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1 Health Reform in the US

1 Health Reform in the US. 2 Current Problems Uninsured 1. Uninsured and Underinsured 45.7 million people uninsured in 2007 (15.3 percent of population)

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Page 1: 1 Health Reform in the US. 2 Current Problems Uninsured 1. Uninsured and Underinsured 45.7 million people uninsured in 2007 (15.3 percent of population)

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Health Reform in the US

Page 2: 1 Health Reform in the US. 2 Current Problems Uninsured 1. Uninsured and Underinsured 45.7 million people uninsured in 2007 (15.3 percent of population)

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Current ProblemsUninsured1. Uninsured and Underinsured

45.7 million people uninsured in 2007 (15.3 percent of population) – source current population survey

An increase of 7.8 million from 2000 Decrease from 2006 where it was 47 million

Decrease came from an increase in government coverage The percent of people covered by private health insurance

decrease slightly from 67.9 to 67.5 between 2006 and 2007 Percent of people covered by employer insurance also decreased

slightly from 59.7 to 59.2 Majority are employed in small firms (<100).

So any reform needs to address this group. 16 million non-elderly adults (20% of non-elderly adults)

were underinsured High out-of-pocket health costs to income ratio.

Page 3: 1 Health Reform in the US. 2 Current Problems Uninsured 1. Uninsured and Underinsured 45.7 million people uninsured in 2007 (15.3 percent of population)

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Figure 1. 47 Million Uninsured in 2006;Increase of 7.8 Million Since 2000Number of uninsured, in millions

38 40 42 43 43 45 47 46

0

20

40

60

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, March Current Population Survey, 2001–2007.

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Figure 2. 16 Million Adults Under Age 65Were Underinsured in 2005

Uninsuredduring the year

47.8 million(28%)

Insured, notunderinsured108.6 million

(63%)

Underinsured16.1 million

(9%)

Adults Ages 19–64

Note: Underinsured defined as having any of three conditions: 1) annual out-of-pocket medical expenses are10% or more of income; 2) among low-income adults, out-of-pocket medical expenses are 5% or more of income; 3) health plan deductibles are 5% or more of income.Source: Analysis of the Commonwealth Fund Biennial Health Insurance Survey (2005).

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Figure 3. The Majority of Uninsured AdultsAre in Working Families

Family work statusAdult work status

At leastone

full-time worker67%

Onlypart-time worker(s)

11%

Full-time49%

Part-time15%

No worker in family

21%Not

currently employed

36%

Note: Percentages may not sum to 100% because of rounding.

Source: The Commonwealth Fund Biennial Health Insurance Survey (2005).

Adults ages 19–64 with any time uninsured

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Figure 4. More than Three of Five Working Adultswith Any Time Uninsured Are Employed inFirms with Less than 100 Employees

Self-employed/1 employee10%

2–19 employees31%

20–99 employees22%

100–499 employees11%

Note: Percentages may not sum to 100% because of rounding.

Source: The Commonwealth Fund Biennial Health Insurance Survey (2005).

Don’t know/refused4%

Percent of employed adults with any time uninsured, ages 19–64

500+ employees21%

Page 7: 1 Health Reform in the US. 2 Current Problems Uninsured 1. Uninsured and Underinsured 45.7 million people uninsured in 2007 (15.3 percent of population)

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Figure 5. Prevalence of High Family Out-of-PocketCost Burdens by Poverty Status Among theNonelderly Population, 1996 and 2003

7.1

15.6

24.125.9

15.89.7

22.723.7

33.3

19.2

0

25

50

75

Total <100% FPL 100%–<200%

FPL

200%–<400%

FPL

400%+ FPL

1996 2003

Source: J. S. Banthin and D. M. Bernard, “Changes in Financial Burdens for Health Care: National Estimates for the Population Younger Than 65 Years, 1996 to 2003,” Journal of the American Medical Association, Dec. 13, 2006 296(22):2712–19.

Percent of nonelderly adults who spend >10% of disposable household income on out-of-pocket premiums and expenditures on health care services

Page 8: 1 Health Reform in the US. 2 Current Problems Uninsured 1. Uninsured and Underinsured 45.7 million people uninsured in 2007 (15.3 percent of population)

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Current ProblemsCost of the Uninsured Cost on the Individual

Receive less preventative care Uninsured adults 3-4 times more likely than insured to go

without preventative care services. (e.g screening for hypertension or breast cancer) Late detection leads to worse health outcomes and higher health

costs. Less likely to be able to manage chronic conditions which

leads to greater morbidity/mortality for this population Can’t afford care: Uninsured adults with chronic conditions are

4.5 times more likely than insured to report an unmet need for medical or prescription drugs

More likely to need ER or hospital care due to mismanagement

Pay high out-of-pocket expenditures Problems paying their medical care bills.

