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2013 Competitive OverviewJune 11, 2014
2013 Competitive Update: Methodology
Calendar Year Analysis
Competitive GRP and Spending Analysis for TV
Major Studios only
Ruled out highly inaccurate films
Sony numbers are “reported” for consistency
Kantar reported (10-15% under reported)
Data should ONLY BE USED DIRECTIONALLY
2013 Studio Snapshot – Film Count & Genre Mix
Total Films: 14 Analyzed Films: 13
Total Films: 18Analyzed Films: 17
Total Films: 8Analyzed Films: 8
Total Films: 10Analyzed Films: 10
Total Films: 15 Analyzed Films: 11
Total Films: 16 Analyzed Films: 14
* All data is Kantar reported – typically 10-15% under reported; outlier films not included
Adult31% (4)
Comedy15% (2)
Event23% (3)
Family / Animated
31% (4)
Ac-tion25% (2)
Adult13% (1)
Event37% (3)
Comedy25% (2)
Adult
20% (2)
Event
40% (4)
Family / Animated
30% (3)
Comedy10% (1)
Action17% (3)
Adult18% (3)
Comedy24% (4)
Tar-geted
17% (3)
Event24% (4)
Action27% (3)
Adult9% (1)
Com-edy
10% (1)
Tar-geted
27% (3)
Event18% (2)
Family / Animated
9% (1)
Adult
22% (3)
Comedy14% (2)
Event
21% (3)
Targeted 29% (4) Family /
Animated 14% (2)
$MM
Media Spend
1011 814# of Films
Total B.O.
17
2013 Pre-Opening TV: Total Spend by Distributor
$1.86B $1.43B $1.71B $967M$1.14B
Se
0.0
100.0
200.0
300.0
400.0
500.0
600.0
523.3
321.1271.3 269.7 256.8
190.6
13
$1.06B
• All data is Kantar reported; outlier films not included
$MM
Media Spend
2013 Pre-Opening TV: Average Spend Per Film
Ser0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
$30.8
$25.7 $24.7 $24.7 $23.8
$19.3
• All data is Kantar reported; outlier films not included
2013 Pre-Opening: Average GRPS by Distributor
13 11 14108# of Films 17
WB Pmnt FOX/DW BV Univ Sony1500
1600
1700
1800
1900
2000
21002,030
1,990
2,225
1,940
1,7651,705
1,955
$15.16 $13.24$11.10 $13.97$11.97 $11.30AVG CPP
2013 Pre-opening: GRP Point Level Distribution
* All data is Kantar reported – typically 10-15% under reported; outlier films not included
31% below 1800
12% below 1800
50% below 1800
40% below 1800
58% below 1800
65% below1800
Warner Bros Universal Disney Paramount Fox Sony
Prime/Sports 58% 41% 47% 45% 42% 36%Network Other 10% 11% 6% 2% 11% 7%Cable 30% 41% 38% 41% 42% 46%Spot TV 1% 3% 2% 5% 1% 6%Hispanic 1% 4% 7% 7% 4% 5%
2013 Studio Television Mix
• All data is Kantar reported; outlier films not included
• For targeted genres, the disparity between Sony and competitive levels is less
* Genre information is Kantar reported – typically 10-15% under reported. Historical averages above INCLUDE Sony.
Genre Averages vs 14/15 Plan Estimates
• As BO increases, generally so do GRP levels
• For 14/15 planning, Sony is pacing 20-35% below competitive averages
* GRPs are Kantar reported – typically 10-15% under reported. Historical averages INCLUDE Sony.
