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Investor Presentation Heavy plate rolling mill starts operating in July at the Ouro Branco mill (MG)

2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

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Page 1: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

Investor Presentation

Heavy plate rolling mill starts operating in July at the Ouro Branco mill (MG)

Page 2: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

Outlook

Gerdau Highlights

Agenda

2

Page 3: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

Economic Outlook

3

Sources: FED, IMF and Focus

GDP Growth 2014 2015f 2016f

World 3.4% 3.1% 3.4%

US 2.4% 2.4% 2.2%

Brazil 0.1% -3.8% -3.7%

China 7.3% 6.9% 6.3%

Page 4: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

Apparent steel use forecast moving sideways in 2016

4

Sources: World Steel Association (October) and Brazil Steel Institute*

Region / Country (in mmt and %)

2015f 2016f 15/14 16/15

World 1,513 1,523 -1.7% 0.7%

European Union 150 153 1.3% 2.2%

NAFTA 141 144 -2.7% 2.1%

Central & South America 45 46 -7.3% 2.0%

Brazil* 21 19 -16.7% -8.8%

Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2%

China 686 672 -3.5% -2.0%

Page 5: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

Steel capacity has been growing much faster than consumption…

5

Source: World Steel Association (April and October)

843

1.328

1.633 1.644

1.051

1.664

2.384 2.426

2000 2004 2008 2012 2016f

Apparent Crude Steel Use Capacity

751782

overcapacity

2015

336

In million metric tonnes

Page 6: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

… and capacity utilization rate has reached lower historical levels

6

Source: World Steel Association

Jan-Feb/16 66%

In million metric tonnes

81%84%

88%90%

83%

72%

79%76%

70%

2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015

Page 7: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

Chinese steel exports are affecting steel industry

7

+83%

In million metric tonnes

Exports 2016:

Jan.+Feb.: stability (-1%)

Feb.: -17% (8.1 Mmt)62

93

112

2013 2014 2015

Source: World Steel Association

Page 8: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

Prices turning up over the last weeks

8

In US$/t

TurkeyChina

Source: Platts

507 440

334 248

330

573 567

454

326 381

jan/

14

abr/

14

jul/1

4

out/1

4

jan/

15

abr/

15

jul/1

5

out/1

5

jan/

16

24 M

ar 1

6

Rebar export

136

96

6041 57

jan/

14

abr/

14

jul/1

4

out/1

4

jan/

15

abr/

15

jul/1

5

out/1

5

jan/

16

24 M

ar 1

6

Iron Ore CFR China

331369

274

182227

jan/

14

abr/

14

jul/1

4

out/1

4

jan/

15

abr/

15

jul/1

5

out/1

5

jan/

16

24 M

ar 1

6

US Scrap export

Page 9: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

Outlook

Gerdau Highlights

Agenda

9

Page 10: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

►Relevant level of direct

purchase and captive

scrap (50%)

►6.3 billion tonnes of iron

ore resources

– Self-sufficiency at

Ouro Branco mill

►Coke unit and coking

coal mines in Colombia

►Partial level of energy

self generation

Upstream

Vertically Integrated Operations

► Low cost structure

►Mini-mills and

integrated mills key to

low cost strategy

► Latest generation

technology

Steel

►Reinforcing steel

fabrication facilities (Fab

Shops)

►Drawn products

►Multi-product

distribution network

► Tailor-made added-

value approach (~40%

of sales to civil

construction)

Downstream

10

Page 11: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

Brazil North America Special Steel

Ready-to-use products

► Housing

► Infrastructure

► Industry and commercial buildings

► Agricultural

► Exports

► Infrastructure

► Non-residential

► Industrial

► Automotive

► Shipbuilding

► Energy

Billets, blooms& slabs

Merchant bars Rebars

Fabricated steel

Heavystructural shapes Wire-rod

Wires

NailsSBQ

South America

► Housing

► Infrastructure

► Industry and commercial buildings

Broader portfolio products and geographic diversification

HRC Iron Ore

11

Wire

29% of Net Sales

35% of EBITDA

39% of Net Sales

35% of EBITDA

12% of Net Sales

12% of EBITDA

20% of Net Sales

18% of EBITDA

Page 12: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

Focus in add value to our products

12

Technical Assistance Agreement

For the production of high quality steel plates to be supplied to the Americas, to the World

• Technical support to optimize Gerdau’s Plate Mill learning curve• High level supervision and training for our Steelmaking and Plate Mill

teams• Short cut to high-tech steel plates (includes development of new products

with JFE’s know-how, e.g. API X80 grade steel plates)

Main Benefits for

Gerdau

To support our State-of-the-Art Plate Mill facility at Ouro Branco Works (Brazil)

Capacity 1.1 mt/yearStart-up: July 2016

Page 13: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

Digital Mill Araçariguama (SP)

Plate milEarlier entrance: July

Gerdau among the best

companies in Brazil in

leadership

development!

Strategic RoadmapNew partnerships in

wind power market

18 ideas implemented for

2 challenges addressed:

Processes simplification and

Working capital reduction

The Gerdau we

are creating

Transforming Gerdau to achieve our goals and share our success:

check out these great examples!

Gerdau Lean Delivery Systems in Special

Steel in North AmericaQuicker deliveries with optimized

logistic costs.

