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2018 AILA & IIUSA EB-5 Industry ForumOctober 29–30, 2018Chicago, IL
PowerPoint sponsored by
CHARLES OPPENHEIM, Chief, Immigrant Visa Control & Reporting, U.S. Dept. of State
ROBERT C. DIVINE (DL), IIUSA Vice President Emeritus, Baker Donelson
CLETUS M. WEBER, IIUSA Director, Peng & Weber PLLC
BERNARD P. WOLFSDORF, Conference Program Chair, AILA Past President, Wolfsdorf Rosenthal LLP
Worldwide EB-5 Number Use by Category FY 2012 - 2018
FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018C5 159 243 161 64 273 269 220R5 5 7 1 11 13 11 26T5 164 227 155 92 573 417 361I5 7,312 8,087 10,375 9,597 9,088 9,393 8,995
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
Issu
ance
s / A
djus
tmen
ts o
f Sta
tus
C5: Employment creation outside a targeted area (Non-Regional Center)T5: Employment creation in a targeted rural/high unemployment area (Non-Regional Center)I5: Investor Pilot Program in a targeted area (Regional Center)R5: Investor Pilot Program not in a targeted area (Regional Center)
Worldwide EB-5 Number UseState Department (visa) vs. USCIS (adjustment)
FY 2012 - 2018
FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018USCIS 962 1,252 1,464 991 1,442 1,676 1,795Dept. of State 6,678 7,312 9,228 8,773 8,505 8,414 7,807
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Issu
ance
s / A
djus
tmen
ts o
f Sta
tus
Otherwise Unused EB-5 Numbers
Example of determination and distribution of such numbers:Annual Limit: 10,075 (can vary slightly)
Per-Country Limit: 705
10,075 (Annual Limit)- 5 China (reduction for Chinese Student Protection Act) - 705 Vietnam (at limit)- 5,565 All Other Countries (Estimated)
3,800 “unused” numbers available for use by countries that have reached their per country limit in priority date order
EB-5 Number Use: China-mainland born vs. Rest of WorldFY 2014 - 2018
9,128
8,156
7,516 7,567
4,642
1,564 1,608
2,431 2,523
4,960
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018
Issu
ance
s / A
djus
tmen
ts o
f Sta
tus
China - mainland born Rest of World
EB-5 Number use by Top Countries of Current Interest Other Than China-mainland born
FY 2014 - 2018
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Brazil China - Taiwan born India South Korea Vietnam
Issu
ance
s / A
djus
tmen
ts o
f Sta
tus
FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018
Annual Per Country Limit: approximately 696
Number of EB-5 Applicants on Petitions Received at NVCFY 2016 – FY 2018
*Rest of World data excludes China-mainland born, and those countries listed above. Petitions for China-mainland born have been totaling about 11,100 in recent years.
65139 142 141
312
664
286368
420485
980
2,077
285393
738
481
1,285
1,753
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Brazil China - Taiwan born India South Korea Vietnam Rest of World*
EB-5
Pet
ition
s Rec
eive
d
FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018
Top Countries of EB-5 Number Use - FY 2018
China – mainland born
(4,642: 48.3%)
Rest of World (1,874: 19.5%)
Vietnam (693: 7.2%)
India (585: 6.1%)
South Korea (531: 5.5%)
China - Taiwan born (452: 4.7%)
Brazil (388: 4.0%)
Venezuela (237: 2.5%)
Hong Kong (200: 2.1%)Country* FY2017 FY2018
China-Mainland 75.0% 48.3%
Vietnam 4.7% 7.2%
India 1.7% 6.1%
Korea, South 1.9% 5.5%
China-Taiwan born 1.9% 4.7%
Brazil 2.8% 4.0%
Venezuela 1.1% 2.5%
Hong Kong 0.8% 2.1%
All Other Countries 10.1% 19.5%
*Sorted by FY2018 ranking
EB-5 Applicants with Petitions on File at NVC
Foreign State of Chargeability 2014 2015 2016 2017 Grand Total
Brazil 10 97 102 51 260
China-mainland born 8,827 13,904 7,008 3,095 32,834
India 9 78 230 192 509
South Korea 7 30 85 237 359
China-Taiwan born 8 37 100 101 246
Vietnam 10 136 553 413 1,112
Rest of World 88 570 529 332 1,519
Year of Priority Date
Copyright © 2018 Invest In the USA (IIUSA). All Rights Reserved
Number of I-485 Pending at USCIS (EB-5), as of July 2018
Data Sources: USCISPrepared by IIUSA
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 TOTAL
CHINA 1 0 296 40 54 64 455
INDIA 0 0 0 0 2 41 43
OTHER COUNTRIES 0 9 80 82 100 219 490
TOTAL 1 9 376 122 156 324 988
Year of Priority Date
Copyright © 2018 Invest In the USA (IIUSA). All Rights Reserved
Number of I-526 Petitions Pending at USCIS (EB-5), as of October 2018
Data Sources: USCISPrepared by IIUSA
Year of Priority Date
Foreign State of Chargeability 2012-2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Grand Total
Brazil 0 1 31 39 121 115 307
China-mainland born 60 109 710 2,444 3,621 1,236 8,180
India 1 3 14 136 627 852 1,633
South Korea 1 0 6 34 135 293 469
China-Taiwan born 0 0 7 49 164 165 385
Vietnam 0 1 22 177 516 480 1,196
Rest of World 12 33 161 306 835 776 2,123
Copyright © 2018 Invest In the USA (IIUSA). All Rights Reserved
Data Note: Margin of error: +/- 0.5%.
