democrat TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: D+5

Last Election Win: 50.5% | 2016 Winner: Clinton 50.1%

Key Contact: Nik Blosser, Chief of Staff

State Legislature:• House – Democrats have supermajority control • Senate – Democrats have supermajority control

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PennsylvaniaLast Updated: December 19, 2018

Partisan Voting Index: EVENLast Election Win: 54.9% | 2016 Winner: Trump 48.4%

General Election Winner: Tom Wolf (D)

Margin of Victory: 16.8%

Analysis: Wolf's campaign pointed to increased education funding, expanded health care access through Medicaid, legalization ofmedical marijuana and pension reform as achievements since he took office. Wolf, a wealthy York County businessman and former staterevenue secretary, put about $10 million of his own money into the 2014 race.

Pumping more funding into public schools was a top first-term priority for Governor Tom Wolf. After several years of negotiating withRepublicans in the Legislature over tight budgets, Wolf continues to tout his ability to implement gradual, annual education budgetincreases, but has stopped short of making bold promises. Wolf said he will continue to push for more funding for public schools toensure every student gets a good education, although he has not outlined specific amounts.

In past budget years, the governor proposed raising the state income or sales taxes, but he did not look to raise them in his latest budgetproposal for 2018-19. He wants to impose a new tax on Marcellus Shale natural gas extraction. Wolf last year proposed loweringPennsylvania’s corporate tax rate from 9.99 percent to 6.49 percent in 2022, and also restructuring how it is applied to stop businessesbased in other states from avoiding the tax on their Pennsylvania operations. Republican lawmakers blocked the proposal. In regards toproperty taxes, Wolf said he stands by a $3.2 billion plan he floated in 2015, his first year as governor, to be financed by increases inpersonal income and state sales taxes. Under Wolf's plan, most of the money — just over $2 billion — would go to districts in the bottomhalf of average income. The plan is part of Wolf's goal of raising the state's share of education funding to 50 percent.

State Legislature:• House – Republicans maintain control, Democrats gained 4 seats• Senate – Republican maintain control, but super majority lost, Democrats gain 2 seats

Key Contact: Mike Brunelle, Chief of Staff

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Rhode IslandLast Updated: December 19, 2018

General Election Winner: Gina Raimondo (D)

Margin of Victory: 15.3%

Analysis: Incumbent Democratic Governor Gina Raimondo has struggled with a low approval rating after winning a three-way race withjust 41% of the vote in 2014. Rhode Island was one of the worst-hit states in the country in the recession and took much longer torecover than other states. Raimondo’s top priorities have been the state economy and reforming the government. Raimondo touts herrecord, saying she helped take Rhode Island from one of the highest unemployment rates in the country to the lowest rate in 20 years.

Raimondo has been highlighting the improving economy and a free college tuition program. In her time as governor, Raimondoimplemented RhodeWorks - a $4.7 billion, ten-year program designed to establish toll gantries exclusively for commercial trucks onhighways across the state, the revenue from which would be used to fix Rhode Island’s ailing bridges and roads. The first tollsconstructed went into effect last month. Raimondo also implemented two years of tuition-free education at the Community College ofRhode Island for all Rhode Islanders. Even so, many voters and public sector unions say they're disappointed in her tough pensionreforms as well as close corporate ties including using tax incentives to lure business to Rhode Island.

Raimondo has pledged to expand the free college tuition program at the Community College of Rhode Island to the state’s two four-yearcolleges at an estimated cost of $35 million. She also promised to offer free tuition to all adults at CCRI. Under her latest proposal, thelast two years of tuition at Rhode Island College and University of Rhode Island would be free. Raimondo wants to increase the numberof training opportunities for adults through a program called Real Jobs Rhode Island. She says her three-part plan will provide universaljob training for everyone in the state.

Governor Raimondo will be the DGA Chair in 2019.

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Democrat TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: D+10

Last Election Win: 40.8% | 2016 Winner: Clinton 54.4%

Key Contact: Brett Smiley, Chief of Staff

Attorney General: Peter Neronha (D) – incumbent term-limited

State Legislature:• House – Democrats have supermajority control • Senate – Democrats have supermajority control

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South CarolinaLast Updated: December 19, 2018

General Election Winner: Henry McMaster (R)

Margin of Victory: 8%

Analysis: Governor McMaster was the country’s first statewide officeholder to endorse Donald Trump’s successful 2016 presidential bid.He leaned heavily on his close relationship to the president to prevail in a primary runoff to secure the GOP nomination for governorearlier this year. He insists his relationship with Trump has helped the state.