Source: Families USA Foundation.

Page 9: 1 Health Reform in the US. 2 Current Problems Uninsured 1. Uninsured and Underinsured 45.7 million people uninsured in 2007 (15.3 percent of population)

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Figure 6. Receipt of Recommended Screening and Preventive Care for Adults, by Family Income and Insurance Status, 2002

31

46

52

39

48

56

49

0 50 100

Uninsured all year

Uninsured part year

Insured all year

<200% of poverty

200%–399% of poverty

400%+ of poverty

National

Percent of adults (ages 18+) who received all recommended screening andpreventive care within a specific time frame given their age and sex*

* Recommended care includes seven key screening and preventive services: blood pressure,cholesterol, Pap, mammogram, fecal occult blood test or sigmoidoscopy/colonoscopy, and flu shot.Data: B. Mahato, Columbia University analysis of 2002 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey.Source: Commonwealth Fund National Scorecard on U.S. Health System Performance, 2006.

Page 10: 1 Health Reform in the US. 2 Current Problems Uninsured 1. Uninsured and Underinsured 45.7 million people uninsured in 2007 (15.3 percent of population)

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Figure 7. Adults Without Insurance Are Less Likelyto Be Able to Manage Chronic Conditions

161827

58

35

59

0

25

50

75

Skipped doses or did not fill

prescription for chronic condition

because of cost

Visited ER, hospital, or both for chronic

condition

Insured all year Insured now, time uninsured in past year Uninsured now

Percent of adults ages 19–64 with at least one chronic condition*

* Hypertension, high blood pressure, or stroke; heart attack or heart disease; diabetes; asthma, emphysema, or lung disease. Source: S. R. Collins, K. Davis, M. M. Doty, J. L. Kriss, and A. L. Holmgren, Gaps in Health Insurance: An All-American Problem, Findings from the Commonwealth Fund Biennial Health Insurance Survey (New York: The Commonwealth Fund, Apr. 2006).

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Figure 8. Many Americans Have ProblemsPaying Medical Bills or Are Paying Off Medical Debt

34

211413

23 2618

9816

53

292626

42

0

25

50

75

Not able to pay

medical bills

Contacted by

collection

agency*

Had to change

way of life to pay

medical bills

Medical

bills/debt being

paid off over

time

Any medical bill

problem or

outstanding debt

Total Insured all year Uninsured during the year

Percent of adults ages 19–64 who had the following problems in past year:

* Includes only those who had a bill sent to a collection agency when they were unable to pay it.Source: S. R. Collins, K. Davis, M. M. Doty, J. L. Kriss, and A. L. Holmgren, Gaps in Health Insurance: An All-American Problem, Findings from the Commonwealth Fund Biennial Health Insurance Survey (New York: The Commonwealth Fund, Apr. 2006).

Page 12: 1 Health Reform in the US. 2 Current Problems Uninsured 1. Uninsured and Underinsured 45.7 million people uninsured in 2007 (15.3 percent of population)

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Current ProblemsCost of the Uninsured Cost on the System and Insured

Cost of health care provided to uninsured but not paid for by uninsured in 2005 is over $43 billion. 2 percent of total health care expenditures

Premium are higher for the insured Health insurance premiums for families with insurance

were through private employers was $922 higher in 2005

Was $341 for individuals.

Page 13: 1 Health Reform in the US. 2 Current Problems Uninsured 1. Uninsured and Underinsured 45.7 million people uninsured in 2007 (15.3 percent of population)

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Current ProblemsHigh cost of health system2. High cost of health system

Approximately double the per capita expenditures of rich countries

Increased cost in health premiums compared to wages since 1980s

Page 14: 1 Health Reform in the US. 2 Current Problems Uninsured 1. Uninsured and Underinsured 45.7 million people uninsured in 2007 (15.3 percent of population)

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Figure 9. International Comparison of Spending on Health, 1980–2005

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

United StatesGermanyCanadaFranceAustraliaUnited Kingdom

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

United StatesGermanyCanadaFranceAustraliaUnited Kingdom

Average spending on healthper capita ($US PPP)

Total expenditures on healthas percent of GDP

Source: Commonwealth Fund National Scorecard on U.S. Health System Performance, 2006.Updated data from OECD Health Data 2007.

