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2013 iNEMI Roadmap 2013 Webinar Series

2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Page 1: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

2013 iNEMI Roadmap

2013 Webinar Series

Page 2: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

1

About iNEMI

International Electronics Manufacturing Initiative (iNEMI) is an industry-led

consortium of 110 global manufacturers, suppliers, industry associations,

government agencies and universities. A Non Profit Fully Funded by Member

Dues; In Operation Since 1994.

Visit us at www.inemi.org

5 Key Deliverables:

• Technology Roadmaps

• Collaborative Deployment

Projects

• Research Priorities Document

• Proactive Forums

• Position Papers

Mission: Forecast and Accelerate improvements in the Electronics

Manufacturing Industry for a Sustainable Future.

Page 3: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

2

Optoelectronics and

Optical Storage

Organic Printed

Circuit Boards

Magnetic and

Optical Storage

Supply Chain

Management

Semiconductors

iNEMI

Information

Management

TWG

iNEMI

Mass Data

Storage TWG

iNEMI / IPC / EIPC

/ TPCA

Organic PWB

TWG

iNEMI / ITRS /

MIG/PSMA

Packaging

TWG

iNEMI

Board

Assembly

TWG

Interconnect

Substrates—Ceramic

iNEMI Roadmap

iNEMI

Optoelectronics

TWG

Fourteen Contributing Organizations

iNEMI / MIG

/ ITRS

MEMS

TWG

iNEMI

Passives

TWG

Page 4: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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iNEMI Optoelectronics Roadmap

Tom Hausken

Dick Otte

Bill Bottom

Kim Kimerling

Page 5: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

iNemi Roadmap, Optical Electronics Chapter

“Optical Electronic Data Transfer:

Technical Gaps, Needs and Non-Needs”

Richard Otte

TWG Chair Promex Industries Inc.

iNemi Webinar July 26, 2013

Page 6: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

5

Agenda

• iNemi OE Roadmap Overview

• Photons vs Electrons

• Application Needs

– Telecom

– Active Optical Cables

– Photonic Backplanes

– Microprocessor IO Bandwidth Density Need

– On-Chip Optical Interconnect

• Notions From the Roadmap Efforts

– Recent Potentially Important Innovations

– Potential Black Swans

Page 7: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

iNemi OE Roadmap

Overview

Page 8: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Roadmap Sources

• iNemi Optical Data Communications Chapter

– http://www.inemi.org/2011-inemi-roadmap

• Collaborators

– MIT Communications Technology Roadmap

– International Technology Roadmap for

Semiconductors, Assembly & Packaging TWG

– IPC

– OIDA

Page 9: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Page 10: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Table 17. In-to and Out-of Package - Key Atttribute Needs

Intended to cover Optical IO for SiP (System in a Package) for distance on-card and longer

Optical source in a separate die, on the chip or in the chip.

Year 2011 2013 2015 2017 2023

Data rate/lane, fiber or

waveguide, Gb/s

10 14 25 40 40

Optical media; fiber

waveguide

Fiber/ Some

Waveguide

Fiber/Waveguid

e

Fiber/Waveguid

e

Fiber/Waveguide Waveguide/Some

fiber

Optical wavelength 850/1350/1550 850/1350/1550 850/1350/1550 850/1350/1550 850/1350/1550

#I/O per chip 96 128 512 1024 8192

max #

wavelengths/waveguide

1 1 4 8 32

Wavelength spacing, nm NA NA 20 40 10

Optical power,

mw/wavelength

0.1 to 1.0 0.1 to 1.0 0.1 to 1.0 0.1 to 1.0 0.1 to 1.0

Optical mode; multi/single multimode multimode multimode/sing

lemode

multimode/single

mode

multimode/single

mode

Light Source; VCSEL, other

laser, in-chip, etc.

VCSEL VCSEL VCSEL/in-chip VCSEL/in-chip VCSEL/in-chip

Physical Modulation Method

(direct or secondary)

direct direct direct direct direct

Construction; hybrid,

Integrated, etc.

