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GOES Users’ ConferenceOctober 1, 2002
GOES Users’ ConferenceOctober 1, 2002
John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr.John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr.
National Weather Service
Infusion of Satellite Data:Today and Tomorrow
National Weather Service
Infusion of Satellite Data:Today and Tomorrow
2
OutlineOutline
GOES Operational Use
• National Centers
• WFOs/RFCs
Infusion of Product
Improvements
Outstanding Needs
Infusion Challenges
GOES Operational Use
• National Centers
• WFOs/RFCs
Infusion of Product
Improvements
Outstanding Needs
Infusion Challenges
3
High Temporal Resolution Supports Synoptic and Regional Scale Met Watch
• Storm environments – Development and Tracking
Tropical Storm Intensity and Track
Severe Thunderstorm and Tornado Watch
Flash Flood and Heavy Snow Guidance
Meso-Cyclone Life Cycle
• Customer Service
Icing and Turbulence indicators for Aviation
Land cover information (Snow, Ice)
Cloud Winds
Forecast Verification support
High Temporal Resolution Supports Synoptic and Regional Scale Met Watch
• Storm environments – Development and Tracking
Tropical Storm Intensity and Track
Severe Thunderstorm and Tornado Watch
Flash Flood and Heavy Snow Guidance
Meso-Cyclone Life Cycle
• Customer Service
Icing and Turbulence indicators for Aviation
Land cover information (Snow, Ice)
Cloud Winds
Forecast Verification support
GOES Operational UseNCEP National Centers
GOES Operational UseNCEP National Centers
HPC FcstHPC Fcst
TPC TPC Hurricane Hurricane TrackTrack
AWC Icing FcstAWC Icing Fcst
4
High Temporal Resolution Support WFO and RFC Watch, Warning and Forecast Applications, Including:
• Thunderstorm Development and Motion
• Precip Analysis and Forecasts
• Meso-Cyclone Life Cycle
• Hurricane tracking and landfall
• Lake Effect Snow Bands
• Flood and Flash Flood Forecasts
• Clouds and Derived Winds
High Temporal Resolution Support WFO and RFC Watch, Warning and Forecast Applications, Including:
• Thunderstorm Development and Motion
• Precip Analysis and Forecasts
• Meso-Cyclone Life Cycle
• Hurricane tracking and landfall
• Lake Effect Snow Bands
• Flood and Flash Flood Forecasts
• Clouds and Derived Winds
GOES Operational Use RFCs and WFOs
GOES Operational Use RFCs and WFOs
5
Information InfusionInformation Infusion
GOES Data Currently Available in AWIPS:
GOES Visible/Infrared Imagery• Storm Environments• Storm Tracking• Significant Weather events (e.g., fog)
5 Bands Resolution:
• Visible: 1Km• Infrared: 4Km• Water Vapor: 8Km (4Km)
GOES Sounder Derived Product Imagery• Atmospheric Stability, • Precipitable Water, • Surface Temp, • Cloud Height and Amount
GOES Data Currently Available in AWIPS:
GOES Visible/Infrared Imagery• Storm Environments• Storm Tracking• Significant Weather events (e.g., fog)
5 Bands Resolution:
• Visible: 1Km• Infrared: 4Km• Water Vapor: 8Km (4Km)
GOES Sounder Derived Product Imagery• Atmospheric Stability, • Precipitable Water, • Surface Temp, • Cloud Height and Amount
Satellite Products in WFO/RFCSatellite Products in WFO/RFC
GOES ImageryGOES Imagery
InfraredInfrared
Fog (2)Fog (2)
VisibleVisible
Fog (1)Fog (1)
GOES Stability AnalyzesGOES Stability Analyzes (Lifted Index)(Lifted Index)
6
Information Infusion Information Infusion
Fall 2002: Support for Flash Flood and Flood Warnings and Convective Weather Environments
GOES Automated/Manual Precipitation Estimates
GOES Temperature/Moisture Soundings
Fall 2002: Support for Flash Flood and Flood Warnings and Convective Weather Environments
GOES Automated/Manual Precipitation Estimates
