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3 Source: IANA Rail Intermodal Terminal Directory US Export Capacity Crisis Equipment Shortage Equipment Availability
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U.S. Export ChallengesU.S. Export ChallengesPresented by: Donna Lemm, Director of Global Client Services
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Vessel Capacity Equipment Shortages and
Imbalances Volatility of Export Rates
Top Three Export ChallengesTop Three Export Challenges
3Source: IANA Rail Intermodal Terminal Directory
US Export Capacity CrisisUS Export Capacity Crisis
Equipment Shortage
Equipment Availability
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Import/Export Equipment ImbalanceImport/Export Equipment Imbalance
Source: Brian Conrad - WTSA
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Booking 5-8 weeks forward Bookings cancelled without warning As of fall of 2009, 1.3M TEU’s, or approx 10% of
global world fleet is idle. As of last week, we understand there are carriers
still reducing capacity, with no intention to redeploy until mid-March 2010.
Source: JOC 1/28/09
Vessel Capacity ShortagesVessel Capacity Shortages
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General Rate Increases Accessorial Charges
Volatility in RatesVolatility in Rates
WTSA Avg Revenue Index Through November 2009 (excl bunker)
January, February, & March 2010 Projected Increases
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Strong sales Weak dollar Bottleneck at ports Inland struggle for
equipment
Export Forecast 2010Export Forecast 2010
Asia2010 Q1 1,480,119
Q2 1,526,302Q3 1,493,097Q4 1,565,737
2010 YearEnd 6,065,255% Growth 8.2%
TransPacific Trade: U.S. Container Exports in TEUs
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1,000,000
1,300,000
1,600,000
1,900,000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
US Exports to AsiaUS Exports to Asia
Source: PIERSActual data for 2008 & 2009, Forecast data for 2010
2008 2009 2010 Forecast
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Pricing and contracting Guaranteed pricing for guaranteed space? Penalties for no-show?
Simplification of charges Known exposure Carrier shift in business model to include balanced
trade priorities Continued work by the exporter in terms of
visibility of the supply chain from mill/production to port to destination
Changing Our ParadigmChanging Our Paradigm
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Voice of the US Exporter?Voice of the US Exporter? FMC President’s state of the Union Address
Export Promotion Cabinet – direct report to the President
Government Export Strategy to promote U.S. exports
Support 2 million American jobs Shipping Act of 1984 Sec 2.4 states that one of the purposes of the
act is “to promote the growth and development of United States exports through competitive and efficient ocean transportation and by placing a greater reliance on the marketplace.”
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Will There be Capacity to Carry Will There be Capacity to Carry These U.S. Goods?These U.S. Goods?
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Q & AQ & A
Thank You!Thank You!