Page 15: 1 Health Reform in the US. 2 Current Problems Uninsured 1. Uninsured and Underinsured 45.7 million people uninsured in 2007 (15.3 percent of population)

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* Estimate is statistically different from the previous year shown at p<0.05.^ Estimate is statistically different from the previous year shown at p<0.1.Note: Data on premium increases reflect the cost of health insurance premiums for a family of four. Historical estimates of workers’ earnings have been updated to reflect new industry classifications (NAICS).Source: G. Claxton, J. Gabel et al., "Health Benefits in 2007: Premium Increases Fall to an Eight-Year Low, While Offer Rates and Enrollment Remain Stable," Health Affairs, Sept./Oct. 2007 26(5):1407–16. Kaiser/HRET Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Benefits, 2007, and Commonwealth Fund analysis of National Health Expenditures data.

12.0

18.0

0.8

6.1*7.7*

13.9^

12.9*10.9*

8.2*

5.3*

11.2*

8.5 9.2*

0

5

10

15

20

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

Health insurance premiums

Workers’ earnings

Overall inflation

National health expendituresper capita

Figure 10. Increases in Health Insurance PremiumsCompared with Other Indicators, 1988–2007

Percent

Page 16: 1 Health Reform in the US. 2 Current Problems Uninsured 1. Uninsured and Underinsured 45.7 million people uninsured in 2007 (15.3 percent of population)

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Current ProblemsHigh cost of health system

Expenditures by category: 4 highest Hospital care (30.4%) Physician and clinical services (21.3%) Drugs and prescriptions (10%) Administrative Costs and Net Cost of Private Health

Insurance (7.3) – higher than in other OECD countries Cost per enrollee of private health insurance expenses not

related to direct care costs (e.g admin costs and profit) Expenditure Growth by Category (3 highest)

Administrative costs (12 %) Drugs (10.7%) Hospital care (8%)

Page 17: 1 Health Reform in the US. 2 Current Problems Uninsured 1. Uninsured and Underinsured 45.7 million people uninsured in 2007 (15.3 percent of population)

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Figure 11. Percentage of National Health ExpendituresSpent on Health Administration and Insurance, 2003

Net costs of health administration and health insuranceas percent of national health expenditures

1.9 2.1 2.12.6

3.34.0 4.1 4.2

4.8

5.6

7.3

0

2

4

6

8

France

Finlan

d

Japan

Canada

United K

ingdom

Netherla

nds

Austria

Australi

a

Switzerla

nd

German

y

United S

tate

sa b c *

a2002 b1999 c2001*Includes claims administration, underwriting, marketing, profits, and other administrative costs;based on premiums minus claims expenses for private insurance.Data: OECD Health Data 2005.Source: Commonwealth Fund National Scorecard on U.S. Health System Performance, 2006.

Page 18: 1 Health Reform in the US. 2 Current Problems Uninsured 1. Uninsured and Underinsured 45.7 million people uninsured in 2007 (15.3 percent of population)

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Figure 12. Health Expenditure Growth 2000–2005for Selected Categories of Expenditures

12.0

8.6 8.0 7.96.1

10.7

0

5

10

15

20

Total Hospital care Physician &clinical services

Nursing home &home health

Prescriptiondrugs

Prog. admin. &net cost of

private healthinsurance

Average annual percent growth in health expenditures, 2000–2005

Source: A. Catlin, C. Cowan, S. Heffler et al., “National Health Spending in 2005: The Slowdown Continues,”Health Affairs, Jan./Feb. 2007 26(1):142–53.

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Current ProblemsHigh Cost of Health System: Chronic Diseases Need to deal with chronic disease to reduce costs.

More than 90 million Americans have a chronic disease.

Medical care costs of people with chronic disease account for more than 75% of total expenditures.