Data Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (IIUSA Obtained via FOIA)
Prepared by: Lee Li, IIUSA
93%92%
87%
97%
90%
92%
77%
80%
84%
82%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
China Vietnam India SouthKorea
Brazil Taiwan Iran Venezuela Mexico Russia
I-526
App
rova
l Rat
es (F
Y201
7)
Country of Chargeability
Average I-526 approval rate worldwide in FY2017: 92%
Average Approval Rates of I-526 Petitions, FY2017, Top 10 Countries of Chargeability
China -mainland
born Vietnam India S. Korea BrazilChina -
Taiwan bornRest of World
FY 2018 36.8% 26.3% 41.2% 35.8% 32.7% 36.9% 33.6%
FY 2017 36.1% 27.2% 42.0% 35.9% 29.4% 39.4% 34.0%
FY 2016 35.8% 27.2% 42.3% 34.2% 29.3% 34.5% 32.4%
FY 2015 35.2% 27.1% 36.0% 35.3% 35.3% 35.3% 33.5%
Percentage of EB-5 Principal ApplicantsFY 2015 – 2018
EB-5 Applicants with Petitions on File at NVC and Estimated USCIS Applicant Data
Foreign State of Chargeability
Actual Number of Applicants at NVC
DoS ESTIMATED Number of Applicants with Petition on File at
USCIS
Estimated Grand Total
Brazil 260 750 1,010
China-mainland born 32,834 19,994 52,828
India 509 3,505 4,014
South Korea 359 1,154 1,513
China-Taiwan born 246 916 1,162
Vietnam 1,112 3,896 5,008
Rest of World 1,519 2,006 3,525
Year of Priority Date
Potential Wait Time* Until Visa Number AvailabilityIf the I-526 Petition is Filed Today (Oct. 30, 2018)
1.5
14
5.7
2.21.7
7.2
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Brazil China - mainlandborn
India South Korea China - Taiwan born Vietnam
Num
ber o
f Yea
rs
*These estimates cannot encompass all variables, such as dissipation from petition revocations, deaths, age outs, withdrawals, etc.; or increases from family "acquired" before visa issuance, possible legislation or other governmental action that might impact the amount of numbers available for use each year.
Wait time estimate is the number of years between the time an I-526 petition is filed today and the time when an EB-5 visa is likely to be available based on current number use patterns, including the processing time of adjudicating an I-526 petition.
Copyright © 2018 Invest In the USA (IIUSA). All Rights Reserved
* OTC Countries: All countries of chargeability other than China.
Data Note: Margin of error: +/- 6.4%.
Data Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (IIUSA Obtained via FOIA)
Prepared by: Lee Li, IIUSA
519 600
1,294
2,965
5,251 5,480
9,722
13,530
10,948
8,771
717456 651
899 982 1,071 1,217
2,275 2,2332,613
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
I-526
Filin
gsChina OTC Countries
I-526 Filings by Fiscal Year, China versus OTC Countries* Total (FY2008-2017)
Copyright © 2018 Invest In the USA (IIUSA). All Rights Reserved
* OTC Countries: All countries of chargeability other than China.
Data Note: Margin of error: +/- 6.4%.
Data Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (IIUSA Obtained via FOIA)
Prepared by: Lee Li, IIUSA
FY2016-2017 Total, 941
FY2016-2017 Total, 927
FY2016-2017 Total, 371 FY2016-2017 Total,
325 FY2016-2017 Total, 287
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
India Vietnam South Korea Taiwan Brazil
I-526
Filin
gsFY2016 FY2017 FY2016-2017 Total
I-526 Filings by Fiscal Year, Top OTC Countries* (FY2016 - FY2017 & Total)