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10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets 1
ESA-ESO Working Group on ESA-ESO Working Group on Extra-solar PlanetsExtra-solar Planets
Report and Recommendations
F. Kerber, ECF
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 2
Joint Working GroupsJoint Working Groups
Extra-solar Planets– M. Perryman, O. Hainaut, June - Dec 2004
Synergies between Herschel and ALMA – T. Wilson, in progress
Survey of the field:– review of methods used and envisaged– survey of associated instrumentation– summary of targets, capabilities, limitations
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 3
CompositionComposition
Chair: Michael Perryman (ESA) Co-chair: Olivier Hainaut (ESO) Members: Dainis Dravins (Lund), Alain Léger (IAS), Andreas
Quirrenbach (Leiden), Heike Rauer (DLR) ECF support: Florian Kerber, Bob Fosbury Experts: François Bouchy (Marseilles, COROT), Fabio Favata (ESA,
Eddington), Malcolm Fridlund (ESA, Darwin, GENIE), Roberto Gilmozzi(ESO, OWL), Anne-Marie Lagrange (Grenoble, Planet Finder),
Tsevi Mazeh (Tel Aviv, Transits), Daniel Rouan (Meudon, GENIE), Stephane Udry (Genève, Radial velocity), Joachim Wambsganss (Heidelberg,Microlensing)
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 4
Section 1: An IntroductionSection 1: An Introduction
Objectives of the searches: – characterising and understanding the planetary population– understanding the formation and evolution of planets– search for biological markers and life
Survey methods: – radial velocity, astrometry, photometry, direct imaging,
microlensing, miscellaneous Accuracy limits from ground and space:
– photometry/astrometry: atmosphere; granular flows and star spots– radial velocity: atmospheric circulation and oscillations– conclusions: fundamental limits are not yet firmly understood
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 5
Section 1: Current statusSection 1: Current status
Statistics (Dec 2004):– 135 planets, 119
systems (12 multiple, 2 triple, 1 transiting)
– five additional confirmed transits: OGLE/TrES + 1 microlensing
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 6
1997 ESO Working Group (App: C)1997 ESO Working Group (App: C)
Radial Velocity– Dedicated spectrograph with 1 m/s (HARPS)– Iodine cell for UVES, extension to IR: CRIRES
Narrow angle astrometry– VLTI: ATs and PRIMA
Microlensing– Dedicated 2.5 m on Paranal (VST)– 16k x 16k CCD (OmegaCam)
Direct Detection– High order AO/coronograph (Planetfinder)
Paresce, Renzini et al. 1997
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 7
Period 2005-2015: GroundPeriod 2005-2015: Ground
Radial velocity: 18 surveys, targeting 1 m/s• HARPS: leading instrument for radial velocity work• promises to reach a few Earth mass planets• will follow-up COROT detection• ESO: UVES, CRIRES: extension to IR
Transit surveys: 30 surveys ongoing• results are expected to accelerate as temporal baseline increases• four discoveries using 1.3-m OGLE; 1 with 10-cm TrES-1
Imaging/other:• ESO activities: NAOS-CONICA, PRIMA, VLTI, Planet Finder, ALMA
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 8
Summary of Prospects 2005-15 (Tab 5)Summary of Prospects 2005-15 (Tab 5)
Mass 2004 2010 2010 2008 2010 2015 2016 2016
(Jupiter) Radial Velocity
(ground)
Transits
(ground)
COROT Kepler SIM Gaia
(astrom)
Gaia
(photom)
1-10 90 250 1000 5-15 20000 200 15000 3000
0.1-1 30 200 0 50-150 10000 50 5000 0
0.01-0.1 0 20 0 10-30 1000 20 0 0
< 0.01 0 0 0 0-3 0-500 0-5 0 0
2015-2025: 100-m OWL2015-2025: 100-m OWL S/N=10: imaging (35 mag, 1 hr); spectroscopy (30 mag, 3 hr) Detectability considers:
– target Strehl ratios of 90% over 1-5 m– magnitude/separation (Table 6); planet detectable if beyond 5/D– number of target stars calculated from D– integration time D– 4 (hence 30 m : 100 m = 123 times longer)
D(m) Earth-like Jupiter-like
Imaging Spectroscopy Imaging Spectroscopy
30 d (pc) 10 0 70 5
N (stars) 22 0 6800 3
60 d (pc) 22 0 120 18
N(stars) 210 0 35000 170
100 d (pc) 40 15 500 35
N(stars) 1200 67 2500000 860
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 10
2015-2025 - Space: Darwin2015-2025 - Space: Darwin
Darwin (4 telescopes with B = 50–100 m):– infrared: contrast, sample size, biomarkers, technology precursor
– detection phase: 2 years; spectroscopy follow-up: 3 years
– targets: 200 nearby stars covering CO2, H2O, O3, CH4
Integration times (hr): detection at S/N = 5, spectra at S/N = 7:
Stellar type 10 pc 20 pc 30 pc
G2V 18-33 28-54 109-173
K2V 4-9 26-37 104-157
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 11
2015-2025 - Space: Darwin2015-2025 - Space: Darwin
• GENIE:– nulling interferometer developed by ESO-ESA for VLTI– targets the demonstration of technology required for
Darwin, and…– scientific pre-cursor for Darwin survey (zodiacal
emission) in southern hemisphere– will require of order 50 nights on UTs or ATs at 3.6 m – operational by mid-2008?