SiP SiP SiP/hybrid/sour

ce integrated in

chip

SiP/hybrid/sourc

e integrated in

chip

SiP/hybrid/source

integrated in chip

Optical off-package density;

Gb/s/mm2

45

Optical Connector density;

Gb/s/mm2

45

Power/bit, pJ 20 10 <5 <3 <1

Transceiver cost, $/Gbs $ 2.24 $ 1.43 $ 0.92 $ 0.59 $ 0.19

Technology Status (ITRS format) Manufacturab

le solutions

exist, and are

being

optimized

Manufacturab

le Solutions

are Known

Manufacturab

le solutions

are NOT

known

Page 11: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

Photons vs Electrons

Page 12: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Photons vs Electrons for Data

Communications Photonic Electronic Comparison,

photonic/electro

nic

Waveguide/

conductor pitch

1 + 2 micron = 3

microns +/-

2 x 22 nm = 0.044

microns

1:68

Channels/mm 8 to 333

depending on

crosstalk &

cladding req’d

22,700 at 22 nm

node

1:2840 to 1:68

Bandwidth/chan

nel

128 x 40 Gbit/sec

= 5+Tbit/sec

10Gbit/sec 512:1 or more

Energy/bit Only Launch &

Receive losses,

2 to 25 pJ/bit is

SOA

As low as

0.1pJ/bit on-

chip. Greater

due to I2R + tan

delta with

distance.

Photons less if

distance greater

than a few cm

Cross coupling Easily eliminated Major Issue Photons win!

Page 13: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

Application Needs

Page 14: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Telecom Needs

• Drivers:

– Providing capacity with need growing +40%/yr.

– Minimizing Cost

– Increasing energy efficiency

– Providing more bandwidth to more users

• Solutions:

– Transmit more data through provisioned plant

• Lane data rates to 100 Gb/s, then 400, 1Tb/s, …. ??

• Greater spectral efficiency; 10 bits/Hz ?

– Stay in the Optical domain, especially to serve more end users

• Switch optically; avoid optical-to-electronic-to-optical conversions

– Develop a new network architecture to capitalize on optical capabilities

• Software defined network

• 1000 x 1000 switching

• No fixed wavelength grid

• Etc.

• Utilize Photonic Integrated Circuits (InP) ??

Page 15: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Optical Data Communication & Telecom

• The Telecom View of optical technologies is evolving:

– OE was viewed as a long haul technology

– Increasingly, OE is viewed more broadly:

• An enabler of FTTX

• An energy and space saver

• An enabler of alternate architectures

– Implies much higher volumes and lower cost

implementations

Page 16: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Active Optical Cables

Page 17: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Figure 3: A 2010 Data Center requires about 25 megawatts of power so energy saving technology is

important.

Page 18: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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AOC:

An Optical Electronic Success

• Saves 75% of power and space

• Growing rapidly

• The Low Adoption RISK Accelerated Acceptance !!

– Could go back to copper if he did not work.

Page 19: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Active Optical Cable Needs

• Drivers

– Reducing interconnect power

– Reducing interconnect size and space

• Solutions; Continuing Evolution

– More connector/electrical replacements

– Less power (@ ~10pJ/bit @ 10Gb/s, going to 25Gb/s)

– Smaller Size

Page 20: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Photonic Backplane

Optical backplane

Daughter-board

Optical connector

Opto-electrical

connector

Page 21: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Photonic Backplane Needs

• Driver

– Require less power and space at data rates > 10Gb/s than is required in an electronic backplane

– Electronics limited to ~20Gb/s at 1 meter

• Solutions

– A Physical Architecture that combines optical and electrical

– A robust optical & electrical card to backplane connector.

