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100614 UPC Seminar 1
1950 2050 22 X2000
20
1
80
Y
40
ecoeff
iciency
160
CULTURE STRUCTURE
TECHNO-LOGY
NEEDFUNCTION
?
100614 UPC Seminar 2
Internationalinstability
Overexploitationresources
Green houseeffects
Distribution ofProsperity
Urbandevelopment
Biodiversity
Sustainable Development
SPEEDING UP TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP TRANSITION
100614 UPC Seminar 3
Transitions manageable? NO !What than is Transitionmanagement?
TRANSITION MANAGEMENT
COMPLEX:Long termGreat uncertaintyMany actorsConflicting interestsMulti dimensualMulti sectoral
Oriëntation on desirable future
Create process conditions
Future oriëntationBackcasting
InteractiveWith stakeholdersIterative
SPEEDING UP TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP TRANSITION
100614 UPC Seminar 4
20502000 TIME
EFF.
FACTOR
OPTIMALUSE
IMPROVEMENTOF PROCES
AND PRODUCT
20
5
1
RENEWAL BASED ON NEEDS AND FUNCTION
SPEEDING UP TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP TRANSITION
100614 UPC Seminar 5
Culture – Structure - Technology
Involved Parties
Optimization - Improvement - Renewal
DIMENSIONS OF CHANGE
SPEEDING UP TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP TRANSITION
100614 UPC Seminar 6
NEEDS
FUNCTIONS
CULT
URE
STRUCTU
RE
TECHNOLOGY
SPEEDING UP TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP TRANSITION
100614 UPC Seminar 7
Transition at different scales (concurrent)Transition at different scales (concurrent)
Macro, landscape
Meso, regimes
Micro, niches
SPEEDING UP TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP TRANSITION
Jan Rotmans, 2003,
100614 UPC Seminar 8
SocietySocietyNGO’sNGO’s
Science &Science &EducationEducation
CorporationsCorporations
Societies in Sustainable
Development
GovernmentsGovernments
SPEEDING UP TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP TRANSITION
100614 UPC Seminar 9
HOW: Social learning
• Dialogue
• Exploiration
• Interaction
• Creation
SPEEDING UP TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP TRANSITION
100614 UPC Seminar 10
CONDITIONS:Essential functions for innovation:• Entrepreneurial activities,• Knowledge development,• Knowledge dissipation, • Availability of means (manpower, money) • Guiding vision • Market stimulation• Break through resistance by lobbyingMarko Hekkert (2008),
SPEEDING UP TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP TRANSITION
21-04-09 12ICIS
Essential functions for innovation:• Entrepreneurial activities,• Knowledge development,• Knowledge dissipation, • Availability of means (manpower, money) • Guiding vision • Market stimulation• Break through resistance by lobbyingMarko Hekkert (2008),
SPEEDING UP ENERGY TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP ENERGY TRANSITION
09/ 05/ 2010 67
LevelsLevels of of transitiontransitionJ .Rotmans, 2003, Transitiemanagement p19
Macro, landscape
Meso, regimes
Micro, niches
10-06-14 2
1Establishcriteria forsustainable
future
Backcasting: The Natural Step
2ComparePresent
Situation,With
Criteria 1
3 Scenario analysis 4
1 Establishment sustainability principles
2 Compare present situation with criteria (1)
3 Envision future possibilities
4 Find strategies towards the future.
100614 UPC Seminar 12
small
narrow
wide
broad Societal embedment
Inte
rdis
ciplin
ary
colla
pora
tion
Col lab
or a
t ion
wit
h p
r ivat e
en
t rep
rises
Colla
bora
tion
with
pu
blic
in
stitu
tion
s, c
ivic
movem
en
t an
d
priv
ate
partie
s
Transdisciplinary
Monodisciplinary
Sectoral (partial)System innovation
Company orientedproces innovation
Component innovation
Company orientedProduct innovation Strategic
System innovation
SPEEDING UP TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP TRANSITION
100614 UPC Seminar 13
accountability
flexibility
education
research
transdisciplinary
monodisciplinary
Disciplinaryknowledge
Research forSystemsRenewal
Research forSystems
OptimisationImprovement
AttitudesSocial competences
SPEEDING UP TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP TRANSITION
100614 UPC Seminar 14
R&D Design
Contextual Conditions
OutcomesSD ProgramsSD Projects
SPEEDING UP ENERGY TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP ENERGY TRANSITION
100614 UPC Seminar 15
Science
Educatio
n Practice
Transitionlearning
SPEEDING UP ENERGY TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP ENERGY TRANSITION
100614 UPC Seminar 16
Science
Educatio
n PracticeTransitionlearning
R&D Design
Contextual Conditions
Outcomes
Learning by doingLearning by doing
SD ProgramsSD Projects
SPEEDING UP ENERGY TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP ENERGY TRANSITION
100614 UPC Seminar 17
Dutch Transition Policy: Priorities
“Persistent problems ”
• Energy• Agriculture
• Biodiversity
• Mobility
SPEEDING UP TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP TRANSITION
100614 UPC Seminar 18
SPEEDING UP ENERGY TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP ENERGY TRANSITION
Nobody Nobody wants wants
energy !energy !As suchAs such Everybody Everybody
uses uses energy !energy !For functionsFor functions
100614 UPC Seminar 19
