2 Auctions

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    1/25

    Auctions

    If you learn about

    Auction equivalencesYou'll save time online.

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    2/25

    Why use auctions?

    Market forces are your new best friend!

    Auctions can help determine how much

    something is worth. (Ex: Keyword searches)

    Auctions can prevent collusion.

    Auctions can be used to sell something fast.

    (The Aalsmeer flower auction conducts 50,000auctions each morningin the worlds largest

    commercial buildingusing a Dutch auction.)

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    3/25

    Two types ofopen auctions

    Ascending auction (a.k.a. English auction):

    Price starts lowand goes up until Going once,

    going twice, going three times, sold!

    Examples: Silent auctions (usually), eBay, etc.

    Descending auction (a.k.a. Dutch auction):

    Price goes high and goes down until someone

    indicates a willingness to buy.

    Examples: Bargain basements (additional

    10% off each week), Aalsmeer flower

    auction.

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    4/25

    Dutch auction clock at Aalsmeer

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    5/25

    Two types of sealed-bid auctions

    First-price sealed-bid auction: Highest bidder

    wins and pays their own bid.

    Second-price sealed-bid auction: Highest

    bidder wins but only pays the second-highest

    bid.

    Example: Jane has the highest bid of $100 and

    Mike is second with $90, so Jane wins but only

    pays the $90.

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    6/25

    Aside: Multi-unit auctions

    Many multi-unit auctions are generalized 2nd-

    price sealed-bid auctions, i.e., you have 100

    items to auction off so you take the top 100

    bids and charge them all the 101st highest bid.

    Example: Treasury auctions of public debt.

    Example: Electricitysupply. (Enron?)

    Example: Keywordsearches.

    Example: Googles IPO.

    http://www.newyorkfed.org/aboutthefed/fedpoint/fed41.htmlhttp://archive.ite.journal.informs.org/Vol4No1/FarrFelder/http://www.springer.com/economics/environmental/book/978-3-540-85364-0http://www.gsb.stanford.edu/news/research/econ_ostrovsky_internetauction.shtmlhttp://www2009.eprints.org/23/http://dealbook.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/08/19/googles-ipo-5-years-later/?hphttp://dealbook.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/08/19/googles-ipo-5-years-later/?hphttp://www2009.eprints.org/23/http://www.gsb.stanford.edu/news/research/econ_ostrovsky_internetauction.shtmlhttp://www.springer.com/economics/environmental/book/978-3-540-85364-0http://archive.ite.journal.informs.org/Vol4No1/FarrFelder/http://www.newyorkfed.org/aboutthefed/fedpoint/fed41.html
  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    7/25

    Four types of auctions

    Ascending: Price starts lowand goes up.

    Descending: Price goes high and goes down.

    First-price sealed-bid: Highest bidder wins andpays their own bid.

    Second-price sealed-bid: Highest bidder

    winner but only pays the second-highest bid. Questions: What are good bidding strategies

    and which auction maximizes revenue?

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    8/25

    Four types of auctions

    Ascending: Price starts lowand goes up.

    Descending: Price goes high and goes down.

    First-price sealed-bid: Highest bidder wins andpays their own bid.

    Second-price sealed-bid: Highest bidder wins

    but only pays the second-highest bid. Questions: What are good bidding strategies?

    Which auction maximizes revenue?

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    9/25

    Four types of auctions

    Ascending: Price starts lowand goes up.

    Descending: Price goes high and goes down.

    First-price sealed-bid: Highest bidder wins andpays their own bid.

    Second-price sealed-bid: Highest bidder wins

    but only pays the second-highest bid. Question: Why use a 2nd-price sealed-bid

    auction when you can use a 1st-price one?

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    10/25

    True values

    Assume each bidder has a true value that

    doesnt change.

    Your true value is your maximum willingness

    to pay.

    If my true value is $100, then Id be willing to

    pay any amount less than $100 for the item, I

    would not be willing to pay any amount more

    than $100 for the item, and at a price of

    exactly$100 Im indifferent.

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    11/25

    Bidding strategies (sealed-bid)

    In a 1st-price sealed-bid auction, bidders do

    not have a dominant strategy.

    Example: In a first-price sealed-bid auction for

    an item that you value at a max of $100, if the

    highest bid other than yours is $50 then you

    want to bid $51, and if the highest bid other

    than yours is $20 then you want to bid $21.

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    12/25

    Bidding strategies (sealed-bid)

    In a 1st-price sealed-bid auction, bidders do

    not have a dominant strategy.

    Theres no dominant strategy, but you

    definitely want to shade your bid, i.e., bid less

    than your true value.

    If you dont shade your bid then youll never

    get ahead!

