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HawaiianIslands (USA)
Gulf of Aden
RedSea
TheGu lf
Car ibbean Sea
NorthSea
TimorSea
TasmanSea
East S iber ian Sea
Ber ing Sea
Sea ofJapan
EastChina
Sea
SouthChina
Sea
PACIFIC OCEAN
Mediter ranean
Sea
Caspian
Sea
Bay of Bengal
Arabian Sea
BlackSea
Gulf of Mexico
PACIFIC OCEAN
ATLANTIC OCEAN
INDIAN OCEAN
ARCTIC OCEAN
Sea ofOkhotsk
Barents Sea
Kara SeaLaptev Sea
Norwegian Sea
Beaufort Sea
Hudson Bay
Baffin Bay
Davis Strait
SOUTHERN OCEANScotia Sea
Ascension Island (UK)
St. Helena (UK)
ATLANTIC OCEAN
NetherlandsAntilles (NL)
FalklandIslands (UK)
Reunion Islands (Fr)
CaymanIslands (UK)
New Caledonia (Fr)
SAO TOME & PRINCIPE
Tahiti
Symbols illustrating significant risksCountry risk level
KEY TO SYMBOLS
Low risk
Medium-low risk
Medium risk
Medium-high risk
High risk
ECONOMIC:
EXCHANGE TRANSFER:
STRIKE, RIOT,CIVIL COMMOTION:
WAR:
TERRORISM:
SOVEREIGN NON-PAYMENT:
LEGAL & REGULATORY:
POLITICAL INTERFERENCE:
SUPPLY CHAIN VULNERABILITY:
FRENCH GUIANA (FR)
Cabinda (Angola)
Melilla (Sp)
Gibraltar (UK)Ceuta (Sp)
C A N A D A
U N I T E D S T A T E SO F A M E R I C A
M E X I C O
BELIZE
HONDURAS
NICARAGUAEL SALVADOR
GUATEMALA
COSTA RICA
PANAMA
BAHAMAS
HAITI
DOMINICAN REP
JAMAICAST. KITTS
&NEVIS
ANTIGUA & BARBUDAVIRGIN ISLANDS (US)
DOMINICAST. LUCIA
BARBADOS
GRENADA
TRINIDAD & TOBAGO
GUYANA
SURINAME
VENEZUELA
COLOMBIA
ECUADOR
PERU
BOLIVIA
B R A Z I L
PARAGUAY
URUGUAY
ARGENTINA
ELI
HC
G R E E N L A N D
ICELAND
UNITEDKINGDOMIRELAND
FRANCE
SPAIN
GERMANY
ITALY
YAWR
ON
NEDEWS
DENMARK
NETHERLANDS
BELGIUM
LUXEMBOURG
LIECHTENSTEIN
SWITZERLAND
MONACOSAN MARINO
VATICANANDORRALA
GU
TR
OP
CZECH REP SLOVAKIA
AUSTRIA HUNGARYSLOVENIA
POLAND
UKRAINE
BELARUS
LITHUANIALATVIA
ESTONIA
FINLAND
ROMANIA
MOLDOVA
BULGARIA
F.Y.R. MACEDONIA
GREECE
MALTA
CROATIA
CYPRUSLEBANON
PALESTINE
ISRAEL
SYRIA
JORDAN
TURKEY
EGYPTLIBYA
ALGERIA
TUNISIA
MALI
WESTERN SAHARA(Morocco)
NIGER
CHAD
SUDAN
MAURITANIA
MOROCCO
CAPE VERDE
GUINEA
BURKINAFASO
BENIN
CAMEROON
GABON
CENTRALAFRICAN REPUBLIC
NIGERIA
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLICOF CONGO
UGANDA
ZAMBIA
NAMIBIA
BOTSWANA
ZIMBABWE
SOUTHAFRICA
TANZANIA
MADAGASCAR
MOZAMBIQUE
ETHIOPIA
KENYA
ERITREAYEMEN
UAE
OMAN
BAHRAIN
QATAR
KUWAIT
SAUDIARABIA
I N D I A
BHUTAN
BURMA (MYANMAR)
SRI LANKA
MALDIVES
SEYCHELLES
COMOROS
MAURITIUS
THAILAND
CAMBODIA
VIETNAM
MACAUHONG KONG
SINGAPORE
BRUNEI
R U S S I A
K A Z A K H S T A N
M O N G O L I A
C H I N A
UZBEKISTAN
TURKMENISTAN
AFGHANISTAN
TAJIKISTAN
KYRGYZSTANAZERBAIJAN
GEORGIA
ARMENIA
PAKISTAN
IRANIRAQ
MALAYSIA
INDONESIA
JAPAN
NORTH KOREA
SOUTH KOREA
TAIWAN
PHILIPPINES MICRONESIA
PALAU
GUAM
