2002 Meeting Program Summary - European … · Web view1 EAPS ADVISORY BOARD MEETING Chair: James Vaupel, Max Plank Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany Wednesday,

2006 Meeting Programme Summary

WEDNESDAY, JUNE 212:00 PM - 3:30 PM

1 EAPS Advisory Board Meeting

WEDNESDAY, JUNE 215:30 PM - 7:00 PM

2 Opening ceremony and Plenary Session

THURSDAY, JUNE 229:00 AM - 10:30 AM

3 Health and mortality in Eastern Europe4 International migration flows in Europe5 Future living conditions of elderly people in Europe6 Reproductive health7 Intergenerational relations8 National and regional dimensions of population ageing9 Late fertility, twinning and reproductive technologies

10 Age norms

THURSDAY, JUNE 2211:00 AM - 12:30 PM

11 Family life, health and mortality12 Fertility trends in Central and Eastern Europe13 Public and policy responses to ageing14 Migrant Mortality15 Partnership dissolution and children16 Bridging the micro-magro gap in forecasting17 Fertility trends in developing countries

18 Integration process of migrant population

THURSDAY, JUNE 222:00 PM - 3:30 PM

19 Demographic change and the family20 Fertility employment and the labour market21 Parenting and child-care22 Population change on national and regional levels23 Various national and international data24 Reproductive health and abortion25 Data collection and measurement of international migration26 Open forum 1

THURSDAY, JUNE 224:00 PM - 5:30 PM

27 Debate session on population challenges in ageing societies28 Demographic aspects of international migration29 Leaving home and family formation30 Vanguards: populations with very low mortality31 Gendering family dynamics network 132 Population, development and environment in developing countries33 Changes in the Mediterranean model of immigration34 Differentital fertility in the past

FRIDAY, JUNE 239:00 AM - 10:30 AM

35 What we talk about when we talk about international migration36 Fertility, partnerships and intergenerational relations37 Partnerships38 HIV AIDS39 International data40 Mortality and duration models, a touch of philosophy

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41 Retirement and elderly migration42 Longitudinal studies of historical mortality

FRIDAY, JUNE 2311:00 AM - 12:30 PM

P-1 Poster Session

FRIDAY, JUNE 232:00 PM - 3:30 PM

43 Low fertility in Europe44 Fertility intentions and preferences45 Health and health inequalities at older ages46 Determinants of high and increasing mortality in Eastern Europe47 Gendering family dynamics network 248 Cross cultural perspectives on resources and wellbeing in later life49 Gender relevant mortality research50 Open forum 2

FRIDAY, JUNE 234:00 PM - 5:30 PM

51 Debate session on new directions in population studies52 Socioeconomic influences on fertility53 Marital dissolution54 Socio-economic status differences in health and mortality55 Biodemographic aspects of mortality analysis56 Reproductive health and fertility57 Managing regular and irregular migration58 Population forecast and projections of small areas and special groups

SATURDAY, JUNE 249:00 AM - 10:30 AM

59 Gender and generations60 Internal migration (2)61 Ageing and the economy62 Population processes in urban areas63 Projections64 Developmental thinking about families65 Economic determinants and effects of international migration66 Religion and demographic behaviour

SATURDAY, JUNE 2411:00 AM - 12:30 PM

67 Population and the welfare state68 Internal migration (1)69 Social ties, living arrangements, care and well-being in later life70 Value changes and family formation71 Methods of mortality analysis72 Reproductive health and infertility73 Various methods74 Mortality and reproduction

SATURDAY, JUNE 2412:30 PM - 2:00 PM

75 Closing session and awards

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2006 Annual Meeting Programme

Wednesday, June 21, 2:00 PM - 3:30 PMRendall Room 2, Roxby Room 506 -

1 EAPS ADVISORY BOARD MEETING

Chair: James Vaupel, Max Plank Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany

Wednesday, June 21, 5:30 PM - 7:00 PMSherrington Lecture Theatre -

2 OPENING CEREMONY AND PLENARY SESSION

Chair : Janina Jóźwiak, EAPS President

Scientific challenges in ageing research: The UK Research Councils' contribution • Ian Diamond, Economic and Social Research Council

Thursday, June 22, 9:00 AM - 10:30 AMRoom 6 -

3 HEALTH AND MORTALITY IN EASTERN EUROPE

Chair: Elwood Carlson, Florida State University

1 The impact of stress on health. The case of the Baltic states during the transition • Catherine Gaumé, Université Catholique de Louvain

2 Crisis and Revival in the Epidemiological Development in Hungary after the Second World War • Péter E. Józan, Hungarian Academy of Sciences and Central Statistical Office

3 Mortality Trends in the Baltic Countries since the 1950s: Permanence or Changes in the Cause-of-Death Pattern • France Meslé, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Véronique Hertrich, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Jacques Vallin, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

4 Trends in Mortality in Europe: What Might Be Expected in Future? • Mariana Mourgova, Center for Population Studies, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences

5 Educational Differences in All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality in Poland between 1990 and 2003 • Wiktoria Wroblewska, Institute of Statistics and Demography Warsaw School of Economics


4 INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION FLOWS IN EUROPE

Chair: Kalev Katus, Estonian Interuniversity Population Research Centre

1 International and Internal Migrations in Albania: Migratory Patterns and Consequences On Population Structures • Byron Kottzamanis, University of Thessaly; Michalis Agorastakis, University of Thessaly

2 Eastern European migration to Portugal: similarities and differences between immigrants from Ukraine, Russia and Moldavia • José Marques, Centro de Estudos Sociais; Pedro Góis, Centro de Estudos Sociais

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3 Immigration and Foreign Population in the Southern European Countries:a Comparative Analysis of Trends and Policies • Salvatore Strozza, Department of Statistical Sciences - University of Naples Federico II; Antonella Guarneri, Dipartimento Scienze Demografiche, Università La Sapienza-Roma; Anna Paterno, Dipartimento per lo Studio delle Società Mediterranee - Università di Bari


5 FUTURE LIVING CONDITIONS OF ELDERLY PEOPLE IN EUROPE

Chair: Jacques Légaré, Université de Montréal

1 Future trends in the economic well being of the older population in Europe • Gustavo De Santis, Università di Messina; Chiara Seghieri, University of Florence; Maria-Letizia Tanturri, University of Pavia

2 A Comparative Analysis of the Health Status in the FELICIE Countries • Gabriele Doblhammer, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Uta Ziegler, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Pekka Martikainen, University of Helsinki; Elena Nihtilä, University of Helsinki

3 The future trends in marital status of the older people • Stamatis Kalogirou, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE); Patrick Festy, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Michael Murphy, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE)

4 The future of family networks and the support of older people in Europe • Cecilia Tomassini, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine; Emily Grundy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine; Stamatis Kalogirou, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE); Joëlle Gaymu, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

5 The Future Trends in Living Arrangements and Needs of Care of Older People in Europe • Sabine Springer, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Joëlle Gaymu, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Christiane Delbès, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Gijs Beets, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI); Peter Ekamper, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI)

6 Projecting Future Elderly Care Needs in the Netherlands: A Microsimulation Approach • Leo van Wissen, University of Groningen and Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI); Sophie Pennec, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Marjolein MI Broese van Groenou, Free University; Dorly J. H. Deeg, Institute for Research in Extramural Medicine


6 REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH

Chair: Inge Hutter, University of Groningen

1 Female Social Networks and Changes in Household Composition Over Time: The Evidence from A Longitudinal Study in Malawi. • Linda Porciani, University of Bari and University of Pisa; Giulia Rivellini, Università Cattolica, Milan

2 Attitudes Towards Abortion, Contraception And Abstinence In Rural And Urban Burkina Faso, 2000-2001 • Clementine Rossier, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

3 Pregnancy specific health problems and health-seeking behaviour of marginalized groups in India • Ravi Sankar, Annamalai University

4 Why males in Bangladesh do not participate in reproductive health:what are the lessons learned from the focus group disscussions • Md. Shahjahan, Bangladesh Medical Research Council(BMRC); Mohammad Kabir, Jahangirnagar University

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5 Obstacles to Contraceptive Use in Turkey: Findings from a Qualitative Research • Ilknur Yuksel Alyanak, Hacettepe University; Filiz Kardam, Cankaya University; Ismet Koc, Hacettepe University; Banu Akadli Ergöçmen, Hacettepe University


7 INTERGENERATIONAL RELATIONS

Chair: Clara H. Mulder, University of Amsterdam

1 Intergenerational residential proximity: a European comparison • Fabio Bordignon, University of Urbino; Gianpiero Dalla Zuanna, University of Padua; Francesca Michielin, University van Amsterdam

2 Frequency of contact with close kin: differences by family type. • Trees De Bruycker, Ghent University; Ronan Van Rossem; Hilary Page, Ghent University

3 Transmitting family wealth: the importance of bequests • Anette Reil-Held, University of Mannheim

4 Kinship networks and familial practices in an Industrial Italian Districts Area • Ester Rizzi, Istituto di Studi su Popolazione e Territorio - Università Cattolica di Milano; Giuseppe A. Micheli, Catholic University, Milan


8 NATIONAL AND REGIONAL DIMENSIONS OF POPULATION AGEING

Chair: Ladislav Rabusic, Faculty of Social Studies, Masaryk University

1 European ageing populations (25 EU member states, 1950-2000), comparative structural analysis • Eleftheria S Androulaki, Phd in Spatial Demography, LDSA, University of Thessaly

2 Rapid Population Ageing in the Northern Territory of Australia: Trends and Policy Implications • Tony Barnes, Charles Darwin University; Tom Wilson, Charles Darwin University

3 Future Demographic Trends in the Council of Europe Member States. 2005 - 2050. • Marek Kupiszewski, CEFMR; Jakub Bijak, Central European Forum for Migration Research; Beata Nowok, Central European Forum for Migration Research (CEFMR), NIDI fellow, EDSD at MPIDR

4 The Level and Dynamics of Population Ageing in Poland • Slawomir Kurek, Pedagogical University of Krakow, Geography Institute

5 Regional Differentiation of Ageing Characteristics in Russia • Gaiane Safarova, Saint-Petersburg Institute for Economics and Mathematics, Russian Academy of Sciences


9 LATE FERTILITY, TWINNING AND REPRODUCTIVE TECHNOLOGIES

Chair: Laurent Toulemon, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

1 Fertility and family histories among couples before and after assisted reproductive treatment in Denmark - a comparison with contemporary fertile couples • Lene Toelboell Blenstrup, Aalborg University; Lisbeth B. Knudsen, Aalborg University

2 Trends in the Frequency of Twin Births over the last Century: European Comparisons • Agata V. D'Addato, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)and Max Planck Institute for Demographic

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Research; Nadège Couvert, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Gilles Pison, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

3 On the long-term consequences of the childbearing postponement • Dalkhat M. Ediev, Karachay-Cherkessian State Technological Academy

4 Late Fertility in Italy: Exploring Regional Differentials in a Lowest Low Fertility Country • Piero Giorgi, Università di Teramo; Marija Mamolo, Vienna Institute of Demography and Università di Roma "La Sapienza"

5 Fertility postponement: cultural dynamics of sructural change • Karel Neels, Vrije Universiteit Brussel


10 AGE NORMS

Chair: Francois Héran, Institut national d'études démographiques (INED)

1 Social Regulation and Suicidal Attitude among Elderly Women in Ilam Province, Iran • Ali Ayaseh, Shiraz University; Abdoallah Dashti, Shiraz university

2 Re-assessing the Importance of Life-Course Norms in Western, Individualized Societies: The Example of the Netherlands • Aart C. Liefbroer, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI); Francesco C. Billari, Università Bocconi

3 Age matters - Media as a tool of social exclusion • Renata Sedlakova, Department of Sociology University of West Bohemia; Lucie Vidovicova, Masaryk University, Faculty of Social Studies

4 Growing Old, Being Old. Conceptions (Inner and Outer Viewpoint) Behind the Notions old, elderly • Tünde Turai, Museum of Ethnography

Thursday, June 22, 11:00 AM - 12:30 PMRoom 6 -

11 FAMILY LIFE, HEALTH AND MORTALITY

Chair: Ofra Anson, Ben Gurion University of the Negev

1 Who Cares When Singles Die? Marital Histories, Social Ties and Mortality • Andreas Timm, Bremen University; Hilke Brockmann, Bremen University

2 Paternity History and Health in Mid and Later Life • Emily Grundy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine; Cecilia Tomassini, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine

3 Childbearing history, health, and mortality after age 50 in the USA • John C. Henretta, University of Florida

4 The childhood origins of adult health and well-being: do cohort and gender matter? • John Hobcraft, University of York; Fiona Mensah, University of York

5 Early Motherhood and Mental Health in Midlife: a Study of British and American Cohorts • Michael E Wadsworth, MRC National Survey of Health & Development; Lucy Okell; Emily Grundy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine; John C. Henretta, University of Florida


12 FERTILITY TRENDS IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE

Chair: Tomas Sobotka, Vienna Institute of Demography

1 The Highest Fertility in Europe – for How Long? Analyses of Recent Fertility Changes in Albania Based on Individual Longitudinal Data •

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Arjan Gjonca, London School of Economics; Arnstein Aassve, University of Essex; Letizia Mencarini, University of Florence

2 And the Poor Gypsies Get Children - The Use of Ethnography in Demography • Judit Durst, Corvinus University, Budapest

3 Fertility in Russia • Irina E. Kalabikhina, Moscow State University by Lomonosov

4 Economic Uncertainty and Changing Career Orientation: testing alternative explanations of lowest-low fertility • Brienna Perelli, University of Michigan