• NUTRITION
• SHELTER
• MOBILITY, TRANSPORTATION
• WATERCYCLE
• CHEMISTRY
• CONSTRUCTION
• ICT
• ENERGY PROVISIONENERGY PROVISION
Energy for needs
SPEEDING UP ENERGY TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP ENERGY TRANSITION
100614 UPC Seminar 20
Decentral
local
Central
(inter)national
Small scale
Deconcentrated
light demand
Large scale
Concentrated
heavy demand
X
FossilNuclear
WaterpowerBiomass
Sun Wind
WaterpowerBiomass
Sun Wind
SPEEDING UP ENERGY TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP ENERGY TRANSITION
XLong distance
Heavy Grid
People
PlanetProsperity
No or short distance
Light Grid
ProfitPlanetPeople
100614 UPC Seminar 21
Dutch energy policy
• Access sources, International context
in EU , van de Linden advice
• Energy use
clean and efficient, E-market OK, Investmentclimate,
saving and sustainable, flexible en decentral, diversification scale
• E-infrastructure
regulation en supervision, innovation, common interest, spatial fit
SPEEDING UP TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP TRANSITION
TOP - DOWN
100614 UPC Seminar 22
Sustainable Mobility VisiongroupsGreen raw materials Chainefficiency New Gas TransitionpathsSustainable Elektricity provision Build EnvironmentGreenhouse as Energy source Programs
Innovation for sustainable developmentEnergie transition
SPEEDING UP ENERGY TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP ENERGY TRANSITION
TOP - DOWN
100614 UPC Seminar 23
Network Knowledge in Synergie for a Sustainable South-Holland
KISSZKISSZ• 6 LOCAL COUNCILS:
Province, Delft, Den Haag, Dordrecht, Leiden, Rotterdam
• 3 UNIVERSITIES:
Erasmus Univ. R’Dam, TU Delft , Univ. Leiden
• 3 VOCATIONAL HIGHSCHOOLS:
HS Den Haag, HS In Holland, HS Rotterdam
• Federation for the Environment South Holland
SPEEDING UP TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP TRANSITION
BOTTOM - UP
100614 UPC Seminar 24
Network Knowledge in Synergie for a Sustainable South-Holland
KISSZ process:KISSZ process:
CONNECTCONNECTBRIDGE THE GAPBRIDGE THE GAP
Local administration Knowledge Local administration Knowledge InstitutesInstitutes
Identify, articulate policy problemsIdentify, articulate policy problems
Formulate programs, projectsFormulate programs, projects
Form AllianciesForm Alliancies
““Industry” etc.Industry” etc.
SPEEDING UP TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP TRANSITIONBOTTOM - UP
100614 UPC Seminar 25
SYSTEMS RENEWAL OF STRUCTURES
Demands:Transparent and effective communication between
stakeholders.BUT
Communication appears to be poor:
• Between public authorities and knowledge institutes.• Within public authorities and within knowledge institutes.• More parties work on the same item without mutual info.
THUS• Failing of integral approaches and synergy.• Insufficient use of potential knowledge.
Initiative: network for sustainable development
SPEEDING UP TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP TRANSITION
BOTTOM - UP
100614 UPC Seminar 26
SYNERGY IN KNOWLEDGESYNERGY IN KNOWLEDGEKnowledge network for sustainable development
Network Activities:
• Identify current problems and white spots.
• Identify failing coordination and cooperation.
• Formation of research and policy agenda’s
• Exchange of experience and knowledge.
• Initiate new initiatives and broking between initiatives.
Network Orientation:
• Long term perspectives.
• Initiation short term projects. (Backcasting)
• Central issues: scarcity of space and raw materials, climate and air quality.
• Planet, People, Prosperity approach.
• Integral and transdisciplinary perspective.
Multiple scale approach: EU, national, local.
SPEEDING UP TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP TRANSITION
BOTTOM - UP
100614 UPC Seminar 27
SYNERGY IN KNOWLEDGESYNERGY IN KNOWLEDGEKnowledge network for sustainable development
Setting up network and operation
Strategic platform, conceptual work, no own projects.
Repetitive phases of conceptual work, bilateral interviews, adaptation of concepts and plenary sessions.
Involved: NGO’s, universities, colleges of vocational higher education, knowledge institutes and the (provincial) government.
Members deliver efforts in common interest in overview, coherence and corporation.
Three roles:
• Legitimatisers,
• Account holders,
• Interested actors (organisations)
SPEEDING UP ENERGY TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP ENERGY TRANSITION
100614 UPC Seminar 28
SYNERGY IN KNOWLEDGESYNERGY IN KNOWLEDGEKnowledge network for sustainable development
Themes preliminary agenda (may ’07):
• Climate change and space,
• Energy and Mobility.
• Grand urban development,
Continuation:
Half open network.
Profile for (new) members
Extension: municipalities and private companies.
SPEEDING UP ENERGY TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP ENERGY TRANSITION
100614 UPC Seminar 29
Recognise Callenge
Develop Shared View
Common Plan
Implementation
Financial, Organisational, missing business plan
Mistrust, Risk avoidance
Culture, short term thinking, competences, lack of SKILLS L
EA
DER
SH
IP
SPEEDING UP TRANSITIONSPEEDING UP TRANSITION