PAPUA NEWGUINEA
TIMOR LESTE
SOLOMON ISLANDS
VANUATUFIJI
NEW ZEALAND
SAMOA
NIUE (NZ)FRENCH
POLYNESIA
TONGA
A U S T R A L I A
ST. VINCENT
KIRIBATI
TUVALU
NAURU
Alaska (US)
TOGO
COTE D'IVOIRE
CONGO
ANGOLA
CUBA
DJIBOUTI
LAOS
NEPAL
BANGLADESH
SOMALIA
EQ GUINEA
GHANA
GAMBIA
GUINEA BISSAU
LESOTHO
LIBERIA
BURUNDI
RWANDA
MALAWI
SENEGAL
SIERRA LEONE
SWAZILAND
Anchorage
Vancouver
Seattle
San Francisco
Los AngelesDallas
HoustonNew Orleans
Washington, D.C.
New York
Boston
Toronto
Chicago
OttawaMontréal
Guadalajara
Mexico City
Belmopan
Guatemala
San Salvador
Managua
Tegucigalpa
San JoséPanama
Miami
Havana
Kingston
Port-au-Prince
SantoDomingo
Caracas
Georgetown Paramaribo
Cayenne
Quito
Bogotá
Lima
La Paz
Santiago
Buenos AiresMontevideo
Asunción
Rio de Janeiro
São Paulo
Brasilia
Salvador
Fortaleza
Cape Town
Johannesburg
PretoriaGaborone
Maputo
Harare
Lusaka
Lilongwe
Dar-es-Salaam
Bujumbura
KigaliNairobi
Kampala
Windhoek
Luanda
Brazzaville
Kinshasa
Libreville
Yaoundé
Bangui
Mogadishu
Addis Ababa
Antananarivo
ConakryFreetown
MonroviaAbidjan Accra
Lomé
Bissau
BanjulDakar
Nouakchott
El Aaiun
Rabat
Algiers
Tunis
Tripoli
Cairo
Khartoum
N'Djamena
NiameyBamako
Lisbon
Madrid
Paris
Bern
London
Dublin Berlin
Copenhagen
Prague
Rome
Sarajevo
Belgrade Bucharest
Athens
Warsaw
Kaliningrad(Russia)
StockholmOslo Helsinki
Tallinn
Riga
Vilnius
St Petersburg
Minsk
Kiev
Ankara
BeirutDamascus
AmmanTel Aviv
Sana
Mecca
Jeddah
Muscat
Abu DhabiRiyadh
Baghdad
Baku
Tehran
Ashkhabad
Kabul
Islamabad
Dushanbe
Tashkent
BishkekAlma Ata
Novosibirsk
Karachi
Delhi
Mumbai
Kolkata
Katmandu
Dhaka
Rangoon
Bangkok
Thimphu
Vientiane
Phnom Penh
Hanoi
Wuhan
Beijing
Ulan Bator
Pyongyang
Seoul
Vladivostock
Tokyo
Osaka
Shanghai
Taipei
Manila
Kuala Lumpur
Jakarta
Dili
Darwin
Brisbane
Sydney
Canberra
Melbourne
Adelaide
Perth
Port Moresby
Auckland
Wellington
Christchurch
Colombo
Moscow
Bermuda (UK)
Godthåb
Honiara
Reykjavik
Azores (Port)
Madeira (Port)
The Canaries (Sp)
PUERTO RICO (US)
Guadeloupe (Fr)
GalapagosIslands (Ecuador)
Québec
Brussels
Amsterdam
Vienna Budapest
Sofia
ZagrebLjubljana
Bratislava
Kishinev
Yerevan
Tbilisi
Porto-NovoLagos
Ouagadougou
2008 Political and Economic Risk Map
For regularly updated country risk information visit: www.aon.com/politicalrisk
Aon Trade Credit US produces an economic and political risk audit specifically providing values at risk from investment and trade activities globally.Please call +1.800.432.3672 or email [email protected] to obtain further details of this unique and valuable analysis
© Copyright Aon Group, Inc. 2008. All rights reserved. Published by Aon Global Corporate Marketing and Communications.
