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1 1
2014 Investor Day
Positioned for Growth
November 2014
2 2
Forward Looking Statements
This presentation contains certain “forward looking statements” and “forward looking information” within the meaning of applicable securities laws, including
statements regarding the business and anticipated financial performance of TransAlta Corporation in 2014, 2015 and subsequent years. All forward looking
statements are based on TransAlta’s beliefs and assumptions based on information available at the time the assumptions were made, management’s experience
and perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments, and other factors deemed appropriate in the circumstances. These
statements are not guarantees of TransAlta’s future performance and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ
materially from those contemplated by the forward looking statements. In particular, this presentation contains forward looking statements pertaining to, among
other things: expectations of improved availability and reduced operating costs and major maintenance outage durations at TransAlta’s coal-fired power plants;
estimates as to the future demand for, and supply of, electricity in the Province of Alberta; estimates as to the long-term investment in new electricity generation
capacity in the Province of Alberta; estimates as to the contractedness and growth in contractedness of TransAlta’s electricity generation portfolio; growth
opportunities available to TransAlta and expectations of growth in EBITDA from future growth projects; expansion opportunities at TransAlta’s Fortescue River Gas
Pipeline and South Hedland Generating Station; potential investment opportunities for gas-fired generation, hydro-electric generation, and carbon capture and
storage and gas conversions for coal-fired generation; plans for the financing of future growth projects and the reduction of indebtedness, including potential
sources of funding such as preferred share offerings and the sale of assets to TransAlta Renewables Inc.; the potential inventory of assets available for drop-
downs to TransAlta Renewables Inc.; expectations for increased cash flows upon the expiry of government mandated power purchase arrangements; the timing of
the completion and commissioning of projects under development and their attendant costs; estimated spending on growth and sustaining capital and productivity
projects; expectations in respect of future electricity prices and the impact of natural gas prices on electricity prices. Factors that may adversely impact these
forward looking statements include risks relating to, among other things: fluctuations in electricity prices and the availability of fuel supplies required to generate
electricity; the regulatory and political environments in the jurisdictions in which TransAlta operates; environmental requirements and changes in, or liabilities
under, these requirements; changes in general economic conditions including interest and exchange rates; operational risks involving our facilities, including
unplanned outages at such facilities; disruptions in the transmission and distribution of electricity; the effects of weather; disruptions in the source of fuels, water, or
wind required to operate our facilities; natural disasters; the threat of domestic terrorism and cyber-attacks; equipment failure; energy trading risks; industry risk
and competition; the need for, and availability of, additional financing; the state of capital markets; counterparty credit risk; limitations in insurance coverage;
reliance on key personnel; labour relations matters; and risks associated with acquisitions and the permitting and construction of development projects. The
foregoing risk factors, among others, are described in further detail in the Risk Management section of TransAlta’s 2013 annual Management’s Discussion and
Analysis (“MD&A”) and under the heading “Risk Factors” in our 2014 Annual Information Form. Readers are urged to consider these factors carefully in evaluating
the forward looking statements and are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements.
Except to the extent required by law, TransAlta assumes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise. All forward looking statements in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements.
For information on our risks please refer to our 2014 Annual Information Form which has been filed on SEDAR and can be accessed at www.sedar.com.
This presentation may contain references to comparable earnings, comparable earnings per share, comparable EBITDA, funds from operations, and funds from
operations per share which are not defined under International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”). Refer to the Non-IFRS financial measures section of
TransAlta’s MD&A for an explanation and, where applicable, reconciliations to net earnings attributable to common shareholders and cash flow from operating
activities. The presentation may also contain references to gross margin and operating income, which are Additional IFRS measures. Please refer to the Funds
from Operations and Free Cash Flow, and Earnings and Other Measures on a Comparable Basis, sections of the MD&A
Unless otherwise specified, all dollar amounts are expressed in Canadian dollars.
3 3
Dawn Farrell President & CEO
Overview
4 4
• Canada’s largest publicly traded power
generator & marketer with over 100 years of
operating experience
• Diversified asset base with 64 facilities
strategically positioned in Canada, Western
U.S. and Western Australia
• Total fleet capacity of ~9,000 MWs
• Sponsor and majority owner of TransAlta
Renewables
• Listed on Toronto and New York stock
exchanges
• Investment grade credit ratings
Our Platform
1Includes 100% of TransAlta Renewables’ assets.