Unhealthy diet and physical inactivity can cause or aggravate chronic conditions including diabetes, hypertension, heart disease, stroke, and some cancers

Source: CDC

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Page 21: 1 Health Reform in the US. 2 Current Problems Uninsured 1. Uninsured and Underinsured 45.7 million people uninsured in 2007 (15.3 percent of population)

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0%

10%

20%30%

40%

50%60%

70%80%90%

100%

U.S. Population Health Expenditures

Figure 13. Health Care Costs Concentrated in Sick Few—Sickest 10 Percent Account for 64 Percent of Expenses

1%5%

10%

49%

64%

24%

Source: S. H. Zuvekas and J. W. Cohen, “Prescription Drugs and the Changing Concentration of Health Care Expenditures,” Health Affairs, Jan./Feb. 2007 26(1):249–57.

50%

97%

$36,280

$12,046

$6,992

$715

Distribution of health expenditures for the U.S. population,by magnitude of expenditure, 2003 Expenditure

threshold (2003 dollars)

Page 22: 1 Health Reform in the US. 2 Current Problems Uninsured 1. Uninsured and Underinsured 45.7 million people uninsured in 2007 (15.3 percent of population)

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Current ProblemsHigh Cost of Health System: Chronic Diseases

Page 23: 1 Health Reform in the US. 2 Current Problems Uninsured 1. Uninsured and Underinsured 45.7 million people uninsured in 2007 (15.3 percent of population)

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Current ProblemsGrowing levels of obesity in US An adult who has a BMI between 25 and 29.9

is considered overweight. An adult who has a BMI of 30 or higher is

considered obese. Height Weight Range BMI Considered

124 lbs or less Below 18.5 Underweight125 lbs to 168 lbs 18.5 to 24.9 Healthy weight169 lbs to 202 lbs 25.0 to 29.9 Overweight203 lbs or more 30 or higher Obese

5’ 9”

Page 24: 1 Health Reform in the US. 2 Current Problems Uninsured 1. Uninsured and Underinsured 45.7 million people uninsured in 2007 (15.3 percent of population)

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Current ProblemsGrowing levels of obesity in US Health consequences: Overweight and obese individuals are at

increased risk for many diseases and health conditions, including the following: Hypertension (high blood pressure)

Associated with strokes, heart attack, heart failure, damage to the retina swelling of the brain.

Osteoarthritis (a degeneration of cartilage and its underlying bone within a joint)

Dyslipidemia (for example, high total cholesterol or high levels of triglycerides)

Type 2 diabetes Coronary heart disease Stroke Gallbladder disease Sleep apnea and respiratory problems Some cancers (endometrial, breast, and colon)

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Current ProblemsGrowing levels of obesity in US Economic consequences (Finkelstein,

Fiebelkorn, and Wang, 2003) In 1998, approximately 9.1 % of total US medical

expenditures were attributed to both overweight and obesity (approximately 92.6 billion 1992 dollars)

Approximately half these costs were paid by Medicare and Medicaid.

Costs likely to be much higher now as obesity rates have risen since 1998

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1998

Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults1990, 1998, 2007(*BMI 30, or about 30 lbs. overweight for 5’4” person)

2007

1990

No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Source: CDC presentation on US Obesity Trends 1985-2007

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Criteria Used to Evaluate ReformThe Common Wealth Fund

1. Universal Coverage: Should participation be voluntary?

2. Provision of benefits that cover essential services

3. Affordable premiums, deductibles, and out-of-pocket costs relative to family income.

4. Ease of enrollment

5. Choice in plans

6. Health risks broadly pooled

7. Simple to administer with coverage that is automatic and continuous

8. Portability (minimize dislocations)

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Criteria Used to Evaluate ReformOther criteria to think about:

8. Cost Containment: How does the plan contain the growth of medical care expenditures over time?

9. Employment: To what extent does the plan influence overall employment opportunities?

10. Others? Does it reduce long-term costs of the system, will the system have ramifications for other sectors than health? (e.g. if get rid of employer-based care may be better for business)

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Health Care Proposals 2008

Difference between democratic and republican proposals. Not much within party difference

Republicans: Tax incentives to have individual purchase insurance on the individual market. Less regulation of insurance companies.

Democrats: Mixed private-public insurance with shared responsibility for financing.

Review of Plans

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Health Care Proposals 2008Insurance market -- McCainMain Problems: uninsured and costKey Features: Rely on individual insurance market

Has not said will protect individuals from adverse selection (i.e no coverage for pre-existing conditions etc). Sick, aged, women of child bearing age will pay substantially

more May not be able to get coverage for pre-existing conditions or

deliveries. Little or no risk pooling – increases the cost of care

once sick If don’t have the foresight to buy good insurance when

healthy will not be insurance and may not be able to get sufficient insurance when sick.

