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Creating Two Leading Energy CompaniesAnalyst Meeting
July 14, 2011
FOR THE PURPOSES OF THE “SAFE HARBOR” PROVISIONS
Cautionary StatementFOR THE PURPOSES OF THE SAFE HARBOR PROVISIONSOF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995
The following presentation includes forward‐looking statements These statements relate to future eventsThe following presentation includes forward looking statements. These statements relate to future events,such as anticipated revenues, earnings, business strategies, competitive position or other aspects of ouroperations or operating results. Actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed orforecast in such forward‐looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance andinvolve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict such as oil and gas prices;involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict such as oil and gas prices;refining and marketing margins; operational hazards and drilling risks; potential failure to achieve, andpotential delays in achieving expected reserves or production levels from existing and future oil and gasdevelopment projects; unsuccessful exploratory activities; unexpected cost increases or technical difficultiesin constructing, maintaining or modifying company facilities; international monetary conditions and exchangeg, g y g p y ; y gcontrols; potential liability for remedial actions under existing or future environmental regulations or frompending or future litigation; limited access to capital or significantly higher cost of capital related to illiquidityor uncertainty in the domestic or international financial markets; general domestic and internationaleconomic and political conditions, as well as changes in tax, environmental and other laws applicable top , g , ppConocoPhillips’ business and other economic, business, competitive and/or regulatory factors affectingConocoPhillips’ business generally as set forth in ConocoPhillips’ filings with the Securities and ExchangeCommission (SEC).
1
Historical Strategy
iKey Premises
• Integration creates value
• Scale and scope needed to compete p p
• Growth in hydrocarbon demand
• Resource capture will be more difficult and expensive
Execution
• Positioned each business line to compete effectively• Positioned each business line to compete effectively
– E&P, R&M, Midstream and Chemicals
• Quality assets – but portfolio optimization needed
• M&A integration and cost synergies captured
L d i ifi l i
2
Led to significant value creation
Current Focus
Cash from Operations
ROCE improvement16%
Margin enhancement84%
OECD
$92 B Capital EmployedPer share growth
Non‐OECD
Shareholder distributions9%
25%E&P
66%R&M
Other
3
Increasing shareholder value 2010 cash from operations and average capital employed. Corporate capital employed distributed across segments.
Current Strategic Objectives
Improve ROCE• Expand margins per BOE
i i i l di i li• Maintain capital discipline• Portfolio optimization
Grow per share• Reserves and production• Earnings and cash flowEarnings and cash flow
Increase distributions• Annual dividend increases• Share repurchases
4
Creating shareholder value
Key 2011 / 2012 Initiatives
Disciplined $28 B capital program
Additional $5‐10 B in asset sales
$10+ B in share repurchases
100%+ reserve replacement100%+ reserve replacement
Reduce refining capacity
5
Improve ROCE
Strategy AssessmentInte rated Strate has been effe ti eIntegrated Strategy has been effective
• Increased reserves and production
• Generated competitive shareholder returns• Generated competitive shareholder returns
Environment has changed
• Downstream capability not key to resource accessDownstream capability not key to resource access
• Resource Nationalism and NOC competition
• Movement to “service” agreements
Value of IOC assets not reflected in equity value
• Transparency and potential of businesses not as clear as pure plays
• Increasingly difficult to create differential value to larger Integrateds
• Emphasis on additional volumes not always value creating
6
Continually testing and assessing execution of strategy
Transaction Summary
Pursuing tax free spin of Downstream business
New independent pure‐play publicly‐held Downstream company
ConocoPhillips becomes leading pure‐play E&P companyp g p p y p y
Expect transaction completion in first half 2012
C t t t i d d t i
7
Creates two strong independent companies
Strategic RationaleCreate two profitable and independent companies
• E&P Strategy unchanged
D i i dd l h h f li i i i• Downstream given opportunity to add value through portfolio optimization
Greatest opportunity to create differential value
• Independent but consistent strategiesIndependent but consistent strategies
