2015 Population = 101,562,300...Palay and Corn Production Survey (PCPS) Aims to generate estimates and forecasts on palay and corn production, area and yield, and other production-related

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  • Crops Statistics Division (CSD)

  • 2015 Population = 101,562,300

    West Philippine Sea

  • Assistant National Statistician

    (Economic Sector Statistics)

    DEPUTY National Statistician

    (Sectoral Statistics)

    Assistant National Statistician

    (Social Sector Statistics)

    Assistant National Statistician

    (Macroeconomic Accounts Statistics)

    National Statistician (NS)

    DEPUTY National Statistician (NS)

    Censuses and Technical Coordination Office

    DEPUTY National Statistician (NS)

    Civil Registration and Central Support Office

    DEPUTY National Statistician (NS) Sectoral Statistics Office

    Crops Statistics Division

  • 1. Palay and Corn Production Survey (PCPS)

    - Quarterly

    2. Monthly Palay and Corn Situation

    Reporting System (MPCSRS)

    - monthly monitoring of palay and corn crop

    situation

    3. Palay and Corn Stocks Survey (PCSS1)

    - monthly survey of palay/rice and corn stocks

    Inventory

    Main Components:

  • Palay and Corn Production Survey (PCPS)

    Aims to generate estimates and forecasts on palay and corn production, area and yield, and other production-related statistics.

  • Coverage: 81 provinces Sample farming households in all sample barangays

    Domain: Province

    Sampling Frame: CAF

    Sampling Design: Two-Stage Stratified Replicated Sampling

    - PSU Barangay, selected using PPS - SSU Farm household, selected using systematic sampling

    Sample Size: Palay - Barangays Households 1,288 12,594

    Palay and Corn Production Survey (PCPS)

  • Palay and Corn Production Survey (PCPS)

    Data Collection

    Frequency: Quarterly

    (April, July, October, January)

    - First 10 days after reference quarter

    Method: Personal interview of sample

    farming households by Statistical Researcher

    using pre-structured questionnaires and being

    supervised by PSA personnel.

  • Production and area planted/harvested

    Monthly distribution of production and area

    harvested

    Production disposition/utilization

    Source of irrigation water

    Usage of seeds, fertilizer and pesticides

    Area with standing crop

    Planting intentions for the next quarter

    Awareness of program interventions and availment

    Basic Information Collected:

  • Output:

    - final crop estimates for the immediate past quarter

    - crop forecasts for the current quarter based on

    standing crop

    - crop forecast for the succeeding quarter based on

    Estimates and forecasts on production, area harvested and

    yield per hectare for three quarters:

  • January rd. April rd. July rd. October rd. January rd. April rd.

    Jan-Mar '16 4,150-SC3,932-FEApr Jun '16 4,050-PI 3,727-SC_____-FEJul-Sep '16 3,182-PI _____-SC_____-FEOct-Dec '16 _____-PI _____-SC_____-FEJan-Mar '17 _____-PI _____-SC_____-FEApr Jun '17 _____-PI _____-SCJul-Sep '17 _____-PI

    2016 Survey Round 2017 Survey RoundQuarter

    Estimated

    Illustration:

    PI -Planting intentions SC -Standing crops FE -Final estimates

  • Data Processing

    Review of Output tables

    Generation of Output tables

    Error listing/data verification

    Data encoding

    Manual editing and coding

    o Decentralized data processing

    o Census and Survey Processing System (CSPro 4.1)

    Data Review and Validation

  • Data Review and Validation

    Item Provincial Regional National

    Schedule 2 days after data processing at PSA

    Provincial Office (PO)

    2 days after the provincial data review

    1 to 2 days after the regional data review

    Presiding officer Provincial Statistics

    Officer (PSO) RD

    DNS(SSO)/ ANS(ESSS, MAS)

    Presenter PO staff PSOs RSSOs

    Participant PO staff RSSOS/PSOs Technical staff

    Main activity Review of municipal

    estimates Review of provincial

    estimates Review of regional

    estimates

  • Auxiliary Information Used in Data Validation:

    Weather Condition

    Availability of Irrigation Water

    Information on Rice/Corn Program Implementation

  • Data Review Guidelines:

    1. Acceptability of semester estimates

    2. Damage reports

    3. Check for any possible error in the

    compilation/encoding/computation (in case field

    reports could not explain changes in levels)

    4. Check ratio of irrigated to rainfed for palay and

    white to yellow for corn

    5. Output of the review process: Reviewed

    estimates, Narrative report

  • Major Output:

    Memorandum for the National Statistician - first week following survey month

    - available to public 45 days after the reference

    quarter

    Situation and Outlook Bulletin - latest production estimates

    - climate and rainfall

    - farm, wholesale and retail prices

    - fertilizer price

    - available to public 52 days after the reference

    quarter

  • Other Uses of the Production Estimates:

    Input to the Food Security Committee (FSC)

    - Supply-Use estimates

    - probable stock position

    - probable importation

  • Palay Production Survey (PPS) Questionnaire

  • A. SAMPLE IDENTIFICATION

    1. Region 5. Stratum . . . . . . . . . . .

    2. Province 6. Replicate . . . . . . . . . .

    3. Municipality 7. Household weight .

    4. Barangay 8. Household code ( EA - HSN )

    B. SAMPLE PARTICULARS

    1. Name of agricultural operator

    2. Sample status (Encircle code) 10 - Palay household

    20 - Non-palay household (Ask items 3 to 5 then end interview)

    30 - Non-agricultural household (Ask item 3 then end interview)

    2.1 Result of visit (Encircle code) 2.3 Full name of informant

    40 - Interview completed 2.4 Designation of informant (Encircle code)

    50 - Interview not completed 1 - Barangay/Purok official

    60 - Refused to be interviewed 2 - Neighbor

    70 - Target respondent not contacted (Ask items 2.2 to 2.4) 3 - Other household member

    2.2 Reason for code 70 (Encircle code) 3. First name of respondent

    71 - Temporarily away/Not at home 4. Respondent's classification (Encircle code)

    72 - Area temporarily not accessible 1 - Household head and operator

    73 - Resides outside the sample barangay 2 - Operator other than household head

    74 - Unknown in the locality 3 - Other knowledgeable member of the household

    5. Total agricultural area (ha) 6. Total palay area (ha) .

    C. INFORMATION ON PALAY HARVESTED

    . . .

    02 - Feb 03 - Mar 02 - Feb 03 - Mar 02 - Feb 03 - Mar

    . . .

    . . .

    . . .

    Type of seed planted : 1 - Hybrid 2 - Inbred - Certified 3 - Farmers'/Good seeds 4 - Traditional/Native

    Republic of the Philippines

    Approval No: PSA 1617

    Expires on: 31 March 2017

    All information contained on

    this form is held strictly

    confidential.

    Confidentiality

    PALAY AND CORN PRODUCTION SURVEY

    PALAY PRODUCTION SURVEYapril 2016 ROUND

    .

    (Last name) (First name)(Complete name) (M.I.)

    NOTE: This portion is to be accomplished after the interview

    10. Area planted (ha)

    a/

    12. Method of crop establishment (Encircle code)

    11. Name of the variety planted (Specify local or commercial name)

    1 - Transplanting

    2 - Direct seeding

    09 - Sep 10 - Oct

    1 - Transplanting

    2 - Direct seeding

    1 - Transplanting

    2 - Direct seeding

    11 - Nov 12 - Dec11 - Nov 12 - Dec11 - Nov 12 - Dec

    09 - Sep 10 - Oct 09 - Sep 10 - Oct

    01 - Jan

    C1. AREA, PRODUCTION, SEED AND IRRIGATION INFORMATION FOR THE FIRST QUARTER (JANUARY - MARCH 2016)

    3 - Upland2. Type of ecosystem (Encircle code/s)

    (Encircle code) 1 - Yes 0 - No, (Go to block E, page 3)

    5. Month harvested (Encircle code)

    1. Did you harvest palay during the period January - March 2016?

    01 - Jan

    Quezon City

    CSD Form 1a

    08 - Aug

    1 - Irrigated 2 - Rainfed

    6. Total number of units

    08 - Aug

    9. Month planted (Encircle code)

    Quantity of dry palay

    produced

    (14% moisture content)

    8. Weight per unit of measure (kg)

    7. Unit of measure

    08 - Aug

    01 - Jan

    3. Type of seed planteda/

    (Indicate code)

    4. Area harvested (ha)

    . . .