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Health Care Proposals 2008Insurance market -- McCain Can buy insurance in any state.

Different states have different regulations for rating by age, health status sex, mandates on what insurance companies have to offer etc.

Argued that this is a move to deregulate. States won’t have the power to regulate and this power will be held at the federal level. McCain want to get rid of many of the regulations there are. Argues it is to make policies cheaper – what do you think?

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Health Care Proposals 2008Insurance market -- McCain Employer health benefits to be taxable income.

Could lead employers to stop providing health benefits. Takes away monetary incentive for employers to provide

health insurance Could lead to low skilled workers or healthy not buying

health insurance through employer Health insurance coverage is usually more comprehensive

through employers so may be more expensive than catastrophic care coverage on individual market

Adverse selection may mean low skilled or healthy will underinsure on the private market or not insure. This can lead to an unraveling of the more comprehensive health insurance market

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Health Care Proposals 2008Insurance market -- McCain

Problematic because the alterative is to buy on the individual market Little or no risk pooling Administrative costs are much higher For same benefits policies are much more expensive

Careful of the quotes you hear – these are for policies to healthy people and doesn’t disclose all the out-of-pocket expenditures

Unhealthy people on this market often can’t get coverage Net effect is that people will have much less

generous policies than they have today More out of pocket costs, high costs if actually get sick.

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Health Care Proposals 2008Insurance market -- McCain Tax credit: 2,500 individual or 5,000 family

When the average premium is 12,000 for full coverage, this will not make comprehensive insurance unaffordable for the poor. Poor or middle class will be forced into the individual

market and will likely be underinsured. (same problems as before)

If premiums continue to rise, people will be paying more since the tax credit is not tied to the raising with cost of health care

If spend less on health insurance, credit goes into a health savings account Incentive to buy cheap health insurance which increases

financial risk

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Health Care Proposals 2008Insurance market -- McCainBring down the cost of health care by: Drugs: allowing re-importation

Not allowing negotiation – but buying drugs from countries that do negotiate (i.e. letting Canadians do it for the US).

Funding avenues to bring in cheaper generics. They are already cheap and available so needs to find ways to bring

the into mainstream use in the medical system. Pay-for-Performance:

Pay for a bundle of care (not each service) or coordinated care. This will avoid payments for services that were a result of preventable

medical errors or mismanagement This is like a capitation system in some ways.

Greater use of technology for administrative purposes and to keep medical records.

People will purchase cheaper policies which give less coverage so it hoped they will use less care What about the long-run?

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Health Care Proposals 2008Prevention -- McCain Put more responsibilities in the hands of

individual Hmm has this worked so far?

Public health initiatives to encourage individuals to prevent chronic diseases, receive appropriate tests for early detection.

Parents responsible for teaching children about health nutrition and exercise.

Promote care alternatives such as walk-in clinics in retail outlets.

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Health Care Proposals 2008Insurance Market -- Obama Main problems

Too many uninsured or under insured Cost of health care is too high, which is leading to

people being uninsured Growth of health care costs is too high Lack of preventive care and management of chronic

illnesses Providers not adequately reimbursed

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Health Care Proposals 2008Insurance Market -- Obama Main difference between Clinton and Obama is that Clinton

will mandate that everyone have health care and Obama is not.

Obama may do that if not enough people sign up for health insurance.

Not having a mandate is tricky if you are not going if pre-existing conditions aren’t included. Will just wait until you are sick – but this type of system which is based on risk pooling needs both the sick and non-sick to enroll. You will get free-riders.

Obama doesn’t want to mandate insurance for everyone until he is sure it is affordable What does affordable mean?

You can read his health advisor’s response to criticism http://sentineleffect.wordpress.com/2007/12/01/health-mandates-a

-talk-with-obama-health-advisor-david-cutler/

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Health Care Proposals 2008Insurance Market -- Obama

Key features: Keep insurance you have or buy insurance through a National

Health Insurance Exchange Includes a public plan that will provide the same benefits that

members of congress have. Private plans would also be available. They have to provide the

same benefits as the public plan. These plans are portable because not based on a job. Everyone guaranteed access to health care, no rating based on

pre-existing conditions The Exchange would evaluate the services and cost of the

various plans and make these differences transparent. To provide insurance in The Menu, plans will have to adopt

quality and efficiency practices. These include: preventive care practices and using computerized

administrative and record keeping systems.

