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NGPL2016-17 Winter Operations Review
Pipeline Management
• Operations Review
– 2015-2016 Winter Recap
– 2016 Summer
– 2016 Storage & Transport Review
– Winter 2016/2017
– Maintenance Update
• Completed & Waiting
• New facilities
• Winter Readiness
– Winter Checklist
– HP Readiness Checklist
• Contact Lists
2
NGPL Facility Map
• Miles of pipe 9,200
• Flow meters 700
• Total HP 1,037,000
•Total compressor stations 52
•Total storage fields 12
Approximate values
• Winter peak day delivery 5.2 BCF
• Storage working capacity 288 BCF
• Mainline linepack 12.3 BCF
Approximate values
Sta 312
Sta 206a
3
Winter 2015/2016 Recap
• Winter 2015/2016 was 15 % Warmer than Normal
– Highest monthly system average throughput was 4.5 Bcf/day in Feb 2016
• Winter 2014/2015 throughput peak was 5.2 Bcf/day in Feb 2015
– Market area average throughput was 2.8 Bcf/day in January 2016
• Winter 2014-2015 market area throughput peak was 3.6 Bcf/day in
Feb 2015
• Met Nov 1 storage goals
• No pressure or deliverability issues
4
Chicago O’Hare HDDs
Actual Actual
HDD's % of Normal HDD's % of Normal
Nov 607 82% 936 126%
Dec 800 69% 1015 88%
Jan 1239 97% 1317 103%
Feb 997 95% 1405 135%
Mar 665 79% 910 108%
4308 85% 5583 110%
2015-2016 2014-2015
5
November - March Throughput Comparison
2015/16 Nov – Mar
2014/15 Nov – Mar
% Change
LDC 2,470 2,967 -17%
Power 318 263 +21%
Industrial 61 47 +30%
Interconnects 1,174 1,096 +7%
Storage 119 206 -42%
TOTAL 4,142 4,579 -10%
• All volumes are MDth
6
November - March Throughput ComparisonMarket Area Only
2015/16 Nov – Mar
2014/15 Nov – Mar
% Change
LDC 2,464 2,960 -17%
Power 65 20 +225%
Industrial 42 33 +27%
Interconnects 149 235 -37%
Storage 50 97 -48%
TOTAL 2,770 3,345 -17%
• All volumes are MDth
7
Winter Average Daily LDC Demand
8
Md
th/d
Summer 2016 Transport
• Summer 2016 Transport Summary
– Power generation deliveries are up 67% from 2015
– Amarillo transports near max from Midcontinent
• Managing around integrity remediation
• Capacity available north of Trailblazer
– Gulf Coast utilization higher and less variable
• REX Moultrie receipts remain strong, many days > 1Bcf
• No restrictions on East Texas receipts
• Arkansas receipts averaging approximately 130,000 MMBtu/d
– Utilization of the Louisiana system increased due to LNG exports
– Deliveries into South Texas increased due to exports to Mexico
9
Chicago O’Hare CDDs
Actual Actual
CDD's % of Normal CDD's % of Normal
Apr 7 78% 0 0%
May 67 152% 53 120%
Jun 216 131% 118 72%
Jul 332 117% 246 87%
Aug 343 144% 224 94%
Sep 167 182% 164 178%
Oct 1 9% 1 9%
1133 136% 806 97%
2016 2015
10
Summer 2016 Power Loads
• Record power plant loads recorded in July/August
‒ Top 25 days for deliveries to power plants:
• 17 days in July/August 2016
- Peak of 1.04 Bcf/day on July 21
• 8 days in 2012
11
April - September Throughput Comparison
2015/16 Apr – Sep
2014/15 Apr – Sep
% Change
LDC 1,689 1,800 - 6%
Power 480 288 + 67%
Industrial 59 51 + 16%
Interconnects 1,427 1,050 + 36%
Storage 470 918 - 49%
TOTAL 4,125 4,107 + 0%
• All volumes are MDth
12
April - September Throughput ComparisonMarket Area Only
2015/16 Apr - Sep
2014/15 Apr - Sep
% Change
LDC 1,683 1,797 - 6%
Power 191 69 + 177%
Industrial 39 33 + 18%
Interconnects 96 102 - 6%
Storage 307 366 - 16%
TOTAL 2,316 2,367 - 2%
• All volumes are MDth
13
Summer Average Daily Power Demand(MDth/d)
14
Summer Average Daily LDC Demand(MDth/d)
15
NGPL Storage Data Review
Withdrawal
Injection
16
Winter 2016/2017
• Projected to exceed market storage working inventory
target of 116 MM Dth on Nov 1
– Working inventory on Nov 1 estimated at 119 MM Dth
• Plan is to complete key remaining maintenance projects in
November
• Expected changes in pipeline flows:
– REX receipts will increase on Gulf Coast
– Deliveries to LNG export facilities will continue to increase
– Deliveries to Mexico markets will continue
– Traditional supply basins:
• TX-OK will remain strong
• Midcontinent will remain at capacity
17
NOAA Weather
18
EIA Prediction
• EIA released its annual Winter Fuels Outlook, predicting the
season will be colder than last year.