5 Childbearing behaviour in Hungary: assessing structural and ideational factors • Zsolt Speder, Demographic Research Institute, Budapest; Balazs Kapitany, Demographic Research Institute


13 PUBLIC AND POLICY RESPONSES TO AGEING

Chair: Charlotte Hoehn, Bundesinstitut fur Bevolkerungsforschung

1 Attitudes towards life in very old age - a case study of people 90+ • Janusz Balicki, Cardinal Stefan Wyszynski University; Malgorzata Chrzanowska; Ewa Fratczak, Warsaw School of Economics

2 Active Ageing Policies and Welfare Systems in European Countries • Massimiliano Crisci, Istituto di Ricerche sulla Popolazione e le Politiche Sociali (IRPPS-CNR); silvia lucciarini, irpps-cnr

3 Fertility preferences and expectations about older age • Kalev Katus, Estonian Interuniversity Population Research Centre; Allan Puur, Estonian Interuniversity Population Research Centre; Asta Põldma, Estonian Interuniversity Population Research Centre

4 The Need for Intergenerational Solidarity. Does Age Matter? • Ronald Schoenmaeckers, Centrum voor Bevolkings - en Gezinsstudie (CBGS); Lieve Vanderleyden; Marc Callens, CBGS

5 Only fools rush in? On transition to retirement in ten European countries • Lucie Vidovicova, Masaryk University, Faculty of Social Studies; Beatrice-Elena Chromková Manea, Faculty of Social Studies, Masaryk University; Ladislav Rabusic, Faculty of Social Studies, Masaryk University


14 MIGRANT MORTALITY

Chair: Rasmus Hoffmann, University of Rostock

1 Impact of Migration in Women’s Health and Knowledge of AIDS: A Case Study of India • Praween Kumar Agrawal, Project Coordinator, Johns Hopkins University Collaborative Centre, Lucknow, India

2 The effect of duration of residence on self assessed health among migrants in Belgium • Patrick Deboosere, Vrije Universiteit Brussel; Sylvie Gadeyne, Vrije Universiteit Brussel

3 Explaining migrant reproductive health status in India • Inge Hutter, University of Groningen; Leo van Wissen, University of Groningen and Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI)

4 Child Survival in Urban Bangladesh: Are the Migrants and Poor Disadvantaged? • M. Mazharul Islam, University of Dhaka, Bangladesh

5 Selective Migration and Infant Mortality among Puerto Ricans in the United States • Nancy S. Landale, Pennsylvania State University; Bridget K. Gorman, Rice University; Sal Oropesa, Pennsylvania State University

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15 PARTNERSHIP DISSOLUTION AND CHILDREN

Chair: Lynda Clarke, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine

1 Non-resident fatherhood in Britain: factors affecting contact and the payment of maintenance. • Ann Berrington, University of Southampton; Isabel Cobos Hernandez, Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Centre; Roger Ingham, University of Southampton; Jim E. Stevenson, University of Southampton

2 Children’s Living Arrangements And Experiences Of Family Disruption In Sweden, 1975-2000 • Sheela Kennedy, University of Wisconsin at Madison; Elizabeth Thomson, University of Wisconsin at Madison

3 Expenses, norms or practical considerations? The effect of income and education on non-residents fathers' contact with their children. The case of Norway • Ragni Hege Kitterød; Jan Lyngstad

4 Bereavement and The Risk of Divorce • Torkild Lyngstad, Statistics Norway

5 Risk of dissolution of families with children. An analysis of married and cohabiting couples with children. • Kari Skrede, Statistics Norway; Turid Noack, Statistics Norway; Ane Seierstad, Statistics Norway; Kenneth Aarskaug Wiik, Statistics Norway


16 BRIDGING THE MICRO-MAGRO GAP IN FORECASTING

Chair: Nico Keilman, University of Oslo

1 The use of parametric models fitted on micro data in predicting the rates for a cohort of individuals • Francesco C. Billari, Università Bocconi; Laurent Toulemon, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

2 The effects of age, sex, education, family status, obesity and smoking on disability: a systematic literature review • Elena Muth, Max Planck Institute for Demograhic Research; Anne Kruse, Max Planck Institute for Demograhic Research; Christina Westphal, Max Planck Institute for Demograhic Research; Gabriele Doblhammer, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

3 Where do assumptions come from?: Investigating the substantive basis for population projections in Europe • Wolfgang Lutz, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA); Samir K.C., IIASA; Isolde Prommer, IIASA; Christopher Wilson, IIASA

4 Using MicMac to project living arrangements: an illustration of biographic projections • Nicole Van der Gaag, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI); Joop De Beer, NIDI; Peter Ekamper, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI); Frans Willekens, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI)


17 FERTILITY TRENDS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES

Chair: Véronique Hertrich, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

1 When ancient meets modern: The relationship between postpartum non-susceptibility and contraception in sub-saharan Africa • Mark Brown, university of manchester

2 Multilevel Analysis of Unwanted Fertility in Uttar Pradesh • Laxmi Kant Dwivedi, Research Scholar, International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS), Mumbai, India

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3 Impact of an irrigation project on fertility and contraceptive behaviour in rural Maharashtra, India. • Dewaram A. Nagdeve, International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS)

4 The Dynamics Of Fertility Transition In West Bengal, India • Lopamudra Paul, Jawaharlal Nehru University; Purushottam M Kulkarni, Jawaharlal Nehru University

5 Determinants of Birth Interval Dynamics in Orissa, India • Ramesh Poluru, Gokhale Institute of Politics & Economics


18 INTEGRATION PROCESS OF MIGRANT POPULATION

Chair: Helga de Valk, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI)

1 A picture of foreign integration in Italy: methodology and experiences • Marta Blangiardo, Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Imperial College; Gianluca Baio, Department of Statistical Science - University College London

2 Family Formation of Immigrant Women in Germany • Nadja Milewski, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

3 Immigration, gender, and labour force participation in Israel: an evaluation of the "double disadvantage" thesis • Uzi Rebhun, Hebrew University of Jerusalem

4 Longitudinal Database on Immigrants • Arno Sprangers, Statistics Netherlands; Han Nicolaas, Statistics Netherlands

5 Immigrants’ location choice and the dynamics of segregation • Aslan Zorlu; Clara H. Mulder, University of Amsterdam

Thursday, June 22, 2:00 PM - 3:30 PMRoom 6 -

19 DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE AND THE FAMILY

Chair: Emily Grundy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine

1 That’s the Way it Should be.. Perceptions on Intergenerational Obligations among Migrant and Dutch Older Persons • Djamila Schans, Utrecht University; Helga de Valk, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI)

2 Intergenerational Relations and Support in Italy at Old Ages • Romina Fraboni, Istituto Nazionale di Statistica (ISTAT); Barbara Baldazzi, ISTAT - Istituto Nazionale di Statistica - Italy; Cristina Freguja, Istituto Nazionale di Statistica - ISTAT; Linda Laura Sabbadini, Istituto Nazionale di Statistica - ISTAT

3 Proximity and Contacts between Older Parents and Their Children: A European Comparison • Karsten Hank, University of Mannheim

4 Determinants of Informal Care: on the Different Dynamics of Informal Care given inside and outside the Household. • Therese M. Jacobs, University of Antwerp; Benedicte De Koker, University of Antwerp; Edith Lodewijckx, Population and Family Study Centre; Annelies Vanbrabant, Population and family study centre

5 Family disruptions and support in later life: A cross-national comparison • Karen F. Glaser, Institute of Gerontology, King's College London; Cecilia Tomassini, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine; Rachel Stuchbury, Institute of Gerontology, King's College London; Filomena Racioppi, Università di Roma "La Sapienza"; Janet M Askham, International Policy Institute, King’s College London

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20 FERTILITY EMPLOYMENT AND THE LABOUR MARKET

Chair: Irena E. Kotowska, Warsaw School of Economics

1 Do childcare arrangements matter for fertility decisions? The effects of men’s involvement in childcare, and of formal and informal options • Pau Baizán, Universitat Pompeu Fabra

2 Determinants of Second Birth Risks in Great Britain and West Germany • Michaela Kreyenfeld, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Cordula D. Zabel, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

3 Does More Support in Children Care Make a Difference in Working Women Fertility? • Antonella Pinnelli, Università di Roma "La Sapienza"; Francesca Fiori, Università di Roma "La Sapienza"

4 From the “Typical” to the “Atypical” Works, from the Low Fertility to the Late Fertility • Silvana Salvini, University of Florence; Irene Ferro, University of Florence

5 Intended Fertility and Employment Patterns around the Childbirth: The Case of Italy • Maria Rita Testa, Vienna Institute of Demography; Martina Lo Conte, Instituto Nazionale di Statistica (ISTAT); Sabrina Prati, Istat


21 PARENTING AND CHILD-CARE

Chair: Eva Bernhardt, Stockholm University

1 Fathers behind bars: families as victims? • Lynda Clarke, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine; Randal Day, Brigham Young University

2 Grandparental Involvement in Child-rearing and Childcare • Kirstine Hansen, University of London; Denise Hawkes, University of London; Heather Joshi, University of London

3 Parental relationships and child well-being • Kathleen E. Kiernan, University of York; Michael Lamb

4 Family Strategies for Reconciling Parental Responsibilities and Work: The Case of Navarra (Spain) • Dolores Lopez, University of Navarra; Carolina Montoro, University of Navarra; Nuria Del Olmo, University of Navarra

5 Geographical mobility of adult children towards their parents • Francesca Michielin, University van Amsterdam; Clara H. Mulder, University of Amsterdam


22 POPULATION CHANGE ON NATIONAL AND REGIONAL LEVELS

Chair: Nicole Van der Gaag, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI)

1 Strange reversal of internal migration flows between urban and rural areas in Romania in the context of post-communist economic and social transition • Vasile N. Ghetau, University of Bucharest

2 Depopulation And Its Consequences For The Regions In Europe • Ralf Mai, Federal Institute for Population Research; Hansjoerg Bucher, Federal Office for Building and Planning

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3 Demographic Development of Russia and Ukraine: Fifteen Years of Independence • Sergei Pirozhkov, The National Institute of International Security Problems; Gaiane Safarova, Saint-Petersburg Institute for Economics and Mathematics, Russian Academy of Sciences

4 Demographic Crisis on the Post-Soviet Space • Anatoly Vishnevsky, Institute for economic forecasting

5 A projection of subnational populations for the whole United Kingdom for use in water demand forecasting • Philip H. Rees, University of Leeds; John Parsons, University of Leeds


23 VARIOUS NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL DATA

Chair: Gunnar Andersson, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

1 Time Use Data and Contact Patterns • Emilio Zagheni, University of California, Berkeley; Piero Manfredi, Dipartimento di Statistica & Matematica Applicata all'Economia; Francesco C. Billari, Università Bocconi; Joel Mossong, Laboratoire National de Santé

2 Using a Labour Force Survey to Derive Information on Fertility Histories • Valeria Bordone, London School of Economics; Francesco C. Billari, Università Bocconi; Gianpiero Dalla Zuanna, University of Padua

3 The Kannisto-Thatcher Database on Old Age Mortality at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research: Analysis of Mortality Data at Old Ages • Dmitri A. Jdanov, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Eugeny Soroko, Russian Academy of Sciences; Domantas Jasilionis, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

4 A French national birth cohort: the ELFE project (Etude longitudinale française depuis l’enfance). Some methodological issues • Henri

Leridon, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Claudine Pirus, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)


24 REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH AND ABORTION

Chair: Lisbeth B. Knudsen, Aalborg University

1 Consequences of Induced Abortion on General, Reproductive and Mental Health of Women: Experiences from Rural Haryana, India • Sutapa Agrawal, Independent Consultant

2 Determinants of induced abortion in Hungary 1994-1998 • Catherine Gourbin, Université Catholique de Louvain; Eva Gardos, Hungarian Central Statistical Office; Ferenc Kamaras, Hungarian Central Statistical Office

3 First pregnancy and reciprocal impact of abortion and fertility in Romania • Cornelia Muresan, University Babes-Bolyai Cluj and MPIDR Rostock

4 Abortion Problem in Serbia • Mirjana Rasevic, Demographic Research Centre


25 DATA COLLECTION AND MEASUREMENT OF INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION

Chair: Otto Andersen, Danmarks Statistics

1 Transformation of Migration Data Collection in Post-Soviet Countries. (Case of the Russian Federation) • Olga Chudinovskikh

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2 Conceptualisation of international migration flows • Gustav Lebhart, Statistics Austria; Stephan Marik-Lebeck, STATISTICS AUSTRIA

3 The World in Names: New Geographies of Ethnic Minorities Revealed through Family Name and Personal Name Analysis. • Pablo Mateos, University College London; Richard Webber, University College London; Paul Longley, University College London

4 Relations Between Measurements of International Migration Statistics • Beata Nowok, Central European Forum for Migration Research (CEFMR), NIDI fellow, EDSD at MPIDR

5 Statistics on residence permits in the scope of demographic estimates • Xavier Thierry, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)


26 OPEN FORUM 1

Chair: Guillaume Wunsch, Université Catholique de Louvain

1 The process of adjustment/acculturation of first and second generation of migrants: the case of nomad Qashqaee Turks immigrants in Shiraz-Iran • Amir Mohammad Amiri, Shiraz University; ALI ASGHAR MOGHADAS, shiraz un; Ali Rahimi, Kashan University

2 Intimate relationships of disabled men and women in France • Maks Banens, CED Université Lyon 2

3 Migrant associations as actors in development? A national event-history analysis in Burkina Faso • Cris Beauchemin, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Bruno D. Schoumaker, Université Catholique de Louvain

