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Understanding the role of the EU in Understanding the role of the EU in future climate negotiationsfuture climate negotiations

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Options for strengthened engagement Options for strengthened engagement with developing countrieswith developing countries

Noriko Fujiwara, CEPSNoriko Fujiwara, CEPS

““Post Copenhagen: Practical consequences for Post Copenhagen: Practical consequences for Europe”, Brussels, 23 March 2010Europe”, Brussels, 23 March 2010

2

Did CPH demonstrate a “new world Did CPH demonstrate a “new world order” in the climate change order” in the climate change negotiations (and beyond)?negotiations (and beyond)?

• Highlight on the G2 & BASICHighlight on the G2 & BASIC• Was the EU side-lined?Was the EU side-lined?• BASIC joint statement in Jan 2010BASIC joint statement in Jan 2010• China & India moved to association with the China & India moved to association with the

Copenhagen AccordCopenhagen Accord

3

Where are the priorities for 2010 in Where are the priorities for 2010 in reaching an effective agreement that reaching an effective agreement that engages different negotiating blocs?engages different negotiating blocs?

• Incorporate the CPH Accord’s political guidance Incorporate the CPH Accord’s political guidance into UN negotiating textsinto UN negotiating texts

• CConcrete decisions in Canconcrete decisions in Cancún in 2010ún in 2010• AAgreement on the EU 2020 target in the June greement on the EU 2020 target in the June

CouncilCouncil

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Raising the EU 2020 target to 30%?Raising the EU 2020 target to 30%?• Sum of national targets and actions is Sum of national targets and actions is

insufficient to meet the 2insufficient to meet the 2°C limit. °C limit. • The EU The EU may may notnot be be so ambitious as other major so ambitious as other major

emitters.emitters.• Impacts of the economic crisis make the Impacts of the economic crisis make the

compliance less costly.compliance less costly.

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Are there new roles that the EU can play Are there new roles that the EU can play in the way it engages in the climate in the way it engages in the climate change process?change process?

• Normative leadershipNormative leadership• Strategic leadershipStrategic leadership• Facilitator to pull together the constituencyFacilitator to pull together the constituency• Architect in designing rules, procedures, & Architect in designing rules, procedures, &

mechanismsmechanisms

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Available processesAvailable processes• UN negotiating tracks UN negotiating tracks • G20G20• Major Economies ForumMajor Economies Forum• EU bilateral frameworks & groupingsEU bilateral frameworks & groupings

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Does the EU have a role in acting as a Does the EU have a role in acting as a ‘bridge’ with developing countries in ‘bridge’ with developing countries in the negotiations?the negotiations?

• Swift implementation of fast start financeSwift implementation of fast start finance• Priority to the vulnerablePriority to the vulnerable• Incorporation of ccIncorporation of cc into development cooperationinto development cooperation• Development ofDevelopment of the carbon market the carbon market

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What are the practical options for What are the practical options for ensuring more rapid action on climate ensuring more rapid action on climate change in middle- and low-income change in middle- and low-income countries?countries?

• Fast start financeFast start finance• Technology deployment and diffusionTechnology deployment and diffusion• Capacity buildingCapacity building

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Selected referencesSelected references““Reinvigorating the EU’s role in the post-Reinvigorating the EU’s role in the post-

Copenhagen landscape”, Copenhagen landscape”, CEPS commentaryCEPS commentary““The Copenhagen Accord: A first stab at The Copenhagen Accord: A first stab at

deciphering the implications for the EU”, deciphering the implications for the EU”, CEPS CEPS commentarycommentary

““Flexible mechanisms in support of a new climate Flexible mechanisms in support of a new climate change regime: The Clean Development change regime: The Clean Development Mechanism and beyond”, Mechanism and beyond”, CEPS Task Force CEPS Task Force ReportReport