2010 SCORT/TRB Rail Capacity Workshop September 22, 2010 Jacksonville, Florida George C. Xu, Ph.D. Executive Manager, Planning and Research State Rail

2010 SCORT/TRB Rail Capacity Workshop

September 22, 2010Jacksonville, Florida

George C. Xu, Ph.D.Executive Manager, Planning and

ResearchState Rail and Marine Office

Paula HammondSecretary of Transportation

Steve ReinmuthChief of Staff

Washington StateDepartment of Transportation

2SCORT/TRB Rail Capacity Workshop – Jacksonville, Florida

Passenger Rail System: Washington State

22 September 2010

Stanwood

Leavenworth

White Salmon

Wishram

Kelso/LongviewPasco

Tacoma

Olympia

Ephrata

Seattle Spokane

Edmonds

Everett

Vancouver

Centralia

Wenatchee

Bellingham

Mount Vernon

Source: WSDOT State Rail and Marine [email protected] / 360-705-7900

September 2010


Passenger Rail Ridership:

22 September 2010

292,758 334,

427

408,

876

439,

369

509,

965

505,

252

515,

030

520,

810

537,

545

564,

498

553,

134

593,

785

676,

622

665,

570

157,

558

199,

017

197,

512

194,

154

193,

058

176,

637

157,

527

170,

247

156,

022

140,

559

122,

657 125,

865

123,

279

149,

690

91,2

19

123,

070

152,

436

144,

993

149,

042

135,

747

121,

384

145,

332

143,

221

158,

416

167,

122 16

9,69

5

182,

189

172,

119

42,126

9,292

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000

550,000

600,000

650,000

700,000

750,000

800,000

850,000

900,000

950,000

1,000,000

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Amtrak Cascades Coast Starlight Empire Builder Pioneer (Discontinued May 1997)


Amtrak Cascades Ridership Growth

22 September 2010

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 -

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

Amtrak Cascades Annual Ridership (1993-2009)Number of Passengers

Amtrak-Supported Trains

Oregon-Supported Trains

Washington-Supported Trains


Amtrak Cascades Ridership Distribution

22 September 2010

Vancouver, B.C.

Bellingham

Mt. Vernon

Stanwood

Everett

Edmonds

Seattle

Tukwila

Tacoma

Olympia/Lacey

Centralia

Kelso/Longview

VancouverST Transfer Pas-

sengersPortland

Oregon City

Salem

Albany

Eugene

91,176

62,144

21,783

818

22,939

23,053

435,652

22,115

93,347

47,776

19,393

22,814

75,470

2,424

434,258

7,934

37,882

20,610

51,181

Amtrak Cascades Station On-Offs - 2009

Source: WSDOT State Rail and Marine Office


22 September 2010

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Montesano

Kent

Omak

KelsoPasco

Tacoma

Dayton Asotin

Yakima

Colfax

CheneyRenton

Monroe

Lynden

Prosser

Pomeroy

Raymond Pullman

Othello

HoquiamOlympia

Shelton

Ephrata

Seattle

Spokane

Edmonds

Everett

Newport

Longview

Richland

Chehalis

Aberdeen

LakewoodPuyallup

Bellevue

Okanogan

Colville

Republic

Ferndale

VancouverStevenson

Cathlamet KennewickGrandview

SunnysideToppenish

Clarkston

Centralia

Ritzville

Wenatchee

Bremerton

Davenport

Anacortes

Oak Harbor

Goldendale

South Bend

Ellensburg

Moses Lake

Waterville

Coupeville

Bellingham

Walla Walla

Federal Way

Port Orchard

Port Angeles

Mount Vernon

Port Townsend

Friday Harbor

East Wenatchee

SpokaneValley


August 2010 Z:\GIS\Corridor

Freight Rail System: Washington State


Growth of Rail Freight:Washington State – 1991 to 2008

22 September 2010

64 65 64 66

79

7175 74

78 80 78 77

85

99

109112

116 116

Washington State Rail Freight(Million Tons)