• Coal 4,930 MW
• Gas 1,695 MW
• Wind 1,271 MW1
• Hydro 914 MW1
• Gas Pipeline 270 km
• Energy Marketing
Customer Business 700 MW
5 5
Short-term Plan
• Continued focus on operational excellence
• Deliver committed growth of $650 million
• Funding plan in place to improve balance sheet and finance South Hedland
• Positioning TransAlta for roll-off of Sundance A PPA
• Pursue options for extending life of the Alberta coal fleet and investing in the
Alberta power market
• Utilize TransAlta Renewables to access lower cost equity
• Maintain strong balance sheet and investment grade credit rating
6 6
Medium-term Plan
• Leverage our competitive strengths for serving large commercial,
industrial and utility scale customers
• Deliver reliable, low cost, environmentally-sensitive products to our
customers
• Provide generation directly to customers from a very competitive fleet
and services offerings
7 7
Presenters
Wayne Collins
Executive VP Coal and
Mining Operations
Rob Schaefer
Executive VP Trading
and Marketing
Brett Gellner
Chief Investment Officer
Donald Tremblay
Chief Financial Officer
Advancing our strategy to position our
fleet for a post-PPA world
Optimizing the value of our assets and
expanding our customer business to position
for a post-PPA world
Growing the company
Funding our growth
8 8
Investment Proposition
Deliver shareholder value through both dividend yield and investing in growth
• Diversified and highly contracted portfolio
• Significant near and long-term EBITDA growth
• Well positioned for growth in markets with strong fundamentals
• Access to low cost capital for funding growth
• Sustainable dividend yield
9 9
Wayne Collins EVP – Coal and Mining Operations
Alberta Coal Operations
10 10
Driving Performance at Alberta Coal
• Stabilised mining and coal fired power plant operations
• Aging plant risks understood and being pro-actively managed
• Improved Availability
• Improved competitiveness – reduction of costs
11 11
Alberta Operations – Fundamental Assessment
• Strong capability
• Risks understood
People
• Mature systems underpin consistent,
predictable performance
Systems and Processes
• Opportunities to improve turnaround
performance & operating costs
• Stable fuel costs
Competitiveness
12 12
Predictable Performance
Predictable performance underpins stable future cash flows
• Historical investment supports future
performance
• Operations Diagnostic Centre • Real time identification of departures from
expected performance
• Reliability team • 1,900 GWhs of historical losses formally
investigated
• Corrective actions identified
• >50% implemented to date
• Reduce turnaround durations • New approach - 5 days average reduction
in 2015
• Operational integrity program • Early warning of key control breakdowns
Alberta Coal Availability (Operated Units)
72%
74%
76%
78%
80%
82%
84%
86%
88%
90%
2013 2014E 2015E 2016E
13 13
Aging Plant Risk – Understood and Being Managed
• K1 / K2 rewinds completed
• Condition monitoring in place
• Sun 3-6 spare rotor available (early 2015)
• Sun 3 Stator replacement (early 2015)
Generators
• Sun 1 and 2 – waterwall replacement completed
• Improved diagnostic and crack assessment tools
in use
• Practical personnel risk management in use
Boiler – Corrosion Fatigue
• Spare transformer on site
• Online and offline condition monitoring in place Generator Transformers
Foundation for sustainable future availability performance
• Spare parts
• Online and offline condition monitoring in place Steam Turbines
14 14
New 3-Year Major Maintenance Contract with Alstom
Improvement of our long term availability and competitive position
• Substantial improvements in cost and duration starting in 2015
• Average 15% cost reduction / turnaround
• Average 5 days duration reduction / year
• Total cost reduction over 3 years $34 M
• Turnkey approach
• Alstom scope covers 90% of work
• Improved efficiency of execution and integration of work
• Shared risk / reward model
• Drivers to better align TransAlta / Alstom business objectives
• Schedule, cost, plant availability, safety
• 3 year initial term with options to extend – performance based
15 15
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
2013 2014E 2015E 2016E
Disciplined Operating Cost Management
Improvement of our competitive position - resilience to power price variation
• Operational cost reduction
initiatives
• Critical review of work
• Rationalize
procurement across
mine and power
