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2. Post-Cold War Era. Threat???? Global Peace? No rival power? No rival ideology? Does US need a national security strategy anymore?. GHW Bush 1992 Defense Guidance Leaked and disavowed. Threat Emergence of a peer competitor Resurgent Russia China Regional powers (with WMD?) Iraq Iran - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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2. Post-Cold War Era
• Threat????
• Global Peace?
• No rival power?
• No rival ideology?
• Does US need a national security strategy anymore?
GHW Bush 1992 Defense GuidanceLeaked and disavowed
Threat•Emergence of a peer competitor
– Resurgent Russia– China
•Regional powers (with WMD?)– Iraq– Iran– North Korea
Hegemonic Realism?
Soviet superpower gone.
US superpower remains.
GHW Bush StrategyMaintain Core Strategy
1.Nuclear Deterrence
2.Forward Presence
3.Peacetime Military Strength
4.Own the sea
5.NATO and other alliances
6.Free Trade and Commerce
7.Spread Democracy**
Additions to Core Strategy
1. Missile defense2. Defense cuts
• Base force and Reconstitution
3. US maintenance of global and regional balance of power
US
Russia China Europe Japan
Balancer in Regional Relationships
Crush Regional Aggressors; Reestablish Regional Balance of Power
Clinton Idealist National Security
Replacing the Truman Doctrine?
Threats?
• Regional Instability• Regional powers with WMD
– Iran, Iraq, N. Korea
• Threats to democratic transitions– Transnational problems • terrorism, drug trafficking, organized crime
US Role?
• Building post-cold war order based on Liberal-democracy
En-En Strategy
Innovations?
1.Free Trade and Commerce1. BEM
2.Spread Democracy**
3.NATO and other alliances
4.Nuclear Deterrence and missile defense
5.Forward Presence
6.Peacetime Military Strength
7.Own the sea
New Elements of Strategy
1. Focus on regional threats
• Iran, North Korea
2. Human Rights and Humanitarian Crises
• Haiti, Somalia, Bosnia
Humanitarian InterventionSomalia 1992-1994
The Ground
Bosnia 1995
The Air
3. Power Projection US military activities everywhere
Combat
• Somalia• Haiti• Bosnia• Iraq• Sudan• Afghanistan• Kosovo• Taiwan Strait
Humanitarian
• Liberia• East Timor• Guinea-Bissau• Sierra Leone• Thailand/Cambodia• Central African
Republic• Gabon and Congo
4. Two Overlapping Major Regional Contingencies (MRCs)
MRC One
MRC Two
Time
5. Military Operations Other Than WarMOOTW