Average Annual Growth Rate (1991 - 2008) = 3.6 %


Directional Flows of Rail Freight:Washington State - 2008

22 September 2010

Originated from Washington State and Terminated

outside Washington State (Outbound), 19.5,

17%

Originated outside Washington State and Terminated in Washington State (Inbound), 59.8,

52%

Originated from Washington State and Terminated in Washington State (Within), 6.0, 5%

Pass through Washington State (Through), 30.6,

26%

Million Tons

Source: WSDOT State Rail and Marine Office - 2008 Surface Transportation Board Waybill Data Analysis


Passenger Rail Funding Past and Future

22 September 2010

Operating$199 million from 1994 through 2008$29.1 million budgeted from 2009 to 2011

Capital$132 million spent from 1994 through 2008$139 million projected from 2008 through 2013

Nearly $1.0 billion in capital and operating funds has been invested in high-speed intercity passenger rail in the Pacific Northwest Rail Corridor since 1994. Washington State alone has invested over $331 million in support of high-speed passenger rail.


Freight Rail Funding: 1980-2009

22 September 2010

19801981

19821983

19861992

19931994

19951996

19971998

19992000

20012002

20032004

20052007

20082009

$0

$5,000,000

$10,000,000

$15,000,000

$20,000,000

$25,000,000

$30,000,000

$35,000,000

Source: WSDOT State Rail and Marine Office


ARRA High-Speed Rail Program

22 September 2010

• February 17, 2009 - President Obama signed into law the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) which contained $8 billion of federal funding for High-Speed Rail.

• First major federal investment in High-Speed Passenger Rail outside the North East corridor.

• Applicants were restricted to state transportation departments and Amtrak.

• The Pacific Northwest Rail Corridor (PNWRC) is one of the 11 federally designated high-speed rail corridors.


ARRA High-Speed Rail Funding

22 September 2010

• Washington applied for nearly $1.3 billion.

• On January 27, Washington State was notified that they had been awarded $590 million from the ARRA High-Speed Intercity Passenger Rail program.

• In the FRA announcement they have said that this will:

Add two additional daily round trips between Seattle and Portland, for a total of six.

Reduce travel time by at least 5 percent.

Increase on-time performance from 62 to88 percent.


Farebox Recovery: FFY2000-2009

22 September 2010

Washington State High-Speed Intercity Passenger Rail Proposed ARRA Projects

1. Tacoma – D to M Street Connection

2. Tacoma – Point Defiance Bypass

3. Vancouver – Yard Bypass Track

4. Cascades Corridor Reliability Upgrades – South

5. Everett – Storage Track – WA

6. Amtrak Cascades® New Train Set

7. Kelso Martin’s Bluff – New Siding

8. Kelso Martin’s Bluff – Toteff Siding Extension

9. Kelso Martin’s Bluff – Kelso to Longview Jct.

10. Seattle – King Street Station Track Upgrades

11. Advanced Signal System


How to Ensure Accountability of Public Investment

Set the Strategic Directions of Public Investment Legislative Priorities Strategic Rail Corridors

Enhance Efficiency and Effectiveness of Public Investment Cost Benefit Analysis Economic Impact Assessment

Ensure Performance Determine Performance Measures Set Performance Goals Reach Contractual Agreement Evaluate Performance

22 September 2010


Set Legislative Priorities

Under ESHB 1094, the Washington State Legislature required Washington State Department of Transportation (WSDOT) to evaluate rail investment using the following priorities:

Economic, safety, or environmental advantages of freight movement by rail compared to alternative modes;

Self-sustaining economic development that creates family-wage jobs;

Preservation of transportation corridors that would otherwise be lost;

Increased access to efficient and cost-effective transport to market for Washington’s agricultural and industrial products;

Better integration and cooperation within the regional, national, and international systems of freight distribution; and

Mitigation of impacts of increased rail traffic on communities.22 September 2010


Designate High-Speed Rail Corridors

22 September 2010


Define Strategic Freight Rail Corridors

RCW 47.06A.020 requires that the Freight Mobility Strategic Investment Board designate strategic freight corridors within Washington State and update the designated strategic corridors not less than every two years.

