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Anwar Sadat Chair for Peace and DevelopmentUniversity of Maryland
2011Public Opinion Polls of Jewish and
Arab Citizens of IsraelPoll of Jewish citizens conducted with Dahaf Institute, Nov. 10-16, 2011
Sample size: 510, Margin of error +/- 4.4%
Poll of Arab/Palestinian citizens conducted with JZ Analytics, Nov. 13-20, 2011Sample size: 500, Margin of error +/- 4.5%
Professor Shibley Telhami, Principal InvestigatorSpecial thanks to the Carnegie Corporation of New York
Mike Lebson, Evan Lewis and Abe Medoff assisted in preparation of this study
Jewish Citizens of Israel
Arab Awakening
12%
34%
46%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Foreign powers trying to stir trouble in the region
Opposition parties or sects seeking power
Ordinary people seeking dignity, freedom and a better life
Thinking about the Arab Spring, is it mostly:
Arab Awakening
15%
21%
51%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Mostly for the better
No difference
Mostly for the worse
Which of the following is closer to your view about the impact of the Arab Spring on Israel?
Arab Awakening
44%
28%
22%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Better for Israel
No difference
Worse for Israel
If the Arab Spring does in fact lead to more democracy in the Arab world, would that be:
United States & the Middle EastHow would you describe your views of President Barack Obama of the United
States?
2011 2010
54%
39%
Positive
Negative
41%
51%
United States & the Middle EastHow would you describe your attitudes toward the Obama administration policy in
the Middle East so far?2011
22%
35%
39%
Hopeful
Neither
Discouraged
Global PerceptionsWhich world leader (outside your own country) do you admire most?
Barack Obama
Winston Churchill
Angela Merkel
20102011
Bill Clinton
George Bush
6%
7%
7%
10%
12%
5%
8%
9%
Arab-Israeli Conflict
33%
52%
7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
There is full equality between Arab
and Jewish citizens
There is legal equality, but institutional and
societal discrimination
It is an apartheid relationship
How would you describe the current status of Arabs in Israel?
Arab-Israeli Conflict
27%
47%
26%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Jewishness of Israel
Both are equally important
Democracy of Israel
Which of the following is more important in your view:
Arab-Israeli ConflictWhich of the following statements is closest to your view about the
prospects of lasting peace between Israel and the Palestinians?
Don’t believe it will ever happen
Inevitable, but it will take more time
Will happen in the next five years
20102011
49%
42%
6%
47%
43%
8%
Arab-Israeli ConflictWhich of the following statements is closer to your view:
Neither
Even if all Arab states accept and recognize Israel, I still oppose withdrawing from territories occupied in 1967
I am prepared for a just and comprehensive peace with the Arabs based on the 1967 borders, with agreed modifications
20102011
24%
31%
43%
30%
27%
40%
Arab-Israeli ConflictWhich of the following is closer to your position on the demand that the
Palestinians accept Israel as a Jewish state:
I support it and demand as a precondition for negotiations or settlement freeze
20102011
17%
40%
39%
23%
39%
36%
I support it but would accept as part of a final peace agreement
I do not support this demand
Arab-Israeli ConflictGiven that 25% of Israelis are non-Jews, which of the following is closer to
your position on defining Israel as “the homeland of the Jewish people and all its citizens”:
20102011
25%
71%
27%
71%
I reject it
I support it
Arab-Israeli ConflictShould or shouldn’t Israel do more than it does today to promote
comprehensive peace with the Arabs based on the 1967 borders with agreed modifications and the establishment of a peaceful Palestinian state?
20102011
35%
62%
Israel shouldn’t
Israel should
31%
66%
Arab-Israeli ConflictWhat do you believe is the likely outcome if prospects of a two-state
solution to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict collapse:
20102011
Palestinians will eventually surrender to Israeli power & integrate into other societies
One-state solution in which Israelis and Palestinians are equal
4%
9%
34%
47%
State of intense conflict for years to come
Status quo will continue with little change
4%
4%
42%
42%
Iran & Nuclear Weapons*
* The section on Iran’s nuclear weapons is part of a joint project of the Sadat Chair atthe University of Maryland and the Program on International Policy Attitudes and itsdirector, Dr. Steven Kull
Iran & Nuclear Weapons
41%
43%
Oppose such an attack
Support such an attack
There is talk of a possible Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities. Do you:
Iran & Nuclear Weapons
65%
19%
Neither Israel nor Iran have nuclear weapons
Both Israel and Iranhave nuclear weapons
Assuming that these are the only two options, which do you think would be a better situation for Israel:
Iran & Nuclear WeaponsHow likely do you think it is that Iran will
eventually develop nuclear weapons?2011
90%
6%
Likely
Unlikely
Iran & Nuclear WeaponsSo in total, do you support or oppose the idea of having a nuclear weapons-free zone in the Middle East that would include both Islamic countries and
Israel?