• Able to tolerate dust resulting from air cooling

– An architecture that eliminates the backplane

• PERC supercomputer “drawer” concept

Page 22: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Page 23: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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A. Shibata,

Japanese Electronics

Packaging

and Circuits Association

(JEITA)

Optical backplane

Daughter-board

Optical connector

Electric connector

Flexible optical circuit/

optical cables with connector

Page 24: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Page 25: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Page 26: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Page 27: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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High End Microprocessors

Page 28: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Microprocessor Bandwidth

Density Need • Drivers

– The ITRS Roadmap forecasts IO doubling every 2

years; 2.5Tb/s in 2012 to 80Tb/s (32X) in 2022.

– ITRS Roadmap 2022 Projection

• 40 Gb/s modulation/wavelength

• 40 watts for IO or 0.5pJ/bit.

• Density of 89Gb/s/mm2 IF a 30 mm x 30 mm package

• Cost of <$0.14/Gb/s

Page 29: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Table AP 23 Optical IO for SiP (System in a Package) for distance on-card and longer.Year 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022

Max Package I/O Data Rate, Gb/s 2,500 5,000 10,000 20,000 40,000 80,000

Max IO Power dissipation, watts 40 40 40 40 40 40

Optical media; fiber, waveguide, optical viaRibbon Fiber Fiber/Waveguide Fiber/Waveguide Fiber/Waveguide

Waveguide/Some

fiber

Waveguide/Some

fiber

Optical wavelength 850 850/1350/1550 850/1350/1551 850/1350/1553 850/1350/1551 1350/1551

Max Data rate/Optical Lane, Gb/s 10 25 25 25 40 40

max # wavelengths/waveguide 1 1 4 8 8 16

Max Data rate/Optical IO, Gb/s 10 25 100 200 320 640

Optical #I/O per package 250 200 100 100 125 125

Wavelength spacing, nm NA NA NA NA 20 5

Optical power, mw/wavelength 0.1 to 1.0 0.1 to 1.0 0.1 to 1.1 0.1 to 1.3 0.1 to 1.0 0.1 to 1.0

Optical mode; multi/singlemultimode

multimode/single

mode

multimode/single

mode

multimode/single

mode

multimode/singlem

ode

multimode/single

mode

Light Source; VCSEL, laser, in-chip, etc. VCSEL/hybrid VCSEL/hybrid VCSEL/in-chip VCSEL/in-chip VCSEL/in-chip VCSEL/in-chip

Physical Modulation Method (direct or

secondary modulators)direct direct direct direct direct modulators direct modulators

Construction; hybrid, Integrated, etc. SiP SiP

SiP/hybrid/sourc

e integrated in

package

SiP/hybrid/sourc

e integrated in

package

SiP/hybrid/source

integrated in chip

SiP/hybrid/sourc

e integrated in

chip

Optical off-package density; Gb/s/mm2 of

board space. 30 mm x 30 mm footprint2.8 5.6 11.1 22.2 44.4 88.9

Optical Connector density; Gb/s/mm of SiP

edge 4 x 30 mm21 42 83 167 333 667

Max Power/bit, pJ 16.0 8.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.5

Optical IO Cost, $/Gbs $ 1.34 $ 0.86 $ 0.55 $ 0.35 $ 0.23 $ 0.14

Page 30: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Microprocessor Bandwidth

Density Need • Solutions of Interest

– Replace electrical differential pair IO with Optical Sources and Detectors; 1 data lane per optical IO.

• Add optical IO parts to CMOS substrate

• Source driver and TIA built into CMOS chip

• Build waveguides in PCB

– Separate Electronics and Photonics: Electronic Package on Photonic Interposer with optical multiplexing

• Source driver and TIA built into CMOS chip

• Integrate Optical sources, detectors, waveguides, multiplexers, demultiplexers into an interposer

• Build waveguides in PCB

Page 31: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Fabrication Alternatives To Implement Microprocessor

Optical IO

I. Assemble Discrete parts II. Integrate on a Platform

Mounts on optically Enabled Daughter card With Waveguides and 45

o mirrors combined

With conventional copper traces. Optical connectors might be added at card edge.