4 Impact of macro-level economic improvement on child health: Childhood malnutrition in Ghana, 1988-2003 • Jemima A. Frimpong, University of Pennsylvania; Roland Pongou, Brown University

5 ‘Warp, weft or tapestry? Longitudinal and cross-sectional perspectives on fertility in four Scottish settings, 1861-1901 • Eilidh Garrett, Cambridge University

6 Utilization of maternal care services in rural India: An analysis of differentials and determinants • Jareena Shaik, Sri Venkateswara University; Ramachandran Paida, Sri Venkateswara Univeristy

7 Pathways to 'off-time' motherhood in the United Kingdom: the timing and sequencing of childhood antecedents • Maria C. Huerta, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE); Wendy Sigle-Rushton, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE)

8 Impact of family relations on health and mortality in contemporary Bulgaria (post-communism: the fight for the souls) • Marta Sugareva, Bulgarian Academy of sciences

9 Preferences of the elderly towards intergenerational transfers - Stumbling block for future social policy reforms in Germany? • Harald Wilkoszewski, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research


27 DEBATE SESSION ON POPULATION CHALLENGES IN AGEING SOCIETIES

Chair: Nico van Nimwegen, NIDI


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28 DEMOGRAPHIC ASPECTS OF INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION

Chair: Irina V. Ivakhniouk, Moscow State University

1 Cohort Fertility Differentials between Native and Foreign Born Women in a New Receiving Country: the Case of Greece • Christos Bagavos, Panteion University; Cleon Tsimbos, University of Piraeus; Georgia Verropoulou, Centre for Longitudinal Studies, Institute of Education, University of London

2 Union Formation and Assortative Mating of Foreign Population in Spain • Clara Cortina, Centre d'Estudis Demogràfics; Albert Esteve, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona; Andreu Domingo, Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona

3 Co-residence among migrant and Dutch young adults: the family influence disentangled • Helga de Valk, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI); Francesco C. Billari, Università Bocconi

4 The cohort measurement of migration: the striking differences in population size to the effects of cumulative migration during the past decades for east and west German cohorts • Reiner H. Dinkel, University of Rostock

5 From Migrant Mortality Advantage to Allochtone Mortality Differentials: the Impact of Naturalisation and Place of Birth in Belgium • Amel Bahri, Université Catholique de Louvain; Héléna Rajabaly, Université Catholique de Louvain; Thierry Eggerickx, Université Catholique de Louvain


29 LEAVING HOME AND FAMILY FORMATION

Chair: Clare Holdsworth, University of Liverpool

1 Leaving the parental home in Sweden and Italy • Eva Bernhardt, Stockholm University; Antonella Pinnelli, Università di Roma "La Sapienza"; Francesca Fiori, Università di Roma "La Sapienza"

2 Premarital Nest-Leaving and First Marriage in Japan • Setsuya Fukuda, Meiji University

3 Family formation and housing tenure in Spain • Juan Antonio Módenes Cabrerizo, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona; Julián López-Colás, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona

4 Parental Help and Type of First Union in Italy • Alessandro Rosina, Università Cattolica, Milan

5 First-time Home-ownership in the Netherlands • Annika Smits, University of Amsterdam / European Doctoral School of Demography, MPIDR Rostock; Clara H. Mulder, University of Amsterdam


30 VANGUARDS: POPULATIONS WITH VERY LOW MORTALITY

Chair: Graziella Caselli, Università di Roma "La Sapienza"

1 Health and Mortality: a Longitudinal Analysis of the ECHP Data • Viviana Egidi, Università di Roma "La Sapienza"; Daniele Spizzichino, University of Rome "La Sapienza" Department of Demography

2 The Human Mortality Trajectory Beyond the Age of 105 • Jutta Gampe, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; James W. Vaupel, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

3 How causes of death may explain the exceptional male longevity in the Blue Zone (Sardinia) • Michel Poulain, Université Catholique de Louvain; Luisa Salaris, Université Catholique de Louvain

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4 The Multivariate Mortality Risk and Patterns of Advanced Longevity in Scandinavian Countries • Vladimir Shkolnikov, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Dmitri A. Jdanov, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Evgeni Andreev, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

5 The low mortality of a learned society • Maria E. Winkler-Dworak, Vienna Institute of Demography


31 GENDERING FAMILY DYNAMICS NETWORK 1

Chair: Allan Puur, Estonian Interuniversity Population Research Centre

1 The vicious link between gender inequality and low fertility: a comparison between Italy and United Kingdom • Letizia Mencarini, University of Florence; Maria-Letizia Tanturri, University of Pavia

2 First childbearing at higher ages in Sweden and Poland • Livia Olah, Dept. of Sociology, Stockholm University; Ewa Fratczak, Warsaw School of Economics

3 Fatherhood in a new millennium. a country comparison: Austria, Germany, Finland, Hungary and Italy • Irene Mariam Tazi-Preve, Austrian Institute for Family Studies; Jürgen Dorbritz, Federal Institute of Population Research

4 Stepfamilies in Denmark and France. Does the number of previous children from both partners and whether the previous children reside with the couple influence fertility? • Laurent Toulemon, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Lisbeth B. Knudsen, Aalborg University


32 POPULATION, DEVELOPMENT AND ENVIRONMENT IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES

Chair: Alexia Fuernkranz-Prskawetz, Vienna Institute of Demography

1 The Relationship between Poverty and Fertility: the Case of Egypt • Elena Ambrosetti, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

2 The Impact of HIV/AIDS on Intra-household Time Allocation in Rural Malawi • Simona Bignami, Université de Montréal; Philip A. Anglewicz, University of Pennsylvania; Peter C. Fleming, University of Pennsylvania; Ari Van Assche, HEC Montréal; Catherine Van de Ruit, University of Pennsylvania

3 How Environmental Migrants Choose their Place of Destination in Burkina Faso? • Sabine J.F. Henry, Facultés Universitaires Notre-Dame de la Paix; Richard Bilsborrow, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

4 Family structure and labor migration. A longitudinal study in rural Mali. • Marie Lesclingand, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Véronique Hertrich, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

5 Migration, Reproduction and Wellbeing in Transition • Catherine Locke, University of East Anglia; Heather Zhang, University of Chester


33 CHANGES IN THE MEDITERRANEAN MODEL OF IMMIGRATION

Chair: Salvatore Strozza, Department of Statistical Sciences - University of Naples Federico II

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1 Transmigrants, The Integration Process and Links with The Country of Origin • Odo Barsotti, University of Pisa. Department of Statistics and Applied Mathematics; Federico Benassi, University of Bari and University of Pisa; Linda Porciani, University of Bari and University of Pisa; Moreno Toigo, Simurg Ricerche; Silvia Venturi, University of Pisa. Department of Statistics and Applied Mathematics

2 Spain’s migration system and regional patterns in the management of foreign population • Belén Fernández Suárez, Universidade da Coruña

3 Today’s Experiences and Anticipated Futures among Young in Multiethnic Portugal • Sandra Mateus, Centre for Research and Studies on Sociology (CIES/ISCTE)

4 Immigration and foreigner presence in the Southern European Countries: the role of the south-north flows • Roberta Pace, University of Bari; Eros Moretti, Università Politecnica delle Marche

5 The internal migration of foreigners in Spain • Joaquin Recano-Valverde, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona; Marta Roig, United Nations


34 DIFFERENTITAL FERTILITY IN THE PAST

Chair: José Antonio Ortega, Universidad de Salamanca

1 Remarriage in a Pre-transitional Italian Community • Marco Breschi, Department of Economics - University of Sassari; Alessio Fornasin, Department of Statistics - University of Udine; Matteo Manfredini, Department of Genetics and Anthropology - University of Parma; Laura Rizzi, Department of Statistics, University of Udine; Giovanna Gonano, Department of Economics - University of Sassari

2 Childbearing ‘out There’ In ‘better Britain’: ‘How’ & ‘Why’ The Fertility Of New Zealand Pakeha (=British-origin) Colonists Differed From That Of Their British Victorian Peers • Ian Pool, University of Waikato

3 Reproductive Choices and Reproductive Constraints in Spain during the Demographic Transition: Familial, Social and Intergenerational Contexts • David Reher, Universidad Complutense de Madrid; Alberto Sanz-Gimeno, Universidad Complutense de Madrid

4 From Large, Wealthy Families to Childless Success? • Walter Scheidel, Stanford University; Vegard Skirbekk, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA); Hans-Peter Kohler, University of Pennsylvania

5 Population Development of the Jewish Population in Bohemia Between the Years 1850 and 1939 • Jana Vobecka, Faculty of Science, Charles University in Prague

Friday, June 23, 9:00 AM - 10:30 AMRoom 6 -

35 WHAT WE TALK ABOUT WHEN WE TALK ABOUT INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION

Chair: Corrado Bonifazi, IRPPS.CNR, Rome

1 How many and who? An up-date picture of the foreign migrants in Italy • Gian Carlo Blangiardo, University Milan - Bicocca; Maria-Letizia Tanturri, University of Pavia

2 Migration from the ‘New’ Europe to the UK: Assessing Its Regional and Local Impacts • Anthony G. Champion, University of Newcastle upon Tyne; Cheryl Conway, University of Newcastle upon Tyne; Mike Coombes, University of Newcastle upon Tyne; Stuart Dawley, University

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of Newcastle upon Tyne; Ranald Richardson, University of Newcastle upon Tyne; Alison Stenning, University of Newcastle upon Tyne

3 National Sovereignty and its Alternatives: An Assessment of the Report of the Global Commission on International Migration • Paul Demeny, Population Council

4 Educational Factors in the Economic Integration of Foreign Population in Belgium • Serge Feld, Université de Liège; Madeleinne Nantcho; Perin Sophie, Université deLiège

5 Official International Migration Statistics in the EU - Data Availability and Comparability • Dorota Kupiszewska, Central European Forum for Migration Research (CEFMR); Beata Nowok, Central European Forum for Migration Research (CEFMR), NIDI fellow, EDSD at MPIDR


36 FERTILITY, PARTNERSHIPS AND INTERGENERATIONAL RELATIONS

Chair: Andres Vikat, United Nations Economic Commission for Europe

1 Second Nest Fathers • Gijs Beets, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI); Tineke Fokkema, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute

2 The quality of the partner relationship and fertility • Arieke J Rijken, Utrecht University; Trudie Knijn, Utrecht University; Aart C. Liefbroer, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI)

3 Intergenerational transmission of age at entry into parenthood: evidence from Dutch register data • Liesbeth Steenhof, Statistics Netherlands; Aart C. Liefbroer, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI)

4 Extra-marital conceptions in contemporary Russia’s fertility • Mark Tolts, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem; Olga Antonova; Evgeni Andreev, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research


37 PARTNERSHIPS

Chair: Teresa Castro Martin, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)

1 The legalisation of same-sex couples in Europe • Patrick Festy, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Marie Digoix, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

2 Cohabitation and marriage: A comparison from a gender perspective • Francesca Fiori, Università di Roma "La Sapienza"

3 Trends in Assortative Mating • Anitha George, University of London; Marco Francesconi, University of Essex; Kirstine Hansen, University of London

4 Singularization of Living Arrangements - Partnership Behaviour in Postmodern Times. • Gert Hullen, Federal Institute for Population Research, Germany

5 The Matrix Reviewed – Relationships in the 2001 Census • Steve Smallwood, ONS; Oliver Duke-Williams, University of Leeds


38 HIV AIDS

Chair: Sabu S. Padmadas, University of Southampton

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1 The Russian HIV Case Reporting System • Boris P Denisov, Moscow University

2 Healthy men with subnormal sperm counts live shorter lives • Sabine Groos, University of Marburg; Ulrich Mueller, University of Marburg; Walter Krause, University of Marburg

3 HIV/AIDS-Induced Demographic Behaviour Change in Malawi and Its Long-Term Outcomes. An Application of A Dynamic Multistate Model. • Alessandro Valentini, University of Pisa; Piero Manfredi, Dipartimento di Statistica & Matematica Applicata all'Economia; Linda Porciani, University of Bari and University of Pisa

4 Temporary Migration and STD/HIV Risk Sexual Behavior: A Population-Based Analysis of Gender Differences in China • Xiushi Yang, Old Dominion University; Guomei Xia, Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences


39 INTERNATIONAL DATA

Chair: Anna Cabré, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona

1 The IPUMS-Europe Project: Integrating the Region's Census Microdata • Albert Esteve, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona; Robert McCaa, University of Minnesota; Anna Cabré, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona

2 Comparing changes in daily activities of older people in Europe: lessons from the development of the Multinational Time Use Study (MTUS) • Kimberly Fisher, Institute for Social and Economic Research, University of Essex; Jonathan Gershuny, University of Essex; Anne H. Gauthier, University of Calgary; Nuno Torres, ISER

3 Towards an European statistics system: harmonised data sources on population and households in Europe • Fernando Gil Alonso, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona

4 Using the Internet technologies to explore huge databases with changing structure: the example of the World Health Organization International Mortality Database (WHO IMD) • Alexandre Avdeev, Strasbourg University 2 "Marc Bloch"; Vladimir A. Pshenkin, Moscow State University, Faculty of Economics; Alain Monnier, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Alfred Nizard, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

5 The Human Mortality Database: Principles, Practice, and Prognosis • John R. Wilmoth, United Nations


40 MORTALITY AND DURATION MODELS, A TOUCH OF PHILOSOPHY

Chair: Oystein Kravdal, University of Oslo

1 Bayesian Sample Selection Models for Life Course Analysis • Rebecca Graziani, Università L. Bocconi; Francesco C. Billari, Università Bocconi

