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Meat & Poultry Outlook Meat & Poultry Outlook Tyson Foods, IncTyson Foods, Inc..
February 24, 2012February 24, 2012
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Company OverviewCompany Overview
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Per Capita Consumption Per Capita Consumption
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Poun
ds P
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apita
Poun
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Combined Per Capita Domestic Meat Disappearance 1970-2011Beef, Pork, Chicken, Turkey (Carcass Weight Equivalent)
Combined Meat (l-axis) Beef (r-axis) Turkey (r-axis) Pork (r-axis) Chicken (r-axis)
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Paradigm ShiftParadigm Shift
Old: Demand driven
New: Producer profitability
Increase in exports
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Protein Production DriversProtein Production Drivers
Contract grower
Feed conversion1.92 : 1
3.7 bushels of cornto produce 100 lbs. of boneless skinless meat
Independent producer
Feed conversion3.5 : 1
Approx. 8 bushels of corn to produce 100 lbs. of boneless skinless meat
Independent feedlot
Feed conversion7-9 : 1
Yearling (750 lbs.) fed beef (300 lbs.) 11 bushels corn to produce 100 lbs. of boneless fed beef
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Live Cost ~ $0.25/lb.
Live Cost ~ $0.45/lb.
Live Cost ~ $0.35/lb.
Corn Futures/Chicken Live CostCorn Futures/Chicken Live Cost
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U.S. Corn UsageU.S. Corn Usage
Source: USDA
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Energy Costs Energy Costs
Gas: Most expensive January ever
2012: $3.37 2011: $3.10 2010: $2.71
Diesel: 57% increase since 2007
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Meat & Poultry Demand Meat & Poultry Demand
Prices increasing faster than inflation
Consumption declined slightly
Demand has increased
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Global Protein ConsumptionGlobal Protein Consumption
Source: USDA FAS and OECD. Includes Beef/Veal, Pork, Broilers, and Turkey
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Protein Exports a Major FactorProtein Exports a Major Factor
Pork
Source: USDA and Robert A. Brown, Inc.January 30, 2012
2011 and 2012 are RAB forecasts
Exports % of ProductionImports Exports
Beef
Chicken
% of production
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International OperationsInternational Operations
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Feeding the WorldFeeding the World
• 70% more food needed70% more food needed
• 9 billion people by 20509 billion people by 2050
• U.S.: less than 10% on foodU.S.: less than 10% on food
• ‘‘Agricultural illiteracy’Agricultural illiteracy’
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Jobs in Agriculture Jobs in Agriculture
22 million agriculture jobs
AgCareers.com: 40,000 jobs posted
Outdated stereotypes
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Regulatory Agencies - Issues Regulatory Agencies - Issues
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Purpose StatementPurpose Statement