“Strategic Freight Corridors” (RCW 47.06A.010) means a transportation corridor of great economic importance within an integrated freight system that:

Serves international and domestic interstate and intrastate trade. Enhances the state’s competitive position through regional and global

gateways. Carries freight tonnages of at least:

Four million gross tons annually on state highways, city streets, and county roads.

Five million gross tons annually on rail roads. Two and one-half million net tons on waterways.

22 September 2010


22 September 2010

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Kent

Omak

KelsoPasco

Tacoma

DaytonAsotin

Yakima

Colfax

CheneyRenton

Monroe

Lynden

Prosser

Pomeroy

RaymondPullman

Othello

HoquiamOlympia

Shelton

Ephrata

SeattleSpokane

Edmonds

Everett

Newport

Longview

Richland

Chehalis

Aberdeen

LakewoodPuyallup

Bellevue

Okanogan

Colville

Republic

Ferndale

VancouverStevenson

Cathlamet KennewickGrandview

SunnysideToppenish

Clarkston

Centralia

Montesano

Ritzville

Wenatchee

Bremerton

Davenport

Anacortes

Oak Harbor

Goldendale

South Bend

Ellensburg

Moses Lake

Waterville

Coupeville

Bellingham

Walla Walla

Port Orchard

Port Angeles

Mount Vernon

Port Townsend

Friday Harbor

East Wenatchee

Spokane Valley

Legend

Strategic Rail Corridors

Strategic Rail Corridors - Washington State


June, 2010


Accountability of Public Investment

Set the Strategic Directions of Public Investment Legislative Priorities Strategic Freight Corridors


Ensure Performance Determine Performance Measures Set Performance Goals Reach Contractual Agreement

22 September 2010


State Requirements for Benefit Cost Evaluation

Under ESHB 1094, the Washington State Legislature required Washington State Department of Transportation (WSDOT) to develop and implement the benefit/impact evaluation methodology to evaluate rail investment programs and projects.

The benefit/impact evaluation method is developed using the legislative specified priorities.

22 September 2010


Federal Requirements for Benefit Documentation

22 September 2010

Anticipated Private Benefits

Economic competitiveness

Cost reductions Improved assets Service improvements

Anticipated Public Benefits

Congestion mitigation Enhanced trade and

economic development Improved air quality Improved land use Enhanced public safety Enhanced public security Reduction in public

expenditures Community effects

Source: American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO) State Rail Planning Guidebook September 2009


Public and Private Benefits

Private benefit is a benefit accrued to a person or private entity, other than Amtrak, that directly improves the economic and competitive condition of that person or entity through improved assets, cost reductions, service improvements, or any other means as defined by the Secretary.

Broad definition of “Public Benefits” include both private benefits and benefits defined as above.

22 September 2010


WSDOT Benefit/Cost Analysis Tool Overview

22 September 2010

Review Application Gather Information Using

Standard Application

Conduct Cost/Benefit Analysis Terminate Evaluation

Use Legislative Priority Matrix Tool

Use Project Management Assessment Tool

Use User Benefit Levels Matrix

No Application

Fail

Pass

Compile Information Document Scores

Develop Summary Including Qualitative Analysis and Recommendation


Quantify Benefits and Costs (1)

Benefits: Transportation Benefits (improve capacity

and reliability, travelers’ time saving, reduction in highway congestion, shipper’s savings, reduction in highway use, reducing auto delay at grade crossing, etc.)

Economic Benefits (jobs created, tax revenues, business incomes)

External Impacts (GHG reduction and safety improvement)

22 September 2010



Costs: Capital investment. Cost of maintaining project work during

estimation period. Cost of maintaining equipment during

estimation period. Public costs vs. private costs – leverage.

