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19 - Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model The Twenty-Sixth International Training Course Page 1 19. Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model October 24 – November 11, 2016 Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA Mark Snell Adversary Sequence Diagram Model Learning Objectives After completing this module, you should be able to: Identify an Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) and describe what it represents Describe why an ASD is useful in the analysis of a PPS Identify the three steps to use when developing an ASD Develop an ASD for an example facility 2

19. Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model - sandia.gov · 19. Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model October 24 – November 11, 2016 Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA Mark Snell Adversary

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19 - Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model

The Twenty-Sixth International Training Course

Page 1

19. Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model

October 24 – November 11, 2016Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA

Mark Snell

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

Learn ing Object ives

After completing this module, you should be able to:• Identify an Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) and

describe what it represents• Describe why an ASD is useful in the analysis of a PPS• Identify the three steps to use when developing an ASD• Develop an ASD for an example facility

2

19 - Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model

The Twenty-Sixth International Training Course

Page 2

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

INFCIRC/225/Revis ion 5

• Chapter 4 – Requirements for measures against unauthorized removal of nuclear material in use and storage

• Chapter 5 – Requirements for measures against sabotage of nuclear facility and nuclear materials in use and storage

3

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

Adversary Sequence Diagram

Adversary Sequence Diagram: A graphical model used to help evaluate the effectiveness of the PPS at a facility• ASD represents

Paths that adversaries can follow to accomplish sabotage or theft PPS elements along paths

• ASD is used to determine the most vulnerable path for specific PPS and threat

4

19 - Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model

The Twenty-Sixth International Training Course

Page 3

Off Site

Site Security Area

Building Protected Area

Controlled Building

Controlled Room

Target Enclosure

Physical Areas

Protection Layer

Path Elements

Target Location

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

Concept of Adversary Sequence Diagram

• Composed of layers• Target locations that define an ASD are at the bottom

5

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

Three Steps to Create an Adversary Sequence D iagram1. Model the facility by separating it into adjacent physical

areas2. Define protection layers in terms of path elements

between areas3. Assign minimum probability of detection (PD) and delay

time (T) for each path element and physical area

6

19 - Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model

The Twenty-Sixth International Training Course

Page 4

Building Protected Area

Site Security Area

Off Site

Controlled Room

Controlled Building

Target

Enclosure

Target

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

Fac i l i ty

7

Off Site

Site Security Area

Building Protected Area

Controlled Building

Controlled Room

Target Enclosure

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

S tep 1: Model the Fac i l i ty

• Separate it into adjacent physical areas

8

19 - Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model

The Twenty-Sixth International Training Course

Page 5

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

S tep 2: Def ine Protect ion Layers

• Identify protection layers at the facility• Each protection layer separates two physical areas

9

Physical Area

Site Security Area

Building Protected Area

Controlled Building

Controlled Room

Target Enclosure

Protection Layers

Off Site

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

S tep 2: Def ine Protect ion Layers (cont ’d)

• Identify Path Elements in Protection Layers A Path Element is any distinct part of the protection layer

between two physical areas An adversary must pass over, under, around or through a Path

Element to move between adjacent physical areas

10

19 - Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model

The Twenty-Sixth International Training Course

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Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

S tep 3: Ass ign Detect ion and Delay Values

• Assign minimum Probability of Detection (PD) and delay time (T) for each path element and physical area

11

• Path elements

Determine minimum PD• Intrusion detection • Entry control• Human surveillance• Contraband and Category 1 

detection

Determine minimum delay time• Barriers• Security officers• Locks• Theft or sabotage tasks

• Physical areas Determine minimum PD

• Intrusion detection• Human surveillance

Determine minimum delay time 

• Security officers• Transit time

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

Sample Fac i l i ty

12

Off Site

Site Campus

Fence

Gate

Secure Room

Reactor Area

Target

Reactor Building

Reactor Complex

Isolation Zone

Vehicle Portal

Personnel Portal

DOOR

DOOR

DOORSURFACE

SURFACE

DOOR

19 - Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model

The Twenty-Sixth International Training Course

Page 7

Off Site

Site Campus

Reactor Complex

Reactor Building

Reactor Area

Secure Room

Physical Areas

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

S tep 1: Model the Sample Fac i l i ty

• Separate it into adjacent physical areas

13

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

S tep 2: Def ine Protec t ion Layers - Path E lements in Layer around S i te Campus Area

14

Off Site

Site Campus

Fence

Gate

Secure Room

Reactor Area

Target

Reactor Building

Reactor Complex

Isolation Zone

Vehicle Portal

Personnel Portal

DOOR

DOOR

DOORSURFACE

SURFACE

DOOR

19 - Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model

The Twenty-Sixth International Training Course

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Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

P rotect ion Layer around Si te Campus Area

15

Path Elements

Physical Area

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

S tep 2: Def ine Protec t ion Layers - Path E lements in Layer Around Reactor Complex

16

Off Site

Site Campus

Fence

Gate

Secure Room

Reactor Area

Target

Reactor Building

Reactor Complex

Isolation Zone

Vehicle Portal

Personnel Portal

DOOR

DOOR

DOORSURFACE

SURFACE

DOOR

19 - Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model

The Twenty-Sixth International Training Course

Page 9

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

P ro tec t ion Layer around the Reactor Complex

17

Path Elements

Protection Layer

Physical Areas

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

Th i rd Protec t ion Layer a t the Sample Fac i l i tyOff Site

Site Campus

Fence

Gate

Secure Room

Reactor Area

Target

Reactor Building

Reactor Complex

Isolation Zone

Vehicle Portal

Personnel Portal

DOOR

DOOR

DOORSURFACE

SURFACE

DOOR

18

19 - Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model

The Twenty-Sixth International Training Course

Page 10

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

S tep 2: Def ine Protec t ion Layers - Path E lements in Layer around Reactor Bu i ld ing