• Both companies continue to benefit from size and scale
• Both companies to have strong financial flexibilityBoth companies to have strong financial flexibility
• Transparency of pure play over integrated business model
• Management focusg
• Ability to attract and retain talent
8
New ConocoPhillips Description
Largest U.S. pure‐play E&P company
• 1.7 MM BOED 2011 production
• 8 5 B BOE reserves / 43 B BOE captured resource• 8.5 B BOE reserves / 43 B BOE captured resource
• Strong OECD position
Financial and technical capability on par with I U Pilarger integrated majors
No change in upstream strategy
• Improve ROCE
Insert Upstream Picture
• Improve ROCE
• Per share growth in production and reserves
• Complete portfolio strengthening
• Capital discipline
• Competitive F&D
• Improve margins per BOE
9
Improve margins per BOE
Asset disposition and share repurchase plans unchanged
E&P Overview
North Sea350 MBOED
High value exploitation& major projects
Alaska240 MBOEDLargest oil & gas
producer
Russia / Caspian50 MBOED
Large resource potential
Lower 48440 MBOED
Canada270 MBOEDWorld class SAGD1
portfolio & new
Asia Pacific280 MBOED
Diverse & expanding440 MBOEDCompetitive
opportunity set
portfolio & new resource plays
Diverse & expanding legacy position
Total 2010 Production1 75 MMBOED Middle East & Africa1.75 MMBOED~80% OECD
2011 Exploration & appraisal activity
Middle East & Africa120 MBOED
Oil producing base assets with LNG growth
10
International growth opportunities underpinned by OECD position 1 Steam Assisted Gravity Drainage
ConocoPhillips Production
4.8
Q1 2011 Worldwide Production ‐MMBD
3.53.6
Peer Group
Domestic Integrated
Domestic Pure Plays
2.8
1.7
2.4
0.7 0.7 0.7 0.60.4 0.4 0.4
0.2
XOM BP RDS
CVX
TOT
COP
Apac
he OXY
Anad
arko
Devo
nEO
G Re
sour
ces
Mar
athon
Hess
Murp
hy O
il
11
Source: Company reports
Production Outlook
Production by Product ‐MMBOED
2.5Liquids LNG Int'l gas N America gas
Sources of Growth
Asia Pacific
2.0• APLNG, Malaysia, Indonesia
North Sea• J i Cl i Ek fi k Eldfi k
1 0
1.5• Jasmine, Clair, Ekofisk, Eldfisk
Caspian• Kashagan
0.5
1.0
L48 liquids• Eagle Ford, Bakken, Barnett, Permian
0.0
2010 2015E
Canada SAGD• FCCL, Surmont
12
Excludes impact of future dispositions.
Strong portfolio of investments leads to production growth
2011‐2015 New Production
MBOED
800Rest of World Various
Asset / Region 2010 Cash Margins
600Other L48 & W Canada
N th S $29 / BOE
$14 ‐ $40 / BOE
400
North Sea
SAGD
L48 liquids growth $31 / BOE
$30 / BOE
$29 / BOE
200Asia Pacific $35 / BOE
0
2010 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E
Qatargas 3 Attractive
13
Improving margins through major projects and exploitation
New Downstream Company
Global Refining & Marketing leader
• 2.4 MM BPD worldwide refining capacity
• Low cost, integrated Marketing and Transportation
• 2 MM BPD domestic capacity
– Significant position in mid‐continent
– Exposure to all PADDs I D Pi
Strong investment grade credit with significant financial flexibility
Strategy focused on value creation
Insert Downstream Picture
• Improve ROCE to mid‐teens
• Sell or joint venture less competitive assets
• Disciplined reinvestment of free cash flowLT Assetsp
• Competitive shareholder distributions
• Earnings and cash flow growth potential
• Operating excellence
14
Operating excellence
U.S. Refining
2 0
2.2
Q1 2011 U.S. Refining Capacity ‐MMBD
Peer Group
1.5
1.92.0
Domestic Integrated
Domestic Pure Plays
0.80.7
0.9
1.1
0.50.4
0.2 0.2
Valero COP XOM BP Marathon CVX RDS Tesoro Sunoco HOC/FTO TOT Murphy
Leading domestic refining company with portfolio of top quartile assets
15
Leading domestic refining company with portfolio of top quartile assets
Source: Company reports
Downstream ROCE Improvement
Selective asset sales
Finalization of Wood River CORE projectFinalization of Wood River CORE project
Capital discipline
• Implementing selective high return projects
Optimization initiatives
• Increase utilization and clean product yield
• Lower cost structure• Lower cost structure
• Capture feedstock advantage
16
Generate mid‐teens returns and free cash flow
Key Milestones
Detailed separation planning followed by IRS tax ruling request
Announcement of new board and leadership teamsAnnouncement of new board and leadership teams
Favorable IRS ruling
Final COP Board approval
Expected closing first half of 2012Expected closing first half of 2012
17
Delivering Shareholder Value
100%+ reserves replacementp
Production per share growth
Continued asset sales
Strong OECD‐based cash flow
Improved returns
EPS/CFPS growth
Enhanced queue of growth projects
Disciplined capital investment/ g
Increased distributionsStrengthened portfolio
18
Restructuring consistent with commitment to shareholder returns