2 Causal inference for duration models. An alternative to hazard regression • Stefano Mazzuco, Università di Padova

3 Causality, Confounding, and Control • Michel Mouchart, Université Catholique de Louvain; Federica Russo, Philosophy, SECL, University of Kent; Guillaume Wunsch, Université Catholique de Louvain

4 Mortality change roils period rates • Mieke Reuser, NIDI fellow, European Doctoral School of Demography at Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Jutta Gampe, Max Planck Institute for

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Demographic Research; James W. Vaupel, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research


41 RETIREMENT AND ELDERLY MIGRATION

Chair: Leo van Wissen, University of Groningen and Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI)

1 Hungarian pensioners abroad • Sandor Illes, HCSO Demographic Research Institute

2 Migration of the Elderly in Russia and the EU: Two Different Patterns, Two Different Outcomes • Irina V. Ivakhniouk, Moscow State University

3 Elderly Migrants in Italy. Individual and Context Characteristics. • Cecilia Reynaud, Università di Roma "La Sapienza"; Lorenzo Cassata, Università di Roma "La Sapienza"; Oliviero Casacchia, Università di Roma "La Sapienza"

4 International Retirement Migration: Coping with Concepts and Measures • Vicente Rodriguez, instituto de economía y geografía


42 LONGITUDINAL STUDIES OF HISTORICAL MORTALITY

Chair: Bob Woods, University of Liverpool

1 Early Life and Mortality in Belgium During the 19th Century: a Longitudinal Survey • Thierry Eggerickx, Université Catholique de Louvain; Amel Bahri, Université Catholique de Louvain; Jamal El

Makrini, Université Catholique de Louvain; Luis Reategui Salmon, Université Catholique de Louvain; Jean-Paul Sanderson, Université Catholique de Louvain

2 Mortality and Health in Madrid during the first third of the Twentieth Century. • Diego Ramiro, Spanish Council for Scientific Research

3 Temperature and Neonatal Mortality in Northern Italy during XIXth Century. An Event History Analysis with Daily Data • Gianpiero Dalla Zuanna, University of Padua; Alessandro Rosina, Università Cattolica, Milan

4 From birth to death in a population experiencing exceptional longevity: the case of Villagrande Strisaili (Sardinia) • Luisa Salaris, Université Catholique de Louvain; Michel Poulain, Université Catholique de Louvain

5 The correlates of infant and childhood mortality. A theoretical overview and new evidence from the analysis of longitudinal data from Bejsce parish register reconstitution study 18th-20th centuries, Poland. • Krzysztof Tymicki, Warsaw School of Economics

Friday, June 23, 11:00 AM - 12:30 PMMountford Hall -

P-1 POSTER SESSION

Chair: Guillaume Wunsch, Université Catholique de Louvain

1 Projections of Living Arrangements of the Elderly by Sex, Age, and Household Position in Poland. • Anita Abramowska, Institute of Statistics and Demography, Warsaw School of Economics

2 Economic consequences of immigration from Turkey • Bulent Acma, Anadolu University

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3 DETERMINANTS of UNINTENDED PREGNANCY among CURRENTLY MARRIED WOMEN in NEPAL • Ramesh Adhikari, Center for Research on Environment, Health and Population Activities (CREHPA); Kusol Soonthorndhada, IPSR; Pramote Prasartkul, Mahidol University

4 Disability in India: An Overview • Praween Kumar Agrawal, Project Coordinator, Johns Hopkins University Collaborative Centre, Lucknow, India

5 Women’s Autonomy and its Impact on Fertility Decision Making: A Study in Rural Haryana, India in the Perspective of Low Child Sex Ratio • Sutapa Agrawal, Independent Consultant

6 Practicing Preachers: Reproductive Behavior Of Rural Health Workers In Iran • Shirin Ahmadnia, Ministry of Science, Research & Technology; Amir-Houshang Mehryar, Population Studies and Reseach Center,Ministry of Science,Research & Technology of Iran; Nahid Salehi, Center for Population Reseach & Studies in Asia and the Pacific

7 Reproductive Health Knowledge and Attitudes among Iranian Adolescents • Shirin Ahmad-Nia, Ministry of Science, Iran

8 Reasons of Postponement of Births: Comparison of Estonia and Finland • Mare Ainsaar, Tartu University; Pirjo Paajanen, The Population Research Institute

9 Administrative sources and population statistics • Fiona Aitchison, Office for National Statistics

10 Fatherhood in Russia - Evaluation of Biological and Anthropological Assumptions with Demographic Data • David Alich, Max-Planck-Institute for Demographic Research

11 Trends on diabetes and obesity prevalence in Latin America and the Caribbean: a review of the literature and new estimates • Flavia Andrade, University of Wisconsin at Madison

12 Factors affecting attitude toward safe sex and reproductive health among Shiraz City youth • Farah Asna-Ashari, Ministry of Education; Habib Ahmadi, Shiraz University

13 Population Environment and Development:Some Issues in Sustainability of Indian Mega-cities of New Delhi and Kolkata(Calcutta) • Anuradha Banerjee, Jawaharlal Nehru University; Sharmistha Das, Jawaharlal Nehru University

14 Residential Mobility of Foreign Population in Barcelona, 2000-2004 • Jordi Bayona, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona; Antonio López, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona

15 Kinship relationships and reproductive biographies in Italy • Laura Bernardi, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Paola Di Giulio, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

16 Knowledge and use of developmental thinking about societies and families among teenagers in Argentina • Georgina Binstock, Centro de Estudios de Población; Arland Thornton, University of Michigan

17 A different understanding of probability in a probabilistic population projection model and its outcomes • Christina Bohk, University of Rostock; Thomas Salzmann, University of Rostock

18 Marital Union Dissolution in East and West Germany - The Impact of Women's Labour Force Participation on Marital Stability • Karin Böttcher, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

19 Pathway to a third child in France. impact of family policy and sociodemographic factors. • Didier Breton, Université Marc Bloch Strasbourg 2 and Ined; France Prioux, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

20 Projecting the Immigrant Population of Norway - by Age, Sex and Country Background • Helge Brunborg, Statistics Norway; Inger Texmon, Statistics Norway

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21 Health attitudes and behaviour as predictors of self-rated health in relation to mortality patterns (17 year follow-up in Polish elderly - Cracow study) • Piotr Brzyski; Beata Tobiasz-Adamczyk

22 Age at Menopause and Menopausal Transition: Perspectives of Indian Rural women • Hussain Khan C. G., Karnatak University, Dharwad; Jyoti S Hallad, Population Research Centre, JSS Institute of Economic Research, Dharwad

23 The Heirs of Sexual Revolution • Marcantonio Caltabiano, Università di Padova; Francesco C. Billari, Università Bocconi; Gianpiero Dalla Zuanna, University of Padua

24 Socio-Economic Profile and Labour Market Integration of Foreign Immigrants in Southern Europe: A Cross-Country Comparison • Alessio Cangiano, Centre on Migration, Policy and Society (COMPAS) - University of Oxford

25 The Economics of Population Ageing in Turkey: A Country at the onset of Population Ageing • Sebnem Canpolat, Hacettepe University

26 Concentration of mortality increase among manual workers in soviet Latvia and Russia • Elwood Carlson, Florida State University; Evgeni Andreev, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Rasmus Hoffmann, University of Rostock; Tatiana Kharkova, Institute of Economic Forecasting Russian Academy of Science; Vladimir Shkolnikov, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

27 The Decline of Fertility in Scotland Compared With England • Patrick Carroll

28 Induced Abortion and Contraception in Central Asian States and Turkey • Alanur Cavlin Bozbeyoglu, Hacettepe University

29 Data Quality Assessment of Birth History Data in Turkey Demographic and Health Surveys • Yadigar Coskun, Hacettepe University

30 Men and Women After a Union Dissolution. Gender Differences in Economic and Living Condition • Alessandra De Rose, Università di Roma "La Sapienza"; Daniele Spagnoli

31 Mortality and Life Expectancy of Elderly People after World War II in Hungary • Erzsébet Debreceni, Center for Social Studies at the Hungarian Academy of Sciences

32 Factors Affecting the Population Fertility Level: an Evaluation of the Factor “Difficulties Reconciling Work and Family” in Navarra (Spain)” • Nuria Del Olmo, University of Navarra; Carolina Montoro, University of Navarra; Dolores Lopez, University of Navarra

33 The Evolution of Fertility in Europe: a Parity Analysis • Daniel Devolder, Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona

34 Breast-Feeding Pattern And Its Impact On Post-Partum Non-Susceptible Period of Currently Married Women(15-49) in an Indian State Using Multivariate Hazard Model and Life Table Techniques • Shankar Dihidar, Indian Statistical Institute

35 Method of nested linear convolutions for estimating the population's health quality • Marina Djakovich, Institute of industrial medicine and human ecology; Ivan Finogenko, nstitute of industrial medicine and human ecology

36 Adult mortality in a rural area of Senegal: trends and causes of death • Géraldine Duthé, Institut national d'études démographiques (INED); Gilles Pison, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

37 The Effects of Breastfeeding on Child and Maternal Health: Evidences from Reproductive and Child Health Survey in India • Laxmi Kant Dwivedi, Research Scholar, International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS), Mumbai, India; F. Ram, International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS)

38 Modernization and Fertility Inhibiting Strategies of Socieconomic and Cultural Groups in Turkey • Mehmet Ali Eryurt, Hacettepe University

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39 Transitioning motherhood: entering adulthood with a baby • Ann Evans, Australian National University

40 The demography of the Austrian Academy of Sciences • Gustav Feichtinger, Vienna University of Technology; Maria E. Winkler-Dworak, Vienna Institute of Demography; Alexia Fuernkranz-Prskawetz, Vienna Institute of Demography; Inga Freund, Vienna Institute of Demography; Vladimir Veliov, Vienna University of Technology

41 Exploring Demographic Differences in Health Status and Health Services Use by Older Adults. A Comparative Study between Canada and Spain. • Gloria Fernandez-Mayoralas, Institute of Economics and Geography. Spanish Council for Scientific Research; Mark W Rosenberg, Department of Geography, Queen's University; Fermina Rojo-Perez, Institute of Economics and Geography. Spanish Council for Scientific Research; Maria-Eugenia Prieto-Flores, Institute of Economics and Geography. Spanish Council for Scientific Research; Jennifer Goy, Department of Community Health and Epidemiology, Queen's University; Cecilia Esparza-Catalan, Institute of Economics and Geography. Spanish Council for Scientific Research

42 Economics, multiculturalism, and gender:competing factors influencing women’s economic behaviour in multicultural setting • Yaghoob Foroutan, Australian National University

43 Sociological Roots and Epistemological Evaluations of Populaton Theories • Yuri Frantsuz, University of Minnesota

44 Changes in the selected life course events of the Polish Females and Males. Evidence from two Polish Retrospective Surveys: 1991 and 2001. • Ewa Fratczak, Warsaw School of Economics; Janina Jozwiak, Warsaw School of Economics; Aneta Ptak-Chmielewska, Warsaw School of Economics; Kamil Sienkiewicz, Warsaw School of Economics; Urszula Gach-Ciepiela, Warsaw School of Economics

45 Understanding low fertility in Athens and London: a comparative ethnographic study. • Katerina Georgiadis, University College London

46 Levels, Differentials and Determinants of Morbidity in West Bengal, India • Soumitra Ghosh, International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS)

47 Disparity in injury morbidity and mortality among one-four year children- findings from bangladesh health and injury survey: implication for developing countries • M Sheikh Giashudddin, Center for Injury Prevention and Research Bangladesh; A Rahman, Institute of Child and Mother Health; AKM Fazlur Rahman, Center for Injury Prevention and Research, Bangladesh (CIPRB)

48 Social Networks and Social Capital in the Immigration Process into Hungary • Irén Gödri, Demographic Research Institute

49 Gender and Family Attitudes in Early Adulthood in Sweden. What is Happening to the Adult Children of Immigrants? • Calvin Goldscheider, Brown University; Fran Goldscheider, Brown University; Eva Bernhardt, Stockholm University

50 Does space/time dynamics influence the decision to cohabit? Regional patterns of cohabitation in Spain, 1990-2005 • María José González, Full-time associate lecturer, Dept. of Political and Social Sciences, Universitat Pompeu Fabra; Pau Baizán, Universitat Pompeu Fabra; Amy Hsin, University of California, Los Angeles

51 Russian Married Women and Men in Ageing: Demographic and Social Characteristics • Irina Gorchkova, Moscow Lomonosov State University

52 Alternative Measurements of the Aging of the Labour Force. Demo-economic Dependency Ratios in the Case of Italy (2000-2050) • Francesca Greguoldo, Department of Demographic Science, Univeristy of Rome "La Sapienza"

53 Integration and second generation of immigrants in Italy: an empirical analysis according to the social network perspective • Antonella Guarneri, Dipartimento Scienze Demografiche, Università La Sapienza-Roma; Luisa Natale, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche, Facoltà di Economia, Università di Cassino; Giulia Rivellini, Università Cattolica,

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Milan; Maura Simone, Dipartimento di Scienze Demografiche, Università La Sapienza-Roma

54 Application of remote sensing and GIS for population explosion and land transformation studies in Jaipur region-India • Rupesh Gupta, Research Scholar

55 Spatial Homogamy in the Netherlands: Mapping Distances between Partners • Karen Haandrikman, University of Groningen; Leo van Wissen, University of Groningen and Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI); Carel Harmsen, Statistics Netherlands; Inge Hutter, University of Groningen