Average GRPs By Box Office vs 14/15 Plan Estimates
Share of Voice (4th Qtr ‘14): Methodology
Primary focus on wide release films opening
on same weekend, week before & week after
Estimates for competitive grps based on
historical film comparisons- not a perfect
science
Averages EXCLUDE Sony films
“The Equalizer” Share of Voice – Release 9/26/14
The Maze Runner11%
A Walk Among the Tomb-
stones14%
Dolphin Tale 216%
The Equalizer12%
The Boxtrolls21%
Gone Girl13%
Untitled NL Horror
14%
Timing Studio Film Release Date Est GRPs
1 Week BeforeFOX The Maze Runner 9/19/14 1,600UNI A Walk Among the Tombstones 9/19/14 2,000WB Dolphin Tale 2 9/19/14 2,300
Opening Week Sony The Equalizer 9/26/14 1,800Focus The Boxtrolls 9/26/14 3,000
1 Week After FOX Gone Girl 10/3/14 1,900NL Untitled NL Horror 10/3/14 1,975
The Maze Runner
A Walk Among the Tombstones
Dolphin Tale 2
The Equalizer The Boxtrolls Gone Girl Untitled NL Horror
1,000
1,250
1,500
1,750
2,000
2,250
2,500
2,750
3,000
3,250
Ave w/out Boxtrolls:
1,955
Average: 2,130
Gone Girl12%
Untitled NL Horror
13%
The In-terview
10%
Alex/Bad Day14%
The Judge14%
The Best of Me10%
Dracula Untold
12%
The Book of Life14%
Gone Girl
Untitled NL H
orror
The I
ntervie
w
Alex/B
ad Day
The J
udge
The B
est of M
e
Dracula
Untold
The B
ook of L
ife600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2,200
2,400
Average = 1,970
Timing Studio Film Release Date Est GRPs
1 Week Before FOX Gone Girl 10/3/2014 1,900NL Untitled NL Horror 10/3/2014 1,975
Opening WeekSony The Interview 10/10/2014 1,460DIS Alex/Bad Day 10/10/2014 2,100WB The Judge 10/10/2014 2,150
1 Week AfterREL The Best of Me 10/17/2014 1,550UNI Dracula Untold 10/17/2014 1,900FOX The Book of Life 10/17/2014 2,200
“The Interview” Share of Voice – Release 10/10/14
“Fury” Share of Voice – Release 11/14/14
Interstellar22%
Big Hero 622%
Fury13%
Dumb and Dumber To
15%
Hunger Games8%
McFarland19%
Timing Studio Film Release Date Est GRPs
1 Week Before PAR Interstellar 11/7/14 2,300DIS Big Hero 6 11/7/14 2,400
Opening Week Sony Fury 11/14/14 1,345UNI Dumb and Dumber To 11/14/14 1,600
1 Week After LG Hunger Games: Mockingjay Pt. 1 11/21/14 1,050DIS McFarland 11/21/14 2,000
Two films opening on Thanksgiving (2 wks after Fury) will also have SOV in our window:WB Horrible Bosses 2 11/26/14 2,000
FOX/DW The Penguins of Madagascar 11/26/14 3,800
Interstellar Big Hero 6 Fury Dumb and Dumber To
Hunger Games: Mockingjay Pt. 1
McFarland500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
1,750
2,000
2,250
2,500
Average = 1,870
Ave w/out Hunger Games:
2,075
“Annie” Share of Voice – Release 12/19/14
Inherent Vice6%
Exodus10%
Paddington11%
Annie9%
The Hobbit: Battle11%Night/Museum
13%
Cameron Crowe Un-
titled7%
Sequel to Hot Tub Time
Machine10%
Unbroken10%
Into the Woods11%
1,000
1,250
1,500
1,750
2,000
2,250
2,500
2,750
3,000
Average = 2,235
Timing Studio Film Release Date Est GRPs
1 Week BeforeWB Inherent Vice 12/12/14 (Ltd) 1,265FOX Exodus 12/12/14 2,100
WEIN Paddington 12/12/14 2,300
Opening WeekSony Annie 12/19/14 1,850WB The Hobbit: Battle/Five Armies 12/19/14 2,160FOX Night/Museum: Secret of Tomb 12/19/14 2,700
1 Week After
Sony Cameron Crowe Untitled 12/25/14 1,500PAR Sequel to Hot Tub Time Machine 12/25/14 2,000UNI Unbroken 12/25/14 2,100DIS Into the Woods 12/25/14 2,300