McMaster says bringing jobs to the state is his top priority and cites the 20,000+ jobs that have been announced since he becamegovernor last year. At 3.3 percent, the state’s unemployment rate is at the lowest it’s been at decades.

In the most recent legislative session, McMaster asked lawmakers to reduce by 1 percent the personal income tax rates in all taxbrackets over five years, but the plan failed to advance. McMaster is for across the board tax cuts. He recently announced a $52 milliontax cut from the unemployment tax rate. Part of his plan is to increase partnerships between universities and major companies whiledecreasing regulations.

McMaster has agreed that there is a teacher crisis but said during the most recent debate that the state has other crises, as well. He saideconomic development that could be accelerated by tax cuts would bring more money into the state for education needs. He wantsbetter schools and programs for students who live in the state’s rural, poor counties. He says the state’s growing business sector mustplay a bigger role in improving student achievement in K-12 schools and colleges. McMaster says eliminating poverty — through betterjobs and wages — will help eliminate the state’s education woes in the long run.

Republican TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: R+8

Last Election Win: N/A | 2016 Winner: Trump 54.9%

State Legislature:• House – Republicans maintain control • Senate – Republicans maintain control

Key Contacts: Trey Walker, Chief of Staff; Mark Plowden, Deputy Chief

Attorney General: Alan Wilson (R) – incumbent

Page 37: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

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South Dakota*Last Updated: January 4, 2019

General Election Winner: Kristi Noem (R)

Margin of Victory: 3.4%

Analysis: Congresswoman Noem will be South Dakota's first female governor after stopping a surprisingly strong challenge Tuesday fromDemocrat Billie Sutton. South Dakota has one of the lowest unemployment rates in the U.S. But state officials have continually statedSouth Dakota lacks skilled workers in accounting, engineering, information technology, health care and manufacturing trades. Noemagrees that key partnerships with businesses that offer middle-class wages without bachelors degrees are important.

During the campaign, Noem released an education proposal to improve K-12 outcomes and make post-secondary education moreaffordable and applicable to the modern workforce. One key plank is, “ If we better prepare students in high school, we can reduce thelikelihood of a fifth year in college, potentially shrinking their cost for higher education by 20 percent.” She also supports expandingSouth Dakota students’ access to career counseling, technical training and shared-learning opportunities at earlier ages. She wants tocreate a plan for diversifying South Dakota’s agricultural sector and prioritize the expansion of value-added agriculture.

Republican TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: R+142016 Winner: Trump 61.5%

Key Contacts: Herb Jones, Chief of Staff; Liza Clark, Chief of Finance; Andrew Christianson, Policy Director (former Chief of Staff in Noem’s Congressional Office). Noem named several other members of her incoming administration, most of whom have a lot of experience in South Dakota politics. She also recently appointed a State Education Secretary and additional staff.

Attorney General: Jason Ravnsborg (R) – incumbent term-limited

*New Governor

State Legislature:• House – Republicans maintain control • Senate – Republicans maintain control

Page 38: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

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Tennessee*Last Updated: December 19, 2018

General Election Winner: Bill Lee (R)

Margin of Victory: 21.1%

Analysis: Bill Lee became President of his family’s company in 1992. Since then, the company has grown into a comprehensive facilities solutions and home services company with more than 1,200 employees and annual revenues in excess of $220 million. He also servedon the Tennessee Higher Education Commission, the Board of Trustees for Belmont University, and as the president of Tennesseans for Economic Growth. During the campaign, Lee said “While I’d welcome potential deals to attract businesses to Tennessee, we should be wary of entering into bad deals. I believe a job created in Tennessee is better than a job brought to Tennessee. The best way to create and attract jobs is to have low taxes and an environment where business can thrive."

Regarding education, Lee said "We need real vocational, technical, and agricultural education in our public schools and we don’t need a massive, costly government project to do it. We have willing partners in the private sector.” He supports using taxpayer dollars to attend private schools. Lee is hesitant about expanding prekindergarten unless it is high quality and effective.