56 Disability in Bulgaria – does it increase or decrease during the period 1992-2004? • Kaloyan Haralampiev, Sofia University "St. Kliment Ohridski"

57 Fertility change and its proximate determinants in Bangladesh • Abu Hasanat Mohammad kishowar Hossain, University of Dhaka, Dhaka, Bangladesh

58 Educational Differences in the Timing of Childbearing in Hungary • Ildikó Husz, Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Research Centre for Social Studies

59 An Analysis of Determinants of Internal Migration in Russia • Vladimir Iontsev, Moscow State University; Ivan Aleshkovski, Moscow State University

60 Effective factors on different attitudes of two successive generations towards marriage and fertility. case study: women in Shiraz Iran • Jalil Iranmahboob, Centre for Population Studies & Research; Sahel Taherianfard, Centre for Population Studies & Research

61 Sexual and Health Behaviour of Female Floating Sex Workers in Bangladesh: An Emerging Health Issue • M. Mazharul Islam, University of Dhaka, Bangladesh

62 Contraceptive Discontinuation, Failure and Switching Behavior in Bangladesh: Levels, Trends, Determinants and policy implications • M. Mazharul Islam, University of Dhaka, Bangladesh; Nitai Chakroborty

63 Men’s Awareness of Pregnancy Care in Bangladesh: A Multilevel Data Analysis • Mohammad Amirul Islam, University of Southampton; Sabu S. Padmadas, University of Southampton; Peter W.F. Smith, University of Southampton

64 Change in first meeting and the marriage decline in Japan • Miho Iwasawa, National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Tokyo; Fusami Mita, National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Tokyo

65 Overcoming Hegemonic Norms and Binaries in Demography: Gender, ‘Race’ and Sexuality within Academic Demographic Discourse • Nadja Jacubowski, University of Groningen; Ajay Bailey, University of Groningen; Inge Hutter, University of Groningen

66 Suicidal Mortality in Russia and Ukraine • Diana L Jdanova, Independent Consultant; Nataliya M Levchuk, Institute for Demography and Social Studies, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine

67 Measures of widowhood in contemporary China • Quanbao Jiang, Institute for Population and Development Studies, Xi'an Jiaotong University; Shuzhuo Li, Xi'an Jiaotong University

68 International Migration and Russia • Andrey Kamenskiy

69 Sterilization In Iran: Wide Use Of A Radical Method In A Fundamentalist Islamic Society • Shahla Kazemi-pour Sabet, Faculty of Social Sciences,Tehran University; Amir-Houshang Mehryar, Population Studies and Reseach Center,Ministry of Science,Research & Technology of Iran; Bahram Delavar, Ministry of Science, Iran.; Hassan Eini Zinab, Regional Center for Population Reseach & Studies in Asia and the Pacific; Sahel Taherianfard, Centre for Population Studies & Research

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70 Demographic Transition and Marital Status of Women in Iran • Shahla Kazemi-pour Sabet, Faculty of Social Sciences,Tehran University; Mohammad Mirzaie, University of Tehran; Abtin Rahimian, Population Studies and Research Center

71 The Fertility Pattern among non-Estonians in Estonia Follows the Trends in St. Petersburg • Katja Kesseli, University of Helsinki/ European Doctoral School of Demography at the MPIDR; Mika Gissler, National Research adn Development Centre for Welfare and Health (STAKES)

72 Does Fertility Decrease the Welfare of Households? An Analysis of Poverty Dynamics and Fertility in Indonesia • Jungho Kim, Vienna Institute of Demography; Henriette Engelhardt, Austrian Academy of Sciences; Alexia Fuernkranz-Prskawetz, Vienna Institute of Demography; Arnstein Aassve, University of Essex

73 Demographic differentials and demographic integration of Turkish and Kurdish populations in Turkey • Ismet Koc, Hacettepe University; Alanur Cavlin Bozbeyoglu, Hacettepe University

74 Comparative Determination Of Factors That Affect Fertility For Turkish And Kurdish Populations According To The Usage Of Contraceptive Methods • Güler Kocberber; Sebnem Canpolat, Hacettepe University

75 The Emergence of Cohabitation as a First Union and its Later Stability: the Case of Hungarian Women • Margarete C. Kulik, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research/Rostock University

76 Living Arrangements of the Elderly in Poland • Jolanta Kurkiewicz, Cracow University of Economics

77 Some Immigrants are More Transnational than Others: Transnationalism as Differential Factor of Integration • Carmen Lamela, Universidade da Coruña

78 Cohort Fertility Patterns and Education in the Nordic Countries • Trude Lappegård, Statistics Norway; Gunnar Andersson, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Lisbeth B. Knudsen, Aalborg University; Marit Rønsen, Statistics Norway

79 Where Is Education In a Transition Economy Heading? The Case Of Latvia • Zane Leduskrasta, University of Latvia

80 Living Arrangements of Elderly Persons from Migrant Populations in Belgium • Edith Lodewijckx, Population and Family Study Centre

81 Mortality and Causes of Death among Persons over 85 in the European Union • Laura Lorenzo, Spanish Council for Scientific Research; Elisa Suárez, Spanish Council for Scientific Research

82 Modern pattern of migration from Uzbekistan to the European countries • Lyudmila Maksakova, Center for Effective Economic Policy

83 The Multiresidential System of The Inhabitants of the Barcelona Metropolitan Area. The Migratory Trajectories as Explanatory Factor • Ajenjo Marc; Joan Alberich, Centre d'Estudis Demogràfics, UAB

84 Nonconsensual Marital Sex and Reproductive Health among Filipino Youth • Maria Paz N. Marquez, University of the Philippines

85 ATTITUDES toward GENDER EMANCIPATION and FAMILY FORMATION PATTERNS in CEE REGION • Ausra Maslauskaite, Demographic Research Center, Institute for Social Research; Vlada Stankuniene, Demographic Research Center, Institute for Social Research

86 Who Follows Whom? Female Part-Time Employment in West Germany, East Germany and Poland • Anna Matysiak, European Doctoral School of Demography at MPIDR and Warsaw School of Economics; Stephanie Steinmetz, Mannheim Centre for European Social Research (MZES), Mannheim University

87 Living arrangements after marital dissolution: findings from the European Community Household Panel • Stefano Mazzuco, Università di

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Padova; Silvia Meggiolaro, Università di Padova; Fausta Ongaro, Università di Padova

88 Human Development, Reproductive Behavior and Fertility: An Analysis of Provincial Differences in Iran • Amir-Houshang Mehryar, Population Studies and Reseach Center,Ministry of Science,Research & Technology of Iran; Hassan Eini Zinab, Regional Center for Population Reseach & Studies in Asia and the Pacific; Nader Motie-Haghshenas, Population Studies and Research Center, Ministry of Science,Research & Technology of Iran; Shirin Ahmadnia, Ministry of Science, Research & Technology

89 Childless at Age 30 • Anneli Miettinen, The Population Research Institute; Pirjo Paajanen, The Population Research Institute

90 Present Trends of Birth Rate in Siberia: an Attempt at Analysis At Macro And Micro Levels • Anna Mikheeva, IUSSP member, IEIE SB RAS

91 The Instrumental Character of Demographic Transition in Republic Of Macedonia • Goran Miladinov, unemployed

92 Female-headed Households in a Male-dominated Society, Iran • Elahe Mirzaee, Regional Center for Population Reseach & Studies in Asia and the Pacific; Amir-Houshang Mehryar, Population Studies and Reseach Center,Ministry of Science,Research & Technology of Iran; Gholam Ali Farjadi, Regional Center for Population Reseach & Studies in Asia and the Pacific

93 Dimensions of Population Aging in Iran and its Socioeconomic and Health Implications: New Prospects • Nader Motie-Haghshenas, Population Studies and Research Center, Ministry of Science,Research & Technology of Iran

94 School-to-work transition: gender differences in the choices of the Italian secondary school graduates • Paola Muccitelli, Italian National Statistics Office; Rottino Fabio Massimo, Instituto Nazionale di Statistica (ISTAT); Azzurra Tivoli, Istat

95 Cancer Mortality is Higher among Taller Men in Two Cohorts of US Army Officers • Ulrich Mueller, University of Marburg; Allan Mazur, Syracuse University; Afiafi Marie Renee Afanou, University of Marburg

96 Is investing in population health indeed good for economic growth? • Ulrich Mueller, University of Marburg; Joerg W. Fromme, Independent Consultant; Ursula F Trummer, Ludwig Boltzmann-Institute for the Sociology of Health and Medicine, Vienna University; Roberto Lorbeer, University of Marburg

97 Life span and career outcome in several cohorts of US navy and US army officers - directions of causality • Ulrich Mueller, University of Marburg; Tobias Biegel, University of Marburg; Kerstin Walter, University of Marburg

98 Does the “maternal altruism hypothesis” hold true among poor populations in southern India? • Sivakami Muthusamy, Institute for Social and Economic Change

99 Economic and Non-Economic Aspects of Individual Fertility Choices – an Example from Poland • Monika Mynarska, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

100 Health Transition in Iran: Results of the 18 Province Study of Mortality by Cause of Death • Mohsen Naghavi, Ministry of Health and Medical Education, IRI; Abolghasm Pour Reza, Regional Center for Population Reseach & Studies in Asia and the Pacific; Amir-Houshang Mehryar, Population Studies and Reseach Center,Ministry of Science,Research & Technology of Iran

101 Does Reproductive Health Care Services Reduce The Risk Of Neonatal Death Among Religious Minority In Matlab, Bangladesh • Lutfun Nahar, ICDDR,B: Centre for Health and Population Research; Abdur Razzaque, ICDDR,B: Centre for Health and Population Research; AHM Golam Mustafa, ICDDR,B: Centre for Health and Population Research

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102 FAMILY STRUCTURE OUTCOMES of ALTERNATIVE FAMILY DEFINITIONS • Charles B. Nam, Florida State University; Kathryn H. Tillman, Florida State University

103 Health, Maternal Mortality and Morbidity: Mother to Child Survival at Higher Risk For Young Women and Teenage Mothers • Onyinye belinda Ndubuisi, Development Partnership International; Comfort Ikechi Uzoho, Development Partnership International

104 Family Policies and Fertility in Europe. Fertility Policies at the Intersection of Gender Polities, Employment Policies and Care Policies • Gerda Neyer, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

105 The impact of population mobility on the availability and the adqeuacy of basic services in resettlement camps arround greater Khartoum • Osman Nour

106 Culture and feeding practices: major underlying causes of childhood malnutrition in developing countries • Olasupo P. Ogunjuyigbe, Obafemi Awolowo University; Ebenezer Ojofeitimi, Obafemi Awolowo University

107 Economic consequences of marital dissolution in Italy: findings from European Community Household Panel • Fausta Ongaro, Università di Padova; Silvia Meggiolaro, Università di Padova; Stefano Mazzuco, Università di Padova

108 Highly educated women and reasons to become a mother at different phases of life • Pirjo Paajanen, The Population Research Institute; Anneli Miettinen, The Population Research Institute

109 Political borders and demographic trends in Europe • Roberta Pace, University of Bari; Lucrezia Andria, University of Bari

110 Mortality Changes Among Elderly in Kerala and India: 1970–2000 • Ramachandran Paida, Sri Venkateswara Univeristy; Jareena Shaik, Sri Venkateswara University

111 Roma/Gypsy Population in Bulgaria as a Challenge for the Policy Relevance • Alexey Pamporov, Institute of Sociology at Bulgarian Academy of Sciences

112 Child Quality-to-Quanity Tradeoff and Fertility in Western European Nations: A Crossnational Analysis • Nick Parr, Macquarie University

113 The disassociation between the onset of sexual and marital life of the urban women and men in Mexico • Adriana Pérez Amador, National Institute of Statistics Geography and Informatics (INEGI)

114 The Division of Household Labour Among Dual-Earner Parents in Norway - The Effect of Employment Schedules. • Silje Vatne Pettersen, Statistics Norway

115 Portrait of Ageing of Population in Georgia • Nato Pitskhelauri, Tbilisi State University; Nino Chikhladze, Tbilisi State University; Tamar Shinjiashvili, Georgian Academy of Sciences

116 Unemployment and matrimony in the territorial aspect in Poland, 1998-2004 • Malgorzata Podogrodzka, Warsaw School of Economics

117 “Reproduction of the species is not compatible with industrial society" (Kingsley Davis, 1937): New Zealand(NZ), a case-study english-speaking country (ESCS) • Ian Pool, University of Waikato; Janet Sceats, Portal Consulting and Associates Ltd.; A Dharmalingam, Monash University

118 Sequencing Norms in Transition to Motherhood in Two Generations of Slovak Women • Michaela Potancokova, Charles University in Prague

119 Advance or delay of the onset of disability among Spanish elderly? 1994-2004 • Maria Dolores Puga, CSIC; Antonio Abellán

120 Mortality Forecasting by Causes of Death in the Framework of Multistate Population Projection • László G. Radnóti, Hungarian Central Statistical Office

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121 Tourism and sexual behavior: experiences of youths in Goa, India • Usha Ram, International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS)

122 Migration and fishing in West Africa • Sara Randall, University College London

123 Child Morbidity and Breastfeeding Status in India • Rajiv Ranjan, International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS); Balram Paswan, International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS)

124 Reproductive tract infections among recently pregnant women in Rural India. An Evidence from Reproductive and Child Health survey • Rajiv Ranjan, International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS); Laishram Ladusingh, International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS)

125 The Influences of Economic Conditions on Fertility Intentions of Russian Men • Dorothea Rieck, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

