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1 Introduction to Statistics “To guess is cheap. To guess wrongly is expensive” -Old Chinese Proverb

1 Introduction to Statistics “To guess is cheap. To guess wrongly is expensive” -Old Chinese Proverb

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3 Statements  The crime rate has gone up by 15% of what it was last year  The average salary of a professor in Oxford University is $75,000 per year  The rate of inflation in India is expected to remain above 5% per year for the next 5 years  60% of car owners in a country consider Japanese cars superior in quality than American cars

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Page 1: 1 Introduction to Statistics “To guess is cheap. To guess wrongly is expensive” -Old Chinese Proverb

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Introduction to Statistics“To guess is cheap. To guess wrongly is expensive”

-Old Chinese Proverb

Page 2: 1 Introduction to Statistics “To guess is cheap. To guess wrongly is expensive” -Old Chinese Proverb

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Numerical statements of facts which are highly convenient and meaningful forms of communication

Page 3: 1 Introduction to Statistics “To guess is cheap. To guess wrongly is expensive” -Old Chinese Proverb

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Statements

The crime rate has gone up by 15% of what it was last year

The average salary of a professor in Oxford University is $75,000 per year

The rate of inflation in India is expected to remain above 5% per year for the next 5 years

60% of car owners in a country consider Japanese cars superior in quality than American cars

Page 4: 1 Introduction to Statistics “To guess is cheap. To guess wrongly is expensive” -Old Chinese Proverb

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Statistics is concerned with proper collection of

data, organising this data into manageable and

presentable form, analysing and interpreting the

data into conclusions for useful purposes.

Page 5: 1 Introduction to Statistics “To guess is cheap. To guess wrongly is expensive” -Old Chinese Proverb

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1. Proper collection of data

2. Organisation and classification of data

3. Presentation of data

4. Analysis of data

5. Interpretation of data

Page 6: 1 Introduction to Statistics “To guess is cheap. To guess wrongly is expensive” -Old Chinese Proverb

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Characteristics of Statistics

1. Statistics are aggregate of facts.

2. Statistics, generally are not the outcome of a single cause, but are affected by multiple causes.

3. Statistics are numerically expressed.

Page 7: 1 Introduction to Statistics “To guess is cheap. To guess wrongly is expensive” -Old Chinese Proverb

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4. Statistical data is collected in asystematic manner.

5. Statistics are collected for a predetermined purpose.

6. Statistics are enumerated or estimated according to reasonable standard of accuracy.

7. Statistics must be placed in relation to each other.

Page 8: 1 Introduction to Statistics “To guess is cheap. To guess wrongly is expensive” -Old Chinese Proverb

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Functions

It condenses and summarizes the data It facilitates classification and comparison It helps in determining functional relationship

between two or more phenomenon It helps in predicting future trend It helps in policy formulation

Page 9: 1 Introduction to Statistics “To guess is cheap. To guess wrongly is expensive” -Old Chinese Proverb

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Limitations

1. It does not deal with individual values2. It cannot deal with qualitative

characteristics3. Statistical conclusions are not

universally true4. Statistics can be misused

Page 10: 1 Introduction to Statistics “To guess is cheap. To guess wrongly is expensive” -Old Chinese Proverb

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Scope of Statistics“ Statistical thinking will one day be

as necessary for effective citizenship as the ability to read and write”

- H.G. Wells

Page 11: 1 Introduction to Statistics “To guess is cheap. To guess wrongly is expensive” -Old Chinese Proverb

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Scope

Government Economic Physical, Natural and Social sciences Research Others Business and Management

Page 12: 1 Introduction to Statistics “To guess is cheap. To guess wrongly is expensive” -Old Chinese Proverb

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Business and Management Entrepreneurship Production Marketing Purchasing Personnel Investment Banking Quality Control

Page 13: 1 Introduction to Statistics “To guess is cheap. To guess wrongly is expensive” -Old Chinese Proverb

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“When the history of modern time is finally written, we shall read it as beginning with the age of steam and progressing through the age of electricity to that of statistics”

- An over-enthusiastic, statistically aware business executive

Page 14: 1 Introduction to Statistics “To guess is cheap. To guess wrongly is expensive” -Old Chinese Proverb

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Comment on the following Statistical Statements:

1. A survey reveals that children of professors have high IQs. It is further revealed that the professors as well as their parents also are very intelligent. Hence the inference is that intelligence is hereditary.

2. Most of the car accidents occur within 15 miles of home. Hence, it is safer if you are driving beyond the 15 mile limit.

Page 15: 1 Introduction to Statistics “To guess is cheap. To guess wrongly is expensive” -Old Chinese Proverb

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3. A survey revealed that the divorce rate of couples with children is much less than childless couples; therefore, having children reduces the chances of a divorce.

4. The average income of a bank manager today is three times his average income 25 years ago. This means that a bank manager, today, is three times more prosperous than 25 years ago.