• Regionally, the weather should be colder than last year east of
the Rockies with the Northeast and the Midwest seeing 17%
colder temperatures on average and 18% in the South.
• That said, last year was exceedingly warm, so this winter is
projected to be about 3% warmer than the average of the
previous five winters before last year. The West is expected to
be warmer than last year by about 2%.
Source: http://www.eia.gov/petroleum/heatingoilpropane/pdf/winterfuels2016.pdf
19
• Integrity IMP
• SCC
• General maintenance
• HP replacement program
Updated 12 Month Rolling Maintenance Plan is posted on
EBB around the 20th of each month
• A detailed listing/description of the next month’s outages is
also posted on the 20th of each month.
20
NGPL Maintenance Program
2016 NGPL Maintenance Program
TYPE
2016
JOB
COUNT
2015
JOB
COUNT
2014
JOB
COUNT
Integrity 187 193 170
O&M 324 286 285
System Total 511 479 455
Market Area and
Storage
128 113 120
Amarillo projects 214 214 163
GC projects 169 152 172
Posted 58 62 61
Posted (with an
impact)
24 28 25
Not posted (no
impact)
453 417 394
21
1
GC #2 308-309 30” AFD
• Waiting on final graded report
• Expected results mid
November
Sta 312
Sta 206a
GC #2 308-309 30” EMAT
• Re-run Oct 20
• Expected results March 2017
GC # 2 310 30” EMAT
• 12 SCC digs remaining
• Expected to complete
mid November
1
22&3
3
2016 Remaining Projects with Potential Impacts
Gulf Coast
22
2
1
Am #2 108-109 26”
• Make piggable project
• Expected to complete in
December
AM #3 108-109 36” MFL
• 2 digs required
• Expect to complete in early
November
2
1
3
3
Sta 312
Sta 206a
AM #2 26” 105-106 AFD
• Rerun Dec 6
• DQA rejected in Sept
• Expected results in January 2017
2016 Remaining Projects with Potential Impacts
Amarillo
23
New FacilitiesCompressor Station 206A
• Install new 22,000 HP unit, replacing 5 existing units
at Compressor Stations 310 and 311
• System benefits
– Replace ~15,000 HP with new HP
– Add incremental 7,000 HP
– Increased system flexibility and reliability
– Increased ability to optimize Loudon storage withdrawals
24
New FacilitiesCompressor Station 312
• Install new 30,000 HP unit
• System benefits
– Provides 238,000/Dth/day of incremental firm transportation
service to Chicago area markets
– Increased system flexibility and reliability
25
Winter Checklist
• Compression– Test run all compression units prior to increased demand due to colder weather
– Incorporate 206A and 312 into the compression plan
• Storage– Achieve market storage plan by Nov 1
• Field storage is currently 99% full
• Pipeline– Maintain linepack targets by area
– Maintain throughput targets
– Maintain pressures for key areas
– Field ops to man key sites
• Scheduled Maintenance– Limit planned maintenance activities to those required by regulation or policy
• Customer Communication– NGPL posts system capacity and outage information
– NGPL scheduling representatives and Account Directors available for questions
26
HP Readiness Checklist
• Amarillo
– All mainline stations tested and are ready.
• Gulf Coast
– All mainline stations tested and are ready.
• La Line
– 343 Unit #9 (15000 HP) overhaul completed by Nov 20.
• Market Area
– All stations tested and are ready (113, 114 & 116).
• Storage
– All HP and related facilities have been tested and are ready.
27
NGPL 2016/2017 Contact List
Gas Control
Emer 800-733-2490
24 hr 713-369-9400
Trennis Curry
713-369-9378
Cell 713-819-4577
Bill Weidlein
713-369-9131
Cell 936-524-3306
Kenny Robbins
713-369-9432
Cell 832-588-3901
Danny Ivy
713-369-9311
Cell 713-829-2761
Ray Miller
713-369-9330
Cell 713-206-8338
Transport and Stor Services
TSS Hotline
24 hr 713-369-9683
Richard Williams
713-369-9283
Cell 713-819-1748
Gene Nowak
713-369-9329
Cell 713-252-9759
Account Services
Dave Weeks
630-725-3030
Cell 630-399-1193
Donette Bisett
713-369-9316
Cell 713-724-6445
Jim Brett
630-725-3040
Cell 630-437-0103
Field Operations
Gary Countryman
815-272-9102
Cell 815-302-9879
Dee Bennett
815-272-9104
Cell 815-693-0517
Bob Montgomery - W. Region
806-379-2041 Ext 225
Cell 806-679-0320
Ken Grubb VP OPS
713-369-8763
Cell 281-702-1210
Gary Buchler COO
713-369-8463
Cell 713-824-3904Houston TX Office
713-369-9000
1001 Louisiana St
Houston, TX 77002
Downers Grove IL Office
630-725-3000
3250 Lacey Rd
Suite 700
Downers Grove, IL 60515
28