126 Analysis of Waves of Immigration to Israel, 1989-2001 • Ilan Riss, Israeli Central Bureau of Statistics

127 Aging, Longevity and Lonely Households in the South of Europe: the Spanish Case • Elena Robles, U N E D; Rosa Gómez-Redondo, Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia

128 Estimation of the life expectancy of persons with down’s syndrome through a longitudinal survival model • Aldo Rosano, Italian Institute of Social Medicine

129 Social Contagion of the "Delay Syndrome" in Italy • Alessandro Rosina, Università Cattolica, Milan; Paola Di Giulio, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

130 Contraceptive Frailty: An Analysis of Prospective Contraceptive Histories, France, 2000-2004 • Clementine Rossier, Institut National

d'Études Démographiques (INED); Jean-Marie Le Goff, Université de Lausanne

131 Polish Households Savings for Future Life on Pension • Malgorzata Roszkiewicz, Warsaw School of Economics; Jolanta Perek-Bialas, Jagiellonian University

132 ARE CZECH CHILDREN a MATTER of CONCERN? • Jitka Rychtarikova, Charles University, Prague; Jaroslav Kraus, Charles University, Prague

133 Trends and Differentials in Life Expectancies in India: an Analysis Based on NFHS Data • Sulaja S, Futures Group; Jayachandran V, Futures Group

134 Atlas of reproductive and child health (RCH) in India • Mocherla S.R. Murthy, Sri Venkateswara University; Putcha Venkata, Kings College

135 Participation of males in decision making as an index of their perceived involvement in reproductive and child health in Tamil Nadu, India. • Ravi Sankar, Annamalai University

136 Reaching the Unreached: Older women and the RCH programme in India, the Challenges Ahead • Syamala T. Sankaranarayanan, Institute for Social and Economic Change

137 Population Pressure on Development and Environment in India • Dayanand G Satihal, Indian Institute of Health Management (IIHMR); LD Vaikunthe, Indian Institute of Health Management (IIHMR)

138 A Survey on Social Effective Factors on Women's Job Security: A Case Study of Private Hospitals of Shiraz City (Iran) • Arezou Sayadi, M.A in population and development; saaid Zahed.Zahedani, Shiraz University; Jalil Iranmahboob, Centre for Population Studies & Research

139 Population Projections in Belgium and in France since the 1930s. Confrontation to Reality and Identification of Errors. • Bruno D.

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Schoumaker, Université Catholique de Louvain; Amel Bahri, Université Catholique de Louvain; François Peltier, Université catholique de Louvain

140 The Changing Meaning of Cohabitation: Evidence from Bologna, Italy • Christin Schroeder, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

141 Using Routine Databases of Statutory Sickness Funds for Population Wide Analysis of Depressive Morbidity in Germany. • Friedrich W. Schwartz, Medizinische Hochschule Hannover; Thomas G Grobe, ISEG; Anke Brahmesfeld, Medizinische Hochschule Hannover

142 Fertility: The Dynamic of Birth Interval in Bangladesh • Abdul Hannan Shaikh

143 Value of children, fertility behavious and contraception use in an Agricultural society in Uttar Pradesh, India • Ravendra K. Sharma, Dept. of Biostatistics, Sanjay Gandhi Post Graduate Institute of Medical Sciences

144 Spread of Western Marital Behavior in Georgia • Tamar Shinjiashvili, Georgian Academy of Sciences; Nino Chikhladze, Tbilisi State University; Ketevan Asatashvili, Tbilisi State University

145 Italian people abroad: problems and methods • Angela Silvestrini, ISTAT; Giovanni Cariani, ISTAT; Pier Paolo Pace, Istat (Italian Statistical Office)

146 Village size and Development in India • Abhishek Singh, International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS); Tarun K. Roy, International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS); Sandip Chakraborty, International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS)

147 Couples Reproductive Goals in Two Culturally Contrasting States of North Eastern India • Abhishek Singh, International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS); Faujdar Ram, International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS)

149 Fetters in Advancement of Education and Employment: a Case Study of SC/ST Population in India • Vini Sivanandan, Gokhale Institute of Politics & Economics; Sajikumar S, Department of Economics, University of Kerala, India

150 The Demography of Lone Parenthood in the UK • Alexandra J Skew, University of Southampton

151 Depopulation, Disappearance and Resurgence: The Population History of the Aboriginal People of Victoria • Len Smith, Australian National University; Janet McCalman, University of Melbourne; Ian Anderson, University of Melbourne

152 Reproductive Health Problems Among Urban Women:A Study of Four Metro Cities in India • Ruchi Sogarwal, International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS)

153 The Procreative Behaviours of the Generations Born in 1942 - 1966 in Poland in the Context of Their Plans and Aspirations • Ewa Soja, Cracow University of Economics

154 Be Clear Before Gettitng Involved In Sex: The Impact Of Sex Before Marriage Amongst Young People In Cambodia • Tong Soprach, Public Health, University of Cambodia

155 Internet and Multimedia Demography: What's New? • Eugeny Soroko, Russian Academy of Sciences

156 The situation of the aged people in Benin • Fortuné Sossa, National Institute of the Statistical and the Economic Analysis

157 Regional Cause-of-death Mortality in Spain in 1960 and 1970: A Multivariate Analysis and Tentative Explanations • Jeroen JA Spijker, Centre d'Estudis Demogràfics; Amand Blanes

158 People Mobility and its Model • Oleg V Staroverov, CEMI RAS

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159 Human Capital on the Ageing Labour Market - methods of measurement on example of Poland • Marcin Stonawski, Cracow University of Economics

160 Why on Average Is Not Enough? - The Microsimulation Projection of the Pension Distribution in Poland • Pawel Strzelecki, Warsaw School of Economics

161 At the margins of the welfare state: living arrangements and housing conditions of immigrants in Spain • Elisa Suárez, Spanish Council for Scientific Research; Laura Lorenzo, Spanish Council for Scientific Research; Teresa Castro Martin, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)

162 Old age with and without children: economic implications in Italy • Maria-Letizia Tanturri, University of Pavia; Gustavo De Santis, Università di Messina; Chiara Seghieri, University of Florence

163 An Analysis of The Most Recent National Workshops on Italian Population Studies According To A Network Perspective • Laura Terzera, Università Milano - Bicocca; Giulia Rivellini, Università Cattolica, Milan

164 Family Formation in France: Between Preferences and Social Constraints • Maria Rita Testa, Vienna Institute of Demography; Laurent Toulemon, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

165 Psychosocial work conditions as a predictors of quality of life at the beginning of older age • Beata Tobiasz-Adamczyk; Piotr Brzyski

166 Socio-demographic Analysis of Early Age Mortality in the Southeastern Part of Turkey • Kazim Tug, PhD Student, Turkey

167 Peculiarities of migration processes in post-Soviet Georgia. • Mirian Tukhashvili, Prof., Chief of the Dep. of Labor Economics, Tbilisi State Universi; Tamaz Zubiashvili, Professor, Senior Researcher of the Center for Migration Studies, Tbilisi State University

168 Intergenerational transmission of fertility, review of up to date research and some new evidence from bejsce parish register reconstitution study, 18th – 20th centuries, Poland. • Krzysztof Tymicki, Warsaw School of Economics

169 The alternatives to maternity. exploring the patterns of fertility postponement in Poland using the results of attitude and values survey of young Poles 2001. • Krzysztof Tymicki, Warsaw School of Economics

170 Women's view on women's employment: the case of Afghan migrants in Mashad/Iran • Sajede Vaezzade, Jahad-e Daneshgahi

171 Family Name and Family Structure : Which Perceptions ? • Marie-France Valetas, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

172 Trends in Fertility and population ageing in multiethnic Transylvania (Romania) • Valér Veres, Babes-Bolyai University

173 Physical Accessibility to Government Health Facilities and Health Outcomes: A Study of Selected States Based on NFHS-2, 1998-99 • Kanwaljeet Virdi, Research Scholar

174 The Impact of Internal Migration on Italian Fertility • Michael J. White, Brown University; Anna Paterno, Dipartimento per lo Studio delle Società Mediterranee - Università di Bari; Giuseppe Gabrielli, Dipartimento per lo Studio delle Società Mediterranee - Università di Bari

175 Children’s Experiences of the Work/Life Balance • Helena L Wilson, University of Liverpool

176 Early Childhood Nutrition, Schooling, and Within-sibling Inequality in a Dynamic Context: Evidence from South Africa • Futoshi Yamauchi, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)

177 Fertility Transition and the Progression to Third Birth in Turkey • Sutay Yavuz, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

178 Female sterilization in Turkey • Elif Yigit, Hacettepe University

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179 Male involvement in contraceptive use in Turkey • Elif Yigit, Hacettepe University

180 Benefits of women's education within marriage: evidence from south africa • Haochi Zheng, University of Minnesota

181 The Phenomenon of Patterns: Gender Gaps in Mortality • Nadine Zielonke, Vienna Institute of Demography/ Austrian Academy of Science; Marc Luy, University of Rostock

182 Is the allocation of kidney-transplants among MEDICARE patients in the US maximizing the total gain in health expectancy among all potential recipients ? • Monique Zimmermann-Stenzel, University of Marburg; Ulrich Mueller, University of Marburg

Friday, June 23, 2:00 PM - 3:30 PMRoom 6 -

43 LOW FERTILITY IN EUROPE

Chair: Hans-Peter Kohler, University of Pennsylvania

1 Cohort Birth Order, Parity Progression Ratio and Parity Distribution Trends in Developed Countries • Tomas Frejka, Independent consultant; Jean-Paul Sardon, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

2 A Pooled Time Series Analysis on the Relation between Fertility and Key Fertility-Related Demographic Behavior across Space and Time • Henriette Engelhardt, Austrian Academy of Sciences; Alexia Fuernkranz-Prskawetz, Vienna Institute of Demography; Marija Mamolo, Vienna Institute of Demography and Università di Roma "La Sapienza"

3 Patterns of Low Fertility in Italy • David I. Kertzer, Brown University; Laura Bernardi, Max Planck Institute for Demographic

Research; Giuseppe Gabrielli, Dipartimento per lo Studio delle Società Mediterranee - Università di Bari; Michael J. White, Brown University

4 Lowest-low Fertility and Home-ownership Regimes • Clara H. Mulder, University of Amsterdam; Francesco C. Billari, Università Bocconi

5 Birth replacement ratios in Europe: 1960-2000 • José Antonio Ortega, Universidad de Salamanca; Luis Alberto Del Rey Poveda, Universidad de Salamanca


44 FERTILITY INTENTIONS AND PREFERENCES

Chair: Maria Rita Testa, Vienna Institute of Demography

1 Fertility Intentions in Lowest-Low Fertility Countries: the Case of Italy, Bulgaria, West and East Germany • Paola Di Giulio, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Christoph Buehler, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Andreas Ette, Federal Institute for Population Research; Romina Fraboni, Istituto Nazionale di Statistica (ISTAT); Kerstin Ruckdeschel, Bundesinstitut für Bevoelkerungsforschung

2 Level and Postponement of Fertility Intentions and their Realization: a Study of Bulgaria • Dimiter Philipov, Vienna Institute of Demography

3 Preference Theory - The Case of The Czech Republic • Ladislav Rabusic, Faculty of Social Studies, Masaryk University; Beatrice-Elena Chromková Manea, Faculty of Social Studies, Masaryk University

4 Germany as an Example of the Significance of Labour and Preferences regarding Fertility • Wiebke Rösler, Mikrosoziologie/ Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin; Stefan Stuth; Hans Bertram, Professor Mikrosoziologie

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5 Individual-level Characteristics of Childlessness Intentions in Europe • Tomas Sobotka, Vienna Institute of Demography; Maria Rita Testa, Vienna Institute of Demography


45 HEALTH AND HEALTH INEQUALITIES AT OLDER AGES

Chair: Patrick Festy, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

1 Functional disability and diabetes among Latin American and Caribbean elders • Flavia Andrade, University of Wisconsin at Madison

2 Health Inequalities Tracking Into Old Age: Examples and Prospects from The English Longitudinal Study Of Ageing (ELSA) • Elizabeth Breeze, University College London; Mary Pierce, University College London; James Nazroo, University College London; Michael Marmot, University College London

3 Do Elderly People Feel Sad and Depressed? Mental Health of Ageing People. A Cross-Country Comparison Based on SHARE. • Isabella Buber-Ennser, Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences

4 Gender differences in the onset of disease at old age: the effects of socio-economic and behavioural factors. Results from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing. • Edlira Gjonca, University College London; Arjan Gjonca, London School of Economics

5 Mortality in Old Age: an investigation in the MRC Cognitive Function and Ageing Study (MRC CFAS) • Cherie McCracken, Royal Liverpool University Hospital


46 DETERMINANTS OF HIGH AND INCREASING MORTALITY IN EASTERN EUROPE

Chair: Marta Sugareva, Bulgarian Academy of sciences

1 Interaction between Education, Marital Status, Ethnicity, Place of Residence, and Place of Birth and Cause-Specific Mortality: Evidence from the First Census-Linked Study in Lithuania • Domantas Jasilionis, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Vladimir Shkolnikov, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; France Meslé, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Evgeni Andreev, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Dmitri A. Jdanov, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Dalia Ambrozaitiene, Statistics Lithuania; Vlada Stankuniene, Demographic Research Center, Institute for Social Research; Jacques Vallin, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

2 Patterns of suicide mortality in Russian capitals: influence of megapolis • Diana L Jdanova, Independent Consultant

3 Health Consequences of the German Unification as Reflected by Mortality Patterns in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. • Eva UB Kibele, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Rembrandt Scholz, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Vladimir Shkolnikov, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