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Health Care Proposals 2008Insurance Market -- Obama Will expand Medicaid and SCHIP to serve low-

income population. SCHIP: state children’s health insurance program. Did not define what low-income population will be so not

clear how much this will cost. Sliding-scale premium subsidies

Not clear how this will work No change in the income tax exclusion benefit

employer base health care Could put a cap on tax benefit

Those who buy very expensive care receive a greater subsidy

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Health Care Proposals 2008Prevention -- Obama Require insurers to

cover preventative services which are known to be effective.

Promote chronic care management programs Promote chronic care coordination (important for

those with multiple conditions). Coordinate public spending on prevention.

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Health Care Proposals 2008Financing--Obama Repeal tax cuts if income >$250,000 Employer contributions Savings:

Health IT investment Reduce unnecessary spending from preventable errors and paper

billing system. Improve prevention and management of chronic illnesses

Reduce hospital costs Increase insurance industry competition, reduce underwriting

costs, and profits Provide reinsurance for catastrophic coverage Have universal insurance to reduce spending on uncompensated

care of the uninsured Buy drugs from other countries and negotiate drug prices for

Medicare

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Health Care Proposals 2008Republican Critiques--Obama General republican critiques:

Too much regulation of the insurance industry No economic basis to the argument

Might cost too much – some admit there is not enough knowledge to base this statement on. Argue that it will be too expensive because the benefits are

too generous. See article on Health Affairs Journal website

Article is more an opinion piece. Lack or articulation of the economic arguments and lack of

use of other articles to back arguments. Says Obama plan is not addressing the core reasons why

health care is increasing – but fails to say what those are!

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Features of Leading Candidates’ Approachesto Health Care ReformObama McCain

Individual Mandate Children only No

EmployerShared Responsibility

Offer or contribute X%of payroll

No

Medicaid/ SCHIP Expansion Yes No

Private Insurance MarketsNew group National Health Insurance Exchange with private & public plan

options

Purchase private individual insurance in any state

Subsidies for Low to Moderate Income Sliding scale premium subsidies

Tax credit $2,500 for individuals, $5,000 for

families

Quality and Efficiency Measures

HIT, Transparency, P4P, Prevention, Comparative effectiveness, Chronic disease management, Disparities,

Malpractice reform

HIT, Transparency, P4P, Prevention, Chronic disease

management, Malpractice reform

Insurance Premium rating based health status No Yes

Drug Reform Gov’ negotiate drug prices; reimportation; more use generic drug.

Reimportation; more use generic drugs

Source: Authors’ analysis of presidential candidates’ health reform proposals. Common Wealth Fund

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Where Leading Candidates Standon Health Care Reform Features

Obama McCain

Most Candidates from Both Parties Agree

Expand coverage Yes Yes

Health IT Yes Yes

Transparency Yes Yes

Malpractice reform Yes Yes

Prevention Yes Yes

Pay for performance Yes Yes

Candidates Differ

Universal coverage Yes No

Individual mandate Children only No

Employer pay or play Yes No

Changes to employer benefit tax exemption

No Unclear

Regulation of insurance markets Yes No

Financing source Yes No

Source: Authors’ analysis of presidential candidates’ health reform proposals. Common Wealth Fund

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Principles for Reform

Tax Incentives and Individual Insurance

Markets

Mixed Private–Public Group Insurance with Shared Responsibility

for Financing Public Insurance

Covers Everyone 0 (-) + +

Minimum Standard Benefit Floor – + +Premium/Deductible/Out-of-Pocket CostsAffordable Relative to Income

– + +

Easy, Seamless Enrollment 0 + (0) ++

Choice + + +

Pool Health Care Risks Broadly – + ++Minimize Dislocation, Ability to Keep Current Coverage + ++ –

Administratively Simple – + ++Work to Improve Health Care Quality and Efficiency 0 + +

0 = Minimal or no change from current system; – = Worse than current system;+ = Better than current system; ++ = Much better than current system

How Well Do Different StrategiesMeet Principles for Health Insurance Reform?