Lee told reporters he would fix the health care system by changing the payment method to one that provides incentives for lower costsand by utilizing telemedicine and coordinating care for patients. He will not expand ObamaCare during his term. Lee also has plans torestructure TennCare, the state’s program to combat that opioid epidemic, especially in rural areas, where it is a bigger issue.

Republican TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: R+142016 Winner: Trump 61.1%

*New Governor

Key Contacts: Blake Harris, Chief of Staff; Tony Niknegad, Policy Advisor to campaign; Chris Devaney, Campaign Manager - also Chairman of the Tennessee Republican Party from 2009 – 2015 and was a senior aide to Senator Bob Corker and former Senator Fred Thompson.

Attorney General: Herb Slatery (R)

State Legislature:• House – Republicans maintain control • Senate – Republicans maintain control

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Texas Last Updated: December 19, 2018

General Election Winner: Greg Abbott (R)

Margin of Victory: 13.4%

Analysis: Governor Abbott was first elected in 2014 after previously serving as the longest-serving Texas Attorney General in history(2002 –2015). Abbott believes economic growth is delivered through cutting taxes. In his first term, he has signed budgets that cut taxesmore than $4 billion, including a 25 percent cut to the business franchise tax. Abbott says he will advocate for a property tax revenuecap at 2.5 percent which would restrict how much a local government could raise their taxes.

Abbott has advocated for reforming public education funding formulas, mostly by ending the "Robin Hood" recapture measure whichuses taxes from property-rich areas of Texas to help pay for schools in property-poor areas. Abbott’s office has generated specific ideasfor how to simultaneously improve outcomes for students and cut back Texans' skyrocketing property tax bills. Property tax reformadvocates are hopeful about the proposal but some educators say it doesn't go far enough to address funding shortfalls for schools orhelp students who are not academically succeeding. Abbott wants the state to require public colleges to grant college credit for certaincourses. He says he will push to shift more state appropriations to be provided based on outcomes. He also pledges to make more creditfrom community colleges easy to transfer to four-year institutions.

Abbott has opposed the expansion of Medicaid, the federal-state program that would offer government health insurance to low-incomeTexans. He has advocated for increased access to telemedicine, disability services and increasing funding to women's health programs.He also pushed for loan forgiveness programs to get mental health professionals into rural areas of Texas.

Abbott has signed state budgets that dedicate $800 million in state resources to the Texas-Mexico border which includes newequipment, technology and personnel. He signed legislation requiring state agencies to use a program to ensure people working for thestate of Texas can legally work in the country. He also led and supported lawsuits against then-President Obama's expansion ofprotections for children brought to this country illegally as well as their parents, known as DACA and DAPA. However, he sent a letter tothe Trump administration asking for the end of the controversial family separation policy.

Republican TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: R+8

Last Election Win: 59.3% | 2016 Winner: Trump 52.2%

State Legislature: • Senate – Republicans maintain control, Democrats gained 2 seats• House – Republicans maintain control, Democrats gained 12 seats

Key Contacts: Luis Saenz, Chief of Staff; John Colyandro, policy director; Sarah Hicks, Budget director; Mary Lynn Bunkley, education advisor.

Attorney General: Ken Paxton (R) – incumbent

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VermontLast Updated: December 19, 2018

General Election Winner: Phil Scott (R)

Margin of Victory: 15%

Analysis: Along with New Hampshire, the state of Vermont is one of only two states where governors are elected to two-year terms.Scott has been focused on addressing what he calls the "affordability crisis" by blocking tax increases and working to expand Vermont'seconomy. Scott drew the line against any increase in tax rates or fees and sought to limit state spending. The strategy was successful in2017, but a long budget veto showdown with the Democratically-controlled Legislature this year ended with Scott allowing an increasein the non-residential property tax rate.

Scott vetoed a bill that would have raised the minimum wage to $15 per hour by 2024, saying it would weaken small businesses, hurtthe state economy and cause job losses.

Governor Scott has talked about limiting K-12 education spending and creating a "cradle to career“ education system that boostsspending for early care and higher education. The governor has proposed taking about $7 million of internet sales tax revenue awayfrom the education fund and using it to expand child care subsidies. He has not laid out a comprehensive plan to accomplish hiseducation vision. This year, Scott's administration pitched a variety of ideas, including a school closing commission, school spending caps,increased tax penalties for high-spending school districts, and increasing student-to-staff ratios. Most of the ideas fell flat, though theLegislature did agree to set up a statewide school health benefit and used some one-time money to mitigate education tax increases.