22 September 2010



Benefit Values: WSDOT economists update benefit values

periodically to ensure quick and high quality CBAs are performed upon requests from policy makers or required by routine program needs.

Cost Indices: WSDOT developed rail cost inflation indices

system to gauge project costs. Such indices are updated quarterly.

Discount Rate: WSDOT uses a discount rate of 4% to convert

future benefits and costs into present value.

22 September 2010


Qualitative Assessment Based on Legislative Priority

Qualitative assessment of how a project fits with legislative priorities.

Project benefit weighted by legislative priorities.

Guidance for evaluators for scoring.

Summary of scores by priority.

22 September 2010


Project Management Assessment

A project management matrix is developed to evaluate likelihood of success of a project when invested.

Project management assessment. Prompts evaluation of project

readiness. Evaluates the current cost, scope,

and schedule status.

22 September 2010


User Benefit Levels Matrix

The User Benefit Levels Matrix is intended to help determine who is benefiting from the project and at what level. The matrix is to be completed giving a percentage that represents the amount of benefit for each user for each measure. The percentage of benefits are then added for each user and divided by the number of measures used providing an overall project benefit for each user.

Different benefits/measures. Distributional impacts on users.

22 September 2010


Accountability of Public Investment

Set the Strategic Directions of Public Investment Legislative Priorities Strategic Freight Corridors


Ensure Performance Determine Performance Measures Set Performance Goals Reach Contractual Agreement

22 September 2010


Performance Measure: Capacity

22 September 2010


Performance Measure: Schedule

22 September 2010


Performance Measure: OTP

22 September 2010

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

State-Supported Amtrak Cascades On-Time Performance

Percent on Time

2009

2007

2008OTP = 88% After ARRA Project Delivery

Current OTP = 70%

-

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020

Year

Ridership History and Forecast

Source: WSDOT State Rail and Marine Of f ice

22 September 2010 34SCORT/TRB Rail Capacity Workshop –

Jacksonville, Florida


Farebox Recovery: FFY2000-2009

22 September 2010

40.6%

44.0%42.9%

39.9%

49.1%

47.3%48.4%

49.4%

54.2% 54.1%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

45.0%

50.0%

55.0%

60.0%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Source: WSDOT State Rail and Marine Of f ice


Develop and Implement Agreements among Partners

22 September 2010

Agreement expected to lead to improved Amtrak Cascades service

WSDOT and BNSF sign agreement to move Recovery Act rail projects forward

OLYMPIA – The Washington State Department of Transportation (WSDOT) and BNSF Railway today signed an agreement that ultimately will result in more frequent and more reliable Amtrak Cascades service between Seattle and Portland.

Today’s “Memorandum of Agreement” between WSDOT and BNSF clears the way for the state to begin initial work this fall using some of the $590 million in federal grants awarded to Washington in January. This money is part of the 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) high-speed rail grants, administered by the Federal Railroad Administration (FRA).

The agreement sets the framework for the two organizations to deliver rail-improvement projects that achieve reliability and on-time performance goals for both passenger and freight rail service. This is important on rail lines shared by these two types of rail services.

With these ARRA funds, the goal is to add two additional Amtrak Cascades daily round trips between Seattle and Portland, for a total of six. The improvements are also intended to reduce travel times, as well as improve average on-time performance from the line’s current 62 percent to more than 80 percent. The work will increase rail-corridor capacity and relieve main line rail congestion by building bypass tracks and making multiple upgrades to existing track.

For more information

Please contact:

State Rail and Marine Office360-705-7900

[email protected]

Washington StateDepartment of Transportation

Documents

2010 SCORT/TRB Rail Capacity Workshop September 22, 2010 Jacksonville, Florida George C. Xu, Ph.D. Executive Manager, Planning and Research State Rail