4 Labour market participation, income and health in Hungary • Katalin Kovács, Demographic Research Institute

5 Health and Mortality During Transition in Latvia • Juris Krumins, University of Latvia, Dept. of Statistics and Demography; Inta Krumina


47 GENDERING FAMILY DYNAMICS NETWORK 2

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Chair: Livia Olah, Dept. of Sociology, Stockholm University

1 Understanding Parental Gender Preferences in Advanced Societies: Lessons from Childbearing Dynamics in Finland and Sweden • Gunnar Andersson, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Karsten Hank, University of Mannheim; Andres Vikat, United Nations Economic Commission for Europe

2 The Southern European Paradox Revisited: Union Formation in Spain and Portugal • Teresa Castro Martin, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC); Marta Dominguez, IEG-CSIC

3 Relationships in a constant trial: cohabitation as the best choice for achieving gender egalitarian roles within the partnership • Pau Miret-Gamundi, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona; María José González, Full-time associate lecturer, Dept. of Political and Social Sciences, Universitat Pompeu Fabra; Rocio Treviño-Maruri, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona

4 Patterns of First Partnership Formation across Generations and Gender: the Case of Baltic Countries • Allan Puur, Estonian Interuniversity Population Research Centre; Kalev Katus, Estonian Interuniversity Population Research Centre; Asta Põldma, Estonian Interuniversity Population Research Centre


48 CROSS CULTURAL PERSPECTIVES ON RESOURCES AND WELLBEING IN LATER LIFE

Chair: Cecilia Tomassini, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine

1 Poverty and Family Solidarity: a Case-Study of Portuguese Aged Population • Alice Delerue, University of Minho

2 The Distribution of Labour in Local Support Networks Involving Older People: A Comparative Approach • Philip Kreager, Oxford Institute of Ageing; Elisabeth Schroeder-Butterfill, Oxford University

3 Simple transfers, complex outcomes. The impacts of pensions on poor households in Brazil • Peter Lloyd-Sherlock, Unversity of East Anglia

4 Social and Economic Impact of International Migration: A Case Study of Indian Diaspora in the U.K. • Atreyi Majumder, Delhi University


49 GENDER RELEVANT MORTALITY RESEARCH

Chair: Marc Luy, University of Rostock

1 Expected future gains in remaining life expectancy at age 80 in seven European countries • Fanny Janssen, Population Research Centre, Groningen; Anton Kunst, Erasmus Medical Centre, Rotterdam

2 A fixed-effects multilevel analysis of how community family structure affects individual mortality in Norway • Oystein Kravdal, University of Oslo

3 Identifying and Modelling Cohorts with Especially Favourable Mortality Experience • Michael Murphy, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE)

4 Sex Ratio among the Oldest Old. The Effect of Differential Mortality between Italian Regions. • Domenica Rasulo, Office for National Statistics (London, UK); Graziella Caselli, Università di Roma "La Sapienza"

5 Evolution of Sex Differentials in Mortality Among Israeli Jews • Laura Staetsky, University of Southampton

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50 OPEN FORUM 2

Chair: Gijs Beets, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI)

1 The Demographic Profile of Twins : Temptation of Mimetism or Dissimilarity among Co-Twins ? • Nadège Couvert, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

2 Gender Roles and New Family Patterns: Behaviours, Opinions and Attitudes • Daniele Vignoli, University of Rome "La Sapienza" fellow, European Doctoral School of Demography at the MPIDR; Ginevra Di Giorgio, University of Rome La Sapienza, Department of Demography; Francesca Fiori, Università di Roma "La Sapienza"; Elisabetta Santarelli, University of Rome La Sapienza, Department of Demography

3 Parental divorce and union disruption among young adults in Sweden • Ying Hong, Stockholm University; Michael Gahler, Stockholm University; Eva Bernhardt, Stockholm University

4 Does the combination of spouses’ birth orders influence their divorce risk? • Vegard Skirbekk, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA); Torkild Lyngstad, Statistics Norway

5 Fertility and its Consequence on Family Labor Supply and Income • Jungho Kim, Vienna Institute of Demography; Arnstein Aassve, University of Essex

6 Why should demographers study death? • Alain Monnier, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Sophie Pennec, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

7 Preferences for improved parental leave and higher child benefit • Nada Stropnik, Institute for Economic Research; Joze Sambt, University

of Ljubljana; Jirina Kocourková, Department of Demography and Geodemography, Faculty of Science, Charles University

8 Childlessness in the West since the demographic transition: theories, facts, and speculations • Jan Van Bavel, Interface Demography, Vrije Universiteit Brussel


51 DEBATE SESSION ON NEW DIRECTIONS IN POPULATION STUDIES

Chair: Kathleen E. Kiernan, University of York


52 SOCIOECONOMIC INFLUENCES ON FERTILITY

Chair: Aart C. Liefbroer, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI)

1 “Children should be a part of my life, but I don’t know how to manage it.” A qualitative fertility study of highly educated women in Vienna • Katrin Fliegenschnee, Vienna Institute of Demography

2 Educational Attainment and Ultimate Fertility Among Swedish Women Born 1955-59 • Jan Hoem, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Gerda Neyer, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Gunnar Andersson, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

3 Cohort Process to the Lowest Fertility in Poland and Japan: Finding A Common Path in Distant Societies • Ryuichi Kaneko, National Institute

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of Population and Social Security Research, Japan; Ewa Fratczak, Warsaw School of Economics

4 Do Siblings' Fertility Histories Influence Each Other? • Alexia Fuernkranz-Prskawetz, Vienna Institute of Demography; Torkild Lyngstad, Statistics Norway

5 Family Policies and Childbearing Behavior. Theoretical and Methodological Aspects of Research on the Impact of Family Policies on Fertility • Gerda Neyer, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Gunnar Andersson, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research


53 MARITAL DISSOLUTION

Chair: Ann Berrington, University of Southampton

1 Spatial Variations in the Effects of Pre-marital Cohabitation on Subsequent Marital Dissolution • Paul J. Boyle, University of St Andrews; Hill Kulu, Max Planck Institute For Demographic Research

2 Divorce in the arab region: current levels, trends, and,features • [email protected] Somaya M. El-Saadani, American University in Cairo

3 Gender Specific Effects of Partners’ Careers on Family Dissolution in Italy • Irene Ferro, University of Florence; Silvana Salvini, University of Florence; Daniele Vignoli, University of Rome "La Sapienza" fellow, European Doctoral School of Demography at the MPIDR

4 Does premarital cohabitation have a negative impact on the stability of marriage? Empirical evidence for the Italian case • Roberto Impicciatore, Università Bocconi, Milano

5 Women's Economic Independence and Risk of Union Disruption in Russia • Magdalena Muszynska, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research


54 SOCIO-ECONOMIC STATUS DIFFERENCES IN HEALTH AND MORTALITY

Chair: Emmanuelle Cambois, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

1 All-cause and cause-specific mortality differences in Belgium: dimensions of socio-economic position considered • Sylvie Gadeyne, Vrije Universiteit Brussel; Patrick Deboosere, Vrije Universiteit Brussel

2 Social Milieu and the Need for Nursing Care - a Practical Example of the Effects of (not only) Social-economic Differences • Josefine Heusinger, Institut fuer Gerontologische Forschung e. V.

3 Suicide and Pathways between Different Socioeconomic Indicators: a Register-Based Study of Finnish Women • Netta Mäki, University of Helsinki; Pekka Martikainen, University of Helsinki

4 Impact of Nutrition in Mortality, the Case of Antananarivo, Madagascar • Héléna Rajabaly, Université Catholique de Louvain

5 Which Causes of Death Contribute to the Widening Gap in Socioeconomic Inequalities in Austrian Adult Mortality? • Vladimir Canudas-Romo, University of California, Berkeley; Roland Rau, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Gabriele Doblhammer, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Zhen Zhang, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research


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55 BIODEMOGRAPHIC ASPECTS OF MORTALITY ANALYSIS

Chair: France Meslé, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

1 Geographic patterns of population longevity and reproductive longevity in Sardinia. • Graziella Caselli, Università di Roma "La Sapienza"; Daniela Pierannunzio, Dipartimento di Scienze Demografiche, Università di Roma; Paola Astolfi, Dept. Genetics and Microbiology "A.Buzzati-Traverso", Pavia, Italy; Laura Attinia Zonta, Dept. Genetics and Microbiology "A. Buzzati-Traverso"

2 The mortality of twins: a case study using data from the French Family surveys and the French Longitudinal Study (EDP) • Gilles Pison, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Nadège Couvert, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

3 The role of parents’ age at death in the perception of health among the oldest-old • Dorly J. H. Deeg, Institute for Research in Extramural Medicine; Marja Jylha, University of Tampere

4 Transmission of Increased Familial Mortality Risk • Joop Garssen, Statistics Netherlands; Ingeborg Deerenberg, Statistics Netherlands


56 REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH AND FERTILITY

Chair: Laura Bernardi, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

1 Crisis or cultural change? Explaining the growing nonmarital fertility in Romania after 1989 • Cristina Oanes, University di Cluj; Mihaela Haragus, University di Cluj; Maria Castiglioni, University of Padova

2 The Turkish demographic transition. Fertility and Infant mortality. • Jean-Marie Le Goff, Université de Lausanne; Yannic Forney, Université de Lausanne

3 Better Later than Never. The Increase of Late Childbearing in Europe • Hans-Peter Kohler, University of Pennsylvania; Francesco C. Billari, Università Bocconi; Tomas Sobotka, Vienna Institute of Demography


57 MANAGING REGULAR AND IRREGULAR MIGRATION

Chair: Wolfgang Lutz, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)

1 Fostering between Spain and Morocco, Another Way to Get a Legal Status • Núria Empez Vidal, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research and Universidad Autonoma de Barcelona

2 Does the EU Enlargement Decrease the Undocumented Migrations from Central and Eastern Europe: The Experience of Brussels • Mila Paspalanova, Catholic University of Leuven and Catholic University of Brussels

3 The Migratory Policy of International Labour Office in the Euro-Mediterranean area • Michela Camilla Pellicani, University of Bari; CLAUDIO CL LENOCI, INTERNATIONAL LABOUR OFFICE

4 Egyptian Irregular Migration To Europe • Ayman Zohry, Independent Researcher


58 POPULATION FORECAST AND PROJECTIONS OF SMALL AREAS AND SPECIAL GROUPS

Chair: Marek Kupiszewski, CEFMR

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1 Internal Migration in the Norwegian Projection Model • Helge Brunborg, Statistics Norway; Inger Texmon, Statistics Norway; Kjetil Sørlie; Nico Keilman, University of Oslo

2 Two scenarios on Chinese population dynamics based on a multiregional projection model • Mattia Landoni, Duke University / Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

3 Projections of small-area population dynamic in Austria • Stephan Marik-Lebeck, STATISTICS AUSTRIA; Gustav Lebhart, Statistics Austria

4 How small a population can be usefully projected? geography and ethnic group • Ludi Simpson, Cathie Marsh Centre for Census and Survey Research; Paul Norman, Cathie Marsh Centre for Census and Survey Research; Abdelouahid Tajar, University of Manchester

5 Population projections by indigenous status incorporating exogamy and inter-ethnic mobility: a case study of the northern territory, Australia • Tom Wilson, Charles Darwin University

Saturday, June 24, 9:00 AM - 10:30 AMRoom 6 -

59 GENDER AND GENERATIONS

Chair: John Hobcraft, University of York

1 A Six-Item Scale for Measuring Loneliness: Testing the Validity of the Scale and Explaining Differences in Loneliness in Several Countries of the Gender and Generation Programme. • Jenny Gierveld, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI)

2 Recent Demographic Developments in Europe: New Findings from the Generations and Gender Surveys • Andrej Kveder, United Nations

Economic Commission for Europe; Andres Vikat, United Nations Economic Commission for Europe

3 The Generations and Gender Contextual Database • Martin Spielauer, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

4 Generations and Gender Survey (GGS): Towards a Better Understanding of Relationships and Processes in the Life Course • Andres Vikat, United Nations Economic Commission for Europe; Zsolt Speder, Demographic Research Institute, Budapest; Gijs Beets, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI); Francesco C. Billari, Università Bocconi; Christoph Buehler, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Aline Désesquelles, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE); Tineke Fokkema, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute; Jan Hoem, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Alphonse MacDonald; Gerda Neyer, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Ariane Pailhe, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Antonella Pinnelli, Università di Roma "La Sapienza"; Anne Solaz, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)


60 INTERNAL MIGRATION (2)

Chair: Christos Bagavos, Panteion University

1 The Structure of Internal Migration in Australia • Martin Bell, University of Queensland; Tom Wilson, Charles Darwin University; Dominic Brown, University of Queensland; Salut S. Muhidin, University of Queensland

2 Lifetime migration from Turkish birth histories • Elwood Carlson, Florida State University

3 Capturing Temporal Fluctuations in Small Area Populations: Towards a Methodology for the Estimation of Service Populations • Elin Charles-

35

Edwards, University of Queensland; Martin Bell, University of Queensland; Dominic Brown, University of Queensland

4 Chinese Migration: Domestic and International Dimensions • Flemming Christiansen, Department of East Asian Studies; Heather Zhang, University of Chester

5 Return Migration in Australia - A Preliminary Analysis from The 2001 Census • Angelique Parr, University of Queensland; Martin Bell, University of Queensland; Tom Wilson, Charles Darwin University


61 AGEING AND THE ECONOMY

Chair: Ronald Schoenmaeckers, Centrum voor Bevolkings - en Gezinsstudie (CBGS)

