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ENERGY STORAGE2016-07-26 C-MADENS UPDATETEMPORAL RESOLUTION IN MODELLING
HOW AND WHY
TEMPORAL RESOLUTION
• Size of time interval between two measurements of a system’s state
• Want to determine:
- What discrepancies may be seen in energy storage purposes
- How this affects modelling or software optimization
• 1 to 60 minutes
• Longer the interval, the less calculations and the cheaper it is
Wright and Firth (2007): “longer than a minute underestimates import and export”
- But only considered seven houses and only two of those in depth
HOW AND WHY
INTEGRATED BRIGHT AND CREST MODELS
▸ Bright, J. open source solar model:
▸ Combines hourly historical cloud coverage measurements with HELIOSTAT model to generate stochastic minutely solar irradiation
▸ Validated against Leeds Church Fenton and Cambourne cloud coverage data
▸ CREST Integrated Demand Model
▸ Generates stochastic minutely solar irradiation (not used)
▸ Generates stochastic minutely household electricity demands based on survey data
▸ Storage heater use is function of month
▸ Validated against data collected from 22 households
LIMITATIONS
ASSUMPTIONS AND LIMITATIONS
▸ Value at time t is the average over the time interval and not the instantaneous measurement
http://blog2.ecoastsales.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/Warning.jpg
▸ CREST Model:
▸ Occupancy is not dependent on time of year (“This model under-represents seasonal variation”)
▸ Appliances are not dependent on number of people in the house*
▸ Bright Model:
▸ Solar Irradiation is based on a point. Household and neighbours have same irradiance
SIMULATION
METHOD
Using a COM (ActiveX) server to bridge MatLab and Excel
▸ Only way to run macros automatically from MatLab
Extended CREST model to calculate for a week
SIMULATION
SIMULATION PROCEDURE
1. PARAMETERS2. BRIGHT SOLAR MODEL
3. HOUSEHOLD ASSIGNMENT4. CREST DEMAND MODELS5. PROCESS AND PRESENT
SIMULATION
INPUT PARAMETERS
MatLab container script meant to be flexible
▸ PV system parameters based on (from Jacques et al. LiDAR survey and Ofgem FiT installation report)
▸ Actual panels based on commercial products
▸ Battery chosen is currently 6.4 kWh Tesla Powerwall (2 kW; Moixasystems under 1 kW)
SIMULATION
BRIGHT MODEL
Generates data for specified time length (currently one year)
▸ Moderate speed
▸ Fastest to store every day for t time into array and draw upon it
SIMULATION
HOUSEHOLD AND OCCUPANCY
Generates data for houses and occupancy models
▸ Define number of houses (scenarios: single, street, neighbourhood, etc.)▸ Each house is stochastically assigned appliances▸ Assignment based on various survey statistics
▸ Occupancy models (type of occupancy)▸ Stochastically generated based on UK 2000 Time Use Survey
▸ ”Houses” are stored and reused (will elaborate).
▸ Number of people per house stochastically assigned based on distribution found in 2011 General Lifestyle Survey
SIMULATION
DEMAND
Generates data based on occupancy and outdoor lighting
▸ Appliances▸ Probability of usage based on various survey statistics▸ Mostly a function of household occupancy (generated previously)▸ Some appliances run when people are not home
▸ Lightbulbs▸ Using probabilities from survey data▸ Function of household occupancy▸ Compares to outdoor irradiation; sets threshold for outdoor irradiation (normal
dis.; μ=60 Wm-2 σ=10)
▸ Slowest part of calculations
SIMULATION
ITERATIONS OF SIMULATION
DAYSHOUSES
DEMAND MODELS
SIMULATION
SUMMARY MODEL OF ITERATIONSINTERVAL 1
DAY 1
HOUSE 1
INTERVAL 2 INTERVAL V
DAY 2 DAY 7
…
… DAYS 1:7
HOUSE 1:H HOUSE 1:N
DEMAND DEMANDS…DEMAND DEMANDS
21 X 1:X
DEMANDS
1:X
DEMANDS
1:X
HOUSE H
SIMULATION
ECONOMICS
NET DEMANDGENERATION
SIMPLIFIED CHARGE / DISCHARGE DECISIONCALCULATE IMPORT/EXPORT
CALCULATE DIFFERENCES (NET AND %)
SIMULATION
SIMPLIFIED MODEL OF CHARGING AND DISCHARGING
PRODUCTION DEMAND
> 0
< 0
= 0
STORAGE
EXPORT
CHARGE
STORAGE
IMPORT
DISCHARGE
If not full
If not empty
SIMULATION
CHARGING MODEL
▸ System Constraints
- Charge Rate (Power / W)
- Discharge Rate (Power / W)
- Total Capacity (Energy / kWh)
▸ To Do:
- Continuous vs Peak?
- Roundtrip efficiency
- Does not account for grid economics
- Does not act to prolong life (assumes ideal storage device)
- Limited by manufacturer datasheets
WORK SO FAR
SIMULATION
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
Same as Wright and Firth (2007) found:
Increased resolution underestimates performance
Error vs time res. has good polynomial fit (R2 > 0.9975)
Need to validate and review calculations
Unknown ’aliasing’ effect arrising
SUMMARY
FUTURE WORK / RELEVANCE TO C-MADENS▸ Improve charge/discharge model more
comprehensive by incorporating:
▸ Arbitrage considerations
▸ Battery degradation economics
▸ Other predictive models (Maths guys)
▸ Validate CREST work against load profile data
▸ Jamie Bright’s PhD work includes better neighbourhood simulation
▸ Could be turned into a systems model with other sources and storage technologies.
QUESTIONS?
Johnny Appleseed
SUMMARY
SUMMARY
REFERENCES▸ Bright, J. M., Smith, C. J., Taylor, P. G., & Crook, R. (2015). Stochastic generation of synthetic minutely irradiance time series
derived from mean hourly weather observation data. Solar Energy, 115, 229–242. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2015.02.032
▸ Bright, J.M., Smith, C.J., Taylor, P.G., & Crook, R. (2015). The Bright Solar Resource Model. http://jamiembright.github.io/BrightSolarModel
▸ Jacques, D. A., Gooding, J., Giesekam, J. J., Tomlin, A. S., & Crook, R. (2014). Methodology for the assessment of PV capacity over a city region using low-resolution LiDAR data and application to the City of Leeds (UK). Applied Energy, 124, 28–34. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.02.076
▸ Richardson, I., & Thomson, M. (2012). Integrated simulation of photovoltaic micro-generation and domestic electricity demand: a one-minute resolution open-source model. Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part A: Journal of Power and Energy, 227(1), 73–81. http://doi.org/10.1177/0957650912454989
▸ Richardson, I., & Thomson, M. (2010). Domestic Electricity Demand Model —Integrated Domestic Electricity Demand and PV Micro-generation Model, Loughborough University Institutional Repository, 2010, http://hdl.handle.net/2134/7773
▸ Wright, A., & Firth, S. (2007). The nature of domestic electricity-loads and effects of time averaging on statistics and on-sitegeneration calculations. Applied Energy, 84(4), 389–403. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2006.09.008