0.6 mm solder ball on 1 mm pitch Quad photodetector chip, 0.25 x 0.5 mm Quad VCSEL chip, 0.25 x 0.5 mm Optical focus element to collimate light

$689/package 12.Tb/s 3.2 pJ/bit @ 40W $151/package 48Tb/s 0.8pJ/bit @ 40W

Page 32: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Photonic Interposer

Page 33: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Things Learned Re: Optical IO Implementation

• Assemblying hundreds of individual parts is expensive. • Electronic substrates are used to Increase pitch; they are spacial impedance matchers between chips

(~0.170 mm pitch) and circuit boards (1.0 mm). • VCSELs, PINs, waveguides and multiplexers are small compared to electrical IOs. • Microprocessor package size may be limited by the number of IO needed for power and ground. • De-multiplexers are relatively large (Is this always true ?) • When optical devices are made with integration, the cost depends only slightly on the # of devices per

unit area. • Cost and density views do not depend on SM or MM; space for either is available. • The Optical IO data rate is no longer space or size limited but multiplex/ demultiplex density limited.

Page 34: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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On Chip

Page 35: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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On-Chip Optical Issues

Optical, Potential Electrical, Now

Point to Point on Chip

Power 1 ? pJ/bit To 10 pJ/bit ~ 0.1pJ/bit up to 1 mm

Lane Density, pitch ~ 3 micron pitch ~ 0.044 micron pitch

Data Rate/”connection” 10 ? Tb/s per

waveguide

100 Gb/s per conductor

pair

On-to & Off-of Chip

IO Data density,

Gb/s/mm2

>10Tb/s/0.16 mm2 25Gb/s/mm2

Power 1 ? pJ/bit To 10 pJ/bit 0.8 pJ/bit (1V, 50 Ohm)

Data rate/IO 1Tb/s 20Gb/s

“Reach” Meters ~25 cm

Page 36: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

Notions From The Roadmap

Efforts

Page 37: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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• The Optical Interposer concept • Continual Improvement in Ring Oscillator Technology • The demonstration of lasing in several new material systems • Multi core fiber • “Clear curve” fiber; 2mm radius

Recent Potentially Important Innovations

Page 38: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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Potential Black Swans Implication

An All Optical Digital Signal

Regenerator

Unlimited regeneration in the optical

domain without conversion to the

electronic domain. Eliminate

amplifiers and their noise input.

A method of terminating and

connectorizing glass fiber as easily as

plastic optical fiber.

Major cost savings and increase in

applications.

An 95+% efficient converter of

electrical energy to narrow bandwidth

light that is easily modulated.

Power saving; implementation of

many proposed concepts.

An Architecture that utilizes free-space

for optical interconnect

New hardware architecture that,

ideally, is “better” than current

architecture.

Meta Materials Development What Unique Capabilities might

Emerge ?

Page 39: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

Questions and Answers

Page 40: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

39

20 Technology Roadmaps

39

Organic PCB Board

Assembly Customer

Optoelectronics Large Area, Flexible Electronics

Energy Storage &

Conversion Systems

Modeling, Simulation,

and Design

Packaging

&

Component

Substrates

Semiconductor

Technology

Final

Assembly

Mass Storage (Magnetic & Optical)

Passive Components

Information

Management

Systems

Test, Inspection &

Measurement

Environmentally

Conscious

Electronics

Ceramic

Substrates

Thermal

Management

Connectors

MEMS/

Sensors

Red=Business Green=Engineering Aqua=Manufacturing Blue=Component & Subsystem

Solid State Illumination

Photovoltaics

Page 41: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

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2013 iNEMI Roadmap Webinar Series

For access to the link to the recording

for this webinar go to:

http://www.inemi.org/node/2036#rm

Page 42: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

2013 Roadmap Pricing

• Full roadmap $3000*

(USB drive)

• Single chapter $ 500

(PDF download)

• Special pricing for research

institutes, universities, gov’t

agencies & non-profits

• Full roadmap $ 500*

• Chapter $ 100

* + $100 shipping outside North America

41

Page 43: 2013 iNEMI Roadmap

www.inemi.org Email contacts:

Chuck Richardson

[email protected]

Bob Pfahl

[email protected]