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Hub Futures Explorers Prospection Session 30/4 2013
Adam Jorlen, Futurist & Helen Palmer, Change Facilitator
Copyright: Joseph Voros
Generic Foresight Process
Prospection What might happen? Create “forward views” or “images of the
future” We cannot know the future, and therefore
we have to envision and subsequently create it.
Purpose: To generate some alternative futures.
Visioning Scenarios
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Archetype The Wanderer
The Wise Elder
The World Changer
The Disruptor
The Artist
The Clown
A.K.A
Variants
“The Serendipity Seeker”
The Wise woman,The Wise man,The Wizard
The Do-Gooder,The Social Innovator, The Dreamer
The HackerThe entrepreneur
The Creative, The Bohemian
The JesterThe TricksterThe HoboThe TrampThe Bum
‘Call to Adventure’
New ideas, people, places…
Serendipity
A community of changemakers
An opportunity to break, hack/disrupt
Inspiration To become a wise teacher of society (the wise fool)
When do they leave the scene/game?
They always leave for new things. You cannot keep these.
In a coffin… When the system is hacked.
When their artwork is finished. When they’re no longer inspired.
When the show is over
Metaneeds Novelty, Aliveness, Process
Unity-Wholeness, Transcendence
Compassion, Goodness,
Radical Change,
Beauty, Creativity
Playfulness, Audience, Absurdity
Pathogenic Deprivation
Boredom, Mechanizing of life
Black/White dichotomies, Fragmentation
Frustration, Injustice, Cynicism
Insecurity, Cynicism, Anger
Ugliness, Loss of taste
Humorlessness, Depression
The Patron
What’s his ‘call to adventure’?
A missing archetype…
The bridges between… 1. Ownership and Members. The bridge between is freedom. Hubbers are free agents and they enact their agential freedom and identify with, and own, their individual and collective actions. They live a freedom of self enfolded within larger collective fields of freedom.
2. Members and Structure. The bridge between is wisdom. Hubbers enact wise choice. Within the field of choice, wise action is clarified and catalysed. Their agency and intentional structures catalyse novel solutions to seemingly impossible problems.
3. Structure and Ownership. The bridge between is hope. Hubbers create their futures within varieties of fields of hope. As owners of their futures, they write the script, build the scaffolds, and create the structures that enable the realisation of hopeful futures.
@njhoughton
Visioning A vision is a compelling, inspiring
statement of a preferred future which we want to create.
Imagine new, completely different futures from today.
But not how to create these… Opens up a creative space free from
constraints.
Visioning Exercise
Scenarios
Copyright: Maree Conway – Thinking Futures - http://thinkingfutures.net/resources/scenario-planning/ - Adapted from Ged Davis, Scenarios as a Tool for the 21st Century, Shell International, 2002.
Tweaked Harman Fan
Scenario Weaving
Output
The output phase is the most visible part of the Generic Foresight Process to the general public…
… if more people can be attracted and tempted by well-designed and thought-provoking output from foresight processes, more people will think about and act on their preferred futures.
CHECK OUT What’s sitting at the top of your
mind?