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 12
TPF and BeyondTPF and Beyond
TPF (NASA, April 2004):– 6–8 3.5 m2 coronograph over 0.6–1.06 m in 2014– full search: 32 nearby stars, incomplete search 80–130 stars– free-flying interferometer, with ESA, before 2020– scientific and technical precursors: listed in Appendix A
Beyond 2025 (Appendix B): – larger ‘life finders’ for improved S/N spectroscopy– planet imagers (resolution of surface): distant visions only
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 13
ESA Themes Beyond 2015ESA Themes Beyond 2015
Astronomy Working Group, 19 October 2004:– recognition of roles of COROT and Gaia– confirmation of Darwin-type mission around 2015– next steps: census of terrestrial planets within 100 pc, e.g.
astrometry– re-iterates support of a rapid implementation of Eddington
Schedule of Some Major FacilitiesSchedule of Some Major Facilities2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Gaia
TPF/Darwin
Very large telescopes(CELT, OWL)
Very large spacearrays
KeplerCorot
SIM
TPF-C
Europe
US
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 15
Detections and Follow-UpDetections and Follow-Up
Two types of planets (cf Figure 7):– high-mass (Jupiter), where follow-up is ‘easy’
• large numbers: thousands to tens of thousands over 2008–2015• ground radial velocity and transit surveys• space transit surveys (Kepler) + astrometry and photometry (Gaia)
– low-mass (up to a few Earth mass), where follow-up is problematic:
• from COROT and Kepler• TPF-C general instrument ?
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 16
Detections and Follow-UpDetections and Follow-Up
Provides statistics of high-mass, low-mass, nearby stars:– particularly important for Darwin preparations
Detections by method X, require follow-up by methods Y and Z:– rejection of false positives– characterisation of mass– transit spectroscopy - transit photometry– role of amateurs: TrES-1 observed by 5 groups, some sequential P=3.04d– multiple observations of transits: timing >> detection of lesser mass planets in
systems (Holman & Murray 2005)
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 17
Detections and Follow-UpDetections and Follow-Up
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 18
Astrophysical Characterisation: Host StarsAstrophysical Characterisation: Host Stars
Thousands of planetary systems should be known by 2010-15 Characterisation for formation/evolution requires (Section 4):
– photometry: Teff, log g, metallicity, micro-variability (Gaia, LSST, etc)
– spectroscopy at R = 20–60,000: Teff, log g, [Fe/H] (Section 4.4.1)– spatial distribution, kinematics, environment, e.g. wrt LSR (Gaia)– kinematic radial velocities, probably improved compared to Gaia– improvement in some fundamental physical data – VO (Section 4.7.1)– fundamental planetary data (Section 4.7.2)
Some of the necessary follow-up and characterisation studies will be undertaken through the normal development of the field
Some may benefit from pro-active effort by ESA and ESO
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 19
Recommendations (1/3)Recommendations (1/3)
1. ESA:1. Eddington: provide clear message to community2. Gaia: impact on field is a strong function of
accuracy3. Darwin: phase development with TPF-C in 20144. JWST: importance of transit capabilities5. Themes 2015: encourage innovative mission
proposals
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 20
Recommendations (2/3)Recommendations (2/3)
2. ESO:1. Improve radial velocity detection limits2. Spectroscopic survey of nearby host stars3. Improve visible/infrared transit instrumentation4. Evaluate follow-up needs on small to large telescopes5. Consider OWL as a search / follow-up facility6. Investigate astrometric capabilities of OWL
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 21
Recommendations (3/3)Recommendations (3/3)
3. ESA-ESO Joint Initiatives:1. Radial velocity follow-up of COROT/Kepler candidates2. Radial velocity follow-up of Gaia candidates3. Photometric transit monitoring of high-mass candidates4. Observing time support for preparatory observations5. Consider GENIE-like instrument at Dome C6. Coordination of amateur networks for transits7. Cooperation of solar system and exoplanet communities8. Coordinate public communication discovery aspects
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 22
Implementation: first stepsImplementation: first steps
Rec. 2.2 Spectral survey of nearby host stars – Estimate of time required
– Draft implementation plan
Fischer & Valenti 2005
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 23
Implementation: first stepsImplementation: first steps
Rec. 2.5/2.6 OWL as search/follow-up facility– ESO: Instrument concept studies; D’Odorico
– T-OWL: thermal IR imager (spectrograph)• Lenzen (MPIA Heidelberg), Käufl (ESO)
– EPICS: NIR Camera-Spectrograph• Hubin (ESO), SWG (Chair/Co-chair: Kasper, Kerber)
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 24
Implementation: first stepsImplementation: first steps
Rec. 3.6 Amateur Network for transits (section 4.7.3)– Cost efficient way to increase
follow-up capabilities
– Interesting hook for outreach
– Contact with amateur groups; AGAPE (ESO)
– Draft project plan available
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 25
Implementation: first stepsImplementation: first steps
Rec. 3.1, 3.4 COROT/Kepler preparatory obs & follow-up– Request from ESA received for COROT
– Analysis of requirements from COROT underway
– NASA-ESA WG Planet Finding Data Archive (Kerber)
Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005
ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 26
CoRoTCoRoT
CNES (plus partners), launch Q3 2006– Asteroseismology and Extra-solar planets
– FOV 2.6º, Galactic (anti-)center for 5 months, 5000-10000 target stars, high sampling rate (512s)
– accuracy: 7·10-4 at V=15 mag in 1 hr > transits of rocky planets (a few 10s)
Need for characterization of fields and follow-up– Photometry, Spectroscopy, RV measurements