GOES Temperature/Moisture Soundings
Satellite Products in WFO/RFCSatellite Products in WFO/RFC
GOES Precip EstimateGOES Precip Estimate GOES SoundingGOES Sounding
7
Information Infusion Information Infusion
January 2003: GOES-12 Imager Channel Modifications Enhances Available Information
Content for Science Applications
POES Sounding Data with Increased Resolution of Spatial Information to Augment GOES
May 2003:
GOES High Density Winds• Better Understanding of Storm
Environments• Better Model Validation
January 2003: GOES-12 Imager Channel Modifications Enhances Available Information
Content for Science Applications
POES Sounding Data with Increased Resolution of Spatial Information to Augment GOES
May 2003:
GOES High Density Winds• Better Understanding of Storm
Environments• Better Model Validation
Satellite Products in WFO/RFCSatellite Products in WFO/RFC
GOES Winds
8
Information InfusionInformation Infusion
Fall 2003: Improved to Support for Watch and Warning - Better Understanding of Storm Environment and Other Hazards
GOES Automated and Manual Precipitation Estimates: Puerto Rico and Hawaii Regional Sectors
POES Products to Augment GOES:• Surface and Precipitation Products• Scatterometer Marine Surface Winds
Volcanic Ash Product
GOES Sounder Radiance and Cloud Product Imagery
Two Satellite Composites • GOES-East/METEOSAT• GOES-West/GMS
Fall 2003: Improved to Support for Watch and Warning - Better Understanding of Storm Environment and Other Hazards
GOES Automated and Manual Precipitation Estimates: Puerto Rico and Hawaii Regional Sectors
POES Products to Augment GOES:• Surface and Precipitation Products• Scatterometer Marine Surface Winds
Volcanic Ash Product
GOES Sounder Radiance and Cloud Product Imagery
Two Satellite Composites • GOES-East/METEOSAT• GOES-West/GMS
Satellite Products in WFO/RFCSatellite Products in WFO/RFC
POES Marine WindsPOES Marine Winds
Composite InfraredComposite Infrared Volcanic Ash AnalysisVolcanic Ash Analysis
9
Information InfusionInformation Infusion
2003-2007: Product Improvements: Algorithms
• Severe Weather Forecasting
• Cloud Phase and Droplet Size
• Temperature and Moisture Soundings
• Sea Surface and Skin Temperature• Precipitation Analysis
GOES Service Continuity• GOES M (2003)
• GOES N (2004)
• GOES O (2005)
• GOES P (2007)
2003-2007: Product Improvements: Algorithms
• Severe Weather Forecasting
• Cloud Phase and Droplet Size
• Temperature and Moisture Soundings
• Sea Surface and Skin Temperature• Precipitation Analysis
GOES Service Continuity• GOES M (2003)
• GOES N (2004)
• GOES O (2005)
• GOES P (2007)
Satellite Product ImprovementsSatellite Product Improvements
10
Information Infusion Satellite Product Improvements
Information Infusion Satellite Product Improvements
2005-2010:
GIFTS (Geosynchronous Imaging Fourier Transform Spectrometer)
• GOES R Preparation
Calibration and Sample Products
Develop Data Assimilation Techniques
•First Interferometer on Geosynchronous Orbit
Much Improved Vertical RH and
Temperature information
Channels: ~1700 Resolution: 4Km Refresh: 2 soundings/hr
•Once Operational Over Indian Ocean, GIFTS Will Enhance Global Forecast System (GFS) RH and Temperature Forecast performance
2005-2010:
GIFTS (Geosynchronous Imaging Fourier Transform Spectrometer)
• GOES R Preparation
Calibration and Sample Products
Develop Data Assimilation Techniques
•First Interferometer on Geosynchronous Orbit
Much Improved Vertical RH and
Temperature information
Channels: ~1700 Resolution: 4Km Refresh: 2 soundings/hr
•Once Operational Over Indian Ocean, GIFTS Will Enhance Global Forecast System (GFS) RH and Temperature Forecast performance