Despite angering some in his Republican base, Scott says he doesn't regret his call for Vermont to enact gun control measures after theFebruary school shooting in Parkland, Florida. In April, Scott signed the gun legislation on the Statehouse steps in Montpelier as he wasbooed by opponents and cheered by gun-control supporters.

Partisan Voting Index: D+15Last Election Win: 52.9% | 2016 Winner: Clinton 56.7%

Key Contact: Jason Gibbs, Chief of Staff

Attorney General: TJ Donovan (D) – incumbent

State Legislature:• House – Democrats maintain control • Senate – Democrats maintain control

Page 41: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

Wisconsin*Last Updated: December 19, 2018

General Election Winner: Tony Evers (D)

Margin of Victory: 1.2%

Analysis: Tony Evers was serving his third term as education superintendent, and naturally, he focused heavily on education during thecampaign. He's been a teacher, principal, and superintendent over his more than three decades in education. Evers promised to investsubstantial state funding in elementary, secondary, and higher education. School spending has become a bigger priority for voters inrecent years. In a poll released in August by Marquette, 57 percent said increasing spending on public schools was more important thancutting property taxes — up from 46 percent in 2013. Evers has said he would keep the higher education tuition freeze for University ofWisconsin schools that Walker implemented, and said he would cut tuition fees for the state’s tech schools.

Health care dominated much of the campaign. Evers did not answer directly whether he would support a "Medicare for All" program,but indicated he was open to ideas like it. He plans to take immediate action to accept the federal Medicaid expansion dollars to insurethousands of struggling Wisconsinites.

Another major issue for Wisconsin is the transportation crisis; Wisconsin's road quality ranks 44th in the country. Evers hasn’t stated anyconcrete plans for funding transportation, but has made it a priority for his new administration.

Partisan Voting Index: EVENLast Election Win: 52.3% | 2016 Winner: Trump 47.2%

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*New Governor

Key Contacts: Campaign Manager Maggie Gau will be Chief of Staff, most recently worked for state Rep. Chris Taylor, (D-Madison). Jeff Pertl, former senior adviser at the Department of Public Instruction, served as the campaign's policy director.

Attorney General: Josh Kaul (D) – republican incumbent lost election, party flip

State Legislature:• House – Republicans maintain control • Senate – Republicans maintain control

Page 42: 2018 Post Election Outlook - BGR Group · 2016 Winner: Clinton 48.2% *New Governor 12 Key Contacts: Lisa Kaufmann, who chaired the Polis gubernatorial campaign, will be chief of staff

Wyoming*Last Updated: December 19, 2018

General Election Winner: State treasurer Mark Gordon (R)

Margin of Victory: 39.7%

Analysis: Former State Treasurer Gordon said his first priority will be improving the state’s transparency efforts, helping to connect the public closer to the budget process, and maintaining an open relationship with the press. Gordon also fleshed out his vision for state government as a facilitator of municipal-level success, saying he sees the state as most effective in helping communities develop their economies and resolving their infrastructure issues on their own, rather than having the state do it for them. He said that can be done partially through offering loans to local governments and using public-private partnerships to build out telecommunication networks and other projects in rural Wyoming. He has also spoken at length about introducing new tools for communities to do more for themselves, whether increased taxing authority or allowing them to take greater advantage of their mineral wealth.

Rather than backing a push to raise education spending, Gordon said during the campaign that school districts should be given more sayover budget decisions. Gordon is also focused on finding ways to bring other businesses such as technology companies to Wyoming so that “we can grow our revenue streams… We obviously have issues with funding education and healthcare.” Gordon promises to focuseducation and research on technology, computer science, advanced manufacturing and engineering.

Gordon has discussed a state-specific solution to health care – not to latch onto the federal Medicaid program. Gordon has said in the past he believes the state’s coffers could not afford to cover the matching funds from the state budget needed to expand Medicaid in Wyoming.

Republican TrifectaPartisan Voting Index: R+252016 Winner: Trump 68.2%

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*New Governor

Key Contact: Gale Geringer, Chief of Staff

State Legislature:• House – Republicans maintain control • Senate – Republicans maintain control