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12.5 – Probability of Compound Events

12.5 – Probability of Compound Events

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12.5 – Probability of Compound Events. Probability of Independent Events P( A and B ) = P( A ) · P( B ). Probability of Independent Events P( A and B ) = P( A ) · P( B ) - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

12.5 – Probability of Compound Events

Page 2: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Probability of Independent EventsP(A and B) = P(A) · P(B)

Page 3: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Probability of Independent EventsP(A and B) = P(A) · P(B)

Ex. 1 A bag contains 6 black marbles, 9 blue marbles, 4 yellow marbles, and 2 green marbles. A marble is selected, replaced, and a second marble is selected. Find the probability of selecting a black marble, ehtn a yellow marble.

Page 4: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Probability of Independent EventsP(A and B) = P(A) · P(B)

Ex. 1 A bag contains 6 black marbles, 9 blue marbles, 4 yellow marbles, and 2 green marbles. A marble is selected, replaced, and a second marble is selected. Find the probability of selecting a black marble, ehtn a yellow marble.

P(black, yellow) = P(black) · P(yellow)

Page 5: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Probability of Independent EventsP(A and B) = P(A) · P(B)

Ex. 1 A bag contains 6 black marbles, 9 blue marbles, 4 yellow marbles, and 2 green marbles. A marble is selected, replaced, and a second marble is selected. Find the probability of selecting a black marble, ehtn a yellow marble.P(black, yellow) = P(black) · P(yellow)= 6_ . 4_ 21 21

Page 6: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Probability of Independent EventsP(A and B) = P(A) · P(B)

Ex. 1 A bag contains 6 black marbles, 9 blue marbles, 4 yellow marbles, and 2 green marbles. A marble is selected, replaced, and a second marble is selected. Find the probability of selecting a black marble, ehtn a yellow marble.P(black, yellow) = P(black) · P(yellow)= 6_ . 4_ = 24_ 21 21 441

Page 7: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Probability of Independent EventsP(A and B) = P(A) · P(B)

Ex. 1 A bag contains 6 black marbles, 9 blue marbles, 4 yellow marbles, and 2 green marbles. A marble is selected, replaced, and a second marble is selected. Find the probability of selecting a black marble, ehtn a yellow marble.P(black, yellow) = P(black) · P(yellow)= 6_ . 4_ = 24_ ≈ 5.4% 21 21 441

Page 8: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Probability of Dependent EventsP(A and B) = P(A) · P(B following A)

Page 9: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Probability of Dependent EventsP(A and B) = P(A) · P(B following A)

Ex. 2 Cynthia randomly draws three cards from a standard deck one at a time without replacement. Find the probability that the first card is a diamond, the second a spade, and the third a diamond.

Page 10: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Probability of Dependent EventsP(A and B) = P(A) · P(B following A)

Ex. 2 Cynthia randomly draws three cards from a standard deck one at a time without replacement. Find the probability that the first card is a diamond, the second a spade, and the third a diamond.P(d, s, d) = P(diamond) · P(spade) · P(diamond)

Page 11: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Probability of Dependent EventsP(A and B) = P(A) · P(B following A)

Ex. 2 Cynthia randomly draws three cards from a standard deck one at a time without replacement. Find the probability that the first card is a diamond, the second a spade, and the third a diamond.P(d, s, d) = P(diamond) · P(spade) · P(diamond)

= 13_ 52

Page 12: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Probability of Dependent EventsP(A and B) = P(A) · P(B following A)

Ex. 2 Cynthia randomly draws three cards from a standard deck one at a time without replacement. Find the probability that the first card is a diamond, the second a spade, and the third a diamond.P(d, s, d) = P(diamond) · P(spade) · P(diamond)

= 13_ . 13_ 52 51

Page 13: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Probability of Dependent EventsP(A and B) = P(A) · P(B following A)

Ex. 2 Cynthia randomly draws three cards from a standard deck one at a time without replacement. Find the probability that the first card is a diamond, the second a spade, and the third a diamond.P(d, s, d) = P(diamond) · P(spade) · P(diamond)= 13_ . 13_ . 12_ 52 51 50

Page 14: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Probability of Dependent EventsP(A and B) = P(A) · P(B following A)

Ex. 2 Cynthia randomly draws three cards from a standard deck one at a time without replacement. Find the probability that the first card is a diamond, the second a spade, and the third a diamond.P(d, s, d) = P(diamond) · P(spade) · P(diamond)