Political Risk Servicestel: +1.800.432.3672 (ext. 14511)
fax: +1.312.381.6050e-mail: [email protected]
IndonesiaVietnamThailand
U.S. West Coast
SUPPLY CHAIN DISRUPTION RISKS
This map shows events that have caused disruption in global supply chains. The chief components of loss arebusiness interruption and extra expense resulting from relocated production or alternative sourcing.This map is for illustration only. Source: Oxford Analytica
US
France
UKRussia
BosporusStrait
Brazil
EU
Bab el MandebStrait
PersianGulf
South Africa
MalaccaStrait
Panama Canal
Vancouver
Egypt
ALBANIA
BOSNIA
SERBIA
MONTENEGRO
Podgorica
Tirana
Skopje
PakistanIranTurkey
India
HormuzStrait
RECENT SUPPLY CHAINDISRUPTION EVENTS
Bangladesh: Severe flooding
Brazil: Suppliers accused of improper labour practices
China: Product safety scares
EU: Blockage of textile imports from China
Pakistan: Earthquake
France: Transportation strikes
Russia: Disruption of natural gas pipelines to Europe
South Africa: Suppliers accused of using conflict diamonds
Thailand: NGOs target factories using migrant labor
U.S. West Coast & Vancouver: Longshoreman strikes
KEY SUPPLY CHAINDISRUPTION THREATS
Bosporus Strait, Strait of Malacca, Strait of HormuzBab el-Mandeb Strait, Panama Canal & Suez Canal: Terrorist attacks or maritime piracy
China, Egypt, Indonesia, Thailand, Turkey & Vietnam:Avian influenza outbreak
China: Political unrest disrupting back office operations
Indonesia: Infrastructure deterioration
Iran: Trade sanctions
Persian Gulf: Iranian threat to disrupt shipping
US & UK: Restrictions on outsourcing
US & EU: Restrictions on imports from China
China
Oxford Analyticatel: +44 (0) 1865 261 600fax: +44 (0) 1865 261 627e-mail: [email protected]: www.oxan.com
Bangladesh
EXPOSURE TO THEGLOBAL CREDIT CRUNCHThe Global Credit Crunch Risk Index assesses emerging markets’ exposureto international financial turmoil. The countries and territories shown belowwere selected based on the key role they play in global trade and investment.
VULNERABILITY INDICATORS
Turkey
Hungary
Romania
Czech Republic
India
South Africa
United Arab Emirates
Chile
Viet Nam
Mexico
Singapore
Poland
Indonesia
Hong Kong SAR, China
Brazil
Israel
Argentina
Korea, Republic of
Malaysia
Thailand
Russian Federation
Saudi Arabia
China
Taiwan, China
Venezuela
To request full Index results and analysis visit www.aon.com/politicalriskSource: Oxford Analytica
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