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Co-benefits of increased ambition Achieved and missed benefits of INDCs Thomas Day, 25 May 2016, Carbon Expo

160525 NewClimate Co-benefits of increased ambition€¦ · Co-benefits of increased ambition Achieved and missed benefits of INDCs Thomas Day, 25 May 2016, Carbon Expo

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Page 1: 160525 NewClimate Co-benefits of increased ambition€¦ · Co-benefits of increased ambition Achieved and missed benefits of INDCs Thomas Day, 25 May 2016, Carbon Expo

Co-benefits of increased ambitionAchieved and missed benefits of INDCs

Thomas Day, 25 May 2016, Carbon Expo

Page 2: 160525 NewClimate Co-benefits of increased ambition€¦ · Co-benefits of increased ambition Achieved and missed benefits of INDCs Thomas Day, 25 May 2016, Carbon Expo

Background

Considerable time invested in analysis of mitigation costs.

Mitigation policy making typically neglects to consider the potential benefits of mitigation action.

Estimating other benefits could:

• increase willingness to undertake ambitious mitigation actions

• increase the cost efficiency of doing so

• accelerate implementation.

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Page 3: 160525 NewClimate Co-benefits of increased ambition€¦ · Co-benefits of increased ambition Achieved and missed benefits of INDCs Thomas Day, 25 May 2016, Carbon Expo

Aims of the project

Develop methodologies for the indicativequantification of co-benefits

Major gap reported by many stakeholders

Could be used in projects attached to carbon pricing or market mechanisms

Demonstrate the role for a thorough consideration of co-benefits in climate policy planning to increase ambition

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Page 4: 160525 NewClimate Co-benefits of increased ambition€¦ · Co-benefits of increased ambition Achieved and missed benefits of INDCs Thomas Day, 25 May 2016, Carbon Expo

What was assessed

Cost savings through reduction of fossil fuel imports

Premature deaths from ambient air pollution prevented

Creation of decent green jobs in the renewable energy sector

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3 Benefits

11 Countries

US, EU, Canada, Japan, Chile,

Australia, South Africa, Turkey,

China, Switzerland, India

Page 5: 160525 NewClimate Co-benefits of increased ambition€¦ · Co-benefits of increased ambition Achieved and missed benefits of INDCs Thomas Day, 25 May 2016, Carbon Expo

Methodologies

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Analysis of three scenarios

Page 6: 160525 NewClimate Co-benefits of increased ambition€¦ · Co-benefits of increased ambition Achieved and missed benefits of INDCs Thomas Day, 25 May 2016, Carbon Expo

Methodologies

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Benefit calculations

Full, repeatable methodologies available in the Annex of the full length repot (online).

Focus on indicative, rather than scientifically precise calculation methodologies

Determination of energy

related CO2

emissions under 3

scenarios

Assumed emissions of

local air pollutants, SO2

and NOx

Assumed PM2.5

concentrations based

Contribution of PM2.5

concentrations to death rate

E.g. Premature deaths due to air pollution

Page 7: 160525 NewClimate Co-benefits of increased ambition€¦ · Co-benefits of increased ambition Achieved and missed benefits of INDCs Thomas Day, 25 May 2016, Carbon Expo

Results

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Detailed results preview

Detailed results available for all three indicators in all 11 countries.

See full-length report

Page 8: 160525 NewClimate Co-benefits of increased ambition€¦ · Co-benefits of increased ambition Achieved and missed benefits of INDCs Thomas Day, 25 May 2016, Carbon Expo

Results summary

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Cost savings from fossil fuel imports

Page 9: 160525 NewClimate Co-benefits of increased ambition€¦ · Co-benefits of increased ambition Achieved and missed benefits of INDCs Thomas Day, 25 May 2016, Carbon Expo

Results summary

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Reduced premature deaths from ambient air pollution

Page 10: 160525 NewClimate Co-benefits of increased ambition€¦ · Co-benefits of increased ambition Achieved and missed benefits of INDCs Thomas Day, 25 May 2016, Carbon Expo

Results summary

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Creation of decent green jobs in renewable energy

Page 11: 160525 NewClimate Co-benefits of increased ambition€¦ · Co-benefits of increased ambition Achieved and missed benefits of INDCs Thomas Day, 25 May 2016, Carbon Expo

Recap

Consideration of co-benefits can reduce perceived costs and increase ambition

Major role for indicative quantification tools

The “missed” co-benefits are scales larger than those achieved by the countries analysed

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Page 12: 160525 NewClimate Co-benefits of increased ambition€¦ · Co-benefits of increased ambition Achieved and missed benefits of INDCs Thomas Day, 25 May 2016, Carbon Expo

Thank you for your attention!

Contact details:

Thomas Day

[email protected]

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