= 13_ . 13_ . 12_ 52 51 50 = 1_ . 13_ . 6_ 4 51 25

Page 15: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Probability of Dependent EventsP(A and B) = P(A) · P(B following A)

Ex. 2 Cynthia randomly draws three cards from a standard deck one at a time without replacement. Find the probability that the first card is a diamond, the second a spade, and the third a diamond.P(d, s, d) = P(diamond) · P(spade) · P(diamond)

= 13_ . 13_ . 12_ 52 51 50 = 1_ . 13_ . 6_ = 13_ 4 51 25 850

Page 16: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Probability of Dependent EventsP(A and B) = P(A) · P(B following A)

Ex. 2 Cynthia randomly draws three cards from a standard deck one at a time without replacement. Find the probability that the first card is a diamond, the second a spade, and the third a diamond.P(d, s, d) = P(diamond) · P(spade) · P(diamond)

= 13_ . 13_ . 12_ 52 51 50 = 1_ . 13_ . 6_ = 13_ ≈ 1.5% 4 51 25 850

Page 17: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Mutually Exclusive EventsP(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)

Page 18: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Mutually Exclusive EventsP(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)

Ex. 3 Find the probability of rolling a 3 or a 5 when rolling a die.

Page 19: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Mutually Exclusive EventsP(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)

Ex. 3 Find the probability of rolling a 3 or a 5 when rolling a die.P(3 or 5) = P(3) + P(5)

Page 20: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Mutually Exclusive EventsP(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)

Ex. 3 Find the probability of rolling a 3 or a 5 when rolling a die.P(3 or 5) = P(3) + P(5)

= 1_ + 1_ 6 6

Page 21: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Mutually Exclusive EventsP(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)

Ex. 3 Find the probability of rolling a 3 or a 5 when rolling a die.P(3 or 5) = P(3) + P(5)

= 1_ + 1_ = 2_ 6 6 6

Page 22: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Mutually Exclusive EventsP(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)

Ex. 3 Find the probability of rolling a 3 or a 5 when rolling a die.P(3 or 5) = P(3) + P(5)

= 1_ + 1_ = 2_ = 1 6 6 6 3

Page 23: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Mutually Exclusive EventsP(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)

Ex. 3 Find the probability of rolling a 3 or a 5 when rolling a die.P(3 or 5) = P(3) + P(5)

= 1_ + 1_ = 2_ = 1 ≈ 33% 6 6 6 3

Page 24: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Non-Mutually Exclusive EventsP(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B)

Page 25: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Non-Mutually Exclusive EventsP(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B)

Ex. 4 Out of 5200 households surveyed, 2107 had a dog, 807 had a cat, and 303 had both. What is the probability that a randomly selected household has either a dog or a cat?

Page 26: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Non-Mutually Exclusive EventsP(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B)

Ex. 4 Out of 5200 households surveyed, 2107 had a dog, 807 had a cat, and 303 had both. What is the probability that a randomly selected household has either a dog or a cat?P(dog or cat) = P(dog) + P(cat) – P(both)

Page 27: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Non-Mutually Exclusive EventsP(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B)

Ex. 4 Out of 5200 households surveyed, 2107 had a dog, 807 had a cat, and 303 had both. What is the probability that a randomly selected household has either a dog or a cat?P(dog or cat) = P(dog) + P(cat) – P(both)= 2107_ + 807_ – 303_ 5200 5200 5200

Page 28: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Non-Mutually Exclusive EventsP(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B)

Ex. 4 Out of 5200 households surveyed, 2107 had a dog, 807 had a cat, and 303 had both. What is the probability that a randomly selected household has either a dog or a cat?P(dog or cat) = P(dog) + P(cat) – P(both)= 2107_ + 807_ – 303_ = 2611 5200 5200 5200 5200

Page 29: 12.5 –  Probability  of Compound Events

Non-Mutually Exclusive EventsP(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B)

Ex. 4 Out of 5200 households surveyed, 2107 had a dog, 807 had a cat, and 303 had both. What is the probability that a randomly selected household has either a dog or a cat?P(dog or cat) = P(dog) + P(cat) – P(both)= 2107_ + 807_ – 303_ = 2611 ≈ 50% 5200 5200 5200 5200