2011
64%
31%
Support
Object
Which of the following is your most important identity?
Israeli
Identity
Jewish
My family’s country of origin
Citizen of the world
2011 2010
2%
4%
37%
53%
4%
5%
39%
49%
Arab/Palestinian Citizens of Israel
25%
64%
32%
53%
There is international pressure on Iran to curtail itsnuclear program. What is your opinion?
Iran has the right to its nuclear program
Iran should be pressured to stop its nuclear program
5 Arab Countries Arab/Palestinian Israelis
Iran & Nuclear Weapons
Name TWO countries that you think pose the biggest threat to you.
Arab/Palestinian Israelis
Israel
5 Arab Countries
United States
United Kingdom
Iran
France
China 3
13
27
36
43
22
3
6
11
18
59
71
Iran & Nuclear Weapons
Iran & Nuclear Weapons
43%
41%
Support such an attack
Oppose such an attack
There is talk of a possible Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities. Do you:
4%
68%
Arab/Palestinian IsraelisJewish Israelis
Global PerceptionsWhich world leader (outside your own country) do you admire most?
Recep Erdogan
Fidel Castro
Hassan Nasrallah
Yasser Arafat
Nicolas Sarkozy
Hugo Chavez
Saddam Hussein
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
Arab/Palestinian Israelis
13
5
2
6
5
3
4
13
22
Barack Obama
Hillary Clinton
3
4
4
4
5
6
7
8
22
22
5 Arab Countries
N/A
Which of the following is your most important identity?
Religious identity (Muslim or Jew)
Identity
Citizen of your country
Arab
Citizen of the world 4
53
37
Arab/Palestinian Israelis Israeli Jews 5 Arab Countries
23
28
27
12
Palestinian
9
26
31
33
Arab-Israeli Conflict
36
17
58
78
Sadat Chair
Yes No
2011
2010
Would you accept the transfer of some Arab/Palestinian towns currently in Israel to a new Palestinian state, when established?
Your opinion of possible recruitment of Israeli Arab/Palestinian citizens into non-military national service program:
47
52
38
38
11
9
Sadat Chair
2011
2010
Reject under any circumstances
Accept if Arabs granted equal rights to Jews
Accept only after Palestinian state established
Arab-Israeli Conflict
How do you feel about Palestinian refugees’ right to return?
11
5
28
57
57
34
Sadat Chair
Not too important
Important but a compromise should be found
Important and cannot be compromised in any way
2011
2010
Arab-Israeli Conflict
Arab-Israeli Conflict
33%
52%
7%
There is full equality between Arab
and Jewish citizens
There is legal equality, but institutional and
societal discrimination
It is an apartheid relationship
How would you describe the current status of Arabs in Israel?
3%
57%
36%
Arab/Palestinian IsraelisJewish Israelis
Arab Awakening
50%
30%
24%
20%
11%
10%
9%
8%
Turkey
France
United States
China
Britain
Germany
Russia
Japan
Looking at the international reaction to the events in the Arab world in the past few months, which TWO countries do you believe played the most constructive role?
32%
29%
45%
15%
21%
19%
24%
3%
Arab/Palestinian Israelis5 Arab Countries
Arab AwakeningIn retrospect, do you believe that the international intervention in Libya was:
The right thing to do
The wrong thing to do
Arab/Palestinian Israelis 5 Arab Countries
44
35
46
35
17
75
9
86
Arab AwakeningWhen you watch events in Syria, are your sympathies mostly with the government or
the rebels seeking government change?
Rebels
Government
Arab/Palestinian Israelis 5 Arab Countries
Arab AwakeningWhen you watch events in Yemen, are your sympathies mostly with the government
or the rebels seeking government change?
Rebels
Government 6
88
5
89
Arab/Palestinian Israelis 5 Arab Countries
Arab AwakeningWhen you watch events in Bahrain, are your sympathies mostly with the
government or the rebels seeking government change?
Rebels
Government 8
85
24
64
Arab/Palestinian Israelis 5 Arab Countries
When you reflect on the Arab Spring, are you more optimistic or more pessimistic than before about the future of the Arab world?
More optimistic
Feeling no change
More pessimistic 19
30
50
16
23
55
Arab Awakening
Arab/Palestinian Israelis 5 Arab Countries
As you look ahead toward the Presidential elections in Egypt, which of thefollowing leaders would you like the next President to look like most?
Obama
Erdogan
Mandela
Ahmadinejad
Putin
King Abdullah (KSA)
Chavez
Sarkozy
Nasrallah
2
2
3
5
7
8
10
16
33
7
9
8
2
9
5
4
9
31
Arab Awakening
Arab/Palestinian Israelis 5 Arab Countries