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eXtremOSValue of flexibility in the context of European electricity market
coupling with extreme technological, regulatory and
social developments
ContactRoad to XOS
www.ffe.de/xos
XOS - Project Lead
Address
Forschungsstelle für Energiewirtschaft e.V.Am Blütenanger 71D-80995 München
Fax: +49-(0)89-158121-10
E-Mail: [email protected]: www.ffe.de
Phone: +49-(0)89-158121-0
Since 1949, the FfE has been dedicated to "promoting practical energy knowledge" in order to achieve the most efficient use of energy. A holistic approach takes market, regulatory, social and ecological factors into account.
More information on FfE, our topics and areas of research as well as a variety of freely accessable scientific publications can be found on our webpage: www.ffe.de
For the english version please visit: www.ffe.de/en
FfE
This study is funded by the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy (BMWi) within the 6th Energy Research Programme of the Federal Government.
Funding ID: 03ET4062
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Under the heading "Merit order grid expansion 2030" (MONA 2030), a comparison of measures and technologies to relieve the power grid takes place.
MONA (2015-2017)
This comparison takes into account a high proportion of renewable energy generation fed into the transmission and distribution grid. In reference to the classic example of the merit order of power plants, the term merit order is projected to refer to the ordering of investigated measures and technologies for network loading relief in this project. For more information please visit: wwww.ffe.de/en/mona
Dynamis (2016-2019)
"Dynamis – ability to induce change“
The goal of the project Dynamis is the development of methods that allow various measures for CO2 abatement to be
evaluated with regard to their cost-efficiency and their potential for savings while considering changing boundary conditions. In addition to the standard technical and economic parameters, the evaluation focuses in particular on the dynamic interdependencies of the CO2 abatement measures with the energy system. For more information please visit: wwww.ffe.de/en/dynamis
Mail: [email protected]
Phone: 089 15 81 21 - 66
Claudia Konetschny
Mail: [email protected]
Phone: 089 15 81 21 - 70
Christoph Pellinger
MOS 2030 (2012-2016)
The study “Merit Order of Energy Storage by 2030” aimed at the analysis and systematical assessment of measures for flexibilisation via functional energy storage.
In the context of the study, the term “Merit Order” is understood as a comparative ranking of different storage technologies. This ranking of storage technologies is done with respect to their added value from a system as well as business perspective by means of storage expansion. For this purpose, an innovative approach was used: multiobjective technology rankings were combined with a spatially and highly time resolved energy system analysis. For more information please visit: wwww.ffe.de/en/mos2030
XOS
Structure Description - Tools & Models
2. EU-FREM: In order to implement the scenarios, European data is collected in WP2 and FREM is expanded to EU-FREM. To this end the collected data is revised and via aggregation as well as disaggregation it will be stored on NUTS-3 level. Additionally the database structure of FREM is adapted to account for the needs resulting from the expansion of these datasets.
4. Modelling and Evaluation: The data is then fed into the models for mapping the electricity market, distribution and transmission grid (FfE e. V.) and the gas market (FfE GmbH) in WP4. For this purpose, the models are extended by the required components. In order to keep the computing time at a minimum, TUM will develop a variety of decomposition methods.
5. Public Relations: A variety of data and methods derived within the project will not only be of interest for research institutions but also for all kinds of stakeholders such as policy makers, companies and consultants. Hence, selected datasets will be made available to the public. Furthermore a final workshop will be held in Berlin to present the results of the study to a broad audience.
1. Identification of Extreme Developments: Various approaches are used for the identification of extreme developments. These approaches embrace a Delphi by ITAS, What-If Analysis and international stakeholder workshops. Via combination of these methods a complete picture of possible futures is derived.The resulting extreme scenarios are clustered and selected scenarios are then examined in more detail.
3. Quantification: In order to quantify the scenarios application based sectoral modells are developed to represent the developments in each sector. In addition, several weather years are integrated into FREM and methods for calculating the spatial distribution of load and generation are improved.
The project consists of five workpackages which are described in the following:
GridSim: The simulation model GridSim is a modular simulation tool for detailed 3-phase calculations of low-voltage distribution grids. The focus is on the evaluation of future challenges and options for future grid networks.
MInGa: The simulation model „MInGa“ is used to investigate questions in the gas market. It includes all relevant production sites, LNG-Terminals, storage systems and consumers relevant to the European gas market as well as the transmission grid.
ISAaR: The linear optimization model “ISAaR” is an energy system model that allows for various investigations on the transmission grid level. The model includes the sectors electricity, heat and gas as well as the producers, storages and consumers relevant for each of these sectors.
FREM: Based on a PostGIS database FREM contains a huge dataset of spatial, statistical and energy data from different data sources. The database can be divided in the following themes – Renewable Energy, weather models, power plant, statistics and geography data.
Objective
The main objective of XOS is the investigation of the effects of extreme events on the value of flexibility in the electricity market for the stakeholders. To this end methods that allow for the investigation of the value of flexibility are developed and applied. The effects of European electricity market coupling on extreme technological, regulatory and social developments are the core focus of the project.
FfE uses a variety of highly developed cutting edge models to investigate the mentioned research questions. Among these are the following four models which are used to adress GIS, power and gas market as well as distribution grid level questions:
FfE-Partner
XOS
Research Consortium
Content
The investigations range from distribution grid to transmission grid level. All options of sector coupling are taken into account and the global effects of scenarios depicting extreme technological developments are examined. The definition of such extreme scenarios build the basis of this project. To this end, several approaches are used to develop a broad spectrum of scenarios. These include the Delphi method, the creation of a CIB matrix and stakeholder workshops. A particular challenge for the project is the parameterisation of qualitative extreme scenarios. The latter is a prerequisite for quantifying the defined scenarios and defining input data for use in the simulation runs.
FfE - Tools & Models
Countries in Detailed Focus
The 15 countries modeled with respect to the four application sectors on NUTS-3 level are depicted in different colours. Every colour symbolises a group of countries for which a stakeholder workshop will be held.
