MTP Growth Scenarios2013 - 2040

Wasatch Choice for 2040

Envision Tomorrow Plus

• Scenario Evaluation Tool (land use)

• MAG, WFRC, Envision Utah are beta testing.

PurposeBeta Test the ET Plus software packageBetter understand and test the

relationship between density and transportation needs in Utah County with WFRC

2013 to 2040 Growth ScenariosScenario 1Land Use - City control totals based on General Plans. (Shawn and Tim’s visits)Transportation – Current RTP Network

Scenario 2Land Use - Densified centers and cores of each city while maintaining city control totals.Transportation – RTP reduced lanes on some collector roads in outer areas (Cedar and Goshen Valleys)

Scenario 3Land Use - Moved pop and emp from fringe communities to centers (WC 2040) and transportation corridors (I-15, Frontrunner, ect.)Transportation – RTP but reduced the length of outer expressways, increased lanes in core areas, increased transit frequencies.

Scenario 4Land Use - Moved pop and emp to major transit and transportation corridors from edge communitiesTransportation – Maximized lanes and transit frequencies in core areas. Extended light rail south. Further reduced length of outer expressways.

Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 4 Scenario 50%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Housing Mix

Large Lot Single Family

Small Lot Single Family

Townhome

Multifamily

(5,ooo + Lot size)

(Less than 5,000)

Scenario 1Vehicle Miles Traveled83.3 m

Transit Boardings20,500

Walk Trips9.4%

Scenario 1Land Use - City control totals based on General Plans. (Shawn and Tim’s visits)Transportation – Current RTP Network

Scenario 2Vehicle Miles Traveled82.3 m

Transit Boardings20,800

Walk Trips10.5%

Scenario 3Vehicle Miles Traveled81.6 m

Transit Boardings22,100

Walk Trips11.1%

Scenario 4Vehicle Miles Traveled80.8 m

Transit Boardings16,300

Walk Trips11.4%

Moving ForwardDevelop a preferred scenario

Preferred ScenarioA hybrid of the above scenarios developed in concert with TAC, Region Planning and individual communities.Fall -2013

Questions?