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Candidates position pieces

Website with general information Obama: http://www.barackobama.com/issues/healthcare/ Plan: Written document on plan http://www.barackobama.com/pdf/issues/HealthC

areFullPlan.pdf Website with general information McCain

http://www.johnmccain.com/Informing/Issues/19ba2f1c-c03f-4ac2-8cd5-5cf2edb527cf.htm

There is no written document on the plan, just bullet points

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Health affair article

“Cost and coverage implications of the McCain plan to restructure health insurance”

3 key features1. Withdrawing the tax exclusions health premiums

paid by employers

2. Individual tax credit

3. Deregulating non-group insurance by allowing people to purchase across state lines

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Health affair article

Implications of the key features Make calculation based on economic studies to show:

Not allow many more Americans to obtain health insurance Certainly not reach universal coverage Over time if the tax credit is not changed, un-insurance rates will

increase More people will be underinsured due to reliance on the

individual insurance market which is more expensive way to provide health insurance.

Cost implication Difficult to sort out because not enough details Great burden on the individual in terms of out-of-poket

costs Those with acute illnesses or chronic illness will almost

certain pay much more than they do now

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Clinton Health Reform

1993 Clinton proposed “National Health Security Act of 1993”

Public concern about rising health care costs, uninsured population contributed to Clinton’s election in 1992 Perceived job lock (don’t change jobs because don’t want to

lose health insurance). Similar to the present Obama plan. Sometimes called

managed competition Plan failed

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51

Clinton Health Reform

Rationale (as described in the act): Rapidly rising health care costs Health care/insurance bureaucracy Uneven equality Inadequate long-term care Uneven access Fraud/abuse contributing to access/cost/quality

problems

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52

Clinton Health Reform

Proposed universal coverage by 1998

Key features: Combination of Employer and individual mandates

Employer Each employer was required to provide health insurance

to its full-time employees and finance at least 80% of the premium of an average plan. Employee pays the rest.

Total employer contributions capped at 3.5-7.9 of total payroll

Large firms with more than 5,000 employees could self insure through “corporate alliance

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Clinton Health Reform

Region health alliance Not-for-profit agency that would negotiate health

insurance premiums with private insurance companies Use the purchasing power to negotiate competitive prices

Standardized benefits provided by plans Employers or Individuals who do not have employer-

based insurance, can purchase competitively price insurance from these agencies.

May also collect premiums, manage enrollment into plans and other admin duties.

Medicaid and Medicare continue: Savings from Medicare would be made from using more

managed care schemes (though research Didn’t show this will happen for sure).

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Health Reform in US: Clinton Plan

Premiums/Insurers: Four rating groups for premiums

Single Couples no children Single headed families Two-adult families

Premiums based on community rating Open enrollment Guaranteed renewability No pre-existing condition exclusions Real premium growth capped at 1.5 % initall, zero by 1999 Reductions in premiums would be given for unemployed, part-

time workers and self-employed. Subsidies?

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Health Reform in US: Clinton Plan

Relatively comprehensive benefits Hospital services Emergency services Physician/other professional services Clinical preventive services (extensive list) Mental health/substance abuse treatment services Family planning services Pregnancy-related services Hospice, home health, and extended care services Ambulance services Outpatient laboratory, diagnostic, prescription drug services Outpatient rehabilitative services Durable medical equipment Vision and hearing services Preventive dental services (initially children only) Health education classes

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Health Reform in US: Clinton Plan

States could opt for “single-payer” system, add benefits, supplement insurance allowed etc.

Financing: Assumed would be saving on exiting public health

insurance programs Increase cigarette excise tax Limited other tax increases National Health Board to regulate growth in premiums

and costs Plans to streamline private insurance market

bureaucracy, reduce paperwork, combat fraud/abuse

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Collapse of Clinton Plan

Plan presented to public Sept. 22, 1993 Initially strong public support (>70%) By summer 1994, support only 40% November 1994, republican party took control of

House of Representatives. Plan lacked necessary political support in Congress.

Started out with it, but moved too slowly on the plan, and support waned.

Plan was liberal, but congress was more than half Republican, so needed to convince Republicans.

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Collapse of Clinton Plan What went wrong:

Political factors Design group not responsive enough to critics

Lack of bipartisan effort Opposed by health care trade groups

Health Insurance Association of America Prices for health care may have been more regulated. Poured money into negative campaigns

Providers American Medical Association, Pharmaceuticals and others Managed care being expanded (provider didn’t like that) More of a monopsony buyer for drugs with health alliance

Some argue that big business didn’t go for it because it weakened there position. Universal coverage weakens the bargaining position of the

firm. Small business association opposed mandate due to potential

cost increase

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Collapse of Clinton Plan

Republican Party Ideology is to have less regulation not more

Plan was highly debated: Uncertain over cost savings/financing Lack of support from middle class

Not solving their problems Fears of rationing Unknown how the new government bureaucracy will compare

with private sector. Fear fueled by opposition and ads Clinton took too long to try to push it through.