Average does NOT include Annie or Cameron Crowe (Sony) or Inherent Vice (ltd release)
Film Current Plan Incremental Ask Revised Totals
Budget GRPs SPE Net $ Details Budget GRPs
The Equalizer $29,955 1,800 $2,300 Adds 150 GRPs to w/o 8/18 $32,255 1,950
--Allows for an early frequency stunt 6 wks out
to get a jump on Walk Among Tombstones
& Gone Girl
The Interview $24,955 1,460 $5,000 Adds 190 GRPs & Digital / Radio / OOH $29,955 1,650
TV: Increases Prime & breadth/freq in Cable
Digital: Increases YouTube & Social
Radio: Deeper mkt & station list
OOH: Add'l freq in LA & 6-wk flight
Fury $28,455 1,345 $5,500 Adds 455 GRPs throughout plan $33,955 1,800
--Increases weight in all dayparts to be more in
line with competitive levels
Annie $34,095 1,850 $3,500 Adds 150-200 GRPs & Radio $37,595 2,000 - 2,050
--Increases overall TV weight w/more breadth
--Allows for early-out stunt
4Q’14 Incremental Media Budget Submissions
APPENDIX
Fox 14 Films Total 13 Films Analyzed Total CY Box Office: $1.06B
Adult31% (4)
Comedy15% (2)
Fam/Animated31% (4)
Event23% (3)
FILM RELEASE DATE
OW (MM)
LIFETIME (MM) GRPS
Turbo 7/17 $21 $83 3,948The Croods 3/22 $44 $187 3,525
The Secret Life of Walter Mitty 12/25 $13 $58 2,622Epic 5/24 $36 $108 2,327
Walking With Dinosaurs 12/20 $7 $36 2,206
The Heat 6/28 $39 $160 2,186Percy Jackson: Sea of Monsters 8/7 $14 $69 2,059
The Wolverine 7/26 $53 $133 1,996Broken City 1/18 $8 $20 1,922
A Good Day To Die Hard 2/14 $25 $67 1,778The Counselor 10/25 $8 $17 1,628The Internship 6/7 $17 $45 1,455
Runner Runner 10/4 $8 $19 1,304
The Book Thief 11/8 $0 $21 522
Average GRPs: 2,225
* All data is Kantar reported – typically 10-15% under reported
Warner Bros.
Action17% (3)
Adult18% (3)
Comedy24% (4)
Targeted17% (3)
Event24% (4)
18 Films Total 17 Films Analyzed Total CY Box Office: $1.86B
FILM RELEASE DATE
OW (MM)
LIFETIME (MM) GRPS
Jack The Giant Slayer 3/1 $27 $65 2,609We're the Millers 8/7 $26 $150 2,388
Pacific Rim 7/12 $37 $102 2,339Gangster Squad 1/11 $17 $46 2,259Grudge Match 12/25 $7 $30 2,151
Gravity 10/4 $56 $272 2,126The Great Gatsby (2013) 5/10 $50 $145 2,106
Bullet to the Head 2/1 $4 $9 2,08942 4/12 $27 $95 2,079
Man of Steel 6/14 $117 $291 2,004Prisoners 9/20 $21 $61 1,974
Beautiful Creatures 2/14 $8 $19 1,962The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug 12/13 $74 $257 1,921
The Conjuring 7/19 $42 $137 1,887The Incredible Burt Wonderstone 3/15 $10 $23 1,813
The Hangover Part III 5/23 $42 $112 1,685Getaway 8/30 $5 $11 1,111
Her 12/18 $0 $25 471
Average GRPs:2,030
* All data is Kantar reported – typically 10-15% under reported
Paramount
Action25% (2)
Adult13% (1)
Comedy25% (2)
Event37% (3)
8 Films Total 8 Films Analyzed Total CY Box Office: $967MM
FILM RELEASE DATE
OW (MM)
LIFETIME (MM) GRPS
G.I. Joe: Retaliation 3/28 $41 $123 2,581
Star Trek Into Darkness 5/16 $70 $229 2,435
World War Z 6/21 $66 $202 2,392
Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters 1/25 $20 $56 1,908
Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues 12/18 $27 $127 1,752
Pain and Gain 4/26 $20 $50 1,750
The Wolf of Wall Street 12/25 $18 $117 1,633
Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa 10/25 $32 $102 1,472