plants
• Target: Achieve 1st
quartile plant manageable
costs by 2017
Operating Costs excluding Fuel
& Environmental costs
$M
$30M
EBITDA
16 16
Sunhills Mining – Fuel Costs Stabilized
Future fuel cost certainty and improvement of our competitive position
• Coal cost / tonne improved in
2014 and forecast to be
sustained
• Costs managed despite
increases in mining input costs
• Future cost outcomes leveraged
off improvements in:
• Equipment availability
• Productivity
• Procurement rationalization
Alberta Coal Costs $/tonne
$22
$23
$24
$25
$26
$27
2013 2014E 2015E 2016E
Standard Cost of Coal / tonne
17 17
Rob Schaefer EVP Trading and Marketing
Alberta Market
18 18
Well Positioned in the Best Market in North America
• Insulated from near-term low prices with strong hedging program
• Growing customer business with flexibility to respond to changing customer
needs
• Developed and maintained a broad mix of fuel sources and assets for
maximum optionality
• Strong trading platform to take advantage of both asset optionality and market
volatility
• Gives TransAlta a unique competitive advantage in this market
19 19
Supply has outpaced load growth…
Short-term Alberta Market Conditions
Short-term price weakness expected to continue in 2015
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Q1 Q2 Q3
Load growth Supply change
MW
$-
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
Q1 Q2 Q3
2014 2013
$/MWh
…putting pressure on prices
2014 vs. 2013 Alberta Power Prices
20 20
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2014 2015 2016 2017
Open Merchant
Short term contract / Hedges
Long-term contract
PPAs
Total portfolio contractedness
2014 Contracted prices
AB ~$55/MWh
PacNW ~$40/MWh
2015 Contracted prices
AB ~$50 - $55/MWh
PacNW ~$40 - $45/MWh
MW
Hedges Mitigating Impact of Weaker Power Prices
90% 87% 81% 77%
Contract and hedging strategy underpin stable cashflows
Alberta
• Well hedged through 2015
• Hedge levels assume normal
wind and hydro volatility
• Positioned for upside from
mid-term price recovery
Pacific-Northwest
• Puget Sound Energy and other
long-term contracts provide
base of between ~280MW and
380MW
• Additional shorter-term hedges
managed dynamically to
capture market volatility
21 21
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
3% Load Growth AESO Forecast
2% Load Growth
Market pays for investment
Alberta is One of the Strongest Markets in North America
Alberta prices have covered variable and
capital costs over time
Market forecast to require additional
supply in 2018+ period
Strong load growth drives supply
Historical Prices Alberta Reserve Margin $/MWh
$-
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
Alberta
Average (Ontario, PJM (uppder deck) & ERCOT)
Implied
capacity
payment
22 22
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
2015 - 2020 2015 - 2030
Alberta Requires Significant New Investment Longer-term
Load growth, coal retirements and extensions mean investment opportunity
Projected load growth and
capacity replacement
Peak
load
growth
Peak
load
growth
Coal retirements/
Coal reinvestment
MW
Coal retirements/
Coal reinvestment
• Oil and gas sector remains a
major economic driver even
with weaker world oil prices
• 3% average historical
load growth
• ~ 1M barrels/d of
oilsands capacity
committed through 2017
• Alberta oil prices are
higher today than one
year ago
23 23
Marketing Platform Positioned for PPA Roll-off
• Low-cost asset base
enables competitive
product offerings
• Marketing platform
balances our supply
portfolio with customer
product demands
• Significant customer
growth
• Marketing captures asset
optionality and market
volatility
Allows TransAlta to achieve stable cash flow while capturing upside
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
2009 2012 2014 Mediumtarget
Post-PPAtarget
Large Industrial
C&I
Co-gen
TransAlta customer growth MW
24 24
$-
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
Hydro Wind Coal Cogen/CC GasPeakers
Low Cost Generation Optionality Serves Customers
Diversity and optionality positions TransAlta for success in Alberta
• TransAlta has the largest and most diverse fleet in the market
• Low-cost structure allows us to be very competitive while still earning strong
margins
• Diverse assets combined with marketing platform allows us to serve customers
in short and long-term
Providing our
customers with a
competitive and
reliable offering
TransAlta’s
Market
Share:
96% 29% 57% 7% 0%
Marginal Costs Customer Representation
TransAlta’s Average
Marginal Cost
$/MWh
25 25
Brett Gellner Chief Investment Officer
Growth
26 26
Positioned for Growth
Strong track record of growth $4.7 Billion invested last ten years
Significant growth underway $650 Million being invested generating an
additional ~$90 Million of EBITDA by 2017
Significant growth opportunities $10 Billion of opportunities are being
evaluated
Well positioned to compete Since 2012, successful in four competitive
process, resulting in over $1.0 Billion in
contracted investments
Growth Target: $40 - $60 million EBITDA per year
Accretive to cash flow per share
Maintain Investment Grade Ratings
27 27
Proven Track Record of Growth
Growth through a combination of greenfield and acquisitions1
$4.7 billion of growth during last ten years
$650 million of growth underway
$M
$-
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
$1,800
$2,000
Greenfield Acquisitions
$650M in
committed
capital
~$90M in
incremental
EBITDA
¹ Capital spend in any given year reflects the year in which the project was acquired or reached COD and does not reflect the actual timing of the spend
28 28
$-
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
2011 2012 2013 2014E
Base Excluding Centralia Centralia Proactive Initiatives¹
Initiatives Offsetting Lower Power Prices
¹ Includes K3, Solomon, New Richmond and Wyoming wind farms, and corporate cost reductions
Growth and other proactive initiatives have offset declines
in PacNW power prices
With the cashflow shortfall addressed – focus is now on future growth
EBITDA ($M): 2011 to 2014 Est
- Impact of lower power
prices at Centralia
- Growth & Other initiatives¹
$M
29 29
Significant Near to Medium-term EBITDA Growth
~$190 million incremental EBITDA by 2018
Committed growth & Sundance A investment generates significant EBITDA
over next four years
$M
$900
$950
$1,000
$1,050
$1,100
$1,150
$1,200
$1,250
2014E 2017E 2018E
Existing Business Australia Sundance A
30 30
Solomon Power Station
128 MW dual fuel
located in Western Australia
Acquired in 2012
under PPA for 21 years
EBITDA USD$40 million
Project Description
• Output is fully contracted for 21 years with Fortescue Metals Group
• Flow through of fuel, O&M and maintenance capital costs
• Escalating tariff
Cost: USD$315 million
31 31
Fortescue River Gas Pipeline (FRGP)
270km – 16-inch diameter pipeline
located in Western Australia
Under Construction - COD Q1, 2015
under long-term contract for 21 years
EBITDA1 AUD$12 million
Project Description
• Joint venture with DBP Development Group a wholly owned subsidiary of
DUET Group (TransAlta has a 43% interest)
• Natural gas pipeline to TransAlta’s 125 MW dual-fuel power station at
Solomon Power Station
• Output is fully contracted for 21 years with Fortescue Metals Group ¹ Represents TransAlta’s share
Capital Cost¹: AUD$80 million
Expansion Opportunities
32 32
South Hedland Generating Station
Project Description
• The station will supply Horizon Power’s customers (77%) and as well as
Fortescue’s Port operations (33%)
• Most efficient gas plant at the Port
• Future opportunity to add an additional unit (~45 MW) and customer
¹ Based on first full year. Fuel costs are flow through
150 MW gas fired
located in Western Australia
Under Construction - COD Q1, 2017
under long-term contract for 25 years
EBITDA1 AUD$80 million
Capital Cost: AUD$570 million
Expansion Opportunities
33 33
Potential Investment Opportunities
Gas-fired
• Gas-fired well positioned to meet 3,000 MW + of additional generation required in Alberta by 2020
• Sundance 7, low cost option in our portfolio
• Saskatchewan and B.C. require additional generation to meet growing loads
• Expansion & acquisition opportunities in United States & Australia
Transitioning Coal
• Carbon Capture & Storage has significant potential
• Evaluating coal to gas conversions
• Flexibility under Federal GHG legislation allows optimization of cash flows across the Alberta coal units
Renewables/Transmission
• Evaluating hydro pumped storage at TransAlta’s existing hydro sites
• Privatization of Australia’s electricity assets
• Significant acquisition opportunities
34 34
Competitive Strengths
• Significant experience operating power generation assets for industrial/utility
customers
• Ability to take on development and construction risk
• Positioned to manage merchant risk and add incremental value to the assets
through energy services