19

Path Elements

Protection Layer

Physical Areas

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

Pa th E lements f rom Reactor Complex to Reactor Bu i ld ing• Include characteristically different path elements in each protection layer• Multiple path elements with the same characteristics can be represented by

a single element

20

ASD Depiction

Indicates Not Present

19 - Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model

The Twenty-Sixth International Training Course

Page 11

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

Completed S i te -Spec i f i c ASD for Sample Fac i l i ty

21

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

Example of a Jump

22

Off Site

Site Campus

Fence

Gate

Secure Room

Reactor Area

Target

Reactor Building

Reactor Complex

Isolation Zone

Vehicle Portal

Personnel Portal

DOOR

DOOR

DOORSURFACE

SURFACE

DOOR

19 - Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model

The Twenty-Sixth International Training Course

Page 12

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

Jumps Create Redundanc ies When Protec t ion Layers Are Ident i f ied around Adjacent Areas • The same path element will appear in protection areas around two or more

adjacent physical areas

23Path elements in protection layer around the Secure Room

Common Elements

Path elements in protection layer boundary around Reactor Area

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

S i te -Spec i f i c ASD for Sample Fac i l i ty w i th a Jump

24

Representation of Jump

19 - Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model

The Twenty-Sixth International Training Course

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Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

Mul t ip le ASDs May Be Required

• A different ASD may be required for each unique situation Target Target location (glove box versus floor vault) Facility condition (day, night, normal operation, shutdown,

refueling, etc.) Adversary objective (theft or sabotage) Threat characteristics

• The complexity of multiple targets may be reduced by examining “worst-case” or “bounding” situations

25

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

S tep 3: Ass ign Detect ion and Delay Values

• Assign minimum Probability of Detection (PD) and delay time (T) for each path element and physical area

26

• Path element

Determine minimum PD• Intrusion detection • Entry control• Human surveillance• Contraband and Category 1 

detection

Determine minimum delay time• Barriers• Security officers• Locks• Theft or sabotage tasks

• Physical area Determine minimum PD

• Intrusion detection• Human surveillance

Determine minimum delay time 

• Security officers• Transit time

Data for the detection and delay values can be found in the hypothetical facility data book.

19 - Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model

The Twenty-Sixth International Training Course

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Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

M in imum Performance Values

• Minimum performance data are used for each path element and physical area to provide a conservative estimate of system performance

• Review data for each path element and select the minimum performance value that is within the DBT capabilities

• PD and delay time values do not have to be for the same DBT tool set

27

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

Path E lement Example

• Building Door Characteristics 10-cm wood door with metal sheeting Balanced magnetic switch position sensor Vibration sensor

• DBT capabilities Traveling on foot Hand tools / Power tools Explosives

28

19 - Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model

The Twenty-Sixth International Training Course

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ComponentType

ComponentDescription

No Equipment

HandTools (sec)

Power Tools (sec)

Explosives (sec) Land Vehicle(sec)Stage 1 Stage 2

Doors 10 cm wood door with metal sheeting

Infinite 300 180 30 0 5 for large vehicle door

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

Path E lement Data• Door penetration time: 30 sec

• Probability of detection: 0.4

29

Component Type

Component Description No Equipment

P(D)

Hand Tools P(D)

Power Tools P(D)

High Explosives P(D)

Land Vehicle P(D)

Position Sensors

Position Switch 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 N/A

Balanced Magnetic Switch 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 N/A

Barrier Sensors

Vibration 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.9 N/A

Glass Breakage 0.9 0.6 0.6   0.9 N/A

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

Path E lement – PD and Delay Time Example

30

19 - Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model

The Twenty-Sixth International Training Course

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Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

Phys ica l Area Example

• Research Complex 30 meters minimum distance from isolation zone to building Random patrol by guards

• DBT Capabilities Traveling on foot Hand tools / power tools Explosives

31

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

Phys ica l Area Data

• Transit time: 6 seconds (Data book, Table 18, Running Rates; running with tools)

• Probability of detection: 0.02 (Security Officer on random patrol)

32

Component Type

Component Description No Equipment

P(D)

Small Arms P(D)

Light Antitank Weapons

(LAW) P(D)

Independent of threat attribute

P(D)

SO on Patrol

Random .02 Scheduled .01

19 - Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model

The Twenty-Sixth International Training Course

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Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

ASD – Phys ica l Area PD and Delay Example

33

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

Requ i rements Can Be L inked to ASD Features

• May be useful to identify security areas associated with physical areas

34

19 - Adversary Sequence Diagram (ASD) Model

The Twenty-Sixth International Training Course

Page 18

Adversary Sequence Diagram Model

Summary

• An ASD represents Paths that adversaries can follow to accomplish sabotage or theft PPS elements along paths

• ASD is used to determine the most vulnerable path for a specific PPS and threat

• Three steps used to create an ASD 1. Model the facility by separating it into adjacent physical areas2. Define protection layers in terms of path elements between

areas3. Assign probability of detection (PD) and delay time (T) for each

path element and physical area

35