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2014-05-14, Vilnius WIND ENERGY IN LITHUANIA Saulius Pikšrys Lithuanian Wind Power Association

2014-05-14, Vilnius WIND ENERGY IN LITHUANIA Saulius Pikšrys Lithuanian Wind Power Association

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Page 1: 2014-05-14, Vilnius WIND ENERGY IN LITHUANIA Saulius Pikšrys Lithuanian Wind Power Association

2014-05-14, Vilnius

WIND ENERGY IN LITHUANIA

Saulius PikšrysLithuanian Wind Power Association

Page 2: 2014-05-14, Vilnius WIND ENERGY IN LITHUANIA Saulius Pikšrys Lithuanian Wind Power Association

2014-05-14, Vilnius

Infrastructure for Wind Energy Development

• Annual Electricity Demand – 10 TWh/year;• Electricity Supply:– Import ~ 70 %; – Local Production ~ 30 %;

• Well Developed Grid;• Strong Connections;• IPS/UPS Synchronization;

• Enough Capacities for Reserve and Balance;

Page 3: 2014-05-14, Vilnius WIND ENERGY IN LITHUANIA Saulius Pikšrys Lithuanian Wind Power Association

2014-05-14, Vilnius

1955 MW

360 MW

170 MW

194 MW

11 MW

Hydro ~ 127,7 MW;

Industrial CHP ~ 30 MW;

Wind ~ 276,8 MW;

Hydro pump ~ 600 MW;

Total: ~ 3724,5 MW;

Page 4: 2014-05-14, Vilnius WIND ENERGY IN LITHUANIA Saulius Pikšrys Lithuanian Wind Power Association

2014-05-14, Vilnius

Wind Energy Potential in Lithuania

Wind speed almost same

Page 5: 2014-05-14, Vilnius WIND ENERGY IN LITHUANIA Saulius Pikšrys Lithuanian Wind Power Association

2014-05-14, Vilnius

LITHUANIAN WIND MAP

Page 6: 2014-05-14, Vilnius WIND ENERGY IN LITHUANIA Saulius Pikšrys Lithuanian Wind Power Association

2014-05-14, Vilnius

Installed Wind Capacities in Lithuania end 2013 (MW)

Page 7: 2014-05-14, Vilnius WIND ENERGY IN LITHUANIA Saulius Pikšrys Lithuanian Wind Power Association

2014-05-14, Vilnius

Up to date:Total installed capacity 281 MW * Wind Parks – 258,33 MW; * Wind Turbines – 22,67 MW (~ 80 turbines);223 MW – Transmition grid; 58 MW – Distribution grid;

Distributed by auctions:210 MW – Transmition grid; 7 MW – Distribution grid;

Till 2016 can be installed 500 MW;

Page 8: 2014-05-14, Vilnius WIND ENERGY IN LITHUANIA Saulius Pikšrys Lithuanian Wind Power Association

2014-05-14, Vilnius

WIND ENERGY PRODUCTION

• Since 2004 – 2,38 TWh;• During 2013 – 0,6 TWh (6%);• In 2016 can be pruduced ~ 1,28 TWh

(13%);

Page 9: 2014-05-14, Vilnius WIND ENERGY IN LITHUANIA Saulius Pikšrys Lithuanian Wind Power Association

2014-05-14, Vilnius

Cheapest Local Generation [VKEKK]

NATURAS GAS FIRED PP 2013, [ct/kWh]Elektrėnų TE 49,03

Vilniaus energija TE Nr. 2 37,16

Vilniaus energija TE Nr. 3 37,71

Vilniaus energija Salininkų TE 49,80

Kauno TE 32,63

Klaipėdos energija 36,57

Panevėžio energija TE 43,41

Kauno energija Petrašiūnų elektrinė 39,20

Alytaus energija 39,08

Pasvalio rajono katilinė 57,18

Klaipėdos mediena 40,01

Page 10: 2014-05-14, Vilnius WIND ENERGY IN LITHUANIA Saulius Pikšrys Lithuanian Wind Power Association

2014-05-14, Vilnius

Cheapest Local Generation [VKEKK]

RENEWABLES 2014, [ct/kWh]

Hydro 27 - 22

Biomass 49 - 38

Landfill biogas  43 - 33

Biogas from biodegradable substrates  55 - 44

Solar PV 97 - 64

Wind:

- Highest tariff level 28 - 22

- Real tariff (auctions) 24

Elektrėnu TE 50,84

Page 11: 2014-05-14, Vilnius WIND ENERGY IN LITHUANIA Saulius Pikšrys Lithuanian Wind Power Association

2014-05-14, Vilnius

POSSIBLE FUTURE SCENARIOUS

• Quotas should be revised;• Onshore installed capacities till 850 MW;• 850 MW could be reached untill 2018;• Offshore wind energy development:– 2014 – 2015 rules and regulations;– 2015 – 2018 investigation;– 2018 – 2022 construction;

Page 12: 2014-05-14, Vilnius WIND ENERGY IN LITHUANIA Saulius Pikšrys Lithuanian Wind Power Association

2014-05-14, Vilnius

ONSHORE WIND ENERGY DEVELOPMENT SCENARIO ACCORDING RECENT SUPPORT SCHEME

Year

Turbines

Efficiency

[%]

Installed Capacity

[MW]

Product [TWh]

Share from Consumptio

n[%]

Support [mln Lt]

Comul Support [mln Lt]

2013 27% 278 0,60 6% 90 90

2016 35% 500 1,28 13% 63 153

2018 35% 850 2,35 24% 100 253

Page 13: 2014-05-14, Vilnius WIND ENERGY IN LITHUANIA Saulius Pikšrys Lithuanian Wind Power Association

2014-05-14, Vilnius

OFFSHORE WIND ENERGY DEVELOPMENT SCENARIO ACCORDING RECENT SUPPORT SCHEME

YearTurbines

Efficiency, [%]

Installed Capacity,

[MW]

Share from Consuption,

[%]

2020 50% 400 17,5%

2024 50% 700 30,7%

2026 50% 900 39,4%

Page 14: 2014-05-14, Vilnius WIND ENERGY IN LITHUANIA Saulius Pikšrys Lithuanian Wind Power Association

2014-05-14, Vilnius

Wind Barriers • Limited installed capacity - 500 MW;• Not completed legal regulation;• Lack of understanging from public servants;• Deffective support scheme (auctions);• Limitation by legal procedures:– Complicated land use planning;– Environment protection procedures;– Human health regulation procedures;– National defence interests (conflicts with radars);

• Phobias and myths in society;

Page 15: 2014-05-14, Vilnius WIND ENERGY IN LITHUANIA Saulius Pikšrys Lithuanian Wind Power Association

2014-05-14, Vilnius

www.lvea.lt

Thank You for Attention!