Average GRPs: 1,990
* All data is Kantar reported – typically 10-15% under reported
Buena Vista 10 Films Total 10 Films Analyzed Total CY Box Office: $1.71B
Adult20% (2)
Comedy10% (1)
Fam/Animated30% (3)
Event40% (4)
FILM RELEASE DATE
OW (MM)
LIFETIME (MM) GRPS
Planes 8/9 $22 $90 2,585
Monsters University 6/21 $82 $268 2,142
Frozen 11/27 $67 $398 2,087
The Lone Ranger 7/3 $29 $89 2,030
Oz The Great & Powerful 3/8 $79 $235 1,975
Saving Mr. Banks 12/20 $9 $83 1,951
Iron Man 3 5/3 $174 $409 1,716
Thor: The Dark World 11/8 $86 $206 1,696
The Fifth Estate 10/18 $2 $3 1,676
Delivery Man 11/22 $8 $31 1,518
Average GRPs: 1,940
* All data is Kantar reported – typically 10-15% under reported
Universal 15 Films Total 11 Films Analyzed Total CY Box Office: $1.43B
Average GRPs: 1,765
Action27% (3)
Adult9% (1)
Comedy10% (1)
Fam / Animated9% (1)
Tar-geted27% (3)
Event18% (2)
FILM RELEASE DATE
OW (MM)
LIFETIME (MM) GRPS
Despicable Me 2 7/3 $84 $368 3,2132 Guns 8/2 $27 $76 2,195
Oblivion 4/19 $37 $89 1,907Identity Thief 2/8 $35 $135 1,898
Fast & Furious 6 5/24 $97 $239 1,855Rush 9/27 $10 $27 1,568
47 Ronin 12/25 $10 $38 1,478RIPD 7/19 $13 $34 1,455
About Time 11/8 $5 $15 1,387Kick-Ass 2 8/16 $13 $29 1,278
The Best Man Holiday 11/15 $30 $71 1,166Jurassic Park 3D 4/5 $35 $45 1,186
Purge 6/7 $34 $64 879Riddick 9/6 $19 $42 735Mama 1/18 $28 $72 459
* All data is Kantar reported – typically 10-15% under reported
FILM RELEASE DATE
OW (MM)
LIFETIME (MM) GRPS
Cloudy 2 9/27 $34 $118 2,487Smurfs 2 7/31 $18 $71 2,307
Captain Phillips 10/11 $26 $107 2,011Grown Ups 2 7/12 $42 $134 1,991
Zero Dark Thirty 1/11 $24 $96 1,974Elysium 8/9 $30 $93 1,704
White House Down 6/28 $25 $73 1,673This is the End 6/12 $21 $101 1,646
After Earth 5/31 $28 $61 1,610American Hustle 12/20 $19 $150 1,474
The Mortal Instruments 8/21 $9 $31 1,373The Call 3/15 $17 $52 1,270
Evil Dead (2013) 4/5 $26 $54 1,201Carrie 10/18 $16 $35 1,185
Battle of the Year 9/20 $5 $9 931One Direction: This is Us 8/30 $16 $29 563
Sony 16 Films Total 14 Films Analyzed Total CY Box Office: $1.14B
Adult22% (3)
Comedy14% (2)
Fam/Ani-
mated14% (2)
Tar-geted29% (4)
Event21% (3)
Average GRPs: 1,705
* All data is Kantar reported – typically 10-15% under reported
Ebiquity Audit: Methodology
Audit of 6 films – national media only Approach looks to capture both cost & quality
Ebiquity utilizes a cost pool for portion of analysis (3 other studios, all info is confidential so unable to confirm which studios participate).
For quality metrics, able to use a broader spectrum of comparative films (similar target audience, time of year).
Focuses on one target audience per film. Does NOT measure promotional added value.
Ebiquity Audit Results
Cost discounts: -16 Overall vs Ebiquity studio
pool of costs
Quality index: 101 Grps vs Goal (92) Flighting (107) Targeting (100) Top Programs / Network Prime (103) Average Cable Rating (99) Reach (104) Position in Pod (100)
OVERALL “STRETCH” SCORE: 19
Stretch Comparisons- Studio A: 13, Studio B: 12 & Studio C: 2
Ebiquity Audit Results
Ebiquity calculates the value of the “cost discounts” combined with “quality” of the buys for a total additional value of….
$19.47 million*
*Based upon measured $101.7 Mil investment = 19%