11
Information Infusion Satellite Product Improvements
Information Infusion Satellite Product Improvements
2012+: GOES R+
• Advance Baseline Imager (ABI):
Improved Clouds, Winds, Aerosols, and
Surface Properties Detection Channels: 12-18 (current 5) Resolution:
• Infrared 2Km (current 4-8Km)• Visible 0.5Km (current 1Km)
Advanced Baseline Sounder (ABS): Improved Lower Troposphere Temperature and Moisture Channels: 1500 Resolution: 8Km (Objective 4Km) Refresh: 2 Soundings/Hr over a Hemispheric Region
2012+: GOES R+
• Advance Baseline Imager (ABI):
Improved Clouds, Winds, Aerosols, and
Surface Properties Detection Channels: 12-18 (current 5) Resolution:
• Infrared 2Km (current 4-8Km)• Visible 0.5Km (current 1Km)
Advanced Baseline Sounder (ABS): Improved Lower Troposphere Temperature and Moisture Channels: 1500 Resolution: 8Km (Objective 4Km) Refresh: 2 Soundings/Hr over a Hemispheric Region
MODISMODIS
Information Content for Moist Atmospheres
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
12 18 18N 50N 2000 RAOB
Channels
Num
ber o
f inde
pend
ent P
ieces
of
Info
rmat
ion
TemperatureMoisture
Cu
rren
t G
OE
S
GO
ES
R
12
S&T InfusionS&T Infusion
Satellite information increase in volume
• Getting the information to users:
Data Volume >> Ability to Process and Disseminate
Data Reduction and Fusion –
• Knowledge Extraction within an Enterprise IT Architecture
Integration of Satellite Data into Decision Aids
Integrated Sensor Training: Optimal Use of Information in Operations
New Product Requirements from NPOESS and GOES R:
End-to-End Costs Evaluated Against Observing Systems
Performance in Field Environment
Satellite information increase in volume
• Getting the information to users:
Data Volume >> Ability to Process and Disseminate
Data Reduction and Fusion –
• Knowledge Extraction within an Enterprise IT Architecture
Integration of Satellite Data into Decision Aids
Integrated Sensor Training: Optimal Use of Information in Operations
New Product Requirements from NPOESS and GOES R:
End-to-End Costs Evaluated Against Observing Systems
Performance in Field Environment
ChallengesChallenges
13
Back UpsBack Ups
14
Geophysical
3-D Vertical Structure
• Lower Atmosphere
• Moisture
• Cloud Properties
Coastal and Ocean Characterization
Air Quality Observations Supporting Predictive Capability
Techniques
Data Reduction and Improved Products
Data Assimilation
Improved Multi-Sensor Products
Geophysical
3-D Vertical Structure
• Lower Atmosphere
• Moisture
• Cloud Properties
Coastal and Ocean Characterization
Air Quality Observations Supporting Predictive Capability
Techniques
Data Reduction and Improved Products
Data Assimilation
Improved Multi-Sensor Products
S&T Infusion Outstanding Needs
S&T Infusion Outstanding Needs
15
Applied R&D
Applied R&D
OperationsOperations
TransitionTransition
S&T InfusionStrategy
S&T InfusionStrategy
Continuous Needs and Opportunities Assessment
Improved Coordination Between NWS and NESDIS
NOAA Matrix Observing Teams
Testbeds – Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation
Continuous Needs and Opportunities Assessment
Improved Coordination Between NWS and NESDIS
NOAA Matrix Observing Teams
Testbeds – Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation
16
S&T InfusionKeys
S&T InfusionKeys
Know and Anticipate Customer Needs
Evolve Operational Concepts
Continued Workforce Training
Infuse Proven Science and Technology
Know and Anticipate Customer Needs
Evolve Operational Concepts
Continued Workforce Training
Infuse Proven Science and Technology
IFPS
Air Quality Forecasts