1 Workforce ageing and economic productivity. The role of supply and demand for labor for the G7 countries. • Thomas Fent, Vienna Institute of Demography; Alexia Fuernkranz-Prskawetz, Vienna Institute of Demography; Ross Guest, Griffith University

2 The Health Status of Elderly and Their labour Force Participation in Selected States of India: A Multivariate Analysis • Soumitra Ghosh, International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS)

3 Industrial Employment Prospects in Ageing Economies. A Comparison of Japan and Australia. • Ewa Orzechowska-Fischer, Australian Bureau of Statistics

4 Population ageing in Georgia under conditions of economic crisis • Mzia Shelia, PhD, Tbilisi State University, Dep.of Labor Economics;Sen.Reser. Inst. of Demography and Sociologica

5 Population ageing and the measurement of dependency: the case of Germany • David A. Swanson, University of Mississippi


62 POPULATION PROCESSES IN URBAN AREAS

Chair: Anthony G. Champion, University of Newcastle upon Tyne

1 Urbanization in India • Pranati Datta, Indian Statistical Institute

2 Population Challenges at a Regional Level. The Social and Health Districts of Italy. • Giuseppe Gesano, Irpps-Cnr; Frank Heins, IRPPS.CNR, Rome

3 Demographic and Migratory Dynamics of Two Habitats: Private Housing Estates and Housing Projects in Brussels Periurban Area • Jean-Pierre Hermia, Research Fellow FNRS / GéDAP - UCL; Thierry Eggerickx, Université Catholique de Louvain

4 Population dynamics in the four big municipalities in the Netherlands: Selective migration flows to and from the big cities • Han Nicolaas, Statistics Netherlands

5 Suburbanization, Employment Change and commuting in the Tallinn metropolitan area • Tiit Tammaru, University of Tartu


63 PROJECTIONS

Chair: Frans Willekens, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI)

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1 Bayesian Model Averaging in Forecasting International Migration • Jakub Bijak, Central European Forum for Migration Research

2 Demographic Forecasting: Approaches and Developments • Heather Booth, Australian National University

3 Prediction Intervals for Lee-Carter-Based Mortality Forecasts • Nico Keilman, University of Oslo

4 Projecting fertility using synthetic parity progression ratios, with application to Australia and Iran • Peter McDonald, Australian National University; Rebecca Kippen, Australian National University; Bruce Bacon, Member; Meimanat Hossein Chavoshi, Australian National University; Mohammad J. Abbasi-Shavazi , University of Tehran

5 Labour Force Projections: A Case for the Greater Metropolitan Area of New South Wales To 2031 • Yan Tan, Flinders University of South Australia; Sue Richardson, National Institute of Labor Studies, Flinders University of South Australia; Laurence Lester, National Institute of Labor Studies, Flinders University of South Australia


64 DEVELOPMENTAL THINKING ABOUT FAMILIES

Chair: William Gould, University of Liverpool

1 Is polygamy weakening? diversity and trends in Africa during the past 50 years • Véronique Hertrich, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

2 Influence of household environmental factors on child survival in tribal population in India • C.P. Prakasam, International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS),Mumbai,India

3 Trends and Patterns of Population, Development and Destitution in India • Pradeep Kumar Bhargava, Population Research Centre, Dharwad, India; Dayanand G Satihal, Indian Institute of Health Management (IIHMR); G.M. Hiremath, Population Research Centre, Dharwad, India


65 ECONOMIC DETERMINANTS AND EFFECTS OF INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION

Chair: Turgay Unalan, Hacettepe University

1 Economic determinants of international migration types which are sensitive and insensitive to immigration policies • Roel Jennissen, Research and Documentation Centre of the Dutch Ministry of Justice (WODC)

2 Level of education of immigrants and their integration in the Italian labour market. • Sabina Mazza, Università La Sapienza Roma

3 Labour migration in Russia and the CIS countries: social and economic significance and approaches to regulation. • Sergey V. Ryazantsev, Professor

4 A multilevel analysis of returns to education in labour market among ethno-religious minorities in England and Wales • Nabil Khattab, University of Bristol, Department of Sociology; Ibrahim Sirkeci, European Business School London; Tariq Modood, University of Bristol, Department of Sociology; Ron Johnston, University of Bristol, Geography

5 Participation of immigrants in the European Union's national labour markets in a context of complementarity: Substitution or competition with local labour force? • Elena Vidal, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona; Fernando Gil Alonso, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona; Andreu Domingo, Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona

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66 RELIGION AND DEMOGRAPHIC BEAVIOUR

Chair: Arland Thornton, University of Michigan

1 New Times, Old Beliefs: Predicting the Future of Religions in Austria (2001-2051) • Anne Goujon, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) & International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA); Vegard Skirbekk, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA); Katrin Fliegenschnee, Vienna Institute of Demography; Pawel Strzelecki, Warsaw School of Economics

2 Shall the religious inherit the earth?: the political implications of the second demographic transition • Eric P Kaufmann, Lecturer in Politics and Sociology, Birkbeck College, University of London

3 Religiosity and Demographic Events: a Comparative Study of European Countries • Caroline Berghammer, Vienna Institute of Demography; Dimiter Philipov, Vienna Institute of Demography; Tomas Sobotka, Vienna Institute of Demography

Saturday, June 24, 11:00 AM - 12:30 PMRoom 6 -

67 POPULATION AND THE WELFARE STATE

Chair: Arnstein Aassve, University of Essex

1 Marital Disruption and Economic Wellbeing: a Comparative Analysis • Arnstein Aassve, University of Essex; Gianni Betti; Stefano Mazzuco, Università di Padova; Letizia Mencarini, University of Florence

2 The Health Care Bill for Longevity. Forecasting Hospital Expenditure in Germany • Hilke Brockmann, Bremen University; Jutta Gampe, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

3 An explanation of the positive correlation between fertility and female employment across Western European countries • Tomas Kögel, Loughborough University

4 Men and women workforce transitions following childbearing in France • Ariane Pailhe, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Anne Solaz, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)


68 INTERNAL MIGRATION (1)

Chair: Martin Bell, University of Queensland

1 The long-term absent residents in Catalonia. Who are they? What are their common characteristics? • Marc Ajenjo, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona; Albert Sabater, University of Manchester

2 Migration between English city regions: are the highly skilled no longer leaving old industrial cities? • Mike Coombes, University of Newcastle upon Tyne; Anthony G. Champion, University of Newcastle upon Tyne

3 Internal Migration and Educational Attainment in Italy. An Analysis of the 2001 Population Census. • Angela Ferruzza, Instituto Nazionale di Statistica (ISTAT); Frank Heins, IRPPS.CNR, Rome; Mariangela Verrascina, Instituto Nazionale di Statistica (ISTAT)

4 The changes of migration structures of the Finnish regions in the 1990s and the municipality of residence act • Matti Saari, Statistics Finland

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5 The Measurement of International and Internal Migration in the 2010 Global Round of Population Censuses: Twelve Key Recommendations on Questions, Concepts and Procedures • William L J Xu-Doeve, .


69 SOCIAL TIES, LIVING ARRANGEMENTS, CARE AND WELL-BEING IN LATER LIFE

Chair: Gabriele Doblhammer, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

1 The Dynamics of Social Care in the UK • Maria Evandrou, Centre for Research on Ageing, University of Southampton; Jane C Falkingham, Social Statistics, University of Southampton

2 Pattern of Influence of Social Support and Socio-economic Status on Functional Status in the Elderly in Poland • Tomasz Knurowski, Dept. of Medical Sociology, Chair of Epidem. and Prev. Med., Jagiellonian University Medical College; Beata Tobiasz-Adamczyk

3 Long-term Institutionalisation in the Elderly: the Role of Living Arrangements and Chronic Diseases • Elina Nihtila, University of Helsinki; Pekka Martikainen, University of Helsinki

4 Identifying the Components of Quality of Life in Old Age • Fermina Rojo-Perez, Institute of Economics and Geography. Spanish Council for Scientific Research; Gloria Fernandez-Mayoralas, Institute of Economics and Geography. Spanish Council for Scientific Research; Vicente Rodriguez, instituto de economía y geografía; Raul Lardies, Institute of Economics and Geography, Spanish Council for Scientific Research; Maria-Eugenia Prieto-Flores, Institute of Economics and Geography. Spanish Council for Scientific Research; Pablo Martinez-Martin, Institute of Health 'Carlos III', National Centre for Epidemiology; Belen Frades, Institute of Health ‘Carlos III’. National Centre for Epidemiology; Jose-Manuel Rojo-Abuin, Laboratory of Statistical Analysis, Institute of Economics and Geography, CSIC; M. Joao Forjaz, Institute of Health

‘Carlos III’. National Centre for Epidemiology; Beatriz Leon-Salas, Institute of Economics and Geography. Spanish Council for Scientific Research

5 Living Arrangements, Health and Wellbeing Amongst Older People: a European Perspective • Harriet Young, LSHTM; Emily Grundy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine


70 VALUE CHANGES AND FAMILY FORMATION

Chair: Francesco C. Billari, Università Bocconi

1 Modernisation and the cultural practice of consanguineous marriage: a study of four provinces of Iran • Mohammad J. Abbasi-Shavazi , University of Tehran; Peter McDonald, Australian National University; Meimanat Hosseini Chavoshi, Australian National University

2 Emancipation or Marginalization: the Dilemmas of “Desgastada” (Aged) Gambian Women in Spain • Caroline H. Bledsoe, Northwestern University; Papa Sow, Migration Research Group, UAB.

3 Value Changes in Parenthood and Partnership in Bulgaria: Some Results from a Multi-Method Study • Elitsa Dimitrova, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Center for Population Studies

4 The Measurement and Prevalence of Developmental Thinking about the Family: Evidence from Nepal • Arland Thornton, University of Michigan; Dirgha J. Ghimire, University of Michigan; Colter Mitchell, University of Michigan


71 METHODS OF MORTALITY ANALYSIS

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Chair: Arjan Gjonca, London School of Economics

1 AIDS in Sub-Saharan Africa: the Role of Initial Conditions in Shaping AIDS Trajectories • Marco Boeri, Dipartimento Statistica & Matematica Applicata all'Economia; Piero Manfredi, Dipartimento di Statistica & Matematica Applicata all'Economia; Giampaolo Scalia-Tomba, Dipartimento di Matematica, Università Roma 2

2 Seasonality of Mortality in Germany Since 1950 and the Identification of Exceptional Events (Like the Summer Heat Wave of August 2003) • Martin Kohls, University of Rostock; Reiner H. Dinkel, University of Rostock

3 How Tempo Distortions Affect the Comparative Analysis of Mortality: Theoretical and Empirical Considerations • Marc Luy, University of Rostock

4 International cause-of-death database derived from the WHO mortality database • Alfred Nizard, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Alexandre Avdeev, Strasbourg University 2 "Marc Bloch"; Vladimir A. Pshenkin, Moscow State University, Faculty of Economics; Alain Monnier, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)

5 Neonatal mortality: estimation of a structural framework • Marie Vandresse, Université de Louvain


72 REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH AND INFERTILITY

Chair: Zoe Matthews, University of Southampton

1 "I Dreamt I Was Holding a Baby Boy": Infertility in Northern Malawi • Joanne M. Hemmings, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine

2 Childlessness in time, space and social groups and its linkage with fertility in India • Usha Ram, International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS)

3 Infecundity, Late Maternity and Actual Contraception: What Means of Contraception Prefer Women to Postpone Childbirth and not to Become Infertile? • Nina Rusanova, Institute for Socio-Economic Problems of Population RAS


73 VARIOUS METHODS

Chair: Janina Jozwiak, Warsaw School of Economics

1 Attitudes to divorce and non-marital partnerships and individuals’ experience of partnership formation and dissolution: structural equation modelling of reciprocal associations • Peter W.F. Smith, University of Southampton; Ann Berrington, University of Southampton; Patrick Sturgis, University of Surrey

2 Gridded population density in the eu from commune data and land cover information • Javier Gallego, Joint Research Centre of the EU

3 A New Effort to Reconstruct the Population by Age, Sex and Level of Education for all Countries since 1970 • Samir KC, IIASA; Anne Goujon, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) & International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA); Wolfgang Lutz, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)

4 NPST: A Generalized Non-Parametric Seasonality Test • Roland Rau, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

5 The Reconstruction of Fertility Trends with DHS Birth Histories. Application of Poisson Regression to Person-Period Data. • Bruno D. Schoumaker, Université Catholique de Louvain

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74 MORTALITY AND REPRODUCTION

Chair: Patrick Deboosere, Vrije Universiteit Brussel

1 Population and environment in Northern Italy during the 16th Century • Guido Alfani, Bocconi University

2 Ageing in Transition. Austria and Hungary 1985-2000 • Etelka Daróczi, Budapest University

3 The Reproductive Revolution • John MacInnes, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona; Julio Perez Diaz, Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona

4 Mortality of cohabitants with common children versus married with children: a study based on Norwegian register-data 1987-2003 • Svenn-Erik Mamelund, University of Oslo

5 Regional development and mortality decline in Spain (1860-1950) • Francisco Muñoz-Pradas, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona; Xavier Cussó-Segura

Saturday, June 24, 12:30 PM - 2:00 PMRoom 6 -

75 CLOSING SESSION AND AWARDS

Chair : Janina Jóźwiak, EAPS President

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Documents

2002 Meeting Program Summary - European … · Web view1 EAPS ADVISORY BOARD MEETING Chair: James Vaupel, Max Plank Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany Wednesday,