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1
Seigniorage
Seigniorage, (seignorage)
Entrepreneur,
arbitrage,
tranche
Prepared by Conall Boyle March
2007
2
(Bank of England)
^ Seigniorage?
3
Bank of England (BoE)Annual Report and Accounts p91Issue DepartmentAccount for the period ended 28 February 2007
2007 2006Note £m £m
Income and profitsSecurities of, or guaranteed by, the British Government 628 619Other securities and assets including those acquired underreverse repurchase agreements 1,082 1,124
1,710 1,743Expenses 2Cost of production of Bank notes 36 28Cost of issue, custody and payment of Bank notes 17 14Other expenses 4 3
57 45Payable to HM Treasury 1,653 1,698
4
( payment to GB: £1,653) £38,449 - £36,920 difference = £
1,569
5
Bank of England (BoE)Annual Report and Accounts p91
Statement of balances: 28 February 2007 2007 2006 Note £m £mAssets Securities of, or guaranteed by, the British Government 3 13,370 13,370 Other securities and assets including those acquired under reverse repurchase agreements 4 25,079 23,550Total assets 38,449 36,920Liabilities Notes issued: In circulation 5 38,449 36,914 In Banking Department – 6Total liabilities 38,449 36,920 ( payment to GB: £1,653) difference = £ 1,569
6
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notes: 3 Securities of, or guaranteed by, the British Government
2007 2006 £m £m
Ways and Means advance to the National Loans Fund 13,370 13,370
13,370 13,370The Ways and Means advance earns interest at the Bank’s repo rate.
4 Other securities and assets including those acquired underreverse repurchase agreements
2007 2006 £m £m
Deposit with Banking Department 49 53Short-term reverse repurchase agreements 10,030 17,497Longer-term reverse repurchase agreements 15,000 6,000
25,079 23,5505 Notes in circulation
2007 2006£m £m
£5 1,100 1,052£10 5,886 5,591£20 23,740 22,690£50 6,705 6,510
Other notes(a) 1,018 1,07138,449 36,914
(a) Includes higher value notes used as cover for the note issues of banks in Scotland and Northern Ireland in excess of their fiduciary issues
8
9
Profit to GB (seigniorage)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
Years 1980-2007
£mn
Information from Bank of England Annual Reports. Only 2 years info per Report; earlier Reports not on-line, were supplied to me directly.
10
Note Issue
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
Years 1980-2007
£m
n
From BoE Annual Report, but can also be found as M0 elsewhere. Some discrepancies
11
Change in Note Issue
-£1,000
£-
£1,000
£2,000
£3,000
£4,000
£5,000
Years 1981-2007
MN
Calculated by CB from the published figures
12
Two versions of Change in Note Issue
-£1,000
£-
£1,000
£2,000
£3,000
£4,000
£5,000
Years 1980 to 2006
From Annual Reports
From Statistics (Yr End)
13
Compare Profit & Note-Issue
-£1,000
£-
£1,000
£2,000
£3,000
£4,000
£5,000
Years 1981-2007
£m
n
Change in Note Issue Profit to GB
14
Seigniorage?
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
Years
£ m
n
Smoothed Change inNote Issue
Profit on Note Issue
Seigniorage?
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
Years
£ m
n
Smoothed Change inNote Issue
Profit on Note Issue
15
The only clue to the nominal rate of interest ‘earned’ on Note-issue?
16
Bank Rate (avg)
02468
1012141618
Years 1980-2007
%
Source: BoE statistics publications.
Averages shown for previous year to roughly coincide with Report publication date.
17
Report dateNotes in Circ bank rate Calculate0 IUAABEDR
1980 £9,775 13.75 £1,3441981 £10,325 16.30 £1,6831982 £10,775 13.18 £1,4201983 £11,025 11.93 £1,3151984 £11,470 9.86 £1,1311985 £12,040 9.68 £1,1651986 £12,320 12.08 £1,4881987 £12,850 10.74 £1,3801988 £13,310 9.60 £1,2781989 £14,120 9.96 £1,4061990 £15,030 13.67 £2,0551991 £15,380 14.64 £2,2521992 £16,130 11.56 £1,8651993 £16,970 9.42 £1,5991994 £17,170 5.88 £1,0101995 £18,060 5.34 £9641996 £19,660 6.57 £1,2921997 £22,020 5.88 £1,2951998 £23,548 6.55 £1,5421999 £24,800 7.23 £1,7932000 £25,140 5.34 £1,3422001 £27,200 5.97 £1,6242002 £29,390 5.12 £1,5052003 £33,866 4.00 £1,3552004 £36,016 3.69 £1,3292005 £35,420 4.39 £1,5552006 £36,920 4.65 £1,7172007 £38,449 4.64 £1,784
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Profit on Note Issue, TotNote Issue x Bank %
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
Years
£ m
n Profit on Note Issue
Tot Note Issue X Bank%
19
Seigniorage (Bank of England Style)
Seigniorage for the year =
Total Note IssueX
Average Bank Rate
20
BoE uses the S. word!
Seigniorage by Willem H. Buiter Professor of European Political Economy European Institute,
London School of Economics and Political Science from LSE Economics website
Discussion Paper 2007-8 March 1, 2007.
Buiter was one of the MPC external appointments.
21
Use cash – back Britain
Keep one of these in your wallet/handbag; earn 25p for us.
Use a cheque or credit card – Nil
USE CASH ONLY!IT’S PATRIOTIC!(and saves us paying tax)
22
• Make ‘em pay! – For their raw materials
M3/M4 - £1,550,000 mn
@ 5.50%
£85,000 mn