IT as a collaborative partner in North America BDTablets in the scrap yard,

GoPro cameras for maintenance

production, iPhone thermography capability

Page 14: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

World-Class Steelmaker Ranking Gerdau is in 4th place

7.97.6

7.57.3

7.37.2

7.17.1

7.17.0

7.07.0

7.07.0

6.96.96.9

6.96.9

6.96.86.86.8

6.7

POSCONucor

Nippon SumitomoGerdau

SeverstalJSW Steel

NLMKJFE

HyundaiErdemir

CSNSDI

SAILVoestalpine

Tata SteelHadded

JindalArcelorMittalChina Steel

EvrazBaosteelFinarvedi

MMKTernium

23 factors analyzed, here are some examples:

• Profitability

• Value-added product mix

• Cost-cutting efforts

• Pricing power in home market

• Threat from nearby competitors

• Size

• Downstream business

• M&A, alliances and JV’s

• …

14

Source: World Steel Dynamics

Page 15: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

Shipments '000 tonnes 16,970 17,869 -5.0%

Net Sales R$ MM 43,581 42,546 2.4%

SG&A R$ MM (2,582) (2,728) -5.4%

Adjusted EBITDA R$ MM 4,501 4,906 -8.3%

Adjusted EBITDA Margin % 10.3% 11.5% -

Adjusted Net Income R$ MM 684 1,190 -42.5%

Free Cash Flow R$ MM 3,021 1,933 56.3%

Unit ∆%2015 2014

Financial Highlights

15

Page 16: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

EBITDA and EBITDA margin per BD

16

Geographic diversification reduces volatility in results

35.4%

Brazil BD

2,815

1,656

19.0%

12.8%

2014 2015

34.6%

North America BD

955

1,619 6.5%

9.4%

2014 2015

11.9%

SouthAmerica BD

476 557

9.4% 10.2%

2014 2015

18.1%

Special Steel BD

918 850

10.6% 9.6%

2014 2015

EBITDA (R$ million) EBITDA Margin (%) Participation of adjusted EBITDA per BD

Page 17: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

Strong free cash flow despite challenging scenario

Cash effect on reduction in working capital of R$ 2.4 billion in 2015

17

Page 18: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

Reduction of 35% on CAPEX in 2016

Main projects

� Construction of heavy plate rolling mill at Ouro Branco Unit in Brazil

� Construction of new melt shop in Argentina

� Startup of structural profiles mill in Mexico

3.1

2.6

2.3 2.3

1.5

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (F)

CAPEX Disbursements (R$ billion)

-35%

18

Page 19: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

Long-Term Debt Amortization Schedule

Average Debt Term: 6.5 yearsAverage Debt Cost: 6.8%

R$ billionR$ billion

Debt & Leverage Ratio

Liquidity: R$ 6.9 billion cash + US$ 1.0 billion global working capital line

Debt under control, despite exchange variation impact

Net Debt/EBITDA ratio in U.S. dollar of 3.6x

4.6

1.5 1.0

3.9

4.7

0.2

2.4

3.5

2.3

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025andafter

19.523.3 22.6

27.6 26.5

5.8 5.8 5.7 6.7 6.9

3.1x

3.8x

2.4x3.2x

4.2x

2.1x 2.4x 2.6x 2.7

3.6x

Dec/14 Mar/15 Jun/15 Sep/15 Dec/15

Gross Debt Cash

Net debt/EBITDA (R$) Net debt/EBITDA (US$)

19

Page 20: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

Extraordinary events in 2015

Results in 2015 affected by negative noncash impact of R$ 5.3 billion

20

Impairments

Goodwill - 1,520 354 1,125 2,999

Property, plant and equipment, net 835 - - 800 1,635

Investments - 362 - - 362

Write-off of deferred tax assets - - - 284 284

Total 835 1,882 354 2,209 5,280

Extraordinary events(R$ million)

Fiscal Year 2015

Brazil BDNorth America

BDSouth America

BDSpecial Steel

BDConsolidated

Page 21: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

21

Closing Remarks

� Strong free cash flow generation of R$ 3.0 billion in 2015, supported by the

optimization of working capital.

� Positive highlights in 2015 include the strong presence in the North

American market and management efforts from our teams.

� Priorities for 2016:

� Free cash flow generation;

� Financial leverage reduction;

� Costs and SG&A reduction;

� CAPEX restriction (-35% in comparison with 2015);

� Optimize our assets profitability.

Page 22: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

22

Closing Remarks

� Long-term initiatives:

� Streamlining operations and internal structures;

� Modernizing the corporate culture;

� and reassessing the potential profitability.

Page 23: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

This presentation may contain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking

statements rely upon estimates, information or methods that may be incorrect or

inaccurate and may not actually occur. These estimates are also subject to risks,

uncertainties and assumptions, including, among others: general economic, political

and commercial conditions in Brazil and in the markets where we operate and existing

and future government regulations. Potential investors are hereby informed that these

estimates do not constitute a guarantee of future performance as they involve risks and

uncertainties. The Company does not undertake, and specifically denies, any obligation

to update any estimate, which only speak as of the date they are made.

Statement

23

Page 24: 2016 03 - Apresentação Institucional ingri.gerdau.com/enu/6989/2016 03 - Apresentao Institucional ing.pdf · Asia and Oceania 995 993 -2.1% -0.2% ... 2015 336 In million metric

www.gerdau.com

[email protected]

+55 51 3323 2703

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