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1 Cost Effectiveness Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D. Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD [email protected] Erasmus MC Institute for Medical Psychology and Psychotherapy

1 Cost Effectiveness Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D. Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD [email protected] Erasmus

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Page 1: 1 Cost Effectiveness  Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D.  Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD Jan.Busschbach@deviersprong.nl  Erasmus

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Cost Effectiveness

Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D. Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD

[email protected]

Erasmus MC

Institute for Medical Psychology and Psychotherapy

Page 2: 1 Cost Effectiveness  Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D.  Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD Jan.Busschbach@deviersprong.nl  Erasmus

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(Health) Economics

Comparing different allocations In health care: Should we spent our money on

• Wheel chairs

• Screening for cancer

Intervention in youth

• Jail

• Cure

• Prevention

Page 3: 1 Cost Effectiveness  Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D.  Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD Jan.Busschbach@deviersprong.nl  Erasmus

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Assumptions

Agreement on the budget Assumption of scarcity

Agreement on outcome What are the intended effects

Possible to moves between budgets

Page 4: 1 Cost Effectiveness  Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D.  Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD Jan.Busschbach@deviersprong.nl  Erasmus

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Economics in policy

Economics in policy are often Only Better effects for the same (or less) money

• “Doelmatigheid”

Efficiency improvement

Budget impact

Page 5: 1 Cost Effectiveness  Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D.  Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD Jan.Busschbach@deviersprong.nl  Erasmus

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Car economics

Should we spend our money on a Suzuki Alto 1.0

BMW 316

Page 6: 1 Cost Effectiveness  Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D.  Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD Jan.Busschbach@deviersprong.nl  Erasmus

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Car economics

Cost effectiveness Comparing costs

Comparing outcome

Relate costs to outcome Cost per outcome

Cost per kilometer

Page 7: 1 Cost Effectiveness  Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D.  Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD Jan.Busschbach@deviersprong.nl  Erasmus

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League Table

Car € / Km Car € / Km

Suzuki Alto 1.0 0.24 Hyundai Lantra 1.5 0.47

Daihatsu Cuore 1.0 0.27 Opel Vectra 1.6 0.53

Hyundai Atos Multi 1.0 0.27 Citroën Xantia 1.8i 0.55

Renault Twingo 1.2 inj 0.28 Mazda 626 2.0 0.58

Daewoo Matiz 0.33 BMW 316 0.74

Cost per kilometre including gas, maintenance, debit, etc. Price level 2002. Calculations based on over 2,5 years use and 40.000 km. (Consumentenbond, Augustus 2003)

Page 8: 1 Cost Effectiveness  Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D.  Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD Jan.Busschbach@deviersprong.nl  Erasmus

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Assumptions

Agreement on the budget Assumption of scarcity

Possible to moves between budgets We can buy a Suzkie or a BMW

Agreement on outcome What are the intended effects

The effects is restricted to ‘movement’

Page 9: 1 Cost Effectiveness  Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D.  Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD Jan.Busschbach@deviersprong.nl  Erasmus

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Which costs included in CE youth intervention?

Costs of intervention Costs of alternatives

Jail

Other treatment

Costs of crime Material costs

Cost of law enforcement

Other savings Broken education

Intangible costs

Page 10: 1 Cost Effectiveness  Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D.  Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD Jan.Busschbach@deviersprong.nl  Erasmus

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Intangible costs

What are the costs of Death

Suffering

Rape

Fear

No clear methodology Willingness to pay

Page 11: 1 Cost Effectiveness  Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D.  Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD Jan.Busschbach@deviersprong.nl  Erasmus

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Which outcomes in youth interventions?

What is the aim of youth interventions? Costs per avoided crime Costs per contact

Prevention

Page 12: 1 Cost Effectiveness  Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D.  Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD Jan.Busschbach@deviersprong.nl  Erasmus

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Effects expressed as costs

Cost Benefit analysis Effects can now be subtracted from costs

Page 13: 1 Cost Effectiveness  Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D.  Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD Jan.Busschbach@deviersprong.nl  Erasmus

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Drivers in health economics

The effect of the intervention The cost of the intervention Intangible costs Discounting

Page 14: 1 Cost Effectiveness  Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D.  Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD Jan.Busschbach@deviersprong.nl  Erasmus

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Changes of economics in youth interventions

The effect of the intervention The cost of the intervention

Alternative is expensive: Jail

Intangible costs The effects are warranted

Broken education

Discounting Sometime immediate effects

Page 15: 1 Cost Effectiveness  Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D.  Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD Jan.Busschbach@deviersprong.nl  Erasmus

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Threats of economics in youth interventions

The effect of the intervention Low quality evidence on the effectiveness

A randomized trials is now the standard

The cost of the intervention Expensive labour-intensive

Intangible costs No consensus about these costs

Discounting Often effect are in the further: prevention

Page 16: 1 Cost Effectiveness  Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D.  Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD Jan.Busschbach@deviersprong.nl  Erasmus

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Examples

The Washington State Institute for Public Policy Steve Aos, 2004

Taxpayer perspective: cost benefit analysis

Intangible costs used as effects (sexual abuse = $ 94,506)

The monetary value of saving a high-risk youth Cohen, 1998

Intangible costs: lifetime costs criminal career

Page 17: 1 Cost Effectiveness  Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D.  Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD Jan.Busschbach@deviersprong.nl  Erasmus

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Little studies

Welsh & Farrington, 2000 “[…] little is known about the economic efficiency of

correctional intervention strategies. A review of the literature revealed only seven published studies that have presented information on monetary costs and benefits”.

Swaray et al, 2005 Found only 10 studies

The norm ‘evidence based’ is not near Research dominated by aetiology and epidemiology

Page 18: 1 Cost Effectiveness  Jan J.V. Busschbach, Ph.D.  Viersprong Institute for studies on Personality Disorders VISPD Jan.Busschbach@deviersprong.nl  Erasmus

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Encouraging results

Reviews show favorable results Cure is more cost effective than prevention

• Targeted prevention works better

Cure more cost effective than incarceration

No Dutch evidence Although The Netherlands is leading in health economics

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Conclusion

Economics are lacking Main obstacles

Convincible effect studies

The odds are favorable