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1 ‘
Demand Management in Sandwell– reinventing children’s services
.
Simon WhiteDirector of Children’s Services, [email protected] Leo JonesSenior Manager, iMPOWER [email protected] 053534
[IL0: UNCLASSIFIED]
2 ‘
Pre and Post MASH Volumes June 2012- October 2014 (Average Monthly Rates)
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
1600
1700
050100150200250300350400450500550600650700750800850900950100010501100115012001250
Children in Need (excluding LAC and CP ) 1228 1254 1645 1575 1186 1030 1041 921 853
Referrals 295 312 421 320 346 165 167 134 190
Section 47's 94 113 120 78 155 90 80 55 80
ICP Cs 34 49 47 28 45 31 19 24 40
Child P rotection P lans 291 317 347 356 353 388 347 330 321
Looked After Children 593 600 601 619 618 595 563 550 538
Assessments Started (Single Assessments P ost Nov 2013) 329 351 441 339 364 188 170 150 144
October to December
2012
J anuary to March 2013
April to J une 2013
J uly to September
2013
October to December
2013
J anuary to March 2014
April to J un 2014
J uly to Sep 14 Oct-14
Safeguarding Inspection March 2013
Start of MASH November 2013
[IL0: UNCLASSIFIED]
3 ‘
Past and current work volumes
Monthly Numbers 31 Mar 2012 April to June 2013 (Average)
Current Numbers Oct 14
Difference June 2013 to Oct 14
Contacts 1635 1594 1747 153 more
Referrals 366 421 190 231 less
Section 47s 110 120 80 40 less
ICPCs 55 47 40 7 less
Children undergoing Assessment
227 480 173 307 less
Long Term CiN with Plans 954 1047 495 552 less
Care Leavers 243 118 185 67 more
Total Children in Need (Exc LAC and CP)
1424 1645 853 792 less
Child Protection Plans 329 347 321 26 less
Looked After Children 576 601 538 63 less
[IL0: UNCLASSIFIED]
4 ‘
How we “think” about demand matters
Huge variance in councils with similar deprivation We make up stories to “explain” our data Less about prevention; more about diversion Public Services create their own customers Systems are often self regulating and seek
equilibrium
[IL0: UNCLASSIFIED]
Comparative data suggests you have a choice
5 ‘
IMD vs LAC
IMD vs LAC per 10,000
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
Deprivation (1 being most deprived)
LAC
per
10,0
00
LAC 2012
Linear (LAC 2012)
[IL0: UNCLASSIFIED]
A clear correlation but significant variation in Councils with similar deprivation
6 ‘
IMD and CiN
IMD vs CiN per 10,000
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
Deprivation (1 being most deprived)
CiN
per
10,
000
CiN throughout 11/12
Linear (CiN throughout 11/12)
[IL0: UNCLASSIFIED]
Little correlation
Some of the most deprived have the least CiN casesSome of the least deprived have the most CiN cases
7 ‘
Some values……
Very sceptical about the “reality” of CiN Caseloads must be manageable You must have a stable management team, and a critical
mass of permanent staff Shrink the work to fit the diameter of the pipe A well functioning MASH is central Targeted services cannot replace lead professionals and
the TAC – if schools and the NHS do not step up, we will not step in.
[IL0: UNCLASSIFIED]
8 ‘
…and prejudices
Thresholds are not what they are cracked up to be Audits rarely tell you much about them Adult services tend to approach cuts with more of a
sense of agency Children at risk of significant harm are rare, children in
need of services are too numerous to assess Assessments are not services If you view assessments as a “handling charge” we
spend much more arranging services rather than providing them
[IL0: UNCLASSIFIED]
Assessment Vs Intervention
9 ‘
Different types of wasted work
Some work we just shouldn’t do (its not our job) Some work we do is misguided (it’s the wrong thing) Some work we do is ineffective (it’s the right thing, done
badly) Sheer volume can make most work ineffective Sometimes children are on the merry-go-round;
sometimes professionals Transition points create waste and work Some work we do is to remedy previous failure
[IL0: UNCLASSIFIED]
10 ‘
Universal services Early help Entry Care and
supportPermanency and exit
Universal & Universal Plus Early Help
(Targeted)Early help Entry Care and
supportPermanency and exit
Savi
ngs
Better utilising universal resources to complete early targeted work with children & families
More targeted activitiy – specifically focused on the needs that lead to children becoming ‘Looked After’
Multi-Agency to reduce inappropriate demand
Driving planning & permanency
Increase the availability of permanency options including internal placement provision
As is: Elongated child’s journey, poor outcomes and high cost to the system
To be: Emphasis on a safeguarding and early help, better outcomes, reduced cost to the system
As is =
To be =
Programme start
Programme end
Agree the ‘end game’ – the desired future state?
Changing the Children’s System
A sustainable system focused on prevention & permanence
1
[IL0: UNCLASSIFIED]
11 ‘
Workflow Analysis
Analysis of workflow showed duplicated Core Assessments Closures at ICPC after 15 days with 2nd CA opened in Care Management Performance data shows some CA’s are being opened on same day as IA’s in some
cases
[IL0: UNCLASSIFIED]
Understand your baseline2
12 ‘
• What is the real function of CiN?• Being “in need” and having “additional needs”• What intervention do they get?
’Changing the Children’s System
Analysis of open CiN cases showed some interesting facts
For all cases referred before 15th July (including assessment)
Days since last visitno visit 42<20 days 27120-39 days 28140-59 days 16160-119 294120-240 177more than 240 77
Total 1303
Be prepared to think differently3
[IL0: UNCLASSIFIED]
13 ‘
Changing the Children’s System
It’s a whole system thing – we need to be system architects
4 Change the whole system
Re-configured Early Help Services
Multi-Agency Safeguarding
Integrate your early help services – remove handoffs and early help boundaries
Place them in localities, centred around schools & universal servicesEnsure a social work interface in early help – to reduce the need for
inappropriate referrals
Single front door through 12 agency Multi-Agency Safeguarding Hub (MASH) with 3 screening pathways (social care, DV, Early Help)
Co-located investigative team with the police to ensure quicker & more integrated assessments of risk
In essence completion of Initial Assessment in the MASHLots of feedback into the system to bed in approach
Activity Detail
Re-modelled social care
journey
£500,000 out of social care and into early help to boost capacity immediatelySimple journey with reduced handoffsReduced caseloads to focus on quicker exitPermanent staffing is key – reduction in work makes it easier to achieve
[IL0: UNCLASSIFIED]
14 ‘
The Sandwell Model Whole System Change
• Central to & part of ‘Early Help’• Key part of Community Operating Groups• Commissioned to complete some targeted work – or
pooling of their budgets for local, responsive commissioning
Early Help Universal Services
Community Operating
Group
Community Operating
Group
Community Operating
Group
Community Operating
Group
Community Operating
Group
Community Operating
Group
• Integrated Early Help Services with multi-agency, multi-disciplinary teams around localities
• Re-allocation of CiN activity to early help• Supported by dedicated social worker support for each locality• Targeted services based on local need with key aim of reducing demand• Supported by local commissioning budgets to allow proactive response• Strong performance & quality management focused on reducing demand
+ outcomes
Targeted Early Help
[IL0: UNCLASSIFIED]
15 ‘
Impact
50% less referrals into the system 50% less Child in Need cases 50% less assessments Improving re-referral rate Reduction in agency staffing from as high as 45% to
under 15% Reduction in spend on agency staffing from £5.4m to
under £1m 10% reduction in LAC with £1.6m underspend on
placements from forecast spend
[IL0: UNCLASSIFIED]