• Willingness to partner
• Ability to create operational and corporate synergies
• Significant tax attributes for U.S. opportunities
• Creation of RNW provides source of low cost equity
• Significant cash flow available for reinvesting post PPA period starting in 2018
35 35
Donald Tremblay Chief Financial Officer
Funding Plan
36 36
Strategic Initiatives and Priorities
• Continue to strengthen our balance sheet
• Prepare our balance sheet for post Alberta PPA period
• Fund construction of South Hedland
• Use TransAlta Renewables as a competitive source of capital
37 37
Recent Accomplishments
Debt maturity profile is manageable over both the short and long-term
• $500 million reduction in net
debt since YE 2013
• Rating agencies have all re-
affirmed our investment grade
in 2014
• As at Sept 30th, 2014, ~$1.6
billion in liquidity including
over $200 million in cash
120 27
177 400
500
400
520
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
CAD MTN USD Notes
$M
Agency Rating Outlook
S&P BBB- Stable
Moody’s BBB- Negative
DBRS BBB Stable
Debt Maturity Schedule
38 38
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
2013 2014E 2015E
Strengthening the Balance Sheet
Targeting $300 - $500 million reduction in net debt in 2015
• Deliver FFO / Debt target in 2015
• Financing options / flexibility using TransAlta Renewables and out sources of
funding
• Ability to meet all obligations including sustaining dividend and investment
grade ratings in a low price environment
¹ Assumes 50/50 treatment of Preferred shares
$M Senior Debt FFO / Debt1
3,000
3,200
3,400
3,600
3,800
4,000
4,200
4,400
2013 2014E 2015E
39 39
Significant Financial Capacity
TransAlta will use RNW as an efficient way to fund South Hedland and
other growth opportunities at TransAlta
Significant funding available finance growth opportunities
Committed Funding Requirements (2015 - 2017)
$ millions Low High
Debt Reductions $ (300) - $ (500)
Committed Growth Capital - South Hedland $ (570) - $ (570)
Total Uses $ (870) - $(1,070)
Potential Sources (2015 - 2017)
$ millions Low High
Excess Cash Flow¹ $ 300 - $ 300
Pfd Shares $ 300 - $ 500
RNW Drop Downs $ 700 - $ 1,000
DRIP $ - - $ 200
Total Sources2 $ 1,300 - $ 2,000
¹ Cash Flow after deducting sustaining capital, dividends and partner distributions
2 Does not include potential partnerships
40 40
TransAlta Corporation and TransAlta Renewables are strategically aligned
Strategic Flexibility – Leveraging TransAlta Renewables
TransAlta Renewables
TransAlta
Public
70% 30%
• Sponsored vehicle to own long-term
contracted assets
• Access lower cost funding and
enhance returns for contracted assets
• Release capital to TransAlta as
required
• >$3 billion potential drop down
inventory
• Strong currency to support accretive
acquisition of third party assets
41 41
Significant Inventory of Drop-Down Opportunities
• Six power stations with long-term contracts
• 270 km gas pipeline
• ~$100 mm EBITDA growing to ~$200 mm
Australia Business
Alberta Hydro • 13 units, representing 90% of Alberta’s hydro
• ~$60 - $120 mm EBITDA
Additional
Renewables
Canadian Gas Fired
Generation
• ~1,000 MW in Alberta and Ontario
• ~$220 mm EBITDA
• 99 MW contracted wind farm in Quebec
• 7 MW contracted hydro facility in Ontario
42 42
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
$55 $65 $75
Long-term Upside Potential
• Significant potential upside
once the Alberta legislated
PPAs expire
• Alberta prices have
averaged ~$65/MWh since
deregulation
• AESO estimates that
~$80/MWh is required to
attracted new gas-fired
generation
Significant increase in cashflows once Alberta legislated
PPAs expire in 2018 and 2021
Potential incremental annual
EBITDA from Alberta PPAfacilities¹
Incre
me
nta
l E
BIT
DA
$M
Alberta power prices $/MWh
¹ Represents potential annual incremental EBITDA per year starting in 2021. The term of the incremental upside is governed by the retirement dates of each of the generating units
under the Federal greenhouse legislation but could go longer if some or all of the units have carbon capture and storage installed, or are converted to gas fired.
43 43
2015 Outlook
• 2015 cashflow and capital guidance to be provided in February on Q4 call
• Forward prices for 2015 in Alberta are in range of $50/MWh, PacNW $35/MWh
• Sustaining capital expenditures in line with 2014
• Fleet availability in range of 88 – 90%
• Additional cashflow from pipeline in Australia in early 2015