    How much to shade your bid is a difficult

    question. (Do an expected value calculation!)

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    13/25

    Bidding strategies (sealed-bid)

    In a 2nd-price sealed-bid auction, bidders do

    have a dominant strategy: bid your true value!

    Proof in a moment.

    But first notice the implication for the

    question about why youd want to use a 2nd-

    price auction instead of a 1st-price auction.

    You get higher bids in a 2nd-price auction!

    So now its not clear which one is better

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    14/25

    Bidding strategies (sealed-bid)

    In a 2nd-price sealed-bid auction, bidders do

    have a dominant strategy: bid your true value!

    Bidding your true value is a dominant strategy

    means that you cannot do better regardless of

    what others bid.

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    15/25

    Bidding strategies (sealed-bid)

    In a 2nd-price sealed-bid auction, bidders do

    have a dominant strategy: bid your true value!

    Part I: If your true value is $100 and someone

    bids more than your true value (say $125), can

    you do better than bidding your true value?

    No: The only way to win the auction involves

    paying $125 or more for an item when your

    maximum willingness to pay is only $100.

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    16/25

    Bidding strategies (sealed-bid)

    In a 2nd-price sealed-bid auction, bidders do

    have a dominant strategy: bid your true value!

    Part II: If your true value is $100 and everyone

    bids less than your true value, can you do

    better than bidding your true value?

    No: You only pay the second-highest bid, so

    lowering your bid doesnt help you!

    Look at the expected value calculation!

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    17/25

    Bidding strategies (sealed-bid)

    In a 2nd-price sealed-bid auction, bidders do

    have a dominant strategy: bid your true value!

    Summary: Bidding less than your true value

    doesnt help you; it just exposes you to the

    risk of losing an auction youd like to win.

    Bidding more than your true value doesnt

    help you; it just exposes you to the risk of

    winning an auction youd like to lose (youd

    end up paying more than your true value).

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    18/25

    Auction equivalences

    A descending auction is strategically

    equivalentto a 1st-price sealed bid auction!

    What is a bidders strategy in a descending

    auction? If you have to go pee, what do you

    tell Sam to do in order to bid for you?

    Click the button or say Mine! at (say) $75.

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    19/25

    Auction equivalences

    Now imagine that everyone has to go pee and

    asks Sam to bid for them.

    Sam can tell whos going to win!

    The person with the highest bid is going to

    win

    and theyre going to pay their own bid.

    So a descending auction is strategically

    equivalentto a 1st-price sealed bid auction!

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    20/25

    Auction equivalences

    An ascending auction is strategically

    equivalentto a 2nd-price sealed bid auction!

    What is a bidders strategy in an ascending

    auction? If you have to go pee, what do you

    tell Sam to do in order to bid for you?

    Keep bidding but dont bid more than my true

    value, which is (say) $100.

    (Note the dominant strategy!)

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    21/25

    Auction equivalences

    Now imagine that everyone has to go pee and

    asks Sam to bid for them.

    Sam can tell whos going to win!

    The person with the highest bid is going to

    win

    but they only pay the 2nd-highest price!

    So an ascending auction is strategically

    equivalentto a 2nd-price sealed bid auction!

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    22/25

    Auction equivalences

    An ascending price auction is strategically

    equivalentto a 2nd-price sealed bid auction!

    This is why eBay offers automatic bidding,

    which turns ascending auctions into 2nd-price

    sealed-bid auctions.

    (Complication: Why do people often wait until

    the last minute to submit eBay bids?)

    http://pages.ebay.com/help/buy/automatic-bidding.htmlhttp://pages.ebay.com/help/buy/automatic-bidding.html
  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    23/25

    Revenue equivalence theorem

    We know that descending auctions are

    strategically equivalent to 1st-price sealed-bid

    auctions and that bidders will shade their

    bids.

    We know that ascending auctions are

    strategically equivalent to 2nd-price sealed-bid

    auctions and that bidding your true value is adominant strategy.

    Which of these pairs is better for the seller?

  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    24/25

    Revenue equivalence theorem

    The revenue equivalence theorem says that in

    many circumstances the expected revenue for

    the seller is the same in all four types of

    auctions!

    Proof is too hard for this class, but a simple-ish

    example is in Vickreys pioneering article.

    2nd-price sealed bid auctions are sometimes

    called Vickrey auctions in his honor.

    http://www.wenli.net/teaching/752/Vickrey.pdfhttp://www.wenli.net/teaching/752/Vickrey.pdf
  • 7/30/2019 2 Auctions

    25/25

    Concluding thought

    Market forces are your new best friend!

    Try to get yourself to take your hand off the

    steering wheel a bit