Gave interest groups enough time to organize, fight against it. Clinton administration withdrew proposal without a vote

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Collapse of Clinton Plan

Economic factors Involved income redistribution, mainly to the near poor

or poor Lack of plan to finance the reform which those groups

who opposed played on and created fear of finances

What did happen Expanded health coverage for children Improved long-term care and care for the disabled Changed public’s view on cigarette smoking

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Massachusetts Reform

Enacted on April 12, 2006 Implementation began end 2006 Highest priority was to reduce the number of uninsuredKey features: Individual mandate

All adults required to buy health insurance Financial penalty of up to 50% of cost of health care imposed on

income taxes if no health insurance Become effective July 1, 2007

Employer requirements Employers with >=11 employees had to provide health insurance

coverage or contribute up to $295 annually per employee Permit workers to purchase health care with pre-tax dollars or

face a fine.

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Massachusetts Reform

Commonwealth Care Health Insurance Insurance plans offered by program have no deductibles

and use managed care organization to provide care. Provides sliding-scale subsides to individual with incomes

up to 300% of the federal poverty level ($30,630) Provide free health care for individual with less than 150%

of the FPL ($15,315) Choice of 4 plans

Commonwealth Choice Provides private, unsubsidized coverage to individuals and

small businesses 3 levels of coverage available

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Massachusetts Reform

Commonwealth Health Insurance Connector Oversees the two above organization Independent state agency responsible for working

with health plans to ensure affordable quality care Grants “seals of approval” of private plans (i.e.

gives a quality/cost approval) Sets affordability and minimum coverage

standards

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Massachusetts Reform

Health Care Quality and Cost Council Establishes statewide goals for improving health care

quality, containing health care costs, and reducing racial and ethnic disparities in health care

Demonstrates progress toward achieving those goals Disseminates, through a consumer-friendly Web site and

other media, comparative quality and cost information by facility, clinician, or physician group practice for obstetrical services, physician office visits, high-volume elective surgical procedures, high-volume diagnostic tests, and high-volume therapeutic services.

Expanded Medicaid to children up to 300 % of FPL

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Massachusetts Reform

Minimum coverage standards Not put into the legislation Commonwealth connector set the min. coverage and

affordability standards Standard included:

Preventive and primary care, emergency services, hospitalization, ambulatory patient services, mental health services, and prescription drug coverage

Capped deductibles at $2,000 for individual and $5,000 for family

Capped out-of-pocket expenditures to $5,000 for an individual and $10,000 for a family.

Not being implemented until 2009

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Massachusetts ReformEvidenceFrom article: Long, Sharon. June 3 2008 “On

the Road to Universal Coverage: Impact of Reform in Massachusetts At One Year” Health Affairs, web exclusive

Conducted interview of roughly 3,000 people before the reform and after the reform

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Massachusetts ReformEvidence

Percent of Uninsured Adults (Ages 18 - 64)

13

23.8

5.27.1

12.9

2.9

0

5

10

15

20

25

All Adults Adults <300% FPL Adults >= 300% FPL

Fall 2006

Fall 2007

Percent of uninsured dropped dramatically and quickly. 93% of nonelderly adults covered

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Massachusetts ReformEvidence Remaining uninsured

Tended to be young, male, low-income, and in good health.

No evidence of crowd-out Worry fewer employers would offer coverage

because individuals able to buy it through the connector Public coverage replace private coverage

Employer coverage increased by 5 % for low-income adults. Other income brackets had no change.

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Massachusetts ReformEvidence Access to care

Interviews conducted Preventive care visits increased by 6% for low

income Level of unmet need for care attributable to cost

dropped by 5% for all income brackets, by 10 percent for low income adults

Unmet need for care associated with trouble finding a provider or making an appointment increased for low-income adults Difficulty in navigating health care system for newly

insured? Stress on providers as more people enter the system

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Massachusetts ReformEvidence No change in non-emergency use of emergency

departments Out-of-pocket spending dropped for all adults

Mainly from prescription drugs Few adults reported medical bill problems Cost of program higher than expected due to more

people signing up for insurance than expected Support for health reform remained widespread at

71 % despite higher costs