    . . .

    1 - Yes

    0 - No (Go to block C2)

    1 - Adequate

    2 - Inadequate

    . . .

    NPK ( ) . . .

    NPK ( ) . . .

    NPK ( ) . . .

    NPK ( ) . . .

    4. Other inorganic . . .

    fertilizer . . .

    applied

    . . .

    5. Organic . . .

    fertilizer . . .

    applied

    . . .

    . . .

    3. Pesticide applied . . .

    Type of Irrigation facility: 01 - NIS 02 - CIS-NIA 03 - CIS-LGU 04 - CIS-Private 05 - SWIP/SFR (Non-NIA) 06 - SWIP/SFR (NIA)

    07 - Pump (Non-NIA) 08 - Pump (NIA) 09 - SDD 10 - Others (Specify)

    Pesticide Classification: 1 -Insecticide 2 -Herbicide 3 -Fungicide 4 -Rodenticide 5 -M olluscicide 6 -Nematocide 7 -Others (Specify)

    4.2

    Liquid

    5.1

    Solid

    5.2

    Liquid

    3.1

    3.2

    3.3

    3.4

    3. Quantity of

    inorganic fertilizer

    in bag of 50 kg

    (Specify type and

    NPK composition)

    Ex: Urea ( 46 - 0 - 0 ) Complete (14 - 14 - 14

    )

    4.1

    Solid

    (JANUARY - MARCH 2016)

    C3. PESTICIDE USAGE FOR THE FIRST QUARTER

    b. Fertilizer grade (NPK)

    c. Total number of units applied

    d. Weight per unit (kg)

    a. Product name

    d. Volume per unit (liter)

    17. Was the area actually irrigated? (Encircle code)

    16. Type of irrigation facilityb/ (Indicate code)

    Irrigated

    C2. FERTILIZER USAGE FOR THE FIRST QUARTER

    18. Adequacy of irrigation water (Encircle code)

    Irrigation system

    1. Did you apply fertilizer? (Indicate code) 1 - Yes 0 - No (Go to block C3)

    (JANUARY - MARCH 2016)

    a. Product name

    C1. AREA, PRODUCTION, SEED AND IRRIGATION INFORMATION FOR THE FIRST QUARTER (Continued)

    Quantity of seeds

    used

    13. Total number of units

    14. Unit of measure

    15. Weight per unit of measure (kg)

    2. Area applied with fertilizer ( ha )

    Rainfed Upland

    d. Weight per unit (kg)

    a. Product name

    b. Fertilizer grade (NPK)

    a. Product name

    b. Fertilizer grade (NPK)

    c. Total number of units applied

    c. Total number of units applied

    2. Area applied with pesticide (ha)

    3.1a. Name of pesticide

    c/

    b/

    3.1e. In kilogram (Solid)

    3.1f. In liter (Liquid)

    3.1b. Classificationc/ (Indicate code)

    Weight or

    volume

    per unit

    3.1c. Total number of units applied

    3.1d. Unit of measure

    .

    1. Did you apply pesticide? (Indicate code) 1 - Yes 0 - No (Go to block C4)

    . .

    ...

    ...

    ...

    b. Fertilizer grade (NPK)

    c. Total number of units applied

    d. Volume per unit (liter)

  • 4. Botanical

    extracts/spray

    applied

    (organic)

    1. During the first quarter, did you hire laborers whether paid in cash

    or in kind for your palay farm operations? (Indicate code) 1 - Yes 0 - No

    D. PALAY PRODUCTION DISPOSITION

    . . .

    . . .

    . . .

    . . .

    . . .

    . . .

    . . .

    . . .

    . . .

    . . .

    . . .

    . . .

    07 - Jul 08 - Aug 07 - Jul 08 - Aug 07 - Jul 08 - Aug

    . . .

    Type of seed planted : 1 - Hybrid 2 - Inbred - Certified 3 - Farmers'/Good seeds 4 - Traditional/Native

    Pesticide Classification: 1 - Insecticide 2 - Herbicide 3 - Fungicide 4 - Rodenticide 5 - M olluscicide 6 - Nematocide 7 - Others (Specify)

    .

    . . .

    . . .

    . . .

    .

    . .

    . .

    05 - May 06 - Jun

    1. Do you have standing palay on your farm as of March 31, 2016? (Encircle code) 1 - Yes 0 - No, (Go to block F, page 4)

    3 - Upland

    04 - Apr

    4. Month when crop will be harvested (Encircle code )

    c/

    1 - Irrigated 2 - Rainfed

    3. Type of seed planteda/

    (Indicate code)

    5. Area to be harvested (ha)

    2. Type of ecosystem (Encircle code/s)

    04 - Apr

    a/

    04 - Apr

    05 - May 06 - Jun 05 - May 06 - Jun

    1.04 paid to farm laborers?

    T O T A L

    1.05 used for seeds?

    1.06 used as payment for loans?

    1.10 given away

    1.07 used as payment for irrigation fee?

    1.08 used for feeds?

    E. PALAY PRODUCTION FORECAST (on standing crop)

    Irrigated Rainfed Upland

    3.2a. Name of pesticide

    1. Of your farm's total production (in local unit) for the period JANUARY - MARCH 2016, how many were/will be . . .

    4.1f. In liter (Liquid)

    4.1b. Classificationc/

    (Indicate code)

    1.01 sold?

    1.11 used as payment for rentals

    Weight or

    volume

    per unit

    4.1e. In kilogram (Solid)

    1.02 used for household consumption?

    1.03 share of landowner?

    3.2f. In liter (Liquid)

    3.3b. Classificationc/

    (Indicate code)

    Pesticide applied

    3.3e. In kilogram (Solid)

    3.3f. In liter (Liquid)

    3.3a. Name of pesticide

    3.3c. Total number of units applied

    3.3d. Unit of measure

    Weight or

    volume

    per unit

    4.1a. Name of botanical extracts/spray

    C3. PESTICIDE USAGE FOR THE FIRST QUARTER (Continued)

    1.09 post harvest wastage/losses?

    C4. LABOR INPUTS

    Pesticide applied

    3.2e. In kilogram (Solid) Weight or

    volume

    per unit

    4.1d. Unit of measure

    4.1c. Total number of units applied

    3.2b. Classificationc/

    (Indicate code)

    3.2c. Total number of units applied

    3.2d. Unit of measure

    .

    . . .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    ..

    . . .

    . . .

    . . .

    F. PALAY PLANTING INTENTIONS

    04 - Apr 04 - Apr 04 - Apr

    . . .

    G. RESPONDENT'S ASSESSMENT OF THE HOUSEHOLD PALAY PRODUCTION

    (For sample households that harvested palay during JANUARY - MARCH 2016)

    1. Was your farm's production in January - March 2016 larger than, smaller than, or about the same as your farm's palay production

    1 - Larger than in 2015 2 - Smaller than in 2015 3 - About the same, go to block H

    4 - No harvest last year, go to block H

    2. What was/were the reason/s for the change in production? (Encircle code/s and explain further the reason/s)

    1 - Change in area

    2 - Weather effects

    3 - Pests and diseases

    4 - Seeds

    5 - Fertilizer

    6 - Irrigation services

    7 - Others (Specify)

    1. Are you aware of any government program on rice? (Encircle code) 1 - Yes 0 - No

    2. Have you availed of any benefit from government program on rice? (Encircle code) 1 - Yes 0 - No, end interview

    3. Which of the following program benefits and services have you availed? (Encircle code/s and provide details)

    1 - Seeds 5 - Post harvest facilities

    2 - Fertilizer and other inputs 6 - Marketing assistance

    3 - Training on farming technology 7 - Loans

    4 - Irrigation facilities 8 - Others (Specify)

    4. Which of the availed benefits was/were used in your palay production during the January - March 2016 harvest? (Check box/es)

    None

    I. DATA COLLECTOR, SUPERVISOR, PSO AND ENCODER IDENTIFICATION

    1. NAME AND SIGNATURE OF STATISTICAL RESEACHERS : Contact no. DATE :

    2. NAME AND SIGNATURE OF FIELD SUPERVISOR : Contact no. DATE :

    3. NAME AND SIGNATURE OF PSO : Contact no. DATE :

    4. NAME AND SIGNATURE OF ENCODER : Contact no. DATE :

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    Irrigated Rainfed Upland

    1 - Irrigated 2 - Rainfed 3 - Upland

    Quantity of dry palay to

    be produced

    (14% moisture content)

    6. Total number of units

    7. Unit of measure

    8. Weight per unit of measure (kg)

    1. Do you intend to plant palay on your farm anytime from April - June 2016?

    12 - Dec 01 - Jan

    4. Area to be planted (ha)

    5. Month when crop will be harvested (Encircle code)

    H. FARMER'S PARTICIPATION IN RICE PROGRAM

    3. Month when crop will be planted (Encircle code) 05 - May 06 - Jun

    09 - Sep 10 - Oct 09 - Sep 10 - Oct 09 - Sep 10 - Oct

    05 - May 06 - Jun

    in the same quarter of 2015? (Encircle code)

    05 - May 06 - Jun

    2. Type of ecosystem (Encircle code)

    (Encircle code) 1-Yes 0-No, (Go to block G)

    E. PALAY PRODUCTION FORECAST (Continued)

    07 - Jul 08 - Aug

    06 - Jun

    07 - Jul 08 - Aug

    06 - Jun 06 - Jun

    07 - Jul 08 - Aug

    02 - Feb 03 - Mar9. Month when crop was planted (Encircle code)

    10. Area planted to crop that will be harvested (ha)

    12 - Dec 01 - Jan12 - Dec 01 - Jan

    02 - Feb 03 - Mar02 - Feb 03 - Mar

    8 9

  • Monthly Palay and Corn Situation Reporting System (MPCSRS)

    Monitoring of crop situation, i.e., status of standing crop and actual plantings

    Basis of updating forecasts

  • To provide updates on the status of palay standing crops at various growth stages and actual plantings of forecasts based

    Sub-samples of PCPS Sample Size

    -Palay : 644 barangays / 6,042 households

    Objective:

    Basic Information Collected:

    Updates on palay forecasts on standing crop and planting intentions

  • Frequency: First 5 days of the survey month Method: Personal interview by Statistical Researchers

    PCPS Survey Rounds MPCSRS Survey Months

    January

    February

    March

    April

    May

    June

    July

    August

    September

    October

    November

  • Data Processing

    Review of Output tables

    Generation of Output tables

    Error listing/data verification

    Data encoding

    Manual editing and coding

    o Decentralized data processing

    o Census and Survey Processing System (CSPro 4.1)

    Data Review and Validation

  • Outputs and Dissemination

    Special Release of updates on Palay 15th day after the reference month; posted in PSA website.

    Report downloadable from PSA website (http://agstat.psa.gov.ph/); soft/hardcopy

    Updates on Palay Forecasts

  • Name and Signature of Statistical Researcher: Date : Name and Signature of PSO: Date :

    . . . .

    C. STATISTICAL RESEARCHER AND PSO IDENTIFICATION

    . . . .

    . . . .

    . . . .

    . . . .

    . . . .

    . . . .

    . . . .

    . . . .

    . . . .

    . . . .

    . . . .

    . . . .

    . . . .

    . . . .

    . . . .

    . . . .

    . . . .

    . . . .

    (20) (21) (22)

    . . . .

    (1) (2) (16) (17) (18) (19)

    CSD Form 2a (Palay)

    Page 2 of 2 pages

    B. UPDATE OF CURRENT QUARTER'S AREA AND PRODUCTION OF STANDING CROP / PLANTING INTENTIONS

    L

    i

    n

    e

    B.2. UPDATE ON CURRENT QUARTER'S PLANTING INTENTIONS

    Type/s of Ecosystem

    Actual Plantings by Stage of Crop Growth (Ha)

    Expected Month

    of HarvestReasons for Material Change in Area

    Household

    TotalCode

    Vegetative Reproductive Maturing

    (Indicate code)No. (EA -HSN)(Col.17+Col.18+Col.19)

  • Palay and Corn Stocks Survey (PCSS1)

    Generate estimates on the current stock level